Not Enough For Everyone

I can’t help but think of the over-populated elite described by Turchin, et al, in Secular Cycles and War and Peace and War in connection with this WaPo report on Facebook’s Meta’s dirty tricks take-down of TikTok:

Facebook parent company Meta is paying one of the biggest Republican consulting firms in the country to orchestrate a nationwide campaign seeking to turn the public against TikTok.

The campaign includes placing op-eds and letters to the editor in major regional news outlets, promoting dubious stories about alleged TikTok trends that actually originated on Facebook, and pushing to draw political reporters and local politicians into helping take down its biggest competitor. These bare-knuckle tactics, long commonplace in the world of politics, have become increasingly noticeable within a tech industry where companies vie for cultural relevance and come at a time when Facebook is under pressure to win back young users.

Employees with the firm, Targeted Victory, worked to undermine TikTok through a nationwide media and lobbying campaign portraying the fast-growing app, owned by the Beijing-based company ByteDance, as a danger to American children and society, according to internal emails shared with The Washington Post.

I can’t help but wonder how much the relentless investor drumbeat of “higher profits! higher profits!” contributes to honorless campaigns such as this:

That trend led Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) to write a letter in September calling on TikTok executives to testify in front of a Senate subcommittee, saying the app had been “repeatedly misused and abused to promote behavior and actions that encourage harmful and destructive acts.” But according to an investigation by Anna Foley at the podcast network Gimlet, rumors of the “devious licks” challenge initially spread on Facebook, not TikTok.

Perhaps we need a law that denies smartphones to children – anyone under 18. Sorry, kids, you’ll have to find some other way to amuse yourselves! It won’t work, of course.

Shearing The Bumbling Investor?, Ctd

WaPo has an article on cryptocurrency industry efforts to convince candidates for elected office to support cryptocurrency legitimacy and usage, and it struck me as a good addition to this thread. What impressed me is that the description, the quotes, are really a bit weaselly. Possibly the most misleading is this one:

Those opposing views are squaring off in some Democratic primaries. Rhodes, a veteran of Andrew Yang’s 2020 presidential campaign who is echoing his call for universal basic income, frames her support for crypto as a matter of economic justice. And she is featuring it in her challenge against Sherman, a senior member of the House Financial Services Committee who has called for cracking down on the technology.

“What I hear in the Black community all the time is, ‘We want ownership and to acquire wealth,’ ” Rhodes said. “I’ve met people who’ve pulled themselves out of poverty because of bitcoin.”

What Rhodes fails to mention is the context of bitcoin at the moment. Its value is quite volatile, sometimes wildly so, and is not functioning as a primary currency, but as a speculative investment. Did Rhodes’ examples make their money by taking advantage of these temporary, even pathological, conditions?

I don’t know. But yes is the way to bet.

That’s not the only example, the careful reader will find several more quotes that carry red flags, such as this one:

The Democrat [, Senator Wyden (D-OR)], who chairs the tax-writing Senate Finance Committee, emerged as a key industry ally last summer when he led an effort to limit the scope of a crypto tax provision in the infrastructure bill. When attendees arrived at the venue — an art gallery in downtown New York that showcases non-fungible tokens — they were asked to scan a QR code for a Coinbase account linked to Wyden’s campaign. They then contributed either a half or full Ethereum, which the campaign immediately sold for U.S. dollars and deposited into its account.

The Wyden campaign collected nearly $30,000 in Ethereum that month, federal records show. His campaign did not respond to a request for comment.

David Pakman, managing partner at the investment firm CoinFund, said the industry will continue to employ the model. “The only way to understand technology products is to use them,” he said. “If we contribute in crypto, [candidates] are forced to become users to receive them, and that’s a good thing.”

No, technology can be understood through analysis, and it can be understood through object lessons. His statement is mere propaganda.

But particularly interesting is that the Wyden campaign immediately converted Ethereum into dollars. While it can be argued that dollars have greater utility, the suspicion remains that the Wyden campaign has just relieved the donors of a lot of wealth – and converted it into a far more secure form.

There’s more, but I’m stopping here.

Belated Movie Reviews

Probably known as Necking Man, but possibly as Bad Hair Dude. Except that the good guy’s hair is frickin’ amazing.
In a horrible sort of way. Kinda like me, ten years ago.

Big Man Japan (2007) examines an important problem in today’s Japan: if you’re the alter-ego of a kaiju-fighting giant, how does that affect your ordinary life? Masaru Daisatō, like several of his recent forefathers, makes his living defending Japan from the occasional monster, and this documentary about him.

Unfortunately, his efforts are not universally celebrated, as his fights have collateral damage, and sometimes his success is definitely limited. This leaks into his private life, as his wife loathes him, and his young daughter does not adore him; indeed, she may fear that she’ll be following in his footsteps, which when they’re not being made by huge feet in sandals, appear to involve a lot of lying around awaiting a phone call from the government, and otherwise meditating on a future that is definitely cloudy, if not outright depressing.

Eventually, Big Man Japan wanders off into incomprehensibility – at least for me – which left my Arts Editor and I goggling at the screen in wonder at a group of kaiju-sized fighters who seem to be playing a game.

This is definitely a strange one, but at least it has high production values.

If Not This, Then That

Michael Gerson has written a lovely column summarizing much of what I’ve been saying for years, using much lovelier prose.

I will now paraphrase his wisdom somewhat more pithily:

If your Divinity cannot materialize on that hilltop over there and confirm what you say, then your claims to position and power are arrogant and empty assertions that will lead us all to disaster. So fuck off with your self-righteous anger.

Thanks.

That Faux Moral Equality Thing

The Washington Times reports that Rep Jim Jordan (R-OH) has plans for the next session of Congress:

Rep. Jim Jordan of Ohio, the top Republican on the House Judiciary Committee who is poised to control the panel if the GOP takeover next year, said Republicans must consider impeaching President Biden.

He said the GOP should weigh impeaching Mr. Biden for failures in office, most notably his administration’s inability to stop a massive influx of illegal immigration through the southern border.

“I think that’s definitely a discussion we have to have,” Mr. Jordan told The Washington Times at a Republican planning retreat in Florida.

Does he have a point?

Not that I can say.

We’re seeing here a Republican Party which, despite it being poised to take advantage of Democratic Party miscues and foolishness – and its own gerrymandering – is in desperate straits. It’s faced with a Democratic Party that is generally far more competent than itself, the competent Republicans have left or are leaving, and, as my frequent references to moral equality should make clear, they are desperate to throw mud on the Democrats in an effort to take attention off its own incompetency.

But this would be a valuable moment for all independent voters, if it ever comes to pass. Why? Because, unless Jordan and his allies come up with a substantive matter worthy of impeachment, we independents will know which Republicans are incompetents that need to be replaced by whether or not they vote for impeachment.

It Looks A Lot Worse In Retrospect

Former President Trump has that rare capability to same things that just look worse and worse, doesn’t he? I’m not sure Steve Benen, from where I’m taking this, is actually realizing that:

A couple of weeks before Election Day 2020, the then-U.S. president thought it’d be a good idea to boast about how much more authoritarians prefer him to his rival. “The only thing I can tell you for sure President Xi from China, President Putin from Russia, Kim Jong-un [from] North Korea, and I could name 40 others — they’re sharp as a tack, they don’t want to deal with Sleepy Joe,” Trump said at the time.

In the face of the disaster of Putin’s War, if those autocrats of Trump’s favor are really that smart, yeah, they’d rather deal with Trump, rather than hard-as-nails President Biden. Trump’s easy to manipulate.

The 50+ years of experience that Biden has accumulated is an entirely different deal from amateur businessman Trump.

And don’t forget it.

Who Was Gaffed?

The excitement of politicians and press over President Biden’s statement

[Putin] cannot remain in power!

has been interesting to watch. Erick Erickson remains convinced that Biden is in dementia – or at least that’s the line the right wing propaganda machine is pushing – while I ran across one piece in the mainstream media, link sadly lost, suggesting that Biden was off-script is nonsense, and this was a planned gaffe.

I incline to the latter. The right wing propaganda machine is trying to hold together a base and mislead independent voters into forgetting that “demented Joe” beat an overwhelming field of Democratic rivals when he looked like he was down and out, beat the incumbent President handily, kept a nation together by demonstrating, time and again, political maturity and patience, hit the ground running, fulfilled campaign promises, took us successfully (in my view) out of the bad situation called Afghanistan, and has been so successful at fulfilling campaign promises that the Republicans are panicked, and Biden’s and the Democrat’s possibly greatest foe, Putin’s Russia, was forced to invade Ukraine, because the Democrats have proven to be competent and anti-Russia.

And Putin wants to be seen as the savior of the Empire of Russia. That’s why he was forced to invade Ukraine. He needed to destroy his most dangerous foe, the Democrats, and he wants to be a savior.

To the point: Biden was playing to a number of audiences: Russia, NATO, Democrats, independent American voters … and Republicans. Responses to war are always highly varied and passionately held, and some cannot garner satisfactory responses from those in power, such as the horrified pacifist response. But for those who’ve complained we’ve not done enough, which occurs up and down the political spectrum this time ’round, this is the sort of response you want to see. I’ve been calling it Putin’s War because that’s what it is: I doubt more than a small Putin coterie was really passionate to go to war with Ukraine. Because it’s Putin’s War, it seems logical to assume that removal of Putin, by the proper persons, i.e., not NATO, will be necessary to increase the probability that peace will descend upon that part of the world.

I think this is a mainstream view of the situation as well, which means I think Biden also holds this view, and this conclusion.

So his off the cuff remark is actually a message, to Republicans and independents who’d like to see us do, well, more, which is usually undefined, since Putin does have nuclear weapons and we can’t afford to have them rain down on our heads, to NATO, telling them how it is, to the non-members of NATO … and to the Muscovite elite, who have the best chance to rid themselves of Putin, and to do it semi-legitimately.

And when the right runs around screaming about Joe’s alleged dementia, just remember all the lies the right wing propaganda machine has spewed, its backing of Trump and his plethora of fourth-raters, and be very suspicious of how information is presented to you. Democrats have their own set of problems and extremists and apologists, it’s certainly true. But rather than picking the best of a bunch of rotten tomatoes, demand better of them. Of both sides.

Word Of The Day

Malariotherapy:

Malaria itself was used as a treatment for tertiary syphilis in the early twentieth century before the germ theory of disease was universally accepted and before antibiotics were available. Patients were intentionally infected with malaria; the resulting fever killed the heat-sensitive spirochetes, and then quinine could be used to cure the malaria. Unfortunately, malariotherapy killed 15 percent of those treated with it. More recently, Henry Heimlich advocated malariotherapy as a cure for AIDS. Some small studies in China found that it reduced HIV viral loads, but it can’t be recommended. [“The World’s Most Deadly Animal,” Harriet Hall, M. D., Skeptical Inquirer (March/April 2022, paywall)]

Foodstuff Allocation

Michael Le Page in NewScientist (19 March 2022) points out that potential food shortages caused by Putin’s War on Ukraine, one of the bigger food exporters around, can be alleviated through some simple legislation:

… Europe and the US could more than compensate for the loss of Ukraine’s exports by diverting crops destined to be made into biofuels into food production instead. This would bring food prices down and help prevent a major global food shock.

Quickly increasing the supply of food crops is difficult. But a large proportion of food crops aren’t eaten but converted to biofuels. Globally, 10 per cent of all grain is turned into biofuel, says [Matin Qaim at the University of Bonn in Germany].

It has always struck me as a little odd that we divert food into energy production, and I suppose this is a graphic illustration of why it is a little mad to do so. The connection to legislation is that this is often a result of a legislative mandate. The Czech Republic has already recognized this:

On 11 March, the Czech Republic ended its mandate requiring ethanol to be blended with petrol. It did this to reduce the costs of fuel rather than food, but [Ariel Brunner at Birdlife International] is calling for other countries to follow suit.

If you’re in the habit of using a biofuel, it may soon become scarce.

Word Of The Day

Helioseismology:

Helioseismology, a term coined by Douglas Gough, is the study of the structure and dynamics of the Sun through its oscillations. These are principally caused by sound waves that are continuously driven and damped by convection near the Sun’s surface. It is similar to geoseismology, or asteroseismology (also coined by Gough), which are respectively the studies of the Earth or stars through their oscillations. While the Sun’s oscillations were first detected in the early 1960s, it was only in the mid-1970s that it was realized that the oscillations propagated throughout the Sun and could allow scientists to study the Sun’s deep interior. The modern field is separated into global helioseismology, which studies the Sun’s resonant modes directly, and local helioseismology, which studies the propagation of the component waves near the Sun’s surface. [Wikipedia]

Seems obscure, doesn’t it? Yet as our technology dependence continues to advance, terminology such as this describes fields of study that are becoming more and more important to preserving the stability of our way of life. Noted on Spaceweather.com:

HELIOSEISMIC SUNSPOT ALERT: Researchers who use helioseismology to monitor the farside of the sun have detected echoes from a potentially significant sunspot group. It’s right here. The active region, whatever it is, will rotate into view early next week.

Meanwhile, In That Real World South Of Here

It’s unsettling when scientists are wrong in an unhappy way:

An ice shelf the size of New York City has collapsed in East Antarctica, an area long thought to be stable and not hit much by climate change, concerned scientists said Friday.

The collapse, captured by satellite images, marked the first time in human history that the frigid region had an ice shelf collapse. It happened at the beginning of a freakish warm spell last week when temperatures soared more than 70 degrees (40 Celsius) warmer than normal in some spots of East Antarctica. Satellite photos show the area had been shrinking rapidly the last couple of years, and now scientists wonder if they have been overestimating East Antarctica’s stability and resistance to global warming that has been melting ice rapidly on the smaller western side and the vulnerable peninsula. [AP]

Is this evidence that their (our! We’re all in this together!) measurements have been underestimating reality? Or that we don’t understand the chains of causality in the area? I think the latter would be the preferable failure.

Another Scandal Heaving … Urp … Into View

WaPo and many commentators are remarking upon the hijinks of Ginni Thomas, the wife of long-time SCOTUS Associate Justice Clarence Thomas, and well-known far-right extremist in her own, er, right:

Virginia Thomas, a conservative activist married to Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, repeatedly pressed White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows to pursue unrelenting efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election in a series of urgent text exchanges in the critical weeks after the vote, according to copies of the messages obtained by The Washington Post and CBS News.

The messages — 29 in all — reveal an extraordinary pipeline between Virginia Thomas, who goes by Ginni, and President Donald Trump’s top aide during a period when Trump and his allies were vowing to go to the Supreme Court in an effort to negate the election results.

On Nov. 10, after news organizations had projected Joe Biden the winner based on state vote totals, Thomas wrote to Meadows: “Help This Great President stand firm, Mark!!!…You are the leader, with him, who is standing for America’s constitutional governance at the precipice. The majority knows Biden and the Left is attempting the greatest Heist of our History.” …

The messages, which do not directly reference Justice Thomas or the Supreme Court, show for the first time how Ginni Thomas used her access to Trump’s inner circle to promote and seek to guide the president’s strategy to overturn the election results — and how receptive and grateful Meadows said he was to receive her advice. Among Thomas’s stated goals in the messages was for lawyer Sidney Powell, who promoted incendiary and unsupported claims about the election, to be “the lead and the face” of Trump’s legal team.

Of particular concern here are the actions of the Associate Justice, as Steve Benen notes:

… while Ginni Thomas was pressing the White House to reverse Donald Trump’s defeat, and the White House was pursuing legal strategies to keep the losing candidate in power, Clarence Thomas was ruling on cases related to the 2020 election. …

Circling back to our earlier coverage, let’s also not forget that after the congressional committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack subpoenaed White House materials, Trump sued to keep the documents from his administration hidden. The former president ran out of options, however, two months ago: The U.S. Supreme Court rejected the Republican’s emergency appeal, clearing the way for disclosure.

While the high court did not release details on each justice’s conclusion, Clarence Thomas was alone in publicly acknowledging his dissent.

That looked bad at the time. It’s a bit worse now.

In other words, it looks like a scandal is brewing.

And what does that mean?

Why, I expect the far-right extremists will use a familiar go-to move: cast aspersions on the Democrats, attempting to make the actions of Justice Thomas, ethically dubious as they are, appear unimportant next to the terrible actions of the Left. It’s all about moral equality. Have you noticed how often the far-right has to cover for an unforced error?

Will one of the two liberal justices on the court, excluding the retiring Breyer, become the target? Or will Judge Jackson, now finished with her SCOTUS confirmation hearings and whose confirmation is reported to be nearly assured now that Senator Manchin has stated he will vote for her confirmation, be the target of some terrible imaginary secret finally revealed?

Or does the position of the target matter less than the revelatory nature?

I’m almost afraid to look at right wing websites now.

Don’t Trip Over Your Metaphorical ….

I cannot help but feel that Utah’s government, along with some other States, is fulfilling one of the requirements of a liberal democracy is an exceedingly clumsy and, perhaps, ineffective way:

Utah Gov. Spencer Cox became the second Republican governor in the past week to veto a bill that would have barred transgender athletes from competing in girls’ sports, writing an impassioned letter to state GOP leaders on Tuesday explaining his decision.

Cox cited “fundamental flaws” in the legislation, known as H.B. 11. But chief among the governor’s concerns were the mental health impacts such a bill could have on transgender youths in the state, he wrote.

Cox’s decision to veto the bill highlights divisions within the Republican Party on the efficacy and morality of bills restricting the lives of young trans people. GOP leaders in Utah said they plan to override Cox’s veto, which would require approval from two-thirds of the state’s lawmakers. [WaPo]

It definitely feels like Governor Cox is trying to weigh the alternatives, but is caught between Charybdis and Scylla. First, from the right:

Utah Senate President Stuart Adams and House Speaker Brad Wilson said they would call a veto override session to consider the bill on Friday.

“We must work to preserve the integrity of women’s sports and ensure it remains safe and fair for all,” Adams said in a statement.

I have sympathy for both sides in this poor excuse for a debate, but that absolutist statement leaves me thinking this is nothing more than red meat for the base. Meanwhile, on the other side, there also doesn’t appear to be much attempt to see both sides, at least from WaPo’s article, which isn’t going to be comprehensive, no disrespect:

This legislation, whether it passes, has a profound impact on the mental health of trans and nonbinary children, said Amit Paley, chief executive of the Trevor Project, which provides crisis intervention and suicide prevention services to LGBTQ teens and young adults.

“People literally debating whether trans and nonbinary people exist and whether they are deserving of the same respect and support as other young people — the mere fact of those debates have a negative impact on the health of young people,” Paley said.

And, in the light of the backlash drawn by swimmer Lia Thomas by fellow competitors who feel the competition is unfair, it’s clear that Paley is so committed to the transgender that taking his arguments as being compelling simply means we’ve forgotten about the non-transgender.

I’d feel much more comfortable if a real debate, disregarding absolutism from either side, were to take place. Right now it feels like a proxy war for political foes, with statements carefully phrased to make those who disagree into, depending on the audience, bizarre perverts on the one hand, or bigots on the other.

Conclusions pre-supposed and terrible punishments inflicted on those who weren’t around for the debate that didn’t happen, with names like Dawkins, Rowling, and Atwood.

RIP Secretary Albright

Former Secretary of State Albright died today. Her death, along with the recent passing of former Secretary of State Colin Powell, is actually a bit of a blow to the United States, because, as experienced foreign affairs hands, they will have had plenty of advice to hand out on a variety of topics; neither was a rank amateur.

Unlike another former Secretary, Rex Tillerson. I suspect no one calls him asking for diplomatic advice.

Rest In Peace, Secretaries Albright and Powell.

Belated Movie Reviews

Such exquisite beauty deserves not the caption.

Gutboy: A Badtime Story (2017) is a sequence of marionettes that –

No, that’s not right.

A causal chain of marionettes?

That like having sex with humans ten times their own size?

While seeking revenge on the guy who stole a fishing pole?

And the hulk who’s the town cop?

Eyeballs must mean something, but brain exchanges, nothing.

If this sounds like a review by a whack-job

This movie’s whack-job is a professional

While the review-writer isn’t even a gifted amateur.

Recommendations are meaningless. It either exists in your head, or doesn’t. See, or see not.

Definitely not.

Hell, my Arts Editor refused to watch more than five minutes of it. I think she deserves a donut for that sort of perseverance.

A donut with eyes. And extra brains.

Don’t bother to try to enjoy. Grit your teeth, swallow if you’ve gottem, and don’t bother to wonder if the makers had more to swallow than you. They did.

The Riposte Is Surprisingly Weak

Today, or perhaps it was yesterday, former President Trump withdrew his endorsement of Rep Mo Brooks (R-AL) in Brooks’ pursuit of the GOP nomination for the open Senate seat, which is opening up because of the retirement of Senator Richard Shelby (R-AL). The former President was disgruntled that Brooks no longer wished to wallow with Trump in The 2020 Election was Stolen from Me! mud-pit. Trump is confident that the people of Alabama would prefer to swelter in that particular falsehood, and I doubt Brooks will prove him wrong, as Brooks campaign is not doing well at all; in fact, nothing will be proven if Brooks fails to win the nomination.

Brooks, to his credit, returned fire, but it was really quite unsatisfying, once you stop and analyze it.

“President Trump asked me to rescind the 2020 elections, immediately remove Joe Biden from the White House, immediately put President Trump back in the White House, and hold a new special election for the presidency,” Brooks said in a statement. “As a lawyer, I’ve repeatedly advised President Trump that January 6 was the final election contest verdict and neither the U.S. Constitution nor the U.S. Code permit what President Trump asks. Period.” …

Brooks responded that when Trump asked him to help him overturn the election he knew “full well that it might cause President Trump to rescind his endorsement.”

“But I took a sworn oath to defend and protect the U.S. Constitution. I honor my oath. That is the way I am. I break my sworn oath for no man,” Brooks said. “I’m still the most conservative candidate in the race.” [The Hill]

First, I doubt that Trump would have asked a minor back-bencher like Brooks to “rescind” an election. I doubt Trump would view him as having the moxie – not the power, but the moxie – to attempt such a stunt. It feels more like a “look at me!” claim.

Second, rescind is hardly the proper word. Brooks claims he’s a lawyer, so why isn’t he using the proper word? That’s puzzling.

Third, and most important, the faux-association between honoring an oath and conservatism is an attempt to self-validate being a far-right extremist. After all, he claims he’s the most conservative, just after his verbiage concerning never breaking his oath. If you read that and allow it to pass, then the careless reader ends up with the notion that Brooks must be the most honorable candidate in the race. Why?

Because, uh, he’s the most conservative … ?

That’s not how a wise person measures honor, however, not only because it’s a proxy, but it’s not clear how the two are connected – and, meantime, we can directly measure his honor by examining his record of promises made / promises broken. Screw proxies when direct measurements are available, says I.

At this point, I can say that he gave a speech encouraging the January 6th insurrection, so I think his connection of honor to conservatism is at least a bit damaged. But that’s really all I know of Brooks, who has a TrumpScore of only 88%.

That, and his riposte really seemed to be a bit weak. Perhaps he’s still trying to hold onto MAGA voters?

Understanding The Purpose

This article in WaPo suggests that the tenets of liberal democracies still stand a chance in the academia of the United States, or at least at UPenn, where a safe space for having discussions is being provided:

A White, male student said that some of the country’s resources should be reserved for Americans. A Latina student named Alejandra felt like he was accusing undocumented people of taking resources. She said that assumption was flawed: Undocumented immigrants faced numerous barriers when they arrived, she explained. They often couldn’t access resources at all. Her own parents had come to the United States undocumented from El Salvador, she said, and it had taken them years to build their lives up from nothing.

Others in the breakout room agreed with her, but the male student pushed back. He said every country had borders and a right to enforce them. America could try to be humane, but it had to restrict people. That was reality.

Alejandra and her opponent went back-and-forth. At one point Alejandra grew so emotional that she turned off her camera to compose herself. The facilitator for the group shifted the conversation in a different direction, and she turned her camera back on. Everybody moved on, amiably enough.

Just before the session ended, the White student spoke up. He apologized to Alejandra. “I hope I haven’t offended you,” he said. “If I did, I’m sorry.” …

Since Gen Z began entering college in 2015, a growing number of academic institutions have started to look critically at their own campus culture. They’re asking how, amid intense national polarization, divergent student voices can speak and be heard. The answer has taken shape as a civil dialogue movement — a collection of courses, orientation programs, workshops and events — that help students communicate across differences.

In other words, discussion as a way to grow, rather than a chance to scream Politics!, followed up by Bigot!

But I think it helps to revisit the purpose of certain rights that come under the rubric of liberal democracy. The right to free speech comes to mind, and its misuse – not abuse, but misuse – is important. There’ve been a few incidents of late, such as the loud shutdown of Professor Shapiro at Hastings College, and the attempt to disrupt a panel on civil liberties at Yale Law School. On the latter, here’s the Washington Free Beacon:

More than 100 students at Yale Law School attempted to shout down a bipartisan panel on civil liberties, intimidating attendees and causing so much chaos that police were eventually called to escort panelists out of the building.

The March 10 panel, which was hosted by the Yale Federalist Society, featured Monica Miller of the progressive American Humanist Association and Kristen Waggoner of the Alliance Defending Freedom (ADF), a conservative nonprofit that promotes religious liberty. Both groups had taken the same side in a 2021 Supreme Court case involving legal remedies for First Amendment violations. The purpose of the panel, a member of the Federalist Society said, was to illustrate that a liberal atheist and a conservative Christian could find common ground on free speech issues. …

When a professor at the law school, Kate Stith, began to introduce Waggoner, the protesters, who outnumbered the audience members, rose in unison, holding signs that attacked ADF. The nonprofit has argued—and won—several Supreme Court cases establishing religious exemptions from civil rights laws, most famously Masterpiece Cakeshop v. Colorado Civil Rights Commission in 2018. …

With the fracas intensifying, Stith reminded the students of Yale’s free speech policies, which bar any protest that “interferes with speakers’ ability to be heard and of community members to listen.” When the protesters heckled her in response—several with their middle fingers raised—she told them to “grow up,” according to video of the event obtained by the Free Beacon.

And, oddly enough, the key lies in Professor Stith’s remark of “grow up.”

Her remark suggests, or reminds us, that there’s a purpose to ‘free speech’ in the context of liberal democracy. Liberal democracies are not autocracies, are not theocracies, are not monarchies. They are, by both nature and definition, dedicated to the notion that by working together, we can govern ourselves far better than the primitive and brazen ‘strongman’ approach of the autocracy, or the more covert, but still ‘strongman’ approach of monarchies, and the imagined notions of a Divine entity which refuses to provide proof of its existence, much less an objective message concerning its desires, that underlies theocracies.

The liberal democracy requires tough-minded people who recognize the failure of the strongman and the theocrat when it comes to the immensely difficult task of governance.

And I don’t toss in difficult task of governance as a rhetorical flourish; instead, that oft-ignored reality is key to understanding Professor Stith’s remark.

Look: In order to solve large, difficult problems, we can try throwing a single person at it, aka the strongman, but, as noted, they have a terrible record. Looking at all the strongmen, they are overwhelmingly remembered with fondness neither by those who survived their depredations, nor historians. The best of them might have been Napoleon Bonaparte, who draws wide admiration for his improvements in civil administration, but his military ambitions took France into disaster not once, but twice. After him, there’s a big drop off, and even those with “great” reputations are definitely questionable individuals once the rose colored glasses are taken off.

Or we, the citizens of a country, can work on them as a team. Teams, when well-led, bring to the fore everyone’s best ideas, their careful investigation and judgment, their ideas as to how to deal with an uncertainty, and join it all together into a solution. Thus, we have a Constitution which can be modified, surely a marvel all on its own, as it dispels the hubris which surrounds so many human endeavours. Indeed, it is the principle upon which many have rejected Kendi’s proposed Constitutional Amendment, and while its harshness might be excused on the idea that his is a first draft, a better first draft would include the concept and strategies of dealing with inherent uncertainties.

And what is the grease that enables the cumbersome machinery of teams?

COMMUNICATIONS.

Whether it’s letters or voice or telecom, our primary tool for working on the great project of governance is speaking. We use it, at its best, to present rational discourse on difficult topics; in its lesser forms, we use communications to cajole, badger, and, worst of all, mislead and endanger.

The reason we call it ‘free speech’ isn’t because we can make any noise we wish at any volume. Try that at two in the morning with a bullhorn in the middle of a suburban street, and the cops will haul your ass to jail and let you cool for a few hours, and any lawyer will tell you that, no, you don’t have an infringement of your free speech rights over which you can sue.

No, ‘free speech’ means discussing any public topic, and if my reader can point at certain political topics and claim they cannot be discussed, welcome to a country that aspires to be a liberal democracy, but hasn’t achieved it.

So, when a group of students shouts someone down, there is understandable and valid outrage. That shouting is not communications but of the crudest kind, and its function as a weapon actually supersedes it. Denial of access to the intellectual public square, in which matters of import are debated and decided, is violence to the body politic akin to that of the old battle cry, No taxation without representation!

Rather than using it to communicate reason, they seek to dominate their opponent(s) on the stage. Rather than defeat them in serious and frank discussion, in which they might lose, they turn to intellectual violence, the kind that violates the tenets of liberal democracy.

I mentioned the Professor scolding the students with the hoary old grow up, and I’d like to add that it reminds me of one other thing: these are, after all, students. This is a part of the process of maturing in knowledge, and suggests where their lessons should go next. While smacking them on the muzzle and yelling Bad student! may be frowned upon in polite society – that is, those who are paying the tuition and believe education is a transactional process – the various colleges do need to perform this exercise, analogously of course, with these students. A reminder that violence, intellectual or otherwise, is not a salient feature of liberal democracies. It is not forbidden, but should only be used as a last resort.

Word Of The Day

Loitering munitions:

The Russians are likely to suffer even heavier losses now that the United States is not only providing Ukrainians with many more Javelins but also 100 Switchblade kamikaze drones — technically known as loitering munitions — that can stay aloft searching for a target and then dive into it. The combination of TB2 drones and Israeli-made loitering munitions proved highly potent for Azerbaijan in its victorious war against Armenia in 2020. As I previously reported, 47 percent of Armenia’s combat vehicles were damaged or destroyed. [“Russian tanks are taking a beating. Do they still have a place on the modern battlefield?” Max Boot, WaPo]

Great name! So will Boot mention my idea for “faux-crashed drones” as having already been done?

Through Time And Space

Robert Cringely reminds everyone why Putin is unlikely to use nuclear weapons:

The simple lesson here is that nobody is going to have time to move out of the way of tactical nukes.

Source: I, Cringely

If you are wondering what the damage of such a limited nuclear war would look like, the Chernobyl nuclear accident from 1986 provides a pretty good example, since that disaster site lies between Kiev and Russia and Belarus.[To the right] you’ll find a map showing the Cesium 137 fallout from Chernobyl. If you want to know what bombing Kiev would do, just move the Chernobyl spot down and a little to the right and see where the blotches fall.

But tactical nukes aren’t a nuclear accident, you say, the map would be different. Yes, it would be BIGGER. Chernobyl melted DOWN while bomb and missile and artillery fallout bounce UP into the atmosphere and spread much farther.

Most of the fallout of a Kiev attack, in fact, would land in Russia. The cities of Bryansk (427,000 population), Kaluuga (338,000), Kursk (409,000), Orel (324,000), and Tula (468,000) would all be hit, not by weapon strikes, but by fallout. That’s just under two million people exposed in those five cities, not counting folks in the countryside between.

The smear of toxic effects from a battleground is amplified by technology. The arrows and ballistae used at Masada are little more than desirable archaeological artifacts and collectors’ items, as are the bullets found on many American Civil War battlefields. Some categories may be reused, but they are not still in action, as it were, days, weeks, and even years later.

But do collectors try for today’s weapons? Only the foolish collector. Even those weapons from World War I, primarily hand grenades, are still found and are dangerous. World War II bombs dropped by the warring air fleets are still found in cities today and are a menace, as are certain of the shipwrecks.

The amplification of the nuclear age has made the dangers less obvious, more potent, and longer lived. Along with nuclear bombs there are also depleted uranium tank rounds littering battlegrounds, radioactive for how long? That link notes the US Army has lost its supplier of such ammunition. This all along side relatively mundane grenades and land and sea mines,  waiting to kill decades into the future.

Hell, I wonder if there are drones being built to “crash” and then wait for a booby to come along and collect it. Don’t be a booby.

In a very real sense, even if Putin loses this war, he’s already inflicted decades of future pain, death, and suffering through his purification of those he’d prefer to think of as his people. “Putin’s War” will be, and is, a terrible curse. If he launches nukes, according to Cringely, then he’ll ensure his own people share the suffering.

The Autonomous Province Of Russia, Ctd

In the category of It’s really unlikely but not impossible, my brain is connecting my comments regarding a possible invasion of Russia by China with today’s tragedy:

A China Eastern Airlines Boeing 737-800 plane carrying 132 people slammed into the mountains of the southern province of Guangxi on Monday, according to China’s aviation authority,in what is likely to become the country’s deadliest plane crash in more than two decades.

Footage of the crash captured by a local mining company showed the plane nosediving sharply into the mountainside in what appeared to be an almost vertical drop. In its statement, the Civil Aviation Administration of China said the flight carrying 123 passengers and nine crew members had lost contact over the city of Wuzhou in Guangxi. [WaPo]

The mentioned footage is at the WaPo link.

Could this be a warn-off from Russia’s President Putin to China’s Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party and, thus, leader of China?

I dunno. On the Yes side is a Russian history of shooting down airliners, principally Malaysia Airlines flight MH17 in 2019, although 1983 saw KAL Flight 007 shot down by the Soviet Union. The latter may have been a mistake, but the former appears to have been a deliberate warning to Ukraine’s government.

On the No side, a gross and violent warning to the Chinese like this could easily be interpreted wrongly, resulting in a nearly required return missile – or an invasion of a Russian state that appears to be tottering along on the strength of a decaying strongman and whatever power structure is hanging with him. Practically speaking, there has been no reports of the physical manifestations of a missile, such as sonic booms or contrails, at least in what I have read, and I have no connections in our intelligence community to make further inquiry. I suppose a cyber attack could have been carried out, but I do not have the experience or expertise to even guess at the vulnerability of a Boeing 737 under Chinese management to a conventional or specialized cyber attack. And, if such is possible, then the Russians have just revealed a capability of which the Chinese may not have been aware. That can be a huge mistake all on its own.

So, in my mind, I think this is likely some sort of tragic accident, and not a Russia political maneuver. But I am assuming some sort of rationality in the Kremlin, and it’s not entirely clear that Putin is still rational.

A Sputter?

Long time readers may recall that SCOTUS Chief Justice Roberts, in a previous life, led the effort to make private justice an acceptable and viable option to our standard justice system. This often results in employment agreements in which the employee is not permitted to sue, but must go through and accept the results of arbitration. Class action suits are especially forbidden.

Controlled by the employer.

In an attempt to remedy the situation, last Thursday the House worked at fixing the situation:

The Democrat-led House voted 222-209 to pass the Forced Arbitration Injustice Repeal (FAIR) Act over the objections of Republicans and business groups who say it will deprive workers, consumers and companies of a faster and cheaper alternative to court. [Reuters]

I do not seriously expect the GOP caucus in the Senate to permit this bill to be debated; it’ll be filibustered, instead.

But it’s worth noting that an appeal to economics, rather than justice, is coming from the GOP. There is some justice inherent in timely justice, yes, but it is easily overwhelmed when a party to the suit has influence over the judging apparatus.

And I’m not familiar with the wording of FAIR, but it’s not hard to see how it could be worded such that arbitration is available when both parties request it voluntarily.

In other words, I’m not impressed in the least with House GOP objections to the bill.