Productivity Note

I’m experiencing some numbness in my right hand, which my Arts Editor believes is the result of carpal tunnel syndrome. This seems vaguely familiar, and I believe I experienced the same problem about 25-30 years ago. Back then, I recall I reined back my typing and may have tried using a wrist splint. I’ve recently noticed my mousing technique has worsened – I need to work on not being quite so lazy. At work I’ve moved my mouse to my left hand; I should probably explore a similar option at home, although my computer area is really setup for right hand mousing.

So I may be taking a break, or at least lessening, my blogging activities. Just to explain that I’m not walking away, hopefully this will go away as it did way back when. And I need to work on more proper technique.

How Up Is Up?

Ever think about the problem of measuring sea level? Turns out it’s quite the horrendous problem – but that may be changing, according to Laura Spinney in NewScientist (11 February 2017, paywall):

Earth’s geoid from DeepEarthScience (2013)

If Earth were a perfect sphere, we might use GPS measurements: these calculate the user’s distance from the centre of the GPS satellites’ orbits. But Earth looks more like a rugby ball, with a radius 21 kilometres longer at the equator than at the poles. It’s a lumpy rugby ball too, with a depression of about 100 metres to the south of India, for example, and a peak of about 100 metres over Indonesia.

These lumps are in Earth’s geoid, or gravitational surface – a plane that you would move across if you did no work in the vertical dimension, like a marble rolling over a table. They occur because gravity is stronger where mass accumulates, as in a mountain or denser rocks. The geoid largely determines where the surface of the sea lies. If you were to swim from India to Indonesia, you would move 200 metres away from Earth’s centre.

Agreeing on a vertical standard, therefore, boils down to agreeing on a model of the geoid – and with the latest satellite measurements, we’re getting close to doing that. In 2002, NASA and the German Aerospace Center launched the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite, and seven years later, the European Space Agency launched its Gravity Field and Steady-State Ocean Circulation Explorer (GOCE) mission. GOCE orbited until 2013, while GRACE is still in orbit, and the two now have enough data to make a geoid model accurate to within a few centimetres. “The gravity field is smoothed because the satellite is far from the Earth’s masses,” says Rummel, who led the GOCE mission, “But it can be complemented by terrestrial gravity measurements.” Together, the two provide the millimetre accuracy required for, say, building bridges.

I hadn’t thought about this so much. So are there any plans?

The technical capability that underpins a geoid-based global standard of height is there – but is there the political will to agree on it? Perhaps. The US, Canada and Mexico have announced that they will switch to a unified geoid-based height system in 2022, and a meeting in Prague of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics in 2015 passed a resolution to support the adoption of a single global reference frame. “We agreed,” says Ihde. “Now we have to put it into practice.”

And …

[Ecuadoran peak] Chimborazo beats Everest by a whopping 2 kilometres.

I sense outrage on the horizon.

When You Retain Power Through Fear

I think we’re beginning to see the end result of the formation of the echo chamber of the extreme right. One data point is just a data point, but now a second data point is beginning to form, and I’ll call it a theme. The first data point? GOP shock and bewilderment that constituents like the health care benefits of the ACA and allied programs. Some GOP lawmakers have had the courage to try to weather the storm, such as Senator Tom Cotton of Arkansas:

Cotton paused the event at that comment to make clear he was not trying to accuse vocal critics at the event of being illegitimate or paid, as Trump and Utah Rep. Jason Chaffetz have done.

“I don’t care if anybody here is paid or not. You’re all Arkansans,” Cotton said. “Thank you for everyone coming out.”

As the event continued, dozens of people lined up at microphones to ask questions. Cotton ultimately extended the event by about 30 minutes while questions ranged from accountability for Trump, Obamacare, the refugee program, Trump’s proposed border wall and many other policy areas. [CNN]

Plaudits to Senator Cotton. Working along the spectrum, we find Senator Joni Ernst of Iowa, who couldn’t withstand the cognitive dissonance of discovering what her handlers have to say vs what her actual constituents have to say:

Fielding questions from her constituents for a whole 45 minutes wore down Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) on Tuesday, causing her to flee and the audience to roar.

Ernst was in the tiny town of Maquoketa, population 6,062, for a roundtable with veterans. When she arrived at city hall, slipping through a side door, she found 100 people crammed inside the room, CNN reports, with dozens more filling the hallways and atrium. The microphone being used by constituents repeatedly cut in and out, frustrating people in the room who couldn’t hear what was being said, and Ernst only took one question from a non-veteran, a man who asked her about the Affordable Care Act. When she uttered the words “health savings accounts,” Ernst was met with a chorus of boos.

The meeting came to a jarring end after only 45 minutes, despite a long line of people waiting at the microphone to ask more questions, causing the crowd to boo and jeer. [The Week]

While Senator Ernst appears to have a weak stomach for dissent, or too much appetite for ideology, Representative Gohmert of one of the reddest districts of Texas is a shivering coward on the subject:

Former Rep. Gabby Giffords of Arizona urged members of Congress to host town hall meetings after Texas Rep. Louie Gohmert citing her shooting as a reason he was not going to schedule one.

“To the politicians who have abandoned their civic obligations, I say this: Have some courage,” Giffords said in a statement. “Face your constituents. Hold town halls.” [Politico]

These and many other GOP lawmakers are facing crowds critical of decisions to repeal and (maybe) replace the ACA. This suggests a behavior with anti-survival characteristics – believing what you want to believe is true, rather than what is true on the ground. So what’s this second data point now forming? Steve Benen points me to it: NRA President (and immortal vampire) Wayne LaPierre’s remarks at CPAC:

“Right now, we face a gathering of forces that are willing to use violence against us,” he said. “The leftist movement in this country right now is enraged. Among them and behind them are the most radical political elements there are: Anarchists, marxists, communists and the left of the—the rest of the left-wing socialist parade. They hate everything America stands for: Democracy, free market capitalism, representative government, individual freedom. They want to tear down our system and replace it with their collectivist top-down global-government-knows-best-utopia.”

LaPierre claimed that billionaire George Soros is paying protesters, that crime is on the rise, that gangs are infiltrating the military and law enforcement and that the media “theorized” Trump would be assassinated before Inauguration Day.

LaPierre wrapped up by attacking the media and insinuating violence against the “violent left” if it brings “terror” to communities. [Talking Points Memo]

LaPierrre has manipulated the membership of the NRA through fear for years, transforming it from a respectable organization in my youth into something a lot of non-shooters just shake their heads at and wonder. I am not a shooter myself, but in my younger days I took Dr. John Lott’s research on the detrimental effects of gun control on public safety quite seriously; I have not kept up with that controversy, and a quick Google search seems to indicate it keeps bubbling on.

But back to my point: LaPierre even had the gall to make this statement last year, as Media Matter notes and fact checks:

The leader of the National Rifle Association insisted he wasn’t “crazy,” “paranoid,” or “nuts” before ranting to NRA members in an “urgent” video message where he made claims at odds with reality, including claiming that his widely ridiculed prediction that President Obama would come for Americans’ guns “came true.”

During a six-minute get out the vote video, NRA executive vice president and CEO Wayne LaPierre described America after eight years of Obama as president in hellish terms unrecognizable to anyone who actually lives here, claiming that the president has “laid waste to the America we remember” causing the country to “completely unravel.”

After describing a calamitous America, LaPierre claimed, “I told you exactly what [Obama] would do. The media said I was nuts. But in the end, America knows I was right.” You decide whether LaPierre was right:

  • LaPierre said his prediction that Obama “would come for our guns and do everything in his power to sabotage the Second Amendment” “came true” following the 2012 Sandy Hook massacre, when Obama “exploited a horrible tragedy to launch a blizzard of gun bans, magazine restrictions, and gun registration schemes against law abiding gun owners all across the country.” (Nothing proposed by Obama would have violated the Second Amendment as understood in the Antonin Scalia-authored Supreme Court decision District of Columbia v. Heller. The background check bill that was voted on in the Senate after the massacre specifically prohibited the creation of registries.)

And etc. Quite a list of things that I don’t recall ever happening. So we see in the earlier statement an attempt to keep up the bubble from which he profits; when Trump was elected, he was faced with an unexpected problem – how to retain his power when the Big Bad Federal Government Controlled by Liberals …. isn’t. So we get the beginning of a theme – let’s only talk among ourselves, construct our own reality, and if that benefits me, why, it keeps us all safe, doesn’t it? But you have to wonder how many members are sticking around. Sure, those who only get their news from NRA publications will stick – their information environment is too heavily skewed to expect any other behavior. But what about everyone else? Turns out it’s hard to say, as the NRA numbers are confidential. Here’s The Trace on the subject:

The precise size of NRA’s membership — the core of the group’s perceived political muscle — has long been a mystery. In January 2013, Executive Vice President and CEO Wayne LaPierre boasted before Congress that he served 4.5 million members. Speaking at an NRA convention a few months later, he upped that figure to 5 million. On January 5, in a statement responding to President Barack Obama’s executive actions on guns, the group described itself as “more than 5 million members strong.”

But the truth of those numbers is a matter of debate — the NRA has never allowed an outside party to authenticate its membership, and independent estimates predict a much smaller number. Circulation audits of American Rifleman and other NRA-published magazines that are sent to every member come in at around 3 million. One former board member told the Washington Post in 1998 that when the NRA counts its size, it includes many deceased lifetime members.

So, talk to yourselves, not to anyone outside the tribe. The GOP is getting some shocks now. Will the NRA? Today’s liberals are well known for their law-abiding ways, so gangs of liberals roaming the countryside just makes me giggle. And what will be the next data point on the theme? Perhaps what I fear is another economic crunch caused by out of control spending on defense. Trump has already sounded that horn with his call for going to the “top of the pack” in terms of nuclear weapons. (For those of you who were wondering, most experts say we’re already there and can go off and do something else instead.) A very expensive and dangerous distraction. Given that I think we’re heavily overspending on defense already, and both parties seem to want to increase spending yet again (another example of fear-based manipulation, I think), we may find out the hard way that overspending on defense is a path to recession. But will we recognize it? Or is that bubble too big?

Not Missing A Bet, Ctd

This unsettling proto-totalitarian tendency, reported by Pat Rynard on Iowa Starting Line, an Iowan political news source, fits right in with the GOP’s desperate need to reshape society into its extremist image:

The party affiliation on your voter registration card could block you from employment at Iowa’s state universities were a newly proposed bill by Senator Mark Chelgren to become law. Senate File 288, proposed by the Ottumwa legislator, could bring about a Soviet-style purge of liberal-leaning college staff in Iowa. Chelgren wants to impose an ideological litmus test in order to create a “partisan balance,” based on how Iowa has voted in past elections.

The legislation proposes that a “person shall not be hired as a professor or instructor member of the faculty at such an institution if the person’s political party affiliation on the date of hire would cause the percentage of faculty belonging to one political party to exceed by ten percent the percentage of faculty belonging to the other political party.”

Source: Gallup

Politics simply should not play a direct a part in education as this. I would have to ask State Senator Chelgren if he’s really so certain that his conservative ideas are that much inferior to those that might be held – but not even taught – by the professors at the State universities of Iowa? After all, we’re talking about the marketplace of ideas – not the gargling funnel of ideological rectitude. Students may evaluate ideas on their merits and choose accordingly.

Of course, the blood of the GOP may be running a bit cold. While the GOP currently holds a slight lead over the Democrats, it’s down from historical highs, and I think, given the GOP’s continuing slide into extremist ideology, more members will leave the party for the Independents ranks. And, of course, the Trump disaster is front and center – driving away the doubtful, even as extremist elements pour in and, in some cases, assume positions of authority. While Mr. Bartlett may have missed the subtle point that losing the popular vote doesn’t mean losing the electoral vote, he may still end up correct that Mr. Trump will be the end of the current incarnation of the GOP in one tremendous thud, and that it will be rebuilt by those much like his moderate, serious self.


The demographics of the two parties also contributes to the temperature of the GOP blood, as these charts from 2016 show. The left chart is interesting in that it shows nearly 60% of GOP voters are age 60+, suggesting the cohort that couldn’t manage a winning Presidential run, popular vote variant, is going to start dying off soon. The Democrats and sympathizers are at roughly 50% in the same category. Meanwhile, down in the critical youngest bracket, the Democrats are doing better than the GOP. Normally, I’d shrug and note that as voters get older, they become more conservative. However, given the extremism of the GOP, I suspect the youngest generation will generally be repulsed by the GOP; it is, in an important sense, a return to a static past, and that just will not do for the youngest generation in general, except for those raised in out of touch, static areas. And you’ll have to be extreme from the get-go to survive, given the herd of RINOs that runs around in that pasture.

And, as noted by many commentators, the diversity of the Democrats is their strength, and that clearly shows in these charts.

So, Senator, are you so afraid of some healthy competition that you’ll try to rig the rules? You do realize, of course, that this has the potential to damage your institutions of higher education, so I have to ask – do you value higher education? Do you want to get the most that you can out of it?

Or is your dedication to ideology going to triumph over your love of State and Nation?

(h/t Scout Finch on The Daily Kos)

Word of the Day

Nålebinding:

Nålebinding (Danish: literally “binding with a needle” or “needle-binding”, also naalbinding, nålbinding, nålbindning or naalebinding) is a fabric creation technique predating both knitting and crochet. Also known in English as “knotless netting,” “knotless knitting,” [1] or “single needle knitting,” the technique is distinct from crochet in that it involves passing the full length of the working thread through each loop, unlike crochet where the work is formed only of loops, never involving the free end. It also differs from knitting in that lengths must be pieced together during the process of nålebinding, rather than a continuous strand of yarn that can easily be pulled out. Archaeological specimens of fabric made by nålebinding can be difficult to distinguish from knitted fabric. [Wikipedia]

Heard on the latest episode of Bones.

A Minor Fantasy

While I was driving home from an unconnected activity it occurred to me that the news that a number of major news organization were shut out of a White House news briefing, while of course the mark of an amateur effort at the White House, might be used against them as well by the victim organizations, which are “… CNN and other news outlets, including The New York Times, the Los Angeles Times, BuzzFeed, Politico and some others …”

How so? Glad you asked. Simple. State the truth, put it right on the front page, and then provide links to certain rivals who do have the material. Say, Breitbart, or white supremacist site Stormfront – perhaps there’s a few more.

And let all those folks who are on the fence see what sort of reprehensible organizations, organizations whose cousins started wars and tried to eliminate whole peoples using the flimsiest of excuses, not only support Trump, but actually have personnel in the White House.

9 out of every 10 will be so sickened they’ll end up disapproving of Trump. Maybe even 95 out of 100. Speaking of, here’s today’s Gallup Poll on the subject:

Looks like his approval is back down to 41% and dropping.

 

Word of the Day

Whimsies:

Glassblowers worked their way up through an apprenticeship system, often starting in boyhood with tasks such as carrying coal and weaving wicker wrappers for large bottles. A master blower, or gaffer, would have developed the skills and dexterity to control and manipulate very thin blown glass. It took plenty of stamina to work in the constant heat of a furnace to produce vases, pitchers, and flasks, but at day’s end workers used their leftover time and materials to make “whimsies”—exquisite, often fragile, personal artistic pieces, or demonstrations of skill to impress factory visitors. The glass colors—aqua, amber, and green, mostly—match those used on the production line, but there was a difference between work, which was done as quickly as possible, and making whimsies, according to White. “These were things they made for each other, for family, for wives, for romanticized notions,” Mills says. Whimsies appear in the surrounding home sites, but also in the manufacturing debris in the Dyottville annealing ovens. [ “Letter from Philadelphia,” Margaret Shakespeare, Archaeology (March/April 2017)]

Belated Movie Reviews

Bluebeard (1944), set in Paris, has horrid musical accompaniment, a jarring mismatch of delicate French accents mixed with broad American Midwestern accents, and a wretched visual presentation due to the age of the film. Sometimes the audio reels drunkenly as the film wandered a little off-kilter through the projector. And the monologue at the end is, perhaps, more detailed than I strictly needed.

And we enjoyed it.

This is a John Carradine vehicle, and while today we may view him as one of the creepy patriarchs of horror films, he was a Shakespearean trained actor, and it shows in this film, as he takes his time in his role and develops a real, ultimately creepy character; the supporting cast, of whom I’ve never heard, were also nearly as good.

But it is Carradine, so this is a horror movie. Bluebeard is the name applied to a mysterious murderer, killing young women and throwing them in the Seine for the police to find. Carradine plays a puppeteer with a sideline as a painter; presently we learn that he painted a portrait of a woman, mad with fever, under his care, and the painting has won a major prize. But for the moment, he’s looking for a tailor to clothe his newest generation of puppets.

Unlike many of these old horror movies, there are motivations and subplots unexpected. The sûreté find that clues are sparse, but they are merely a paintbrush away from the killer, yet one little stitch could give the game away, both in the story and this review. A dealer is bilking the painter; the painter no longer wishes to paint in any case, but the lure of independence beckons; what can it all mean?

And the opera singing by the marionettes – my Arts Editor muttered, “They’re virtuosos!”

Perhaps not quite Recommended, but definitely worth your time if you’re inclined towards Carradine, horror, or just old films.

Another Ship On The Rocks

Now it’s just getting weird about the GOP. They claimed Obama brought disrepute down on the the United States during his time in office. So what are they going to say about this CNN report? That it’s fake news? That’ll be very weak tea:

Could France elect Barack Obama president? Not really — but that’s not stopping the organizers of Obama17, a guerrilla campaign trying to entice the former U.S. president to head to Paris.

“It’s totally crazy, but the cool thing is that once you get past that, you start thinking that maybe it’s possible. Who cares that he’s not French? He’s Barack Obama,” one of the campaign organizers told CNN.

They’ve launched a website and they put up 500 posters of Obama around Paris last weekend, said the organizer. He asked to be identified only as Antoine.

They’re hoping to get 1 million people to sign a petition urging Obama to run.

Sure, it won’t happen – but the organizers said he was the closest thing to a candidate that they could stomach. Along with that, he’s seen as a proven, effective leader.

So much for the world despising us when Obama was in power.

But can you imagine the conversation in the Obama kitchen? “Honey, I just had a job offer ….”

“NO!”

Is It Crisis Or Just A Hiccup?

Lawfare‘s Benjamin Wittes and Susan Hennessey checked their email bag – and came up with a doozy:

We received this morning an extraordinary message from a group of Foreign Service officers. …

Writing for a small group of three other colleagues, this individual begins by noting Lawfare’s prior “advice for civil servants about the ethics of service under the Trump administration” and goes on to seek out ethical advice about how to best handle certain specific concerns facing Foreign Service officers. Namely, this group is worried that the rollout of the executive order on immigration—both the initial order and the forthcoming substitution—is taking place without consideration of important, available data.

Turns out that the Foreign Service officers are worried that these Executive Orders are being crafted without regard to, ummm, the facts, which are available in a variety of government databases, but are apparently not being consulted. Benjamin and Susan’s observation?

There’s a lot to talk about with regard to the specific questions above, but it is worth pausing to note as an initial matter the mere fact that a group of junior Foreign Service officers is currently put in the position wherein they are even contemplating whether they have an obligation to reinforce the interagency process with respect to the Justice Department. This fact reflects the the [sic] failure so far of the actual interagency process to function—and the failure of the White House to conduct interagency consultation processes with even minimal integrity.

Amateur hour has turned into, what, amateur month?

And not to leave you on tenterhooks, they advised the Foreign Service officers that it’s the responsibility of the Administration to seek out facts. To summarize their lengthy reply, the Foreign Service officers are not obligated to jam the important facts up Bannon’s ass. It’s his responsibility, as an adult, to seek out all relevant facts before writing Executive Orders.

The impression you get is of a group that’s trying to run a government without planning, just by following some ideological principles IF you’re an aide, and if your Trump it’s just the flavor of the day, while trying to keep those campaign promises that are perceived as being important. By contrast, you can be certain that Clinton would have had respectable, capable people ready to go, plans in place for implementing important policies, and we’d continue to be the leader of the world.

Not its stand-up comedian.

I Don’t Need To Be Scooped Up By This, Ctd

A reader writes about flying reptiles:

The vestigial wings are curious. This thing surely can’t fly or even glide.

According to the first post on Azhdarchid Paleobiology from 2008:

Pterosaurs are flying reptiles that lived during the age of the dinosaurs (between about 230 and 65 million years ago). Although often called dinosaurs, they are not part of this group and represent a distinct lineage of reptiles that evolved flight independently of birds and bats. There are around 100 species of pterosaurs currently known, and one group – including about nine species – is particularly controversial. These are the azhdarchids, a group named after the Uzbek word for ‘dragon’ [image above shows a giant azhdarchid in flight].

With massive, elongate heads, very long, stiff necks, long hindlimbs, and often gigantic size, azhdarchids are more than deserving of their ‘dragon’ title. Azhdarchids include the largest of all pterosaurs: some had wingspans exceeding 10 m and, when standing, had shoulder heights of over 2.5 m …

I’m having trouble mapping vestigial to wingspans in excess of 10 meters. Then again, just the thought of something that large, flapping about, scooping up stray people … reminds me of The Giant Claw (1957).

Getting The Lead Out, Ctd

A reader comments on Kevin Drum’s lead theory:

I hadn’t known about the perfect mapping of the British curve differences. And it alludes to similar results in other countries. I think the conclusion is pretty irrefutable at this point: leaded gasoline caused fetal harm to the extent that a more numerous cohort of adults faced difficulties dealing with life and committed more crimes. It’s not the sole cause; society is a complex system and there are never simple or single answers. But it certainly appears to a be a major one.

Neither Is Satisfactory

I ran across this coverage of Justice Alito keynote speech at the Claremont Institute’s 2017 annual dinner in Slate by Mark Joseph Stern, and was appalled by both Alito’s off-the-cuff definition of pollution and the EPA‘s. First, Stern’s report on Alito:

The second was Massachusetts v. EPA. In that case, the Supreme Court found that carbon dioxide is a “pollutant” within the scope of the Clean Air Act, allowing the EPA to regulate it. Alito dissented from the 5–4 decision. And in his speech on Saturday, he summarized his frustration with the majority opinion:

Now, what is a pollutant? A pollutant is a subject that is harmful to human beings or to animals or to plants. Carbon dioxide is not a pollutant. Carbon dioxide is not harmful to ordinary things, to human beings, or to animals, or to plants. It’s actually needed for plant growth. All of us are exhaling carbon dioxide right now. So, if it’s a pollutant, we’re all polluting. When Congress authorized the regulation of pollutants, what it had in mind were substances like sulfur dioxide, or particulate matter—basically, soot or smoke in the air. Congress was not thinking about carbon dioxide or other greenhouse gases.

Alito’s comments here are straight out of the climate change denialist playbook—and were rejected in Massachusetts v. EPA, for good reason.

Alito’s definition of pollutant brings tears to my eyes. Let’s go way back to the beginning – not the definition of pollution, but before that: The purpose of the EPA, which I’m going to simply take literally as the protection of the environment. But even before we can really define the EPA, we need to understand that protection is a polymorphic word, by which I mean its meaning is dependent on its context or viewpoint. A beaver has a different use of the environment than we might. The solar system is probably unaffected, on the whole, by our environmental status.

But humans, ah, yes. We human wrangle a lot about the value of the environment, but undeniably our well-being is currently dependent on the health of the environment. Now, parts of the environment are malignant towards us: some viruses and bacterial are harmful, and arsenic in well water causes illness and death. Those specific pathogens certainly fit nicely into Alito’s definition. But there’s more.

I think it goes without saying that the atmosphere is part of the EPA‘s remit, and thus we should consider it. Alito may want to limit it to this ill-defined pollution, but it’s not. We’re talking environment here, and so let’s take this a bit further into precision land – when we talk about atmosphere and protection from a human viewpoint, we’re really talking about an optimally balanced mixture of gases. This assertion is easily defended by pushing Alito into a hyperbaric chamber and then reversing its purpose by removing the oxygen from the chamber and replacing it with carbon dioxide. About the time he’s collapsing from oxygen deprivation, as are most other oxygen consuming creatures we may have put in there as company for Alito, he should have become aware that there’s more to environmental protection than simply removing quasi-pollutants. His definition, informal as it might be, does not admit to limitations, to the bell curve we often see when plotting survivability against existence or consumption. One more illuminatory definition, if the reader doesn’t mind? Water’s a good thing, right? My doctors are always telling me to drink more water. But there’s a limit. You can die of too much water. It’s called water intoxication. Too much, too little, you die before your time. But within a certain range, water intake is good for you. This applies to many substances that are good for you.

Because we’re talking about the Environmental Protection (for the sake of humans) Agency, I think it’s apparent that the EPA isn’t limited to the existence of unusual substances in the atmosphere – it must be concerned with the dangers of mixtures of gases which are not conducive to the efficient functioning of the human organism as well as the other organisms which, in part, make up the environment. Without those organisms, we, too, would perish and enter the category of extinction. So, to finish up the last loose end here, I am not advocating that we ask if there is so much carbon dioxide that we’re about to pass out, but to also recognize that the heating of the atmosphere brought on by carbon dioxide (and other gases, the proportion fo which in our atmosphere is growing out of historical values) is also a grave danger to us, and thus is an environmental danger.

Now we come to the the Clean Air Act, as well as a SCOTUS decision, as also reported by Mr. Stern:

The Clean Air Act defines “air pollutant” as “any air pollution agent or combination of such agents, including any physical [or] chemical … substance or matter which is emitted into or otherwise enters the ambient air” and “may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.” In its decision, the Supreme Court correctly recognized that carbon is a “chemical substance or matter” that is “emitted into” the air and “endanger[s] public health” by contributing to rising global temperatures. There is no textual support for Alito’s assertion that the law was meant to be limited to “soot or smoke.”

But it’s still terribly unsatisfactory. Alito’s complaint may be based more on the unsatisfactory phrasing of the Clean Air Act than on any particular ideological position (as Stern suggests). I would suggest ridding us of the exactly wrong use of “air pollutant” and replacing it with “ascertaining and defending an optimal mixture of gases and other atmospheric particles in the interests of optimizing the health of humans and other animals that use the atmosphere for pursuing their particular interests.” And such a rephrasing should acquire bipartisan support, as environmentalists should find this to be a better law; big business, unless it’s a big polluter, should value healthy workers; and the Christians who still dominate the United States should take that as a positive contribution to their Biblical stewardship duties – unless they believe stewardship is just another word for raping the resources of the land, as I’m told some do. Former Secretary of the Interior James Watt comes to mind as I consider the thought.

So, feeling much better now.

Attack Of The Wee Working Dogs

Apparently you have to watch out for the little guys, as Ben Caspit notes in passing in AL Monitor:

A mysterious aircraft eliminated a terrorist squad that included five Islamic State (IS) fighters just as they prepared to fire rockets from the Sinai Peninsula at Israel’s southernmost city, Eilat, Feb. 19. The Sinai affiliate of IS later issued a statement placing responsibility for the action against the squad squarely on Israel.

While Israel has a long-established policy of ignoring questions about such incidents, in this case Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman announced, “Like always, the special forces of Lichtenstein probably took out a few terrorists from Daesh [IS] in Sinai. … We do not let anything go without a response. I don’t think that the Islamic State in the Sinai Peninsula poses a serious threat.”

For those of us who don’t keep up with foreign affairs, Liechtenstein‘s population is around 38,000, but there are also a few towns and villages named Lichtenstein.

Not Missing A Bet

This perhaps obscure 4th Circuit Appeals court loss for the GOP I found interesting as a reflection of their strategy of straight ticket voting – a strategy which I’ve discussed before and have concluded that it is damaging to the American polity. From the Richmond Times-Dispatch:

A federal appeals court has dismissed a challenge to a Virginia law prohibiting partisan labels on ballots in local elections.

In an opinion published Tuesday, the Richmond-based 4th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected the case brought by a group of Powhatan County Republicans and found the state has a legitimate interest in minimizing political partisanship in local races.

“While party identifiers do not appear on the official ballot for Virginia’s local candidates, the candidates still have every other avenue by which to inform voters of this information,” Judge Paul Niemeyer wrote in the three-judge panel’s unanimous opinion affirming a lower court’s earlier ruling. “Political parties and their nominees are entirely free to publicize their association with each other.”

The plaintiffs argued the ballot rules serve little real purpose because, in many cases, local races are nonpartisan in name only and nothing in state law prevents political parties from nominating local candidates or making informal endorsements. The lack of party information on the ballot, they argued, only sows confusion.

The plaintiffs, the Powhatan County Republican Committee and four candidates it endorsed in a 2015 Board of Supervisors election, claimed the ballot rule violates constitutional rights to freedom of association and equal protection.

By making the party affiliations apparent, this reminds forgetful GOP voters not of the identity of the GOP endorsed candidates – but that they’re supposed to be voting single ticket, rather than actually employing their critical faculties concerning the candidates themselves. Another tool in the box of tactics for the GOP which benefits them, but damages the nation as it makes it easier for gross incompetents to win elections and start wielding power.

To be perfectly clear, a competent, moderate Republican is just fine with me. I might vote for such a candidate, particularly if the opposition candidates strike me as incompetent, lustful for power, or have some other hidden agenda. But the straight ticket voting stratagem is a morally bankrupt notion, an assertion which has been brutally illustrated by the incompetence and ideological extremism we’re seeing in the current Administration in just the first month; I shudder at how much more down the rabbit hole they’re going to go before either Trump figures out his “legacy” won’t be something to relish – or the GOP impeaches and convicts him.

For the theoretical (a word I use loosely) discussion of the moral bankruptcy of straight ticket voting, click here.

Basic Illogic 101


Seeing the above on Facebook (from PBS) reminded me of a story I was listening to on NPR this morning – Big Business is having a grudge match in the Texas Legislature, their opponent being religious conservatives. The issue? The above. Business – especially those in Houston, hosting an upcoming event (NCAA basketball, maybe?) – are concerned that overturning the transgender bathroom law will cost millions of dollars as events and businesses pull out.

Religious conservatives are afraid that men will dress in girly clothes and traipse into the women’s restrooms and rape the 9 year olds they find in there.

I’m sure you’ve all heard that explanation before, but I am compelled to say, I KID YOU NOT.

You boys in Texas, you need to think hard about this: No Rapist Is Held Back By A Lack Of Girly Clothes. In fact, we can assume that restrooms, particularly in busy venues, are simply not good for rape. Tragically, it happens – but permitting the transgender to use the one that makes them comfortable isn’t going to lead to mass rapes.

It seems the problem here is that the conservatives chose to take control of the argument, and no one challenged them where it hurts – in the illogic of their base argument. It’s pathetic that is the best they can do, and that so many people listen to it. No doubt it’s because everyone hears R A P E and stop reading. And thinking.

So everyone, THINK. Transgender bathrooms, involving as few people as they do, are a truly trivial issue. The question for religious conservatives is What makes you afraid of doing the right damn thing? ‘cuz it sure isn’t rape concerns. That’s just damn silly.

Word of the Day

Pareidolia:

The ability to see pictures in random forms – as in clouds, tea leaves, and inkblots – is known as pareidolia; the images themselves are called simulacra. Some publicized examples I have made pilgrimages to to [sic] examine include the face of Jesus in the skillet burns of a tortilla; … [“Investigative Files“, Joe Nickell, Skeptical Inquirer (March/April 2017, not online)]

You see pareidolia used relatively frequently in SI.

The Fist Is Not Educated, Ctd

Echoing my thoughts of yesterday, Mustafa Akyol in AL Monitor connects the fearful collapse of a satirical magazine to the collapse of Turkey into a second-rate power:

In short, a Moses cartoon brought about the demise of a satirical magazine [Girgir] even without a political or legal decision having been made. Was this the intention of everyone who condemned the cartoon? Not really. Molinas, a Turkish Jewish businessman who also is editor-in-chief and a writer for Shalom, told Al-Monitor, “The cartoon went beyond the freedom of expression and no wonder its artist made a strong self-criticism.” However, he added, “The closure of Girgir is very saddening for Turkey’s satirical culture.”

What is also sad is that Turkey, once again, is heading toward being a closed society where a dominant point of view intimidates and silences whatever it finds disrespectful. Even mild satires about Ottoman history can be banned — as happened recently to a new film by a prominent actor/director. Religious conservatives now think that they own the state, and they seem quite willing to use it to suppress any form of speech they dislike.

Little do they realize that the more closed a society is, the less dynamic, creative and intelligent it becomes. Little do they realize, in other words, that if they go down this road, Turkey will not become the great power that they dream of. It will become a dull, monotonous and parochial nation producing not much other than mediocrity and conformity.

Not that the leader will admit to it, of course. In his eyes the State will be exalted and first-class.

Because of himself, of course.

Visual Immigration

A friend sent me this animated map by Metrocosm of immigration to America over the centuries. Here’s a snapshot:

Snapshot of US Immigration, 1899, from Metrocosm.

Fascinating data viewer, which I’ve only looked at briefly. They appear to have some other animated maps, which I have not yet examined.

But what I want to know is, why are all the immigrants going to Omaha? More seriously, they could have shown the most popular ports of entry for each year, although I suppose that would been New York and Los Angeles.

Iranian Politics, Ctd

Former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran is supposedly out of the race for President of Iran, but that apparently doesn’t mean he can’t meddle via the candidacy of one of his aides – in revenge on the conservatives who once supported him. Rohollah Faghihi reports in AL Monitor:

During his second term (2009-13), Ahmadinejad repeatedly appointed figures and adopted policies that were considered to be against the views of the supreme leader. As such, conservatives who were once supporters of Ahmadinejad turned against him and labeled his entourage — and especially his senior aide Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei — as the “deviation current.” Indeed, conservatives demanded the dismissal of Mashaei, who was believed to have “deviated the thoughts of Islam,” but Ahmadinejad strongly resisted these calls, saying, “Mashaei means Ahmadinejad, and Ahmadinejad means Mashaei.” …

It is believed that [Ahmadinejad aide] Baghaei’s candidacy is Ahmadinejad’s plan to take revenge on his former friends in the conservative camp by splitting their vote.

Apparently Baghaei’s candidacy is given little chance to succeed, but this was true of the Ahmadinejad run in 2005 as well – and he won. On the other hand, accusations of election rigging are not uncommon, and even credible, so Baghaei’s results may depend more on who he knows than his appeal to voters. Iranian conservatives – particularly leaders – will need to read the tea leaves with great care, otherwise if Baghaei does win, they will face a bitter victory, as they’d risk being shut out of power.

Auburn vs ‘Bama

Alabama may see a political novice on the ballot for Governor at the next election, and here’s CBS Sport‘s (that’s right) Dennis Dodd to tell you about Tommy Tuberville, former coach of Auburn. The fun part? It’s all about who you root for:

Celebrities, actors, athletes and — of course — reality show hosts have already won office seats at state and national levels. Few have experience dipping their toes into the roiling waters of Alabama politics where the conversation starts with one basic question: Who ya pullin’ for?

Another Alabaman’s perception of you depends on the answer: Bama or Auburn.

So you can see why a Tuberville candidacy would be so divisive, uniting, inspiring, perspiring — anything but boring. For 10 of his 21 years as a head coach, Tubs had his greatest success leading the Tigers to an 85-40 record and an SEC title….

Fifty-eight percent of the state’s elected officials are Republican. It’s no secret the majority of state’s fans support Alabama.

“If you can connect with voters on an education message, that’s a big plus,” French said. “Tommy has recruited. He’s seen underprivileged youth come into his program and go out the other door and be a successful professional the rest of their life.

“Those are powerful messages. It’d be fun to package him, to be honest. I might want to dust off my credentials and go with him.”

Sounds like it might be a fun campaign. Would he be like former Governor Ventura and take it very seriously and honestly? I still remember ol’ Jesse saying, “I don’t know, but I’ll hire the best expert in the field to answer that question.” His simple honesty about not knowing everything, contrasted with the highly doctrinaire answers of the other two candidates (Coleman and Humphrey), won it for him. The relative lack of ideology was quite entrancing. His rough edges were less so.

Belated Movie Reviews

She should be muttering “dickheads!” under her breath.

The Civil War movie Belle Starr (1941) is a mediocre tale of the real-life Belle Starr. Portrayed here as a Southern belle of Missouri, dispossessed of her home by a childhood friend who joined the Yankees, this story ignores a number of problems, such as the fact she still have slaves after the Civil War has finished, that her slaves would much rather stay with her than enjoy freedom, and, frankly, she’s a spoiled brat with a vision of southern culture quite at odds with the fact that it was built on the backs of slaves.

She’s a fire-breathing, bullet-spitting bride of Sam Starr, the leader of the post-Civil War rebels in Missouri, but when their Army starts abusing the loyal southerners, she’s had quite enough, only to fall prey to a bounty-hunter.

There’s little to like here, although the cinematography is nice. Characters make idiotic decisions, embrace causes divorced from justice, and mouth dialog that can be a trifle clumsy. They don’t even kiss very well.

Sort of like real life.

But, unless you really are devoted to Randolph Scott or Gene Tierney, or absolutely have to see all the movies made with a character named Blue Duck in them, don’t waste your time with this clunker.

Word of the Day

Moiety:

“The Pueblo leaders were proselytizing in the aftermath of the Revolt, trying to convince people that after kicking out Spanish authority, they needed to live by the laws of the ancestors,” says Preucel. “So they left the mission villages, which were polluted, and built these mesa-top villages.” Hanat Kotyiti, with six-foot-high walls, was organized around two plazas with underground chambers known as kivas, an ancient arrangement with strong ties to the dual social structure that existed in many Pueblo societies before the arrival of the Spanish. Even today, Cochiti is organized into Pumpkin and Turquoise paternal lineages, known as moieties. [“The First American Revolution“, Archaeology (March/April, 2017)]

Also noted in Citizen of the Galaxy, by Robert Heinlein.