How You Know You’re Part Of A Dysfunctional Family

When your family goes to court to block a tell-all book by a family member – because it’s largely accurate. Here’s Steve Benen:

If you’re new to the story, Mary Trump’s book, “Too Much and Never Enough: How My Family Created the World’s Most Dangerous Man,” is scheduled to be released next month. According to her publisher, Simon & Schuster, the book is a “revelatory, authoritative portrait of Donald J. Trump and the toxic family that made him.”

It’s also likely to shed some interesting light on one of the more embarrassing revelations surrounding the president: the New York Times reported that Mary Trump’s book is expected to say she was “a chief source” for the newspaper’s coverage of the president’s finances, “and that she provided the newspaper with confidential tax documents.”

As regular readers may recall, the Times‘ exhaustive research uncovered evidence of “dubious tax schemes” and “outright fraud” that Trump exploited to receive hundreds of millions of dollars from his father. The findings painted a picture in which the president, far from the self-made man he pretends to be, relied heavily on legally dubious family handouts.

There has to be an element of embarrassment to realize the quality of family traditions may not be up to snuff – especially for Donald J. Trump, who is reportedly driven by the opinions of those he perceives as higher on the social ladder himself.

Yep, She Made That

My Arts Editor, that is. The headpiece.

Venetian doctor during the time of the plague. Museo Correr (Wikipedia)

It sits in the entryway hanging from a hook, vaguely menacing. Some night I’ll awaken to see someone slinking around in it.

It’ll be weird.

A Moving Picture Is Worth A Thousand Words

Paul Krugman at The New York Times, commenting on conservative culture, reminds me of something:

In the early 20th century the American South was ravaged by pellagra, a nasty disease that produced the “four Ds” — dermatitis, diarrhea, dementia and death. At first, pellagra’s nature was uncertain, but by 1915 Dr. Joseph Goldberger, a Hungarian immigrant employed by the federal government, had conclusively shown that it was caused by nutritional deficiencies associated with poverty, and especially with a corn-based diet.

However, for decades many Southern citizens and politicians refused to accept this diagnosis, declaring either that the epidemic was a fiction created by Northerners to insult the South or that the nutritional theory was an attack on Southern culture. And deaths from pellagra continued to climb. …

The moral of this story is that America’s uniquely poor response to the coronavirus isn’t just the result of bad leadership at the top — although tens of thousands of lives would have been saved if we had a president who would deal with problems instead of trying to wish them away.

We’re also doing badly because, as the example of pellagra shows, there’s a longstanding anti-science, anti-expertise streak in American culture — the same streak that makes us uniquely unwilling to accept the reality of evolution or acknowledge the threat of climate change.

We aren’t a nation of know-nothings; many, probably most Americans are willing to listen to experts and act responsibly. But there’s a belligerent faction within our society that refuses to acknowledge inconvenient or uncomfortable facts, preferring to believe that experts are somehow conspiring against them.

The denial of science has, of course, been a theme of this blog from virtually the first day, but prose doesn’t have the impact of a good movie, and the within moments of reading Krugman’s column I was thinking of Nuts! (2016) and its recounting of a conservative Midwestern culture embracing a bit of ridiculous medical quackery.

If you’re tired of dry prose, try Nuts! You may laugh at first, but after a while it becomes vastly disquieting.

Don’t Measure Around The Pinky, But Around The Chest

There continues to be a flurry of controversy over President Trump allegedly ordering testing to be slowed down:

President Donald Trump on Tuesday insisted he was serious when he revealed that he had directed his administration to slow coronavirus testing in the United States, shattering the defenses of senior White House aides who argued Trump’s remarks were made in jest.

“I don’t kid. Let me just tell you. Let me make it clear,” Trump told reporters, when pressed on whether his comments at a campaign event Saturday in Tulsa, Okla., were intended as a joke.

“We have got the greatest testing program anywhere in the world. We test better than anybody in the world. Our tests are the best in the world, and we have the most of them. By having more tests, we find more cases,” he continued. [Politico]

And, yes, this is an important issue. However, in a sense it’s a bit of a red cape. If we really want to get a feeling for our current contretemps, there are three numbers and how they’re changing that would strike me as important if I cannot trust that testing is being conducted in an urgent and honest manner.

  1. The ratio of Covid-19 associated hospitalizations to all hospitalizations. The behavior of this number is a proxy for how the coronavirus is impacting vulnerable populations, or, in other words, an inverse correlation for society’s ability to safeguard those populations.
  2. The ratio of Covid-19 cases occupying ICU beds to all ICU beds. The closer this number approaches one, the more worried leaders should be; if this number is trending upwards, it indicates the general infection rate may be trending higher, or a vulnerable population has been breached.
  3. The ratio of Covid-19 associated deaths to all deaths. How this number is changing over time gives us a clue as to how well treatments are working as well as the morbidity of the infection in the general population. It’s imprecise, but the direction of the numbers tell us if things are getting worse or better.

These numbers are vulnerable to political corruption in that they can be improperly collected and/or reported, but they do eliminate the variable of measuring the current rates of infection, which is more vulnerable to political corruption simply through neglect, along with collection and reporting.

And while the entire testing mechanism can be confusing to untrained people, pointing at an ICU overflowing with patients is more easily understood to be a disaster.

Kamala Harris

While I regret that Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) represents California, a state Biden can count in his column and thus doesn’t need any help winning, I think Harris should be Biden’s selection as VP running mate. Perry Bacon, Jr. presents quite the analysis of why Democrats prefer this or that candidate; not being a Democrat, I think I can simply state the reasons I think she’d be a good pick, if not for the traditional reasons of attracting more votes in the election:

  1. Biden owes the black community. Without the black community, Biden would be in his basement with no camera coverage. A lack of gratitude would impact him in many ways, some of which are not obvious, yet are critical.
  2. Harris, as successful State AG and Senator, and being of Black / Asian heritage, presents a positive role model for black and brown women of all ages – in fact, women of all ages.
  3. Harris is young, a couple of years younger than me, in fact. A whipper-snapper. And an important backup to Biden, if he should become ill, or worse. She is active, quite forward in her opinions, and experienced – all important attributes.
  4. She is attractive to moderate Democrats. For all the yakkity yak about Warren, she makes the Democratic middle nervous. She’s whip-smart, but too old to be a backup to Biden – and I think she’s effective as a Senator, so why waste her when she’s problematic in the VP role? Progressives may love Warren, but Harris will attract more votes – or at least not drive them away.

For me, the most attractive attribute is #2, because it’s a long-term good. She brings enough to the table to help Biden win the contest, but it’s her long term impact which will best benefit the United States.

I realize there’s nothing insightful in my list, but sometimes it helps just to enumerate reasons for the various candidates. Those are most of mine.

Doing All For Your Republic

John Bolton in an interview:

“Having seen him in operation for 17 months, I just cannot vote for him again,” Bolton told Inskeep. “I’m planning to write in the name of a conservative Republican, identity to be determined yet. But I will not be voting for Donald Trump, and I will not be voting for [presumptive Democratic nominee] Joe Biden.” [NPR]

If you do not vote for Trump, that’s a single vote subtracted from his vote total.

If you vote for Biden, the only serious challenger, that’s a two vote swing, and you’d be voting for basic governing competency.

But he can’t do it. Just another reason not to trust “Bomb Them” Bolton. He has no real dedication to his country, only to his predilections.

There’s Always That Other Possibility

NewScientist (13 June 2020, paywall) notes a mystery in our technology:

Ships around the world are reporting false locations, seeming to circle Point Reyes near San Francisco when they are actually thousands of kilometres away.

The locations are broadcast by each ship’s Automatic Identification System (AIS). These are required under international law to signal a vessel’s identity and GPS location. Bjorn Bergman of the environmental watchdogs SkyTruth and Global Fishing Watch discovered the anomalies from a historical database of AIS information.

Bergman was tipped off when he noticed records from 2018 and 2019 of satellites receiving AIS locations outside areas they cover, for example, a satellite over West Africa picking up a ship supposedly off California. Vessels affected included a livestock carrier near Libya, a cargo ship in the Suez Canal, a small boat off Chile and a Norwegian tug.

Most incidents lasted just a few hours, but a boat carrying oil workers to installations off the coast of Nigeria spent two weeks apparently circling Point Reyes, then veered off inland to Utah, occasionally jumping back to a Nigerian oil terminal. Most vessels appeared to circle off California, but others were displaced to Madrid or Hong Kong.

The obvious explanation, detailed in the article, is some sort of malicious attack, although exactly why Point Reyes is significant is not apparent. Not noted is the possibility of some sort of flaw in the system.

What lurks in the back of my mind is that this is a symptom of new physics, of something we thought we knew thoroughly, but didn’t. Call me a child, if you like. Sure, it’s not going to be that – but I refuse to stop hoping until hard evidence comes in.

The Ol’ Email Bag

Today I found my link to the conservative bloodstream had sent me a link to an article on Solomon Samuel Simone, which starts …

Solomon Samuel Simone (aka RAZ from CHAZ or CHOP) is the proclaimed warlord of CHAZ, the multi-block area located in Seattle.  Raz hates America but owns multiple guns, luxury automobiles, millions in real estate.

More importantly, Raz is supported by the Islamic government in Dubai. [Notorious conservative site The Gateway Pundit]

So I decided to do a bit of research on this dude. According to the non-conservative websites, which mostly seem to consist of entertainment news and fandom sources, he appears to be a rapper and Seattle resident who has joined the semi-autonomous area of Seattle that is centered around the abandoned Seattle Police precinct. Here’s a WaPo article on the area.

According to the conservative sites?

Solomon Samuel Simone (aka RAZ from CHAZ or CHOP) is the proclaimed warlord of CHAZ, the multi-block area located in Seattle. Raz hates America but owns multiple guns, luxury automobiles, millions in real estate.More importantly, Raz is supported by the Islamic government in Dubai.The leader of CHAZ, Warlord Raz Simone was previously identified running guns …

I don’t have to identify the site I took the above from, because the DuckDuckGo search revealed multiple conservative sites using the same verbiage; in fact, the only site that didn’t in the first couple of pages is the Chinese-oriented, Trump-boosting The Epoch Times. I investigated their article, but they wanted my email address to see it, and I declined the opportunity to be harassed with yet more conservative spam.

So this topic has evolved from a search for truth, which could be difficult to complete, to a statistical evaluation of communications. In this case, we’re seeing multiple conservative sites waging what appears to be a war to discredit a black leader of a protest movement. This is a coordinated effort, not independent investigations, and should at the very least raise suspicions in the mind of the careful reader that anything these sites put out are not worthy of trust – or even of investigation. Given the context, we need only remember that a group without a leader is (sorry, anarchists) usually an ineffective rabble. That’s why leaders are often targeted.

Now excuse me while I chastise my conservative friend for being a sucker.

They’re Not Doing Well, Either

For Americans, the entire subject of testing for Covid-19 is fraught with Federal government incompetence and mendacity. But how about in other places? NewScientist’s (13 June 2020) Adam Vaughn reports on UK testing efforts:

Officially, more than 5.7 million tests have been conducted in the UK so far, with 142,123 tests on 6 June. However, those simple totals mask a complex series of different tests.

A sizeable chunk of that daily count, 26,802, are antibody tests carried out under testing strategy pillars 3 and 4. These tests are used to see if someone has previously had the coronavirus, and for research on the virus’s spread. Such tests aren’t informative for detecting or tracing new cases, or advising someone on whether they should self-isolate.

The bulk of the daily number, 79,685 on 6 June, are “have you got it” nose-and-throat swab tests for people outside of hospitals, known as pillar 2. Those include tests posted to people at home, although these may not ever be taken or processed. There has also been a degree of double counting – for example, if a person’s nose and throat is swabbed separately, that may be counted as two tests.

The remaining 35,636 on 6 June were swab tests to confirm infection among hospital patients and staff, called pillar 1.

When tests are combined and counted up in this way, the government has been able to say it has met its targets – the most recent of these was 200,000 daily tests by the end of May. But without knowing how many people are being tested and to what extent double counting and unprocessed tests contribute to the totals, it is difficult for independent experts to say whether enough testing is taking place to understand and control the UK outbreak.

“Early on, what we really wanted to know was how lethal this condition was and we can’t get anywhere close to that until we know how many people have had the infection. If we wanted to know the infection fatality rate, we can only guess at the moment,” says Jason Oke at the University of Oxford.

Additionally, for monitoring how the country comes out of lockdown, Oke says “what we really need to do is have a system where we can monitor potential spikes in positive cases. We can only do that if we have clear data on who’s getting tested and how many people are getting tested, not just total numbers of tests.”

And more and more. It all smacks of political check-marking, which is not useful to scientists trying to understand the nature of the epidemic. Understanding leads to more effective reactions on our part, from treatments to prevention, and if we don’t let it be guided by science, rather than politicians frantic to meet goals set by other politicians, then we’re not going to have an effective response.

One item I wish the article had addressed but did not was the matter of economics: is testing constrained by financial concerns? The attentive reader will note that I used a very standard phraseology as not to activate the fight or flight response, but my own reaction is that letting financial concerns play into testing is a mistake: wealthy countries such as the UK and the US should be able to attack problems like this head-on, not cutting corners and thus endangering data completeness and integrity.

In other words: No accountants should be anywhere near the top of the decision making pyramid! We’re not the sort of societies which must make a choice between lives and wealth.

The 2020 Senate Campaign: Iowa

When it comes to November, it appears Senator Jodi Ernst (R-IA) remains vulnerable, according to a Civiqs Poll conducted for The Daily Kos:

Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA)

1. If the election for U.S. senator from Iowa were held today, who would you vote
for?

Theresa Greenfield, Democrat 48%
Joni Ernst, Republican 45%
Someone else 3%
Unsure 3%

A Des Moines Register/MediaCom poll also puts Senator Ernst in the danger zone:

Fresh off a four-way primary race that drew millions in outside spending, Democrat Theresa Greenfield leads Republican Sen. Joni Ernst by 3 percentage points in Iowa’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

According to the poll, 46% of likely voters say they would back Greenfield if the election were held today, and 43% say they would back Ernst.

“This is definitely a competitive race,” said J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the poll. She said the poll contains other “warning signs” for Ernst and noted that this is the first Iowa Poll conducted since Ernst first ran in 2014 in which she has trailed her general election opponent.

Vulnerable but not yet firmly put in the upset column, unlike Senator McSally (R-AZ), whose deficit continues to widen into double digits as November approaches. If Ernst’s gap becomes larger, will Ernst decide to throw President Trump under the bus and strike out on her own, showing independence and disapproval for his behaviors, or would that be political suicide? In the face of the unexpectedly low turnout for the Tulsa Trump rally, it might be a viable option.

And Why Carry, Either?, Ctd

A reader responds to my remarks that traffic stops shouldn’t necessarily require the officer carry a gun:

Sorry Hue, this one is plain dumb.

The Castile incident had problems on both sides I give Castile 60% of the blame, maybe a bit more, and it could have just as easily resulted in death for your unarmed traffic stop only cop. Read the report on the death again. Hell, even use the CNN one – that was pretty accurate – if you want to avoid conservative bias. The Wikipedia entry is also valid. If indeed Castile had been stopped :”more than 40 times” in that area, he knew the drill. Dunno about you, but on the rare times I’m stopped by the time the officer gets to my car I have my license and insurance in hand, with hands on top of the steering wheel and window down, with wallet on dash in case he needs anything else. Castile knew that, but probably because he was so wasted he didn’t do that, and instead says “I have a gun” and goes digging on his strong side for his wallet, failing to stop the motion when the officer yells at him to do so. Change this scenario to the all to common one where a driver or passenger _does_ go for a gun, and your unarmed cop has about two seconds to run for cover before becoming a statistic. The whole unarmed police in the US argument is completely invalid.

I’m guessing you have no one in your family who’s a LEO? Or know anyone who is? ANY incident can go from calm to deadly in the space of a few seconds. And the “we’ll have social workers respond to mental illness calls” and “medical staff respond to OD calls” is also deadly. We already have too many ambush setups in the US against responders. The police are the first response people to, among other things, evaluate the security of the situation. In my EMT-B training it was very explicit: Make sure the police have secured a situation before entering it. If you send medical before police you risk completely helpless medical staff. Sorry, I reiterate, this was plain dumb.

I must admit, I’m fascinated by how my correspondent has been trained to perceive the cops as a trigger-happy, dangerous group who must be carefully managed, and I don’t like it. I don’t have any sort of cure for it, but I deplore it and I think it is symptomatic of the current distrust between the citizenry and the cops these days.

Concerning the actual incident, my reader’s summary agrees with my recollection of the various summaries I’ve read since the incident. Yeah, it wasn’t smart to be high while driving, and carrying while driving also seems unwise. But he apparently was complying with the law by announcing he had it.

Whether or not it’s dumb to not send armed police to all incidents appears to be already up for experiment, as I noted in this post when corresponding with a different reader:

* The “Crisis Assistance Helping Out On The Streets” (CAHOOTS) of Eugene Oregon. CAHOOTS is a part of the 911 system such that they will be selected as the first responders — ahead of police — for situations involving mental health. Eugene Police Officers say ” [CAHOOTS provides] resources not available to the ordinary cop…They are an invaluable resource”.

I haven’t had time to track down CAHOOTS to see if it’s still in use and its record. OK, I did a quick search, it appears to be associated with the White Bird Clinic of Eugene, OR:

CAHOOTS (Crisis Assistance Helping Out On The Streets) provides mobile crisis intervention 24/7 in the Eugene-Springfield Metro area. CAHOOTS is dispatched through the Eugene police-fire-ambulance communications center, and within the Springfield urban growth boundary, dispatched through the Springfield non-emergency number. Each team consists of a medic (either a nurse or an EMT) & a crisis worker (who has at least several years experience in the mental health field). CAHOOTS provides immediate stabilization in case of urgent medical need or psychological crisis, assessment, information, referral, advocacy & (in some cases) transportation to the next step in treatment. CAHOOTS offers a broad range of services, including but not limited to: …

This link has some articles on CAHOOTS from 2019. There’s a Wikipedia page, but I don’t see any sort of assessment of results. This link suggests they have a long history, actually.

On July 4, 1989, CAHOOTS began its first shift funded by the [Eugene Police Department] with a second-hand beat-up van. When emergency dispatch received calls that required help but not law enforcement, they routed the call to CAHOOTS. At first, the group worked 40 hours a week, and they have since expanded to 24-hour service, four crisis vans and a total of nearly 50 employees.

1989? And I’ve never heard of them. You’d think Whole Earth Review would have mentioned them at least once. But with that sort of longevity and apparently moving on to other cities, according to Wikipedia, such as Austin, TX, Denver, Oakland, NYC, and others, sending in specialized groups rather than armed police may be a compelling model. Perhaps not for traffic stops, although I still am dismayed at the entire procedure my correspondent feels is necessary, but perhaps for some situations.

Morning Gs

My Arts Editor wants morning glories, but she started with a couple of already-growing specimens, not from seed. They seem to be moving right along.

Gotta like that light blue one.

Those Little Inaccuracies

Science folks often try to be precise by admitting to a certain imprecision, generally expressed as “plus / minus”, or ±. You see it in polling, in measurements of physical quantities, just about anything. This, however, seems a trifle excessive when it comes to biology:

“I don’t think the scaling equations are wrong,” says Wedel. “I think they’re imprecise.” The main problem is the margin of error, which can be 30 tonnes or more for a gigantic sauropod. Despite its imprecision, the method is popular among dinosaur palaeontologists because it is easy to use, even without a good understanding of sauropod anatomy. They aren’t necessarily concerned by its shortcomings. Biologically and behaviourally speaking, a 30-tonne sauropod was probably similar to a 60-tonne one, says Campione, and pinning down body mass more precisely arguably has limited scientific value. [“The biggest dinosaur ever may have been twice the size we thought,” Colin Barras, NewScientist (13 June 2020, paywall)]

So, off by 30 tonnes for a 30 ton sauropod? Perhaps ±15 tonnes for an estimate of 45 tonnes, just so we don’t end up including an infamously weightless dinosaur when we’re doing the math?

ooof.

And that Puertasaurus above? Deduced from …

[The only specimen] consists of four well-preserved vertebrae, including one cervical, one dorsal, and two caudal vertebrae.

Visually, again from Wikipedia

I have no problem with deduction, but working from all of four – monstrous – vertebra seems amazing.

The Wrap Up

Regarding the much-discussed Tulsa, Oklahoma Trump Rally last night, Heather Cox Richardson reports:

The other big story today was, of course, Trump’s rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma, designed to jumpstart his campaign and reunite him with the crowds that energize him. His campaign manager, Brad Parscale, along with the president himself, has spent days crowing that almost a million tickets had been reserved, and the campaign had built an outside stage for overflow crowds.

But far fewer than the 19,000 people Tulsa’s BOK Center could hold showed up: the local fire marshal said the number was just under 6,200. Young TikTok users and fans of Korean pop music (so-called “K-Pop stans”), along with Instagram and Snapchat users, had quietly ordered tickets to prank the campaign. The technological savvy of their generation has turned political: they knew that the Trump campaign harvests information from ticket reservations, bombarding applicants with texts and requests for donations. So they set up fake accounts and phone numbers to order the tickets, then deleted the fake accounts. They also deleted their social media posts organizing the plan to keep it from the attention of the Trump campaign.

And while it’s great to make this President, corrupt as he is, look this bad, it makes me wonder about the character of future contests. More of the no-holds-barred corruption of each others’ events? Or will technology be developed to stop it?

Or will everyone who’s actually an American just stop being assholes?

There is a hidden blessing in the reduced attendance, artificial or not: that’s fewer people available to catch and spread Covid-19, in a space that’s not as crowded as anticipated. It’s not worth breathing the traditional sigh of relief, but it’s still a slight blessing, saith the agnostic.

Kevin Drum:

But worst of all, it sounds like Trump’s schtick is boring. Apparently he can’t even get much applause when he attacks Joe Biden.

Rayne on EmptyWheel notes another potentially impeachable offense:

He’s made comments before about the number of tests correlating to the number of cases. Comic Sarah Cooper has famously riffed on this.

But this time he’s expressed an intent to withhold health care from the public for personal aims — to keep the reported number of cases artificially low, without regard to the effect this would have on actual reduction of COVID-19 cases.

Aside from revealing again he’s so utterly toxic, this statement needs investigation. It’s impeachable if he both demanded a reduction or slow-down in tests, especially if he did so for the purposes of improving his polling numbers.

More generally, the campaign is not drawing rave reviews. Here’s National Review’s Andy McCarthy:

It’s an old story: fighting the next war with the last war’s battle plan, as if prior success guarantees future victory. So here was President Trump after the Supreme Court gave him another thumping on Thursday, vowing to release “a new list of Conservative Supreme Court Justice nominees” in September — i.e., around the back stretch galloping toward the Election Day finish line.

The president reasons: “Based on decisions being rendered now, this list is more important than ever before (Second Amendment, Right to Life, Religious Liberty, etc.).” Lest we miss the characteristically Trumpian subtlety, he adds, “VOTE 2020!”

If you needed a laugh to get you through just-another-day-at-the-Apocalypse, our “Conservative” president then proceeded to post no fewer than 21 tweets describing the combined hundreds of millions of dollars in infrastructure spending he plans to shovel out to states he hopes to win in November.

By the way, with Trump in the White House and the McConnell-led Republican Senate having slyly buried periodic public debates over the debt limit, the nation is now over $26 trillion in the red. If you’re keeping score, that’s an increase of over $6 trillion since January 20, 2017. Obama spending was unprecedented, but Trump is on pace to exceed it. And don’t tell me about the unforeseen coronavirus crisis; debt was already accumulating mountainously before the lockdown, and the president keeps saying more infrastructure spending is imperative — it may be the only thing he and congressional Democrats can agree on.

And Steve Berman on the conservative The Resurgent (home of Erick Erickson) with an early historical overview of the debris field of President Donald J. Trump:

President Trump’s irresistible urge regarding institutions is to smash them. Whatever useful purpose they serve is only important to Trump when those purposes serve him. One example, the “police” as a concept is great when Trump is preaching Law & Order, but the FBI (and by extension, the DOJ) is a Deep State hive of Obamaites shovel-ready to bury the glorious reign of MAGA.

Another: the Supreme Court is the most important institution in America, carving legal protections for Americans besieged by liberal activist judges who create rights out of whole cloth. That is, until “but Gorsuch” sides with the enemy, forcing us to navel gaze at our conservative values as we are betrayed by the institution.

Gotta love the lead-in, as well as the finish:

Trump’s presidency will, in hindsight, likely be framed as the old man kicking down the last of the fences established by the WWII veterans who craved order, institutions, and traditions to guide our culture. In turn, the mobs against Trump are fed by the same streak of hedonism and anti-institutional need to smash. This is the fruit of Trump’s tree.

Against this, the institutions, and those who maintain them, are pushing back for their very survival. This president, who needs the institutions to defend, protect and preserve the Constitution, continues to spend his days undermining the very thing he swore to protect.

Which all comes out to me as a description of Trump as an immature, self-centered brat. Back in 2016 when he was running, an old friend noted, rather in horror, that Trump exhibited all the characteristics of a pathological narcissist, and it appears that time has borne her out.

This truth is apparent to those who force themselves to stare at this President. But what about those who don’t, who still think he’s a heckuva President? CNN had interviews with three 2016 Trump supporters, and I was struck by how they seem unmoved by Trump’s missteps and failures. I think the first interview would be particularly useful for study by Democrats:

“We put Democrats in office and she turned around and forgot completely about us,” [Scott] Seitz told Van Jones back in 2016. “We are what makes this world go ’round. We built the tanks and bombs that won this country’s wars and for you to come through here and completely neglect us, we would have rather vote for anybody instead of her.”

Today, he’s very troubled by Trump’s reaction to the protests and walk to St. John’s Church.

“I think he handled it like an arrogant businessman that he is, showing lack of compassion for people. What he did out in front of the church and making those folks move and smoke bombs and tear gas or whatever it was. Just so he can get to that vista and have that shot of him holding that Bible up with that prop. … If he’s any form of religious guy like he says, then he wouldn’t have done that,” said Seitz, adding, “that was about the last straw for a lot of folks.”

Still, Seitz says while he has reservations, he plans to vote for Trump.

“I dislike Biden that much and don’t feel he’s going to lead our country. I only support him about 10%. Trump’s only about 25%,” he said.

Addressing his concerns might go far to bring his and his fellows to the Democratic side of things – but it can’t be empty. Just as black community concerns about police and system racism cannot be given a hand wave in the event of a Democratic win in November, neither can this guy’s.

And it’s worth talking about previously forbidden topics, such as nullifying free trade agreements. I recall the mainly libertarian arguments from years ago that free trade would reduce duplication of effort and accelerate the development of new technologies as nations specialized and concentrated on what they did well. While the accounting for these attributes holds up well, I believe, it’s time to ask if they are worth the unaccounted for negatives, and even if they are positives as well. Some factors include concerns Covid-19 has exposed about supply lines collapsing; the collapse of local farming communities as cheap foreign food floods markets; and the failure to retrain workers in local sectors that have been flooded with foreign goods.

Underlying much of this is the existence of a fabulously cheap cargo transit system which contributes to anthropogenic climate change.

All of these factors and more need to become part of a discussion that includes these dispossessed workers. Is free trade just another tool for the ultra-rich to simply increase the definitional lower limit of their category, leaving everyone else with little or nothing in their mad quest to accumulate more and more? It’s time to sit down and soberly tot up the results, good & bad, of free trade.

And I say this as someone who thought free trade sounded good when NAFTA was proposed.

 

The Trump Swamp, Ctd

Maybe someone whispered in the Administration’s ear about how bad this looks. In the first entry on this thread, I noted that the Administration’s refusal to release information on who was receiving Small Business Administration emergency loans, despite an earlier agreement, was simply another marker of corruption. Treasury Secretary and denizen of the Trump Swamp announced a reversal of policy:

The U.S. Small Business Administration and Treasury Department announced Friday that they would release a data set showing which businesses received many taxpayer-funded Paycheck Protection Program loans, walking back an earlier stance that all of the business names would remain hidden because the Trump administration considered them proprietary.

The disclosures will include the names of recipients who received loans of more than $150,000 and it will also reveal a dollar range for each loan, such as whether it was between $1 million and $2 million. Precise dollar amounts will not be disclosed, the Trump administration said. Borrowers who obtained loans of less than $150,000 will not have their identities disclosed. The administration said nearly 75 percent of all loans were for $150,000 or more, so most borrowers would be revealed.

The announcement came after several weeks of tense negotiations with congressional leadership, in which members of both parties pressed for some form of disclosure. The plan announced Friday amounts to an attempted compromise in which most loan recipients will be made public while specific details would be obscured.

“We are striking the appropriate balance of providing public transparency, while protecting the payroll and personal income information of small businesses, sole proprietors, and independent contractors,” Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in a statement. [WaPo]

I am an American Citizen, so I can say I’m pleased that something is worked out, but very displeased that it took this beating around the bush to get there. And the news that most safeguards against fraud were not implemented due to the emergency situation is, of course, depressing. I have to wonder how many of Trump’s “friends” will unethically benefit from that.

But speaking of beating around the bush, I sometimes wonder if blunders like this might play a part.

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), who played a lead role in designing the program, said he was satisfied with the plan announced Friday.

“The American people deserve to know how effective the PPP was in protecting our nation’s small businesses and the tens of millions of Americans they employ. That is the standard by which we must measure the success of the PPP: how many paychecks were protected,” Rubio said in a statement.

Deserve? Deserve? What the bloody hell have we done to deserve such information?

No, the proper reason is because American society will run more efficiently with that information out there. No one really trusts corporations, but if we have that information available, we can check to see who took advantage of the loans, and then go on to determine if they fit our mental criteria for those loans – or if they just supped illicitly at the buffet.

I don’t blame Rubio for such imprecise thinking, for it’s a common rhetorical device in today’s society. But, having become aware of the importance of how information is communicated as well as what is communicated, I do tend to twitch at such ludicrous assertions. The twitching is particularly large if I’ve just gotten off work, where a literal mindset helps the work proceed more smoothly. And I wonder how much such imprecise rhetoric reflects poor cognitive processes that lead players such as Mnuchin to, somehow, claim that such information is proprietary and confidential, when, as Rampell pointed out in the article that started this thread, the very application forms made it clear that the information would be public.

Or is he just trying to get away with anything possible?

A Repeating Echo

It’s worth noting that police killings of unarmed civilians is not unique to the United States. Eleven months ago the death of Solomon Tekah unsettled Israel, as Mazal Mualem reported at the time in AL Monitor:

Tekah, 18, was killed on the night of June 30 in a public park in Kiryat Haim. The police officer who fired the shot said he was at the site with his family when he saw a group of young people fighting. He tried to break it up, but they started attacking him and even threw rocks at him. Feeling that his life was in danger, he pulled out his gun and fired a single shot into the ground. Tekah was killed by that shot.

The protest that erupted after Tekah’s funeral was one of the most violent Israel has ever seen. It continues to reverberate across the country and could erupt again when the investigation’s final findings are released. The protest is giving voice to a growing sense of distrust among weaker sectors of the population for the various law enforcement agencies, chief among them the police and the Department of Internal Investigations. For the Ethiopian community, these two bodies represent the institutionalized racism they face because of the color of their skin, more than anyone else. As the Ethiopian community sees it, the Department of Internal Investigations will always trample on their rights. Perhaps that is true, but even if it is not the case, feelings such as this point to an unhealthy and potentially volatile social situation. …

The killing of Tekah opened a Pandora’s box that refuses to be shut. Dozens of horrific stories of racism, beatings and false arrests directed at the Ethiopian community have been making the rounds over the last few days, both in the press and on social media. The worst of these describe violence and abuse by the police. “Shut down that tainted organization known as the Department of Internal Investigations!” was a popular chant at protests last week. It shows that there has been a complete breakdown of trust in the system.

Has the situation improved in Israel? From the AL Monitor email that caught my attention:

This month, the incoming deputy minister of public security, Gadi Yevarkan, a member of the Likud party and a child of Ethiopian immigrants, has proposed legislation to dismantle the Internal Affairs department and place it under the Justice Ministry.

His ally in the fight is Pnina Tamano-Shata, the first Israeli of Ethiopian origin to serve in the Knesset (parliament) and the minister of immigrant absorption.

“The very fact that Yevarkan and Tamano-Shata were appointed to senior positions in government is especially important to the fight against institutional racism,” Danny Zaken writes. “Their test will be whether they succeed in bringing about real change in the coming years.”

Perhaps they’re also endeavouring to take the difficult but necessary hike to remove racism.

More recent events in Israel-controlled Palestine (police killing), Tunisia (general racism), and concerning French sculptures insulting to Egypt are also noted.

Getting beyond our xenophobic natures will be a difficult but necessary task if we wish to avoid a blood-soaked future in which the vulnerable innocents are the victims.

Perhaps Loyalty Is Not Their Priority

I found the implicit and, in my mind, false assumptions of this statement to be revealing, if not surprising:

Two Republican-appointed members of the court, including Trump’s first pick, Neil M. Gorsuch, and Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr., have made clear that their opinions will not always be predictable when it comes to issues important to Republicans. They each joined with liberal justices to defeat Trump administration priorities this week.

The court has also refused to take up cases for the next term that had been championed by conservatives, including cases on gun rights and California’s sanctuary cities law.

These twists have deeply frustrated conservatives. “The left and the right are playing to a different set of rules,” said Ralph Reed, chairman of the Faith & Freedom Coalition, a conservative religious group, after the Gorsuch ruling on Monday. “They seem to be able to appoint people who largely if not universally hew to the party line. On the right it feels sometimes that at best you are batting .500 sometimes.” [WaPo]

As if the justices are just hand puppets? Reed is a long-time veteran of the cultural wars, which means that his prism is all about politics and how to win them. You put enough conservatives on SCOTUS, and you should win all the important cultural cases: that’s how his mind works.

But that’s not how SCOTUS should work, and while I wonder sometimes about Justices Alito and Thomas, I think, given how many unanimous decisions we also see, that the Justices, in the main, try to do the jobs for which they’ve been hired.

Given all that, then, I think where Reed sees treachery and is perplexed that the Democrat-nominated Justices are so much more united than the Republcan-favored Justices, perhaps it’s simply this: the proper decision in these cases that leave him at a loss are those of the liberal wing, and the conservative wing defectors recognize that and vote that way.

Ideally, the Justices are not wind up dolls, but experts in the law who often deal with the hardest, most subtle cases, and deliver honest answers consonant with Constitution and law. That should be what they strive for. If Reed cannot figure this out, he should go get a janitor’s job and stop pretending to be a leader. Yeah, every time he gets my attention over the last thirty years, it’s never been favorable. He’s just another power-hungry bomb thrower, inflaming the mob to his own benefit.

Crabby, I am.

Word Of The Day

Semantic paraphasia:

John Gartner, a psychologist and a former assistant professor at Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, wrote last year in USA Today that there are two signs of language skills deteriorating. “Semantic paraphasia” means you substitute an incorrect word for a correct one. For example, when Trump discussed the “origins” of the Mueller investigation, he said: “I hope they now go and take a look at the oranges, the oranges of that investigation, the beginnings of that investigation.” [“Trump is going to freak out when he sees this,”, Jennifer Rubin, WaPo]

Although I think there’s a better word or phrase, although I cannot think of it right now. The thing I notice is not that he’s using the wrong word, but the word, oranges, sounds a lot like the word he meants, origins.

Heavens knows I’ve done that a time or two.

And, in fact, the next paragraph gives me that phrase:

The second, Gartner explains, is “phonemic paraphasia,” or the substitution of one word with a similar sounding non-word. For example, calling Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu “Betanyahu” or saying “bigly” instead of “big league.” Such slip-ups are not proof of cognitive decline, but Gartner says they can be linked to moderate to severe stages of Alzheimer’s.

Belated Movie Reviews

It’s shark vs chainsaw!

Sharknado (2013) is a gleefully mad little tale of tangled family dynamics, accentuated by sharks flying through the sky to remove meddlesome outsiders, as Fin Shepard battles through hurricanes and tornadoes on the coast of Los Angeles, both burdened with sharks which keep raining down on an incredulous population. Acting ranged from good to awful; special effects and stock footage from awful to excellent.

Yeah, it’s silly. And, if you’re in the mood for bloody fluff, fun.

It’s Like A TV Sho-

I am so fucking tired of writing about Trump, but reading Professor Heather Cox Richardson this morning made me laugh, because it’s just becoming a TV comedy show: Trump’s the comedian, and Barr is his ludicrous little sidekick:

Trump tried to fire the US Attorney from the Southern District of New York [SDNY], Geoffrey S. Berman, who has managed a series of cases against Trump and his allies, including Trump fixer Michael Cohen, Trump lawyer Rudolph Giuliani, and Lev Parnas and Igor Fruman, who were indicted for funneling Russian money to Republican candidates for office. Berman is reported to be investigating Trump’s finances, among many other things.

It happened like this: Attorney General William Barr issued a statement announcing that Berman would be stepping down and that Trump would nominate Jay Clayton to replace him. Clayton has never been a prosecutor. He is currently the head of the Securities and Exchange Commission, but before he took that position he was a lawyer who, among other things, represented Deutsche Bank. Deutsche Bank is the only bank that would work with Trump after his bankruptcies. It might have given him loans he did not repay, and the Russian money-laundering that landed the bank in legal trouble might have helped Trump.

Legal analyst and Congressional staffer Daniel Goldman noted that this whole scenario was unusual. Normally, when a US Attorney leaves, that person’s deputy takes over. Bringing in a replacement from elsewhere meant that “Trump/Barr did not want anyone at SDNY running the office—likely because there was a serious disagreement.”

But then things got crazier. Berman issued his own statement, saying “I learned in a press release from the Attorney General tonight that I was ‘stepping down’ as United States Attorney. I have not resigned, and have no intention of resigning, my position to which I was appointed by the Judges of the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York.” …

What’s Berman saying? Well, it might be that Trump’s preference for “acting,” rather than Senate-confirmed, officials has come back to bite him. Berman was not Senate-confirmed; he is an interim U.S. Attorney. By law, the Attorney General can appoint an interim U.S. Attorney for 120 days. At the end of that time, the court can appoint that person indefinitely.

And SDNY, as Richardson notes, is the location of a number of potentially critical Trump investigations. Is Berman, appointed by Trump, even a donor to Trump during his initial campaign, a member in spirit of The Lincoln Project now? The Trump Administration’s timeline is filled with scandal after scandal, any one of which would have brought down a President with professions of honor; only a man of Trump’s lowly caliber would persevere. But it appears that former National Security Advisor John Bolton also has an opinion:

… but former National Security Advisor John Bolton suggested another reason in his forthcoming book: he apparently claims Trump assured Turkey’s autocratic leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan he would fill the SDNY with his own loyalists, which would enable him to do Erdogan a political favor.

Fethullah Gülen

And who is out on the East Coast? Old Erdoğan hated rival Fethullah Gülen, here seen in a separate plot involving Trump and discredited former National Security Advisor and potential prison inhabitant Michael Flynn. I don’t know if SDNY would be responsible for deportation proceedings against Gülen, which is the desire, last I heard, of Turkey and Erdogan, but it makes a lot of sense – if you trust Bolton. I do not.

The question would then be: What’s the payback for Trump? Or does Erdoğan have blackmail material on Trump? There’s still some puzzle pieces missing, and half a paragraph later I’m still not trusting Bolton, but this is certainly a compelling story, from DA Berman’s defiance of AG Barr right down to another attempt on the liberty, and probably the life, of Gülen. I shall be looking forward to the eventual reveal when it comes to his scandal, along with whatever straight line is given Barr. If there’s a God, surely he hates Barr.

And, if indeed Gülen’s fate is where this is heading, the character of the United States takes yet another step down in the eyes of the world.

Means matter.