Elite Overproduction

N. S. Lyons on The Upheaval addresses the question of whether wokeness is over with, and in the negative. In so doing, they manage to drag in, among other reasons, overpopulation, a favorite of mine, as a reason for the unstoppable nature of wokeness, whether you like it or not, and I cannot resist quoting someone referencing Professor Turchin:

14. Elite overproduction is still in overdrive. In what is rapidly becoming one of my preferred explanations for the Revolution, the evolutionary anthropologist/mathematician/prophet of doom Peter Turchin has identified “elite overproduction” as having been one of the top drivers of revolution and civil conflict throughout history. He points to the tendency for decadent societies to produce far more overeducated elites than there are elite-level jobs, leading to large numbers of underemployed, resentful elite-class intellectuals of the type who tend pine after the position and status they “deserve” and eventually start spending their free time starting revolutionary cells. Or as James Lindsay has put it, all the children of the upper-middle class bourgeoisie “fake elites,” who find they will likely never be part of the truly wealthy elite (e.g. Bezos) that they aspire to be, have quickly become “a breeding ground for ressentiment in society” instead.

But, scrabbling desperately with one another for status, and horrified at the idea of ever falling into the ranks of the mere working class, the overproduced elites have found another solution: they’ve set themselves up, not as the nobility, but as the First Estate, the new clergy, where they can labor diligently to produce basically nothing but the “right” opinions to police our collective moral rules. And now they’ve succeeded in creating their own job market (e.g. critical theorists, diversity consultants) out of thin air. Or as Mary Harrington recently put it succinctly: “Once you start seeing the calls for moral re-evaluation of everything as a mass job application on behalf of an ever-expanding surplus of arts graduates it’s difficult to unsee.” And in this crowded, hyper-competitive world of the bourgeoisie, the surest way to move up is to take someone else down – hence “cancel culture” and the vast, elaborate, ever-changing, mandatory “correct” vocabulary that functions as a way to help weed out any of the competition (or dirty proles) who can’t keep up. Thus Wokeness.

Have young people stopped trying desperately to make it into Harvard or Yale and join the smaller and smaller share of the population that represents the elite? No way. It’s just that, thanks to the latest expansion of a huge, growing industry of administrators and consultants, the professional managerial class has an array of profitable new fallback options after investment banker. Now instead of having to labor through something difficult, like medical school, in order to achieve a respectable, well-paid career, one can always become a Chief Diversity Officer (average annual salary in Northern California in 2021: $231,500 to $329,500).

Which makes for a gripping argument for the mistake of having an overeducated citizenry, I suppose. True? I’m not sure. Being mildly educated myself – yes, yes, just a Bachelor’s in Computer Science, plus a lifetime of inquisitive reading – I’m somewhat horrified, but I can also recall reading, some thirty years ago, about resentful English PhDs who could not get a full time job at a higher education institution, and instead had to split their time between various part-time teaching jobs.

Entitlement is always a bit disturbing, isn’t it? Especially when it infects those who, themselves, are shouting against it. American humanity is a funny gig.

Anyways, that’s just one of more than 15 points Lyons is making. Interesting stuff, although some of it seems to be beyond my comprehension. And I ran out of gas. Go read it to catch up on the phenomenon.

Word Of The Day

Epistolary:

Epistolary comes from a Greek word, epistolē, which means “letter.” Epistolary is a literary genre pertaining to letters, in which writers use letters, journals, and diary entries in their works, or they tell their stories or deliver messages through a series of letters. Though the usual format of epistolary is letters, writers sometimes use other forms of document such as newspaper clippings and diary entries. Recently, writers also use electronic documents like emails, blogs, radio broadcast, and recordings. [Literary Devices]

Noted in “What to Read: Shaun Usher is curating history’s most memorable mail,” What To Read [On Substack]:

You’ve been obsessed with letters since you and your now-wife began writing to each other 20 years ago. Why did you start an epistolary relationship, and how did that format differ from traditional dating?

Totally Not Unprecedented

As sad as the recent crime wave makes me, somehow a reminder that this is nothing new, well, cheers me up:

From a wider historical perspective, of course, students in the 21st century really are pathetic saps — a shadow of their forebears. As testimony to this decline, today is the anniversary of the biggest student unrest in English history; not 1968 but 1355, the day of the St Scholastica Day Riot in Oxford, which began when two students were served ‘indifferent wine’ in a tavern and fell into an argument with the innkeeper. By the time that the authorities restored order, more than ninety people were dead. …

The row started, according to a chronicler, when some students were served ‘indifferent wine’ in the town’s Swyndlestock Tavern. The two student-clerics, Walter de Spryngeheuse and Roger de Chesterfield, had objected to the quality of this wine served by one John de Croydon, the landlord. After asking for something better, they were refused and ‘several snappish words passed’ before Croydon gave them ‘stubborn and saucy language’.

One of the students then threw the wine in his face, and the brawl went out into the street where locals rang the church bells and huge numbers on both sides joined in. The town folk attacked the students ‘some with bows and arrows, others with divers weapons’.

The fighting then broke out again the following morning, and all the scholars fled after ‘some innocent wretches’ were killed and ‘scornfully cast into the house of easement’ – that is, the toilet — a deed the chronicler says was done by ‘diabolical imps’. Those who were injured limped away ‘carrying their entrails in their hands in a most lamentable manner’. As you would. [“When student protests weren’t dominated by ‘snowflakes’,” Ed West, Wrong Side of History]

Follow the link to see just how long it took for the city of Oxford and the University to make up.

Hey, Don’t Let Me Stop You

Emma Collins has some complaints about sex during, and she fears following, the pandemic:

I want sex to feel holy again. I want kissing to feel like prayer. I want the bed to be an altar, and oral sex to become worship. I want the physical act of love to feel like what it actually is— a glimpse into the part of someone’s soul that transcends their social self, a look behind the veil of their constructed personality. I want sleeping beside someone to take on the quality it had the first times I tried it— when, at seventeen, I was shocked to find that my dreams had intertwined with my lover’s during the night, as though our subconscious voices had spoken to one another.

So why do I feel like Collins is implicitly demanding that I feel the same things as she? There is, perhaps unintended, a subvocalization against natural human variation. I sympathize when she says,

People need a chance to embrace again, without having to fret over contracting a fatal disease or that a spontaneous kiss will be misconstrued as sexual assault. There may be value, at the right moment, in remembering a certain kind of recklessness, in ceasing to demonize our need for each other. Constraints on passion never completely prevail.

But when that spontaneity is threatening or dangerous, then it’s wrong.

As ever, morality is not context-free. In other cultures and other realities, sex can be a ritual, a drab requirement, even a weapon, and I cannot help but remember that when I feel she is demanding that I treat it as ‘holy.’ Sure, go ahead and do that – but, as an agnostic, I’ll take my own path, thank you.

We’re Just Not That Different

Freddie de Boer, who I’m happy to see is still around, has a recognition of a behavior in leftists that’s the same for the right:

One of the things I discovered early, in my little political niche, was the obsession with magic words. Leftists were forever throwing emotionally loaded terms around, like when the coffeehouse didn’t have raw sugar and they called it fascism. It’s not really hard to understand why: when you have no power, you resort to mysticism. You instill words with powers they can’t really have because you’re desperate to feel in control of something, anything. That’s what “eugenics” has become online; it’s not much different from your average depressed wine mom talking about Mercury being in retrograde. They all just want to feel a little bit of power.

And I’ve seen right-wingers waving around phrases like objective evidence and scientific arguments (or maybe it was scientific evidence) to uphold views on Jesus and abortion, as if they invoked the magical phrases of the era, maybe they’d gain more prestige.

And I don’t doubt they’re right. Not that they’re right about Jesus and abortion, but they probably did gain more prestige.

So now I see the left is doing that, too. It’s not just weaponization, like using BIGOT! on people like J. K. Rowling and Richard Dawkins for attempting to start debates on transgenderism, but by claiming to recognize eugenics in anything, they can make claims of intellectual insight, and thus climb their ladder of power and prestige.

It’s worth noting that there’s more than one ladder of power and prestige in the nation, it’s just a matter of which one people respect, and which ones are not respected, by the people you want to be respected by. Got that?

Good. Tell me what I’m trying to tell you.

In Case You Were Wondering About Canada, Eh?

If you hadn’t heard, there’s a blockade of Canada at Port Huron by people protesting the recent requirement by Canada that truckers be vaccinated against Covid-19. This blockade is impacting the car manufacturing industry in Michigan negatively. Given this requirement would impact Canadian truckers, you might think this is an organic[1] protest, but think again:

Although Canadian drivers have a high vaccination rate, the Canadian Trucking Alliance contends many of the Freedom Convoy protesters “have no connection to the trucking industry and have a separate agenda beyond a disagreement over cross border vaccine requirements.” [MLive]

Yes, the wording is a little odd. This is rather remindful of the George Floyd protest in Minneapolis in 2020, where the property destruction and violence is thought to have been instigated by a right-wing extremist. But the right-wing is pushing the blockade for all they’re worth, and their commentators are without nuance on the matter, as Erickson demonstrates in a piece that has really no virtue to it, nor is it worth quoting. Yeah, it’s that bad.

This is a risky move for the right-wing. Endorsed by conservative elites such as Fox News, former President Trump, Senator Cruz (R-TX), Senator Paul (R-KY), and no doubt others, if the independent voters, who hold the balance of power in the United States, discover commerce with our siblings to the north is being sabotaged by right wing extremists masquerading as Canadian truckers, it could result in a deeply negative view of what passes for the conservative movement these days, and that would mean lost votes and elections.

The Democrats do have a story to tell, if they can make it stick. Senator Cruz (R-TX), up until the end of 2021, was “slow-walking” nearly all State Department nominees in a spat over the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which is a new pipeline running from Russia to Germany. Meanwhile, Senator Hawley (R-MO) is doing something similar with Pentagon nominees. These two Senators, by ensuring the inadequate staffing of the Pentagon and the State Dept, are basically betraying the United States.

Combining these stories with the Canadian truckers story and a potentially imminent war in Ukraine with Russia, and it’s not hard to make the case that the Republican elite only cares for power, and not the safety of American interests here and overseas. Connect that with jobs lost and economic growth hurt, and that could be a powerful brew to use against the Republicans.

And economic growth is at the heart of it all. It’s a bit shocking, but this story from yesterday tells me that the economy is doing enormously well:

The U.S. government posted a $119 billion budget surplus in January, the first in more than two years, amid strong growth in tax receipts and a sharp drop in pandemic-related outlays, the Treasury Department said on Thursday.

The January surplus compared to a January 2021 deficit of $163 billion, a record for the month as direct payments to individuals from COVID-19 aid legislation enacted in December 2020 were distributed.

The surplus last month was the first since the $83 billion reported in September 2019 and the largest since the $160 billion in April 2019. April and September are traditionally months with high tax collections. [Reuters]

Obviously, there are one-time contributors, and no guarantees that February will continue the trend. In fact, I doubt it will continue.

BUT, for the Republican Party, which for decades, nearly a century, claimed to be the superior economic manager of the country, the terms of Presidents Clinton, Obama, and now Biden are turning into disasters for the Republicans. The latter’s quasi-religious tenets on the evils of taxation and regulation have been proven to be nothing more than sloppy, fallacious slogans of little worth, and their proponents to be power-hungry frauds.

The Democrats, which have their own host of demons they refuse to acknowledge, have a story to tell. And if they can connect it to the internecine warfare mentioned in Secular Cycles, so much the better. The basic post-modern denial of truths inherent in the Republican Party these days is deeply offensive to the typical American citizen trying to raise their kids and run their lives these days, in the shadow of the Web that brings content of unknowable trustability into their lives every day. By connecting that post-modernism to the deep-seated, pathological need for power demonstrated by Republican elites, and how it is usually incompetents who practice corruption for a living, the Democrats could put a permanent hole in the ship that is the Republicans. If they do it well enough, the moderate Democrats may also damage the post-modernists to their left as well, an important step to freeing themselves from a political force which, because of its disdain for grounded truth, is unpredictable and could turn on them in an instant, if it perceives that doing so will bring it more power.

The next three years should be most interesting.


1 By which I mean organized by Canadian truckers for Canadian truckers. I’m sure there’s a better word than organic, but I cannot think of what it should be.

Word Of The Day

“kick and kill” strategy:

Now, a drug already used to treat cancer has been found to make HIV reactivate. To be turned into a cure, it would have to be combined with a second kind of medicine that kills the immune cells churning out viruses. No such medicine is yet proven to work, although some experimental versions are in development.

The idea that dormant viruses could be reactivated before being destroyed is sometimes known as a “kick and kill” strategy. In the latest work, Sharon Lewin at the University of Melbourne, Australia, and her colleagues studied people with HIV who also had cancer and were being treated with a relatively new medicine called pembrolizumab. [“Cancer drug could one day help cure HIV by waking up dormant viruses,” Clare Wilson, NewScientist (5 February 2022)]

Apparently, a dormant virus, such as HIV when it’s in hiding in immune cells, is not vulnerable to drug therapies. So, wake up the dino and kill it, eh?

Sounds a bit scary.

Belated Movie Reviews

You want to do what with my step-daughter?

At the center of The Red House (1947) lies the disasters caused by unrequited love. And requited love. Maybe just love. The little town that serves as the backdrop of this story may seem idyllic, but just because 12th graders Nath and TIbby seem like a sure thing doesn’t mean they are, for high-school drop out, but attractive, Teller has caught Tibby’s eye and helped write on her secret t-shirt Manipulative Bitch, as my Arts Editor observed. Teller has certain rights to the small forest owned by the Morgans, and there his secret love lives, which would be … himself.

But Nath is at the center of unrequited love as well. His father long gone, his mother has been playing with the affections of a high school sweetheart, and is last seen going thataway with him, leaving Nath to work for the Morgans, Pete, his sister Ellen, and their adopted daughter Meg.

Meg, who is developing a fancy for Nath. Ellen, who has a finger in the game in the character of the town’s Doctor Byrne, who scuttles hither and yon and occasionally sees Ellen, thus inflaming the old spinster’s passions all the more.

And Pete? His leg, long lost in an accident, still yearns after a woman who disappeared in the forest long ago, but now his heart is set on … Meg, his adopted daughter. Squirm if you must. It’s the right thing to do.

Especially as Pete’s vision of being in love is quite territorial.

None of this is going to turn out well. Maybe Nath’s mother does OK, but the rest are having a hard time, between familial duties keeping them from pursuing their happiness, to an all too frenzied pursuit of, well, their own happiness, leading to a police pursuit and an unhappy ending.

Still, Nath is brave when it counts, even when the red house is screaming at him and let’s not mention the time he hid in the Morgan’s barn, yeah?

Full of anxiety and suspense, The Red House isn’t quite compelling, but it’s a pleasant little descent into psychosis that you may very well enjoy.

Have fun, and leave some breadcrumbs to follow.

Earl Landgrebe Award Nominee

Representative Nancy Mace (R-SC) makes her pitch – literally:

One day after former President Donald Trump endorsed one of her Republican primary challengers, South Carolina U.S. Rep. Nancy Mace stood outside Trump Tower in New York City to make her case.

In a video posted to Twitter Thursday morning, Mace defended her political credibility, touted her ties to Trump and questioned Republican Katie Arrington’s ability to deliver for Republicans, even after Arrington secured Trump’s endorsement.

“If you want to lose this seat once again in a midterm election cycle to Democrats, then my opponent is more than qualified to do just that,” Mace said in her video, looking straight into the camera as the 68-story glass skyscraper that is also home to the Trump Organization loomed behind her.

Here’s that video:

And all this despite claiming, with regard to the January 6th Insurrection, “I hold him accountable for the events that transpired.” It says something about her judgment and morals, and none of that story is good. Yet another tale of the flexibility of morals when it comes to power.

Belated Movie Reviews

Yep, that’s gotta be a fantasy. No one wears facial hair like that!

The Secret Life Of Walter Mitty (1947) presents Mr. W. Mitty, a man smitten with his own dreams, and perhaps not his mother, her friends, and his fiancee. An ominous beginning.

But his job as a copy-editor and ‘idea man’ at a publisher of story magazines isn’t so bad. Usually. And then his life brightens considerably when a corpse pops up and then disappears. Meanwhile, Mitty himself is finding a mystery woman to be a bit of a handful, not to mention rather assertive, as she hunts for a major secret on the world stage, which is nearly as important Mitty’s dignity.

It’s witty, fun, and forgettable, but if you need to waste a couple of hours, it’s not a bad choice.

Word Of The Day

Exposomics:

Success in mapping the human genome has fostered the complementary concept of the “exposome”. The exposome can be defined as the measure of all the exposures of an individual in a lifetime and how those exposures relate to health. An individual’s exposure begins before birth and includes insults from environmental and occupational sources. Understanding how exposures from our environment, diet, lifestyle, etc. interact with our own unique characteristics such as genetics, physiology, and epigenetics impact our health is how the exposome will be articulated.

Exposomics is the study of the exposome and relies on the application of internal and external exposure assessment methods. Internal exposure relies on fields of study such as genomicsExternal, metabonomicsExternal, lipidomicsExternal, transcriptomicsExternal and proteomicsExternal. Commonalities of these fields include 1) use of biomarkersExternal to determine exposure, effect of exposure, disease progression, and susceptibility factors, 2) use of technologies that result in large amounts of data and 3) use of data mining techniques to find statistical associations between exposures, effect of exposures, and other factors such as genetics with disease. External exposure assessment relies on measuring environmental stressors. Common approaches include using direct reading instruments, laboratory-based analysis, and survey instruments. The extent to which internal and external exposure assessment will contribute to our understanding of the exposome is being debated as each approach has certain merits. [CDC]

Noted in “How our environment is making us sick – and what we can do about it,” Graham Lawton, NewScientist (29 January 2022, paywall):

Now [geneticist Michael Snyder of Stanford] and others are attempting to spearhead a revolution in understanding how our environments make us sick. “It might sound similar to what has been done in the past, but now we’ve got this big concept,” says Michelle Bennett at the US National Cancer Institute Center for Research Strategy. Its name is exposomics, and big it certainly is – it aims to measure everything we are exposed to throughout our lives and link this with effects on our health. Can that ever succeed?

A Case In Pathology

I thought Steve Benen summed up the pathology of the corpse of the conservative movement quite nicely:

If the Republican National Committee was striving for party “unity,” it failed spectacularly. Late last week, the RNC not only censured two of their conservative members without cause, it also accused the Jan. 6 committee of engaging in “persecution of ordinary citizens engaged in legitimate political discourse.”

Ever since, leading Republican voices have been forced to take sides, either endorsing or criticizing their party’s avoidable mess. Yesterday, as NBC News reported, Congress’ most powerful GOP official decided it was his turn to weigh in.

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell disagreed Tuesday with the Republican National Committee’s recent censure of two GOP lawmakers, as well as its characterization of the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol.

“We all were here; we saw what happened,” the Kentucky Republican told reporters, referring to the events of Jan. 6. “It was a violent insurrection for the purpose of trying to prevent the peaceful transfer of power after a legitimately certified election, from one administration to the next. That’s what it was.”

Denial of reality is a prime symptom of madness, but also of incompetency. By admitting to it, one loses social prestige, so that course is avoided at all courses. And the incompetent often feel put-upon, discouraged by their lower positions on the power ladder. Better to make shit up than return to the pit of sadness.

When an entire organization, such as the RNC, is incompetent at all the key positions, this is what we see: a denial of reality writ large. As Senator McConnell (R-KY) notes, anyone who was at the Capitol on January 6th, 2021, is well aware that mob violence took place, police officers were injured, one died and others committed suicide later, and that it wasn’t instigated by the left, but instead was a phenomenon of the right. As he says, it was a violent insurrection.

And the RNC is hopping up and down in their frenzy of denial. House Minority leader McCarthy (R-CA) is reportedly running away from reporters. Senator Minority Leader McConnell is outright disputing the RNC’s message.

This is a movement in meltdown.

This is not to say the Democrats don’t have their own set of problems, leading off with their botching of the transgenderism debate – or, more accurately, lack thereof – and, more recently, their muddling of Critical Race Theory, and what’s turning out to be mismanagement of the crime problem, exacerbated by the shrinkage in the number of law enforcement personnel. I’ve mentioned their cognitive problems after the Virginia debate.

But the Republicans’ problems appear to be far worse. They’re symptomatic of the incompetent and the amateur, determined to retain that status, getting their paws on the levers of power and, discovering that their actions are inadequate to the problems of governing, deny the problems and redouble their ideologically driven efforts.

Adults would, at some point, reject or modify their ideologies. For these folks, their ideologies are their identities, and so they cannot be rejected, for with that comes social prestige degradation.

Go get some popcorn. Both sides are going to provide entertainment. My most sincere condolences to those who are actually hurt by these buffoons.

Word Of The Day

Prodrome:

In medicine, a prodrome is an early sign or symptom (or set of signs and symptoms) that often indicates the onset of a disease before more diagnostically specific signs and symptoms develop. It is derived from the Greek word prodromos, meaning “running before”. Prodromes may be non-specific symptoms or, in a few instances, may clearly indicate a particular disease, such as the prodromal migraine aura. [Wikipedia]

Noted in “We are finally beginning to understand migraines and how to treat them,” Jessica Hamzelou, NewScientist (29 January 2022, paywall):

Migraine attacks can begin with what is known as a premonitory phase, or prodrome, which can involve a range of symptoms, such as mood changes, neck stiffness and yawning. My prodrome is marked by a vague feeling that something bad is going to happen.

Noted In Passing, He Said Cryptically

WaPo reports on an ad for the SuperBowl:

Americans tuning in to the Super Bowl on Sunday will be inundated with ads from cryptocurrency companies, including the trading platform FTX, which plans to give away millions of dollars in bitcoin.

FTX has spent heavily on sports partnerships to try to make itself a brand name in crypto, including an ad with NFL star Tom Brady, a sponsorship with Major League Baseball and a $135 million deal to rename the Miami Heat’s stadium the FTX Arena.

Co-founder and chief executive Sam Bankman-Fried, who recently moved FTX’s headquarters from Hong Kong to the Bahamas, says the ads are as much about courting U.S. regulators as getting customers to download its trading app.

“We want to make sure that we’re painting, hopefully, a healthy image of ourselves and the industry,” said Bankman-Fried, 29, who has a net worth of more than $24 billion, according to Forbes. “We’re optimistic that we’re going to be able to grow our U.S. business — a lot of that is working with U.S. regulators on bringing new products to market.”

There’s nothing more American than buying your way into consumer hearts via marketing. Doing so with fake money is a bit more unusual, though.

Which brings us to this CNN/Business story:

A New York couple has been arrested and charged with conspiring to launder $4.5 billion in stolen cryptocurrency funds. Law enforcement officials have seized $3.6 billion of those funds in what US Deputy Attorney General Lisa Monaco called “the department’s largest financial seizure ever.

Ilya Lichtenstein, 34, and his wife, Heather Morgan, 31, are accused of trying to launder money taken in a huge hack of cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex in 2016.

The arrests and money seizure mark a win for US law enforcement amid a slew of heists from cryptocurrency platforms. Hackers have in recent years made off with hundreds of millions of dollars at time in attacks on virtual currency exchanges.

Lichtenstein and Morgan are charged with conspiracy to commit money laundering, which carries up to 20 years in prison, and conspiracy to defraud the US, which carries up to five years in prison, according to Justice officials. An attorney for the couple could not be immediately reached for comment.

Besides illustrating the vulnerability of cryptocurrencies and the volume that can be lost, it leaves me a bit bemused to consider they’re trying to launder fake money. Oh, I know, the gold bugs would argue the same happens with greenbacks, but there’s a key difference: the US Government stands behind the greenback.

There’s nothing behind the cryptocurrencies but dreams. Or delusions.

Which means that today’s $4.5 billion could become far less tomorrow.

The Age Of Warfare

Erick Erickson has a lovely piece on current social dynamics:

We’re in an Age of Betrayal.

We know fewer people personally. We connect to people online. We become “friends” with the person on Instagram and obsess about their lives. All we know is what they show us on social media. When it turns out they have views diametrically opposed to ours, we hate them. They betray us. We’ve created our connection, to a degree, in our heads by extrapolating ancillary information to what is presented. When they provide the actual ancillary information and it does not match that which we conjured in our heads, we feel betrayed.

Celebrity culture, even in the church, can do that. In politics, we spend time in battles with people fighting alongside us. Then one day we find ourselves on opposite sides and feel betrayed. More often than not, we cannot agree to disagree. We must be aggrieved and launch subtweets.

And I’d take it further. The behavior of joining forces with those of apparently like-mindedness in politics is what has brought victories to the left and the right. The Senate these days is merely this lesson writ large: the actions of Murkowski, Collins, Manchin, and Sinema have been shocking because they are betrayals of their side – at least to the zealots of each side. Most of the time, the Senate and the House votes in political blocs, careful to remain loyal to the leader – rather than their judgment.

This isn’t how it’s always been. Sparing you the white cane and quavering voice[1], it was not unusual, forty or fifty years ago, to see Democrats and Republicans often voting for each other’s legislation. “Reach across the aisle” was neither unusual nor betrayal; it was simply how important things got done.

It was called politics, and it ended not too long after the Soviet Union collapse, thank you Professor Turchin[2].

These days, rather than discuss across the aisle, in order to avoid being called Traitor! you stick to the team charter and don’t deviate.

Erickson cites Dave Chappelle and Joe Rogan as two who’ve acted as betrayers, and while I’m not overly familiar with either of them, I’ve gotta say that if Rogan is busy boosting anti-vax people, that endangers people’s lives. While the omicron variant seems far less dangerous than delta, and I hope we can dispense with the masks soon enough, it’s becoming clear that 900,000 people dead, from all walks of life and age, isn’t enough to get some folks’ attention.

And that’s just fuckin’ dangerous.

But before I go too far astray, I’ll restrain myself. I think Erickson’s observations concerning social dynamics interacting with social media are accurate. Speaking for social media prior to its migration onto the Internet (i.e., BBSes), most social media was strictly local, and that meant there was a greater chance of meeting the people on the other side of the modem screech than there is today. That often humanized your opponents – I vividly remember a rather cantankerous, even bitter, online dude turned out to be a skinny guy with big ears, who was dragged out of a party by his girlfriend – she grabbed him by the ear and told him to settle down.

It’s hard to be mad at a guy after witnessing that.

So, remember, there’s a good chance that your “opponent” is a human being with the same foibles that you have, next time you’re thinking of digging into the Team Tactics Book. Maybe they deserve a gentler thrashing, eh?


1 There, that should be lodged in your brain for the rest of the day.

2 See his Secular Cycles.

It’s Always Contingent Results

From the description (abstract?) from a while back for “New fossil reveals early and rapid evolution of giant Mesozoic ichthyosaurs,” Martin Sanders, et al, an article published in Science, but this description published on EurekaAlert!:

Although whales are now the largest of Earth’s creatures, they were not the first ocean giants to ply the seas. In a new study, researchers report the discovery of new and exceptionally large ichthyosaur fossils, which hint at an early and rapid burst in the evolution of extreme body size in Mesozoic oceans. While it took whales about 90% of their 55-million-year history to evolve into the ocean giants we know today, ichthyosaurs evolved to similar sizes in the first 1% of their 150-million-year history on Earth. The findings suggest that Triassic marine food webs could support such massive creatures, despite the absence of many primary producers following the Permian extinction 252 million years ago.

All it takes is finding an ichthyosaur fossil a hundred million years earlier to mess up the conclusions.

But upon finding a unique fossil, conclusions have to be drawn, don’t they? If only to challenge the current wisdom, to get researchers thinking and questioning assumptions.

And the skull of this specimen is bigger than me. There’s a bunch of pics out there, but I think they’re all protected under copyright, so I’ll let them be. Here’s a useful search.

And It’s Useful For …

For years, and much like cryptocurrency, I’ve been puzzling over the exact advantages brought by self-driving cars, especially as such a subsystem consumes substantial amounts of energy. David Zipper, who studies such topics at Harvard Kennedy School’s Taubman Center for State and Local Government, shares my bewilderment:

It’s understandable that companies want to maximize shareholder return; that’s their role in a market economy. But automakers are still struggling to explain why, exactly, we should be excited about this technology, rather than alarmed by it. We shouldn’t let them off the hook unless we have a convincing answer. [WaPo]

And if such technology was “successfully” introduced, I can’t help but remember the movie WALL-E (2008) in which the humans had been reduced to blobs of near-helpless protoplasm, until the automated systems had taken over because they couldn’t accomplish their primary mission without doing so.

Not that I’m saying that our future robotic overlords will be that Tesla sitting in your driveway. That’ll be something else.

But I’m really quite hesitant about this technological advance, particularly in view of this:

To understand why, consider an experiment in Northern California a few years ago, in which 13 people were given a chauffeur to take them anywhere they wanted for a week, effectively replicating the experience of having their own autonomous vehicle. Freed from the hassles of driving, test subjects traveled a whopping 83 percent more miles than when they had to drive themselves.

A concept called the Jevons paradox explains what happened: When a thing becomes cheaper, people discover new ways to use it. Self-driving cars reduce the “cost” of driving — in terms of effort, if not dollars — and as a result, they will induce people to take trips that they would have otherwise foregone. Over time, people with self-driving cars could opt to move farther from the central city, worsening sprawl and leading to still more miles driven.

This result depends on whether demand is rigid or flexible, and transportation, with the advent of work-from-home and remote-shopping, has become quite flexible. My Arts Editor is very happy not having to go shopping as much as she once used to.

And the more miles our cars cover, the more the environment is potentially degraded. That’s not a problem 50 or 100 years ago, but today we may be looking at a climate cliff.

So it’s all worth asking if self-driving cars are another miracle, or just bulls in the china shop.

More Sculpturing

And a few more pics before scampering off to the grocery store:

Admirable precise detail!

A beautiful reference to an unfortunately morally compromised Olympics.

Perhaps a bit puzzling, but intriguing.

Simple, yet evocative.

I want to say Lovecraftian, but probably not.

 

And God’s sneeze begat Minnesota?

A snoot of honey for you, my friend.

Lovely!

Not exactly sure.

We’ve saw you earlier, camera-hog!

And that’s it for 2022 sculpting! Congrats to everyone who braved the cold to indulge the artistic impulse!

Political Thugs

Professor Richardson provides a useful transcript of Steve Bannon, a Donald Trump associate and former editor at Breitbart, discussing his view of former Vice President Pence and his former staff members talking to the January 6th Insurrection investigation committee:

Certainly, Trump loyalist Stephen Bannon recognized Pence’s words as a defection. On his podcast, Bannon addressed Pence, saying: “You are a stone cold coward…. My head’s blowing up…. I can’t take Pence…and Marc Short and all these Koch guys up there ratting out Trump up on Capitol Hill right now.”

I’m not one to romanticize our history, but it does seem worth noting that it was on this day in 1789 that the Electoral College unanimously elected George Washington the first president of the new United States. It seems that we might be able to choose better leaders than ones who are leaving us at the end of this day in 2022 with the truly legitimate political question: “Ratting him out for what?”

And, for those readers unfamiliar with the phrase ratting out, it’s an old-fashioned reference to former members of the Mob releasing information to law enforcement concerning crimes committed by Mob bosses and their minions.

Bannon is, essentially, admitting crimes occurred, as many pundits are recogniziing.

But I think it’s also interesting in that it’s an admission that a significant portion of the Republican Party is ready and willing to commit crimes to gain and retain power. This means that a significant portion of a political party which has controlled, and probably will control again, portions of the State and Federal governments does not have respect for the law by which we run this country.

That means, in essence, that they are unpredictable, that the rules of society will change if they are put in charge, and that’s something most of society hates, because it changes the societal realities we’ve come to depend on.

Bannon’s remarks have more relevance than just to Trump, but also to the entire MAGA cult and a significant portion of the Republicans. He may come to regret letting his mouth run his life.

Word Of The Day

Kilonovae:

kilonova (also called a macronova or r-process supernova) is a transient astronomical event that occurs in a compact binary system when two neutron stars or a neutron star and a black hole merge. Kilonovae are thought to emit short gamma-ray bursts and strong electromagnetic radiation due to the radioactive decay of heavy r-process nuclei that are produced and ejected fairly isotropically during the merger process. [Wikipedia]

Noted in “How does the sun shine? Here’s why we are still a little in the dark,” Chanda Prescod-Weinstein, NewScientist (22 January 2022):

Generally speaking, the reason stars shine is that gravity has pulled a sufficient amount of hydrogen atoms into such close quarters that they start to fuse together into helium. Every star starts this way. When the hydrogen runs out, the helium starts fusing together, and so on, producing heavier and heavier elements.

This is where we humans begin. The majority of the elements we are composed of are made in stars and, during supernovae and kilonovae, the exploding deaths of those massive stars.

This sounds like a simple matter of gluing elements together, but it isn’t: the conditions have to be just right. The hydrogen has to be hot enough and close enough together to fuse. And the fusion happens in stages. The theories that describe how all this happens aren’t the classical Newtonian physics that describes, for example, two football players colliding when they both want to control the ball. Instead, we need quantum mechanics and nuclear physics.