Belated Movie Reviews

Vincent Price without his trademark mustache is still Vincent Price, but less menacing, so when he plays the part of the reluctant murdering psychologist Dr. Cross in Shock (1946), it all still feels right. He hates his wife and accidentally kills her; on the advice of his lover he arranges for the murder to look like an accident, and she is now urging him to kill the young woman who witnessed the crime, fell into shock, and came inadvertently under his care. His lover apparently comes without any sort of moral system, exhibiting none of the regret and guilt that is gradually enveloping Dr. Cross, but he allows her voice of sociopathic desire to control him until the bitter end, where his unfettered desires have shepherded him, like cattle to the slaughter. Only on the bitter edge does he find the moral courage to try to set things right.

Too bad about that voice of desire on his shoulder.

This is competent, if not absolutely exciting Vincent Price. The horror of coming under the care of a man who just committed murder – and him knowing your know? The danger of letting a vindictive spouse prod you into an unwise action? It’s provocative, has good acting and an OK script – a better script could have really enhanced this movie. But we enjoyed it, and while near the end we could guess where it was going, we enjoyed getting there.

Oh, and an uncredited appearance by John Davidson as a crazy dude was quite impressive – we thought the eyes starting from his head (who ever came up with that phrase?) were truly well done. Too bad he only had the one scene.

The Audience May Be Distracted

Andrew Sullivan, Brit/old-line thoughtful conservative/gay/immigrant/Catholic/Harvard PoliSci Ph.D. (there, now you don’t have to go peruse his blog to understand where he comes from) and long time, now retired, proprietor of The Daily Dish, has taken up a periodic writing gig for New York magazine. His first entry includes a meditation on opposing would-be, conscienceless autocrats:

Here is what we are supposed to do: rebut every single lie. Insist moreover that each lie is retracted — and journalists in press conferences should back up their colleagues with repeated follow-ups if Spicer tries to duck the plain truth. Do not allow them to move on to another question. Interviews with the president himself should not leave a lie alone; the interviewer should press and press and press until the lie is conceded. The press must not be afraid of even calling the president a liar to his face if he persists. This requires no particular courage. I think, in contrast, of those dissidents whose critical insistence on simple truth in plain language kept reality alive in the Kafkaesque world of totalitarianism. As the Polish dissident Adam Michnik once said: “In the life of every honorable man comes a difficult moment … when the simple statement that this is black and that is white requires paying a high price.” The price Michnik paid was years in prison. American journalists cannot risk a little access or a nasty tweet for the same essential civic duty?

I know that once the journalists collect the news, they broadcast it. But I can’t help but wonder – is that enough?

I think Andrew should have considered one of the critical problems we, as a nation, have encountered over the last 20 years: Bad information. It’s not a baseless, liberal assertion that the conservative base, particularly those who get their news from Fox News, is far less knowledgeable than the American population in general – as I’ve mentioned on numerous occasions, this objectively measured fact is provided by none other than conservative official and historian Bruce Bartlett. If you want to see how he came to this conclusion, here’s his paper. So my point in mentioning this is that not all news outlets are going to report on Trump’s mendacity, no matter how public. Fox, Breitbart – there are certainly several right wing news organizations that have bought wholly into the notion that politics is a team game (a notion I dismantle here, and analyze in the rear-view mirror here), and that news organizations are simply a member of the team, with no greater allegiance than the team.

Certainly not to whole truths, the ostensible purpose of the free press.

And so how do you ask a conservative who voted for Trump to change his or her allegiance when their primary source of information is flawed? How can they make a wise decision based on bad information1? Do they know that the man who promised to “drain the swamp” has populated his Cabinet with those who donated the most money to his candidacy? Do they know that violent crime rates are at or near 50 year lows – not 45 year highs? Trump accused Clinton of being a creature of evil banker Goldman-Sachs, and yet his own Cabinet has a number of former Goldman-Sachs employees. He promised to release his tax returns just as soon as they came out of audit – did you, Trump voter, know that his team has announced that his tax returns will not be made public?

If you’re a Trump voter, and either did or didn’t know of these objective facts, aren’t you squirming in your chair right now?

To get back to my question for Andrew, I believe there has to be more than just journalists asking hard questions, because many voters have voluntarily segregated themselves away from news that might make them uncomfortable. In order to not permit this, I believe it’s everyone’s responsibility to talk to those people in your life who get their news from inferior sources, such as Fox, and let them know that the person they voted for, who called his opponent lying Hillary, is engaging in just such behavior every day, in a way designed to terrify those voters susceptible to fear more than hope, to support him. Suggesting we’re desperately vulnerable to terrorists, that murder rates are going up, that illegal immigrants are here to steal our jobs and murder us in our beds – it’s called demagoguery, folks, it’s called fear-mongering.

But just to show you, my dear conservative, fellow American, reader, that I am up for a challenge, here’s some fears for you. Donald J. Trump. He and the GOP are in a position to strip the crazy banks of the regulation that keeps them from imploding, because he doesn’t understand the purpose of regulation – to him, it’s just an impediment to making money. He wants to build a wall, but the Mexicans won’t pay for it – you will. My dear friend, knowing that Trump attacks the judiciary when it comes out with a decision that frustrates him, that he weakens a critical leg of the bar stool that is our government, worries me – and so you should be fearful. Of him.

The other problems we, together, can fix.

But can we clean up after Trump? We’re talking attitudes here, the attitude he inculcates in followers who’ve unwisely pledged their very souls to him – and that means they can’t back away. They’ve stapled themselves right to his ass, and it’ll cost them too much self-respect to rip those staples out and walk away, so perforce now they have to despise the judiciary, the holders of the reins that hold our parties, GOP and Democrat, from running entirely wild – although sometimes it appears even some judges have caught the flu.

So, I plan to send this post off to some of my consevative, Trump voting friends, as an appeal that they widen their information base, that they realize the candidate for whom they voted is trying to duck the bars he promised to jump over – and what are they going to do about it? I ask them to think about that.


1Some will answer faith. As an agnostic, I can only reply with the most effective answer possible: George Bush, a disastrous administration led by someone Evangelicals thought God had picked.

Meet The Family Roadblock, Ctd

Jane Chong adds to Benjamin Wittes’ opinion on the Muslim Ban Executive Order, centering around the failure to mention what appears to be a critical statute:

… it was strange to leave out the citation, given it is the crux of the government’s argument for the president’s unbridled discretion to bar aliens from the country. But after reviewing the opinion and the parties’ filings, I don’t think the court’s omission of the citation was accidental or that its omission of a § 1182(f) discussion is surprising. This is a clever, if somewhat undisciplined, opinion that sought to get to its holding (denial of the stay) without tripping legal landmines or weighing in on big unresolved questions. The court ignored the elephant in the room–the statutory and constitutional powers conundrum–in favor of a two-step dance: (1) a high-level defense of the judicial power to review executive decisions, including in the national security arena, and (2) a much more in-the-weeds approach to applying the traditional stay factors–one that opts against a macro-analysis of the government’s likelihood to prevail on the constitutional powers question and relies instead on a micro-analysis of the persuasiveness of the government’s case in overcoming allegations of individual constitutional rights violations (effectively adopting the approach of States Washington and Minnesota in their brief (pp. 14-20)).

What if this had been an executive order from a respected Executive, rather than Trump? Would the outcome & reasoning be the same, disregarding the question of whether or not someone like, say, Obama, would have ever bothered to even walk down this path?

Jane’s conclusion:

… the Ninth Circuit’s refusal to “fix” the TRO based on the practical complications involved functions as a commentary on the hasty, overinclusive nature of the underlying order itself. By refusing to modify the reach of the district court’s restraining order, the Ninth Circuit is, in a crucial sense, refusing to incentivize this kind of drafting practice from the executive branch in the future–drafting that, perhaps in the court’s view, errs on the side of maximum reach, maximum mess, and maximum collateral damage, and should not be rewarded.

(Bad Executive! Go lie by your dish!)

Trump may have a substantial backing, but it doesn’t appear to include the 9th Circuit. Hopefully, most judges and justices will understand that their loyalties lie to the Constitution and not to the Party – either one.

It’s Really Just A Database And Some Code

I’ve run across a mention of this on NewScientist, but this D-brief report is somewhat more complete. Apparently someone has assembled an “army” of Twitter bots which are characterized by their tendency to spout Star Wars quotes:

Two researchers from University College London claim to have discovered an army of 350,000 such bots hiding in plain sight, distinguished by their affinity for tweeting quotes from Star Wars novels. And, like Aragorn bursting into the throne room at Helm’s Deep to deliver the news of an encroaching orc army, they have come to warn us.

The researchers are Juan Echeverria and Shi Zhou. The report continues,

Vast legions of malleable Twitter accounts are valuable to both corporations, for whom they can pump up follower counts, and to individuals and organizations interested in flooding Twitter with spam or creating the illusion of a consensus around controversial issues. A small percentage of the bots may have already been sold, they say, as they appear to follow accounts outside of the bot network. As older accounts are more valuable — it’s hard to trust a Twitter account created two days ago after all — their shadowy master could simply be waiting for his investment to mature.

The researchers say that they were lucky to find this bot army, and that there are likely other networks of automated Twitter accounts hiding among the social network’s more than 300 million accounts. In fact, they say that they recently discovered another, even larger army of some 500,000 bots, also of mysterious origin.

Put it in the fake news category – not the report itself, nor the work of Juan and Shi, but the bot “army” itself, because they’re fake people. I don’t use Twitter, never tweeted, no account, only read a few tweets – and I don’t understand the charm. Communications appears to be fragmented and, given the space limitations, coarse. So what’s the point? So companies can gather up followers and pump their stocks? So you can wonder if that latest tweet is from a real person or a fake person? Or is it just the usual – to get feedback from readers?

So you can see the latest bit of insanity from our President?

Belated Movie Reviews

Source: CineWeekly

The classic The African Queen (1951) is, for today’s sensibilities, a mixed bag. The time is the start of World War I. Two missionaries, a brother and sister team, are situated in German-controlled East Africa, on the river. The Germans show up, torch the village, kidnap the villagers, and beat the brother; he soon dies. The African Queen shows up, and her master reports similar incidents up the river. Upon hearing that the lake into which the river drains is patrolled by the German ship Königin Luise, and by her presence she bars any invasion by the British, the surviving missionary, a middle aged spinster, hatches a plot to take the Queen down the river and ram her into the Königin Luise. Despite knowing the river becomes unnavigable as it approaches the lake, the master agrees. Various adventures ensue during the trip, they make whoopee, but the attack on the German ship flops and they’re taken prisoner. Just prior to their hanging, the German captain agrees to marry them.

On the strong side of this movie are the stars, Humphrey Bogart and Katherine Hepburn, who turn in strong performances and fairly good chemistry (Theodore Bikel, in an abbreviated role, also does fine work); special effects, which, if not realistic, also do not generally fall into the category of cheesy. I liked them.

On the negative side is the script. Although I was aware of the story from the book, I believe I would still have been annoyed by the blatant foreshadowing. Worse yet is the behavior of Mr. Allnut, who agrees to take his boat, the African Queen, down the river to the rapids where it’ll be destroyed. Why? That’s not clear. Is he really such a pushover? And, frankly, his pushback in mid-journey is simply not that convincing. Perhaps a little more digging into his background might be in order. Does he have a suicidal urge, to be soothed by the missionary’s love? A bone to pick with the Germans, or even better, the Königin Luise? As it stands, his behavior doesn’t seem reasonable.

Additionally, the musical selections are somewhat broad and, in at least one instance, cartoonish. This movie may have its light moments, but the humor is not of that type, and it distracts.

But the script also spends most of its time with the two stars, and this is a positive, as we do get to see them almost minute-by-minute on a river cruise on a cantankerous, decrepit old boat. I think the book, from what I vaguely remember, did it better than the movie, but the movie does a good job, seeing the ebb & flow of an iron-willed woman and the more go with the flow master.

Because it’s a classic, I recommend it, but not strongly.

Meet The Family Roadblock, Ctd

Benjamin Wittes on Lawfare renders a quick opinion on the evening’s decision with regard to the Executive Order banning Muslim immigrants. He notes that there are two questions, and the court virtually ignored the one while dismissing the other, regarding national security necessity. It’s worth noting the lack of terrorism by immigrants in this nation, which weakens the government case.

Benjamin concludes:

The Ninth Circuit is correct to leave the TRO in place, in my view, for the simple reason that there is no cause to plunge the country into turmoil again while the courts address the merits of these matters over the next few weeks. Are there tea leaves to read in this opinion? There sure are, particularly with respect to the judges’ analysis of the government’s likelihood of prevailing on the merits and its blithe dismissal of the government’s claims of national security necessity on pages 26-27—a matter on which the per curiam spends only one sentence and one brief footnote.

But it’s worth emphasizing that the grounds on which this order was fought are not the grounds on which the merits fight will happen. Eventually, the court has to confront the clash between a broad delegation of power to the President—a delegation which gives him a lot of authority to do a lot of not-nice stuff to refugees and visa holders—in a context in which judges normally defer to the president, and the incompetent malevolence with which this order was promulgated.

That last sentence fascinates me. Do the courts have the privilege of (informally) assessing the competence of an entity in court and perhaps deny them a favorable ruling purely on that basis?

But this will probably stir up the emotional Trump Administration even more – and I do mean the Administration. His senior aides seem to function as much on emotion as does their figurehead (tongue only slightly in cheek), so this decision may lead to some more noteworthy remarks, full of bile, misspellings, and slightly agape agendas – which may, in turn, provide more ammunition for their enemies to use in court and in the court of public opinion.

For those who feel like the entire nation is dancing naked in front of hot pokers, it should be emphasized that the same vetting that kept the nation safe during the Obama era remains in place – unless the Trump Administration has decided to fool with it. The wise citizen will keep that in mind and, if something happens, first ask stinging questions of the Trump Administration, and not a judiciary which is merely interpreting the laws.

Straining The Rice

Do you eat rice? Are you concerned about arsenic in rice? The BBC has an article of interest on how to cook rice to reduce the arsenic level:

Source: BBC

  1. Soak your rice overnight – this opens up the grain and allows the arsenic to escape
  2. Drain the rice and rinse thoroughly with fresh water
  3. For every part rice add five parts water and cook until the rice is tender – do not allow it to boil dry.
  4. Drain the rice and rinse again with hot water to get rid of the last of the cooking water.
  5. Serve your reduced-arsenic rice – it’s as simple as that!

In 2011, the Oman Medical Journal discussed the situation in Bangladesh and a quick summary of arsenic’s effects:

In Bangladesh, arsenic contamination in groundwater was first detected in the year 1993. According to the data provided by UNICEF in 2008, there are approximately 8.6 million tube-wells in Bangladesh. Of these, 4.75 million tube wells (55%) have been tested for arsenic among which 3.3 million (39%) were marked green indicating that the ground water is safe; while 1.4 million (16%) were marked red indicating that they are unsafe to use as sources of drinking water due to the high arsenic level, (Fig. 1). Recent findings show that about 20 million people in Bangladesh are using tube-wells contaminated with arsenic over the permissible level (>50 ppb).

Chronic arsenic exposure is associated with many human health conditions, including skin lesions and cancers of the liver, lung, bladder and skin. It is also associated with many non-cancer health conditions, such as adverse reproductive outcomes, neurological disorders and impaired cognitive development in children. Cardiovascular effects in human drinking arsenic-contaminated water include black foot disease, atherosclerosis, cerebrovascular diseases and ischemic heart disease. Moreover, maternal arsenic exposure via drinking water is associated with fetal loss, small size at birth, infant morbidity and mortality.

If your consumption of rice is spotty, I should think there’s nothing to worry about – but if you relish a good rice, then the cooking suggestion is probably worth your time.

The Iran Deal Roundup, Ctd

The liberals of America are angry at President Trump – and so are the conservatives of Iran, albeit for different reasons. The guy just can’t catch a break. What’s the problem with the Iranians? Why, it’s that damn JCPOA, aka the Iran Nuclear deal that President Trump promised to rip up. Rohollah Faghihi reports on AL Monitor:

During the US presidential election, [Hossein] Shariatmadari described Trump’s promise to tear up the deal as “the wisest decision.” He said, “The JCPOA is a golden document for the United States but is considered nothing except humiliation and a loss for Iran.”

Shariatmadari, who is the chief editor of hard-line Kayhan newspaper, told Fars News Feb. 7, “Trump was unaware during his presidential campaign what a big and windfall score the JCPOA has provided for the United States. That is why he had promised to tear up the JCPOA.”

He added, “Unfortunately, Trump has now come to his senses and has realized that his ex-pals [in the White House] swindled Iran. Therefore, not only is he unwilling to tear up the JCPOA, but he also announced that he will support [the JCPOA] completely.”

Since the signing of the JCPOA in 2015, the hard-liners have been attacking the nuclear deal in order to disvalue it in the eyes of ordinary people in Iran, so that in the presidential election in May the moderates and Reformists would not be able to brag about the JCPOA as an achievement.

I wonder how much the Iranian hard line conservatives are opposed to the deal out of fear – the fear that, if the deal is successful in reviving the economy and returning Iran to the world community, the conservatives will be discredited, perhaps for more than a generation. This would be analogous to the GOP fear of the ACA, in that it would solidify Democratic control of Congress for many years as people perceive how it improves their lives.

Or could this be Iranian subtlety? Something to think about. Although the Iranian hardliners have been consistent in their hatred of the JCPOA.

Politics, politics, politics, while lives swing in the balance…

Word of the Day

Pedicle:

Each antler grows from an attachment point on the skull called a pedicle. While an antler is growing, it is covered with highly vascular skin called velvet, which supplies oxygen and nutrients to the growing bone. [Wikipedia article on Antlers]

Seen on the Rivermen Rod & Gun blog at the very bottom of this page:

This deer had some very uncomfortable days until he was harvested by this hunter.  It is obvious that there was a fight during the rut and this deer ended up with an extra antler (embedded below the eye).  You can see that the antler from the attacking deer was broke off below the base of the antler as there is still blood on the pedicel [sic].  That takes a tremendous amount of pressure.

Rafsanjani In The Rear View Mirror, Ctd

When Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani of Iran passed away recently, it was the loss of another of the central revolutionaries responsible for the modern Islamic Republic of Iran. And it’s also precipitated another struggle between the Conservatives and the Reformists, as Arash Karami reports in AL Monitor:

The reframing by conservatives undoubtedly is intentional. It is an effort to bring Rafsanjani’s legacy into the fold, to once again rebrand him as a pillar of the state, and most importantly, one in the vision of Iran’s conservatives. Rather than the untouchable statesmen who pushed the envelope on sensitive political topics, conservatives will rebrand him as a revolutionary who got in line behind the supreme leader. This reframing will rob Reformists of the opportunity of using Rafsanjani’s numerous public statements to push their political agendas. It will also seek to demand that Reformists and moderates get in line behind both Khamenei and the conservatives who claim to speak on the supreme leader’s behalf. Reformist and moderate media, who often are at the mercy of conservative forces in the security establishment and the judiciary, will have a difficult time pushing back against this narrative. Rather than using Rafsanjani’s political legacy to their advantage, they are likely to waste considerable resources on the defensive, pushing back against the legacy presented by conservatives.

When one has too much reverence for the past, then that’s where the struggle will take place. Rather than a commitment to the truth, to studying his writings and his actions, those who are committed to ideological positions will try to do whatever is necessary to take a hero and turn him into something that he may not have been. Is this a problem?

Well, yes. The disregard for the truth, while perhaps relatively harmless in this particular instance, can result in serious mistakes when dealing with realities. An extreme example might be an ideological position regarding how nuclear reactions work – an ideological disconnect with reality could lead to disaster for the person handling the nuclear material.

And it may not be entirely harmless in this case. If the Conservatives overplay their hand, they risk losing the trust of the general populace. Now, perhaps in Iran this does not matter – perhaps the instinct to tribalism is so strong that it doesn’t matter a great deal, although I have to think that it does, given how the Iranian Presidency has swung between Conservatives and Reformists over the decades. And if it does matter, and the Conservatives are not exceedingly tidy in how they attempt to retell Rafsanjani’s story, it could lead the Iranian citizen to question their trustworthiness.

Religious rectitude may be enough for some of a naive disposition, but I doubt that many Iranians are naive.

It Worked, But Why Again?

Stem cells continue to show promise in treating certain neurological conditions such as strokes, but it appears it isn’t because the stem cells are replacing the damaged cells, as predicted. In NewScientist (21 January 2017, paywall) Jack Price has a report:

Rats injected with stem cells following a stroke recovered sensation and movement to a degree rarely seen before. On closer inspection, though, there was a surprise. The reason it worked wasn’t because dead and dying cells had been replaced with shiny new ones, although this did happen to some extent. Even when stem cells remained in their immature state and didn’t differentiate at all, they still contributed to recovery. In many cases, the implanted cells didn’t even survive for more than a few weeks, but still the animals showed significant recovery.

What seems to be happening is that stem cells release growth factors and other chemicals that stimulate the brain to heal itself, potentially giving compromised circuits the ability to regroup and reorganise. Some of these chemicals may also boost the immune system, reducing inflammation and helping to stimulate blood vessel growth – all crucial if a newly mended bit of brain is going to thrive. In fact it could even be that this plays a more important part in brain fixing than cell replacement.

Can the growth factors be produced without the stem cells? Is it possible to apply them to spinal cord injuries and other nerve damage? It’s rather like reprogramming the cells to return to an earlier phase of life. If it is, then it may be a very productive avenue for healing catastrophic injuries.

Who Was That Guy?

As Americans, we tend to carry around characterizations of Presidents in our heads, with perhaps the brightest being JFK’s Camelot. I can’t put a real finger on LBJ’s, although perhaps Vietnam vets might supply a fine epithet; Nixon was a common crook; Ford maybe a bulldog, but because of his abbreviated term, it’s faint. Carter, his impotence on Iran, although ameliorated by post-Presidency performance; Reagan’s really a bit of a tug of war between conservatives who remember the shining city on a hill and the fall of Communism, and liberals who remember his negligence when it came to HIV research. Bush I engaged in Iraq War I, and won it, while Clinton, sadly, is remembered for his blow job and subsequent impeachment, which no doubt gave momentum to the radicalization of the GOP. Bush II is remembered for discredited policies, controversy over torture, and simply general failure. Obama is too soon gone from the job, but I suspect, once the partisan furor dies down and the far-right returns to discredit, he’ll be seen as thoughtful and mostly effective, although, like any President, he’ll have his failures – I suspect historians will point out his impotence when it came to North Korea, but the Iran deal will be seen as effective if it’s left alone.

Which all leads up to Trump. While some may see it as premature to begin exploring the post-Trump period – assuming we even get there in a condition we can recognize as normal – a couple of strong themes stand out. Some folks will point at Bannon and the allied host of appointees and advisors who appear to be mostly incompetent, mostly ideologically driven creatures who are about to run smack-dab into reality. Others will point at the constant lies which Trump and his team indulge in; speaking as an American independent who is not viewing them through the cloudy partisan lens, but through the skeptical lens of the independent, I’ll evaluate on my own terms lens, it’s truly discouraging to see the leader of one of the major political parties so married to version of reality so tilted towards making himself magnificent. Steve Benen brought this into full focus for me today. After noting that once again Trump has announced our crime rate is at a 45 year high, when it’s actually at a 50 year low, Steve says:

We were surprised because it’s not true. In terms of the evidence, Trump has this exactly backwards. The president who boasted the other day about his skills as a leader who calls his own shots, “largely based on an accumulation of data,” seems incapable of understanding basic and straightforward crime figures.

Source: PolitiFact

Kellyanne Conway, asked to explain her boss’ repeated lies on the matter, said yesterday, “I don’t know who gave him that data.” …

All joking aside, the broader point here goes beyond the president’s incessant lying about the U.S. murder rate. The larger significance has to do with why he’s so fond of this specific falsehood.

For Trump, the potency of fear has become more than a campaign tool; it’s now a governing mechanism. Note, for example, that the day before he lied about the murder rate, the president also lied about a media conspiracy to hide information from the public about terrorist attacks.

The White House has a series of goals, and Trump World has apparently concluded that demagoguery is the way to reach those goals.

NBC News’ First Read team had a good piece along these lines yesterday: “[I]f you take the White House at its word, what it wants is wall-to-wall coverage for every knife attack and every wounding. Why do they want that? What goal does that accomplish? So the White House wants the public to feel more terrorized? To what end?”

The answer, evidently, is the implementation of Trump’s priorities. He wants a Muslim ban, so we must be afraid at all times of terrorism. He wants a border wall, so he urges us to fear illegal immigration. He wants expanded new police powers, so he insists we believe his interpretation of crime data, even if it’s the opposite of the truth.

But I’m not going to concur with either of these views, because they really only speak to facts; Americans respond much better to a good story. I think, at the end of his term, whether it’s four years from now, or four months, a majority of the citizens are going to look back and wonder, Why did any of us trust him?

Trump will be the President who taught US to, as Reagan said, trust but verify. Liberal or conservative, we now have the tools to get the facts to check the President’s assertions, which they always use to justify policies, good and ill. We let him hoodwink a significant number of us, partly for various reasons ranging from he promises what I need (without a plan) to apparently he heralds the end of the world, hurrah! (immature drama queens doomed to disappointment, just like the last batch) to simply he says what I want to hear about the world (again, an immature attitude – the world is what it is and you should learn to deal with it and not listen to only those sources that say it’s different – I’m a little crabby today).

Many of us – in fact, a majority of the voters – appear to have this figured out, but I fear we’ll have to go through a major lesson plan to drive the point home for a lot of folks who haven’t been paying attention and swallow news uncritically.

At the end of the day, is has to be trust but verify. Ironically, a good Russian proverb. Sigh.

Typo of the Day

The Rivermen Rod & Gun blog has a wonderful typo.

THIS BLOG claims no credit for any images posted on this site unless otherwise noted. Images on this blog are copyright to its respectful owners. If there is an image appearing on this blog that belongs to you and do not wish for it appear on this site, please E-mail with a link to said image and it will be promptly removed.

It’s respective – but I love the typo.

Random Motion Machine, Ctd

A reader comments on communicating with the President:

This: “It is altogether likely that the president himself has not finished consolidating his policies…” Leads me to think this: It will never happen, if it remains in DT’s hands. He has no coherent Israel policy, or international policy, or policy of any kind. It’s all knee-jerk what makes me look good and feel good at this moment. Of course, such things may be delegated, given up or forcibly taken by others at some point.

It makes me wonder if he fashions policy in the same way it’s rumored he selects Cabinet nominees – do they look the part? Does the policy look like a good policy? Never mind the implications, of course. We can see that in the plan to move the American embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, and damn the repercussions.

Sigh. It’s actually quite wearisome to talk about this President; and the news that the DeVos has been approved as Secretary of the Department of Education, when she’s clearly unprepared, is a depressing commentary on the state of the GOP senators. I did try to find a way to spin that vote, since two GOP senators finally showed some gumption – could I suggest these are future leaders of the GOP?

I couldn’t get my heart into it. In all likelihood, the two Senators, Murkowski of Alaska and Collins of Maine, will now be hounded out of the GOP. If the attack dogs are hasty, they’ll chase them out before the end of their terms (The Daily Signal reports Murkowsi has a full 6 year term ahead of her, while Collins still has 4 years left), and we’ll end up with an evenly split Senate. That’ll be interesting to check on.

Nested Lakes, Ctd

Remember the brine lake within the Gulf of Mexico? There’s another one in the Mediterranean Sea, called the L’Atalante basin – so deeply briny and lacking in oxygen that nothing can live there.

Until, as NewScientist‘s Colin Barras (21 January 2017, paywall) reports, someone took a sample and found life.

It was a shock, then, when biologist Roberto Danovaro scooped up samples from the bottom of this briny pool and found a thriving community of microscopic animals living there. The discovery went against everything we thought we knew about animal life and its reliance on oxygen.

It’s so shocking that some biologists think an error was made during the sampling process. But, interestingly enough, this discovery – once confirmed – ties in with observations going back to the origin of life, when oxygen was a rare molecule indeed.

… in 2014, Daniel Mills and Donald Canfield at the University of Southern Denmark in Odense set about investigating how much oxygen real primitive animals need. They began by collecting living breadcrumb sponges from well-oxygenated water off the Danish coast, a relevant test case because sponges are one of the earliest animals to have evolved. Then the researchers carted them back to their lab and did their best to suffocate them.

Over several days they reduced their oxygen supply, first to 70 per cent of current atmospheric levels, then 50 per cent, then eventually to 5 per cent. Even then, the sponges clung to life, with one even seeming to grow slightly (PNAS, vol 111, p 4168). It suggested that [Bruce] Runnegar’s calculations [indicating ancient worms needed very little oxygen] pointed the right way: simple animals could have coped with ancient oxygen levels.

This obviously has the potential to change our understanding of life’s history from day one, as well as biological processes today – and both might have practical consequences.

Another Despicable Missive

As long time readers know, I occasionally like to examine the more loathesome emails that appear in my mail, not only to vent my disgust at these subtle attempts to create hatred within the hearts of those vulnerable to such – that is, to divide our great nation along religious lines, much to our grief – but also to remind my readers that some of these emails that seem to cite the obvious are misleading and require a closer reading.

So what’s our specimen of the day? I think in this case we’ll take it apart bit by bit. Information about the Marines comes from Wikipedia, which I include out of respect for the Marines. Additionally, what appears to be the same letter appears on this web site, which appears to be quite the contradictory mess.

Some interesting pieces of forgotten U.S. History

When Thomas Jefferson saw there was no negotiating with Muslims, he formed what is the now the Marines (sea going soldiers). These Marines were attached to U. S. Merchant vessels.

Actually, the first version of the Marines were created and served during the Revolutionary War, officially 1775, and were known as the Continental Marines. After the war they disbanded, but reformed in 1798 in response not to Muslim aggression, but the Quasi-War with France. With this knowledge, we begin to realize that the author of this missive respects neither Muslims nor Marines – nor the reader.

When the Muslims attacked U.S. merchant vessels, they were repulsed by armed soldiers, but there is more.

The Marines followed the Muslims back to their villages and killed every man, woman, and child in the village. It didn’t take long for the Muslims to leave U.S. Merchant vessels alone. English and French merchant vessels started running up our flag when entering the Mediterranean to secure safe travel.

This is quite the war crime, if true. I did some poking around and did not find either verification nor refutation – that is, the question is never even raised. This may be because of the lack of context, or lack of diligence on my part. I should like to think U.S. Marines would not engage in barbarism, but our history with the American Indians tribes makes this at least believable.

But the real point here isn’t historical accuracy, but preparation of the reader to descend into the hell of radicalism. Islamic radicalism? No.

Our own.

By suggesting our elite troops destroyed, with the approval of President Thomas Jefferson, entire villages, killing women and children to their last member, this subliminally prepares us to accept and approve barbarous war crimes. To sink to a level unacceptable to our parents and our grandparents. Because there’s an acceptable precedent, Muslim civilians are civilians no longer, and an accepted rule of war – sparing civilians – goes out the window to satisfy the blood-hunger of the author of this missive.

At the height of the 18th century, Muslim pirates (the “Barbary Pirates”) were the terror of the Mediterranean and a large area of the North Atlantic. They attacked every ship in sight and held the crews for exorbitant ransoms. Those taken hostage were subjected to barbaric treatment and wrote heart-breaking letters home, begging their government and family members to pay whatever their Mohammedan captors demanded.

Not entirely true. Muslim slavery in this case, as noted here, permitted slaves to accumulate wealth and marry, and some captured slaves climbed the social hierarchy until they could actually advise the top leaders. However, it’s also true that most of the captives were miserable.

These extortionists of the high seas represented the North African Islamic nations of Tripoli, Tunis, Morocco, and Algiers –collectively referred to as the Barbary Coast – and presented a dangerous and unprovoked threat to the new American Republic.

Before the Revolutionary War, U.S. merchant ships had been under the protection of Great Britain. When the U.S. declared its independence and entered into war, the ships of the United States were protected by France. However, once the war was won, America had to protect its own fleets.

Thus, the birth of the U.S. Navy. Beginning in 1784, 17 years before he would become president, Thomas Jefferson became America’s Minister to France. That same year, the U.S. Congress sought to appease its Muslim adversaries by following in the footsteps of European nations who paid bribes to the Barbary States rather than engaging them in war. In July of 1785, Algerian pirates captured American ships, and the Dye of Algiers demanded an unheard-of ransom of $60,000. It was a plain and simple case of extortion, and Thomas Jefferson was vehemently opposed to any further payments. Instead, he proposed to Congress the formation of a coalition of allied nations who together could force the Islamic states into peace. A disinterested Congress decided to pay the ransom.

In 1786, Thomas Jefferson and John Adams met with Tripoli’s ambassador to Great Britain to ask by what right his nation attacked American ships and enslaved American citizens, and why Muslims held so much hostility towards America, a nation with which they had no previous contacts.

The two future presidents reported that Ambassador Sidi Haji Abdul Rahman Adja had answered that Islam “was founded on the Laws of their Prophet, that it was written in their Quran that all nations who would not acknowledge their authority were sinners, that it was their right and duty to make war upon them wherever they could be found, and to make slaves of all they could take as prisoners, and that every Mussel man (Muslim) who should be slain in Battle was sure to go to Paradise.”

Despite this stunning admission of premeditated violence on non-Muslim nations, as well as the objections of many notable American leaders, including George Washington, who warned that caving in was both wrong and would only further embolden the enemy, for the following fifteen years the American government paid the Muslims millions of dollars for the safe passage of American ships or the return of American hostages. The payments in ransom and tribute amounted to over 20 percent of the United States government annual revenues in 1800.

Stunning? How so? Europe had been involved in so many wars that you needed two scorecards to keep track. The rationales for these wars? Religion – generally Catholics vs Protestants. This statement serves to falsely highlight, for the reader unaware of history, the terrible evil of Muslims – that is, to demonize a people as being out of the ordinary evil, unlike the Europeans, who all did the same things, but under the guise of Christianity,

Jefferson was disgusted. Shortly after his being sworn in as the third President of the United States in 1801, the Pasha of Tripoli sent him a note demanding the immediate payment of $225,000 plus $25,000 a year for every year forthcoming. That changed everything. Jefferson let the Pasha know, in no uncertain terms, what he could do with his demand. The Pasha responded by cutting down the flagpole at the American consulate and declared war on the United States. Tunis, Morocco, and Algiers immediately followed suit. Jefferson, until now, had been against America raising a naval force for anything beyond coastal defense, but, having watched his nation be cowed by Islamic thuggery for long enough, decided that it was finally time to meet force with force.

He dispatched a squadron of frigates to the Mediterranean and taught the Muslim nations of the Barbary Coast a lesson he hoped they would never forget. Congress authorized Jefferson to empower U.S. ships to seize all vessels and goods of the Pasha of Tripoli and to “cause to be done all other acts of precaution or hostility as the state of war would justify”. When Algiers and Tunis, who were both accustomed to American cowardice and acquiescence, saw the newly independent United States had both the will and the right to strike back, they quickly abandoned their allegiance to Tripoli. The war with Tripoli lasted for four more years and raged up again in 1815. The bravery of the U.S. Marine Corps in these wars led to the line”…to the shores of Tripoli” in the Marine Hymn, and they would forever be known as “leathernecks” for the leather collars of their uniforms, designed to prevent their heads from being cut off by the Muslim scimitars when boarding enemy ships.

Islam, and what its Barbary followers justified doing in the name of their prophet and their god, disturbed Jefferson quite deeply. America had a tradition of religious tolerance. In fact Jefferson, himself, had co-authored the Virginia Statute for Religious Freedom, but fundamentalist Islam was like no other religion the world had ever seen. A religion based on supremacy, whose holy book not only condoned but mandated violence against unbelievers, was unacceptable to him. His greatest fear was that someday this brand of Islam would return and pose an even greater threat to the United States.

To say we had a history of religious tolerance is to stretch a square into a circle. We had, and still have, the First Amendment,  prohibiting the making of any law specific to a religion; culturally speaking, however, our tolerance was, at the time, more mythic than reality. We can see this in this example here (taken from this long, long post here), or in the treatment of atheists, Jews, or Catholics.

But this serves, once again, to highlight the unacceptability of the Muslim to the author of this screed. The fact of the matter is that Christianity has walked down the exact same path, declaring war on religions other than itself. Christians have burned libraries, such as those of the inhabitants of South America when the Spaniards arrived; engaged in the Crusades; the wars against the American Indian in contravention of United States treaties; and the previously mentioned wars on each other. All in the name of religion.

And, as an aside, Jefferson had little use for any religion. He was simply a realist about them.

This should concern every American. That Muslims have brought about Islamic women-only classes and swimming times at taxpayer-funded universities and public pools; Christians, Jews, and Hindus have been peremptory challenged from serving on juries where Muslim defendants are being judged; Piggy banks and Porky Pig tissue dispensers have been banned from workplaces because they offend Islamist sensibilities; ice cream has been discontinued at certain Burger King locations because the picture on the wrapper looks similar to the Arabic script for Allah; public schools are pulling pork from their menus; several American companies have placed the Muslim symbol on their products in the name of Allah; on and on and on and on.

The accusations comes thick and fast, and I have limited time. Let me just note that women-only colleges of a Christian nature also exist; that dietary restrictions also exist for those of the Jewish faith. I have seen a report on a request for a shariah-court to settle a matter; the request was tossed out on its ear, as it should have been. Simple vigilance in following our laws suffices to the problem of an aggressive religion seeking its limits; they need to be made lawfully clear. To be sure, we should keep in mind the supremacy of the secular state – anyone is welcome to live here given they acknowledge that supremacy, and in exchange it rules as lightly as possible with regard to religion. And if an immigrant can’t deal with that, they can leave.

That’s the deal.

In the end,  this is the lament of an author not resilient to change. We’ve seen this evil a dozen times, when the Italians came, the Irish came, the Germans came, the Polish – each wave brought strangers with strange customs. Shall we fight those who differ from us, just because a few who claim kinship to them exercise violence in support of their own lust for power – or even belief in theological extremism.

For such has been true of Christians, from Pope Alexander VI splitting the New World in half, to those who murder doctors who provide abortion services. From the children of Indigenous parents in North America and in Australia who were ripped from their parents in the name of Christianity, to the burning at the stake of both Protestants and Catholics, by their religious adversaries. Christianity has tried to rule supreme.

And proven a miserable failure.

If anyone wishes to point at the horror of 9/11 as something unique, I would reply this is merely the result of the superior technology of the day – tall, tall buildings that hold thousands, and vehicles which can hit them.

It’s death by a thousand cuts, or inch-by-inch. Sadly, it seems that most would rather be politically correct in today’s U.S.

Abandoning our ideals is the death by a thousands cuts. They have taken us this far; allowing the fear of the other to drive us into a war which will cost us lives, wealth, and most importantly our reputation – now that’s the disaster.

BTW-
If you have any doubts about the above information, Google “Thomas Jefferson
vs. the Muslim World

Keep this in mind – it’s not the presented information that’s of importance, it’s the omitted information.

Random Motion Machine

In fencing, a highly experienced and rated fencer fencing a novice does not have an assured outcome, because the experienced fencer tends to expect his or her opponents to select from a known set of responses, and if the novice is too inexperienced to use any from that set, but does something right out of left field, well, sometimes even a highly experienced fencer will get caught a few times – sometimes enough to lose a bout. I call such novices ‘random motion machines’ and fear them.

It’s beginning to look the same in Israel. Netanyahu may have years of experience, but Trump is the random motion machine. The settlements in Amona are being evacuated – grudgingly – but a bill to compensate the illegal settlers isn’t working out as expected, as reported by Ben Caspit of AL Monitor:

Officials in the Israeli defense system recommend not to try to establish facts on the ground — namely construct new West Bank settlements — before full coordination is attained with the new administration in Washington. Netanyahu’s emissaries who have met with the Trump administration’s top brass several times are still unable to put their finger on the new president’s policies. It is altogether likely that the president himself has not finished consolidating his policies with regard to the peace process between Israel and the Palestinians. Netanyahu is trying to maneuver between all these opposing forces and hold the stick at both ends, while investing great efforts in trying to understand the new rules that President Donald Trump will lay out for him.

The bill was supposed to have passed its second and third readings in the Knesset and become Israeli law last week — simultaneously with the evacuation of the illegal outpost of Amona. On the evening of Jan. 28, Netanyahu announced that the law would be passed “on Monday.” Then, on Monday he promised it “will pass this week,” but the week went by and on the morning of Feb. 5 he was still throwing out hints that he intended to make the push and pass the bill into law on Feb. 6. But then he reconsidered and said that it was preferable to wait for coordination with the Trump administration. He said that he wanted to talk with Israel Ambassador to the United States Ron Dermer, so that the latter could coordinate the process with the administration.

Opposite him were the members of HaBayit HaYehudi who did not blink when hearing Netanyahu’s words Feb. 5. Associates of Bennett and Shaked said that the coalition would be in danger if the law was not passed this week. And Netanyahu, who from an airplane ramp just prior to taking off for a quick visit to London, said, “I hear fake ultimata all the time. It doesn’t move me.”

And the unexpected from the supposedly pro-Israel Trump?

The euphoria that filled Jerusalem after Trump’s election was replaced by tense anticipation. The White House announcement last week, which criticized the Israeli statement about building thousands of housing units in the territories, set off warning bells in the prime minister’s office — even though the criticism was toned down. True, the Americans noted in the announcement that “we don’t believe the existence of settlements is an impediment to peace” — a phrase that constitutes a dramatic policy change compared to all the preceding US administrations. But the announcement ended by saying that new construction in the territories may harm chances for peace. This was a surprise that no one in Jerusalem had anticipated.

Welcome to our world, Mr. Prime Minister. He may be all that you could ask for – but getting to the promised land may take far more effort than you expected.

Current Movie Reviews

If you’re looking for the latest in manic car chases and wild explosions, well, Paterson (2017) won’t be to your taste.

But if you’re looking for something with an atypical plot, this may be to your taste.

If you’re looking for wild & wooly sex, well, Paterson will not satisfy.

But if you want to look in on a poet, this may be to your taste.

This is the examination of a week in the life of bus driver Paterson, his wife, Laura, and their English bulldog, Marvin, who tries to steal every scene. We see his bus driving, his poetry, his wife’s ambitions, and how he likes to spend his evenings.

And that’s it.

And I was fascinated.

There are typical plots, and there are atypical plots. Both are driven by a look into the unknown. It can be the visceral excitement of exploring a new planet; the intellectual excitement of the to and fro of opposing ideas; the very human back and forth tussle over some prize.

Or the simple exploration of how someone else lives. This film has high points, but they are not life, they are not death. There are accomplishments, but they remind us of the importance of community, from the bartender’s love for the pictures of those who have come from the city of Paterson, New Jersey, to Paterson taking a moment to make sure a young girl, momentarily alone, is kept company and safe until her mother returns from a task. It may sound mundane, but it’s a reminder to a society increasingly and tragically paranoid about violence (such as the extraordinary case of Jacob Wetterling) that withdrawing, treating everyone around us as potential predators, leads to an emptier and less safe, rather than more safe, existence.

The director, Jim Jarmusch, leisurely builds a background, marvelously detailed, that reflects the life of a couple, and the method of building brings those small, yet unusual and important events which can shape a life out in a bright relief. For those of us who have contemplated making a movie, there are a lot of implicit questions worthy of contemplation, even if you cannot answer them.

This isn’t a movie for everyone; as my Arts Editor and I discussed the movie while the credits rolled, I heard one guy, walking hurriedly out, say “THIS got 96% at Rotten Tomatoes?” Well, yes, it did, from the critics – but only 78% from the audience. But for me, just one facet has been to try to fit this into the evolutionary theory of story telling – what does this story bring to my life that makes me wiser about the future?

The answer is just about everything. The importance of community. A look into how someone else is working through this thing we call life. How they get along with each other. How to deal with threats, and yet love those that threaten. And how to express one’s thoughts on matters akin to these, in a language built on trite cliches? I have no idea if Jarmusch shares the same theory of story that I use, but I could see it. I could easily see it.

Or I could be so totally wrong.

Strongly Recommended.

When Doing Bad Is Your Intention

Jack Goldsmith on Lawfare speculates that the Immigration Executive Order, which he considers to be poorly constructed and rolled out, was done with intention:

What might lead Trump to criticize Robart and judges for weakening American security?   It is possible that he thinks his tweets will pressure the judges to cave and act in his favor.  Judges don’t like to be responsible for national security debacles (which explains the deference they often give the political branches in this context), and thus they might worry about Trump’s predictions of a causal nexus between their rulings and a future terrorist attack.

The much more likely result of his tweets, however, is just the opposite.   The Executive branch often successfully argues—quietly, in briefs and at oral argument, with citations to precedent—for its superior competence to judges in national security, and for the potentially dangerous consequences that might flow from too much judicial review in that context.  But when arguments for deference to the President are made via threatening public tweets before an actual attack, they will certainly backfire.  The tweets will make it very, very hard for courts in the short term to read immigration and constitutional law, as they normally would, with the significant deference to the President’s broad delegated powers from Congress and to the President’s broad discretion in foreign relations.  Judges in the short term will be influenced by the reaction to the EO Immigration order, and by doubts about executive process, integrity, truthfulness, and motivation that the manner of its issuance implies.  They will also worry a lot about being perceived to cave to executive pressure.  The pressure from Trump, and related events, thus make it more likely—much more likely, in my view—that the Ninth Circuit and, if it comes to it, the Supreme Court will invalidate the EO in some fashion.

If we stipulate this to be true, then there’s a few things to worry about:

  1. Currently, vetting from the Obama Administration, which was considered to be effective, is in use – I hope. The question is whether Trump or someone on his team meddles with it. I would expect this to be a subtle approach, but the personnel in Homeland Security should be aware of it.
  2. A stronger version of #1 would be a subtle invitation of an attack by a hostile party. There’s little hope in expecting such a party to be suspicious of such an invitation, because the larger picture is of an America that is falling apart in its most important dimension – the freedoms and guarantees it offers citizens and immigrants.

Trump will run a risk, though, that a successful attack will not be pinned on the judiciary – but on the Administration. A secondary risk is the antagonization of the GOP, which does hold the weapon of impeachment. A tertiary risk, which may be non-existent, is the antagonization of the judiciary. Since it’s supposed to be indifferent to political circumstance, this shouldn’t be a major risk, or even a minor risk – but judges and justices are human, and if they perceive Trump as actually betraying the United States to build political capital, he may be made to pay for it regardless.

On the other hand, and way near zero on the probability scale, is an opposite interpretation – he wants the EO to fail for some other reason, but wants his political base to think he gave it the old college try. This would be a lot more reassuring, but is unverifiable in the current climate.

According to Goldsmith, there is one person who might have more evidence to offer: White House Counsel Donald McGahn.

One person who must bear responsibility for the awful rollout of the EO is White House Counsel Donald McGahn.  The White House Counsel is charged with (among other things) ensuring proper inter-agency coordination on important legal policies and with protecting the President from legal fallout.  McGahn should have anticipated and corrected in advance the many foreseeable problems with the manner in which the EO was rolled out.  And he should have advised the President after his first anti-Robart tweet, and after the other more aggressive ones, that the tweets were hurting the President’s legal cause.

If McGahn did not do these things, he is incompetent, and perhaps we can attribute impulsive incompetence to the President.  But if McGahn did do these things—if he tried to put the brakes on the EO, and if he warned his client about the adverse impact of his tweets—then he has shockingly little influence with the President and within the White House (i.e. he is ineffectual).  And if McGahn is ineffectual as opposed to just incompetent—if he did, in other words, warn the President about the impact of his tweets and was ignored—then that lends credence to the suspicion that Trump knows the consequences of his actions and wants to lose in court, with the most plausible explanation being that he is planning for after the next attack.

It would be interesting to hear from Counsel McGahn on the matter.

Sometimes It’s Just So Hard To Talk To That Important Person In Your Life

BuzzFeed reports the President is easily taken in by fake news:

President Donald Trump on Thursday posted to his official Facebook page a news report that erroneously claimed Kuwait had followed his recent immigration order by implementing a visa ban on several Muslim-majority nations.

The story from Jordanian outlet Al Bawaba claimed “Syrians, Iraqis, Iranians, Pakistanis and Afghans will not be able to obtain visit, tourism or trade Kuwaiti visas with the news coming one day after the US slapped its own restrictions on seven Muslim-majority countries.”

“Smart,” President Trump wrote in his Facebook post, which was subsequently shared more than 65,000 times. (The post was still live on Saturday afternoon).

However, the Kuwaiti Ministry of Foreign Affairs has since expressly denied the reports.

In a statement to state-run news outlet Kuwait News Agency, Assistant Foreign Minister for Consular Affairs Sami Al-Hamad said the ministry “categorically denies these claims and affirms that these reported nationalities…have big communities in Kuwait and enjoy full rights.”

This may just be a precursor of what’s to come: the bombardment of an American President, not with bombs, but with fake news, knowing he’s so credulous he’ll believe anything that accords with his world-view (also known as confirmation bias). There’s a couple of facets of interest here.

First, what will be fed to him? The motivation would be to lead him down paths that benefit those who generate and feed him the news. A key factor will be the half-life of effectivity for the average bit of fake news, which will dictate the goals that may be accomplished by leading him astray. Additionally, this “smart guy” may actually figure it out and thus dampen the value of this approach to manipulating him. It sounds like quite the dance.

The second facet is, of course, who will be motivating the dance. The Russians are a given, but more interesting is that the President’s own staff has admitted that the best way to communicate with the President is not in face-to-face meetings, but via TV. If the President chooses a path with which his staff disagrees, would they use fake news, spread to channels they know he favors, in order to manipulate him down the paths they prefer?

I sense more than one scientific study unfolding in the minds of the science community even as I type.