Frictionless Knowledge?

Ramsha Jahangir on coda reports on the growing phenomenon of fake news in Pakistan:

“With clapping hands and cheering crowds, with beating hearts and smiling faces, international cricket is back in Pakistan,” said a man, dressed in a cricket jersey, to camera. The three-minute video was uploaded to the Facebook account of a news organization called CJ Post, which has 316,000 followers, and was posted hundreds of times on Twitter.

There was only one problem: CJ Post is not a real news outlet and the presenter is not a journalist, but an actor.

“Andrew Hamilton,” who has appeared in multiple videos shared by CJ Post, is a fictional newsreader played by a Cuban-born American man hired on the freelance platform, Fiverr.com.

Fake news, fake newscaster. But a real company providing the service. The goal?

According to Jack Stubbs, director of investigations at Graphika, such practices help PR companies to further their client agendas while preserving some degree of anonymity. “Outsourcing the work is often easier and safer for political actors who want to remain one step removed from the hands-on-keyboard operation.”

“All this shows how political groups can trade on the values of a free press to covertly advance their own interests,” he added.

AlphaPro’s clients include the Pakistan military’s media wing, Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR), state-owned Chinese infrastructure firms, NGOs, universities and other government agencies.

That Pakistan’s military is involved is unsurprising but chilling. The Pakistani military is often an important element of the political scene. I wonder how important they think that the news be authentic in Pakistan, and I’m guessing Not very.

And what’s the business ethics of the company’s that produce these fake newscasts?

Not Unexpected

If the people are having troubles, sometimes you have to bring in the big guns.

As the first wave of COVID-19 spread through India last June, Anilan Namboothiri, a resident of the southern state of Kerala, set up a new idol in his home shrine that he honors as “corona devi,” or corona goddess: The unusual polystyrene figure, resembling the spiky COVID-19 protein, found its place alongside established Hindu deities such as Krishna and Shiva in the 48-year-old journalist’s shrine.

“In ancient times, contagions were attributed to the wrath of goddesses… that needed to be propitiated,” said Namboothiri in Malayalam. “The message I wanted to send people is that you can stay at home and worship god. God exists everywhere.”

Across India, people are worshipping female divine forms of the coronavirus, variously called “corona devi,” or by other forms of respect such as “corona mata” (corona mother) or “corona mai.” Incidents of idol worship or rituals to a coronavirus-inspired female deity have been reported from the southernmost states of Karnataka and Tamil Nadu to Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand and Bihar in the north and Assam in the east, all apparently springing up organically and unrelatedly. [Religion News Service]

It doesn’t say that social distancing and vaccination were the decrees of the goddess, so they’d better get around to it quickly.

It’s a bit of a big, blunt social tool, but if it works, then it’s at least tolerable.

Old Faithful

Every time someone ‘betrays’ him, he blows. It doesn’t matter if it’s former Vice President, Mike Pence, refusing to decline to honor Electoral College votes that didn’t conform to Trump’s wishes, or obscure Michigan GOP elected officials who didn’t find that for which Trump’s searching.

Speaking of …

Former President Donald Trump took aim at two Republican Michigan lawmakers in a statement issued Thursday after a report led by Sen. Ed McBroom, R-Vulcan, debunked several false claims surrounding the results of the 2020 election.

Trump’s email hit the inboxes of his supporters one day after a Michigan Senate committee unveiled a report Wednesday morning that found no evidence of systematic voter fraud in the 2020 general election.

In the statement, Trump called the report – which used hours of public testimony and “countless” documents to conclude the 2020 general election was free from fraud – a “cover up.”

“Michigan State Senators Mike Shirkey and Ed McBroom are doing everything possible to stop Voter Audits in order to hide the truth about November 3rd,” the former president wrote.

The report also suggested Attorney General Dana Nessel look into individuals who used fake claims to raise money “for their own ends,” to be investigated.

Trump used the recommendation to accuse the Republican-led committee of wanting to “investigate the Patriots,” who he claims are fighting to expose what he maintains was “a very possibly Rigged Election.” [m-live]

It’s rather fascinating that the Michigan GOP, at least in the persons of the 3 (out of 4) members of the committee, announced they had confirmed the success of the Michigan election effort, or, if you’re the former President, the failure to find fraud.

This has earned them the easily forecast expulsion from Trump’s affections. Old Faithful, he is.

Obviously, the opinions of three Republicans doesn’t represent the Michigan GOP as a whole, but it does indicate that those motivated to find fraud failed to do so – which reassures me that there was little enough fraud to find in the first place, although I hardly needed such reassurance.

It also suggests that, at least in Michigan, local Republicans faced with realities on the ground will admit to them, regardless of political pressures, and that suggests they still understand that reality beats fantasies hands down. Look for this to play out in other localities, perhaps even Arizona, while Trump will try to head off any more admissions in some way dreadful and, yet, amusing.

It’ll be interesting to see if the Michigan GOP splits asunder the pressure of reality v fantasy.

This May Not End Well

Mark Sumner on Daily Kos summarizes some interesting findings involving various Covid-19 vaccines and China:

In looking at the issues in South America on Tuesday, one thing was clear: Despite high levels of vaccination in countries like Chile and Uruguay, these nations are at or near record highs for new cases of COVID-19. Statistics from Our World in Data show that these examples are far from alone. Around the world, there are a number of nations that have high levels of vaccination, but continue to have new waves of COVID-19. Meanwhile, there are other nations—the United States among them—that have lower rates of vaccination, but have seen a dramatic drop in cases.

The current situation in the United States, and in other nations that have fallen well short of reaching the level of vaccination needed to restrict community spread, is far from a guarantee of future conditions. It’s still possible, even likely, that the U.S. will experience a “fourth wave” of cases in the fall as indoor activities increase and Republican vaccine hesitancy leaves many areas with a high percentage of the population unvaccinated.

But some nations are already seeing a new wave of COVID-19. Driven by the Delta and Gamma variants, health care systems in many South American nations are now taxed at record levels. That’s true in nations with vaccination rates significantly higher than in the United States, as well as those where vaccination rates are low. And the reason for this seems to be that the vaccines being used in those nations are simply not working to stop infections.

Part of that is China’s fault. Part of it is ours.

And the one implication of this that Sumner doesn’t consider is the political possibilities. The release of SinoVac is a political ploy by China, as it tries to buy influence in those countries which might be best described as non-aligned. China looks good to the recipients because it gave them access to a vaccine at low or zero price – and allowing them to keep up with the rich First world countries that hog the other vaccines.

Wonderful if it works.

But if it doesn’t? If SinoVac is indeed not performing as well as Moderna’s and its ilk, China may be facing a PR problem, having to spin what turns out to be an inferior vaccine as still being a plus for those nations that received it. If they can’t make that work, then it’s political mud on the face of the leadership of China.

That would be the ever-dour Xi Jinping.

I don’t advocate throwing money into the betting pool on when Xi Jinping suddenly retires, or is forcibly retired. Politics in China is unpredictable, with today’s saints, such as Xi, becoming tomorrow’s demons with remarkable rapidity.

But don’t be surprised if Xi loses prestige, and the thing about autocrats losing prestige is that they tend to squeeze what they have that much harder, hoping to replace lost competency with more autocracy.

It’s an act that rarely ends well.

What, Can Only Democrats Kill The Filibuster Rule?

I had heard that Senator Sinema (D-AZ) had argued that it’s important to keep the filibuster because it protects progressive laws, and I thought, Well, that’s stupid reasoning. But now I see a Professor David Super of Georgetown is making the same argument:

This perspective is remarkably shortsighted. Although the filibuster has blocked central parts of the Democratic program in recent years, it has done the same for key features of the Republican agenda, too. At a time when the Republican Party is becoming ever more extreme, and when other constraints on irresponsible action have fallen away, the filibuster is more important than ever as a tool to protect hard-won legislative gains of the civil rights, environmental and consumer revolutions. It is the filibuster alone that protects the Endangered Species Act, the Corporation for Public Broadcasting and the Legal Services Corp. [WaPo]

And this is convincing … how?

What is stopping the Republicans from killing the filibuster rule and enacting their desired legislation?

Their honor?

Or did the Democrats win the flip of the coin that decides who has dominion over the filibuster rule in this session of Congress?

Arguing on the basis of the status quo is a lost argument; there are variables at play here, and ascertaining them, their current values, and their resistance to change is key to building a realistic model of the situation. I think that the respect the Republicans have for their colleagues across the aisle, based on the comments of GOP leader Senator McConnell (R-KY), indicate that the filibuster’s predictable lifetime is now fairly short.

The question is whether the Democrats want to harvest the riches that may come of removing the filibuster, or, in the unfortunate instance of the Republicans taking the Senate back, it goes to the Republicans.

Quote Of The Day

When I was a cub reporter, my city editor was an H.L. Mencken clone who laughed at Bible-thumping hillbilly preachers. One day, as a young truth-seeker, I asked him: You’re correct that their explanations are fairy tales, but what answer can an honest person give about the deep questions: Why are we here? Why is the universe here? Why do we die? Is there any purpose to life? He eyed me and replied: You can say: I don’t know. That rang a bell in my head that still echoes. It’s honest to admit that you cannot explain the unexplainable. – James A. Haught, “The Long, Slow Death of Religion,” Daylight Atheism.

Sure wish I could have met that editor.

Reaching The Edge

Hemant Mehta of Friendly Atheist expresses amazement that one of the far-right grifters preachers has admitted that Christian persecution doesn’t actually exist in the United States:

And here, where he provides a partial transcript of Mr. Anderson, sadly protected from copying. However, my summary above is sufficient.

I have to wonder if Anderson’s parishioners have been looking around and noting the lack of Christian persecution, and he found it necessary to, shall we say, adjust the message? It must be tough to adjust your cap for being dragged off to jail for howling forth the Word, but if the jackboots never come for you, well, it’s gotta be a little deflating.

And, of course, noting that the lack of persecution didn’t change when Biden took office, well, at some point only the most steadfast adherents will stick around. Anderson, having been banned from YouTube, has enough on his plate to mark him as an extremist preacher; he can let this particular message go with little to no damage to his reputation. In fact, Australian organization Voice of the Martyrs has a useful map: of Christian persecution in the world:

Look for this entire class of Christian messaging to fade away as reality wreaks its usual havoc. The real question will become: what’s the replacement message, designed to keep the faithful in line?

Don’t Mention That Elephant That Left The Room

Erick Erickson has been on a campaign to claim real people for the Republicans. For instance, today’s advance is against Twitter, a platform for which I have little sentiment:

Eric Adams won in New York City [this is premature, but I’ll stipulate to it as the polls had him in the lead going in to last night. -haw]. Had you followed along on social media, you’d have presumed he would lose. He had two percent of Andrew Yang’s Twitter support and Andrew Yang was the first candidate to drop out last night after the results started coming in. …

The data more and more shows Twitter is not real life. Election results are showing those who equate Twitter with reality will wake up to cold hard truths on Election Day. Journalists, if they have an ounce of self-reflective abilities, should realize they need to spend less time searching the thoughts of Mordor on Twitter and get out into real America.

He bases some of this on this:

Pew Research has done an in-depth report on Twitter. It turns out that Twitter is overwhelmingly not of the left, but of the very left. Were Twitter a state, it would be the most progressive state in the nation — further left than Hawaii or Vermont — and if it were a congressional district, it’d be the most Democratic congressional district in the country.

All of which ignores one little elephant: the Elephant named Trump. It’s indisputable that Trump, as much as anyone could, dominated Twitter until he was banned from the platform.

Shall we apply the Erickson’s judgment to the Twitter Trump followers, even Trump himself, and deem him and them as unrepresentative of conservatives?

Erickson can jump up and down as much as he likes, claiming that “real people” are Republicans, but the polls suggest otherwise: not many people like having insurrections happen to their country, and there’s no reasonable way to interpret the actions of most of the Congressional GOP as not being supportive of the insurrection, to which I’ll add denying the realities, as discovered by the FBI, of the insurrection amounts to supporting the insurrection.

Since I’m here, I’ll also note he takes a shot at ranked-choice voting (RCV):

Lastly, the popular wave of rank choice voting, which will cause New York City to spend weeks determining a winner of the Democrat primary and ultimately the mayor, got started by academics and was picked up by the horde of Mordor rushing across Twitter. Everyone on Twitter thinks it is a good idea. New York City embraced it because the nerds said everyone on Twitter liked it. Now the city realizes it probably should not have done it. Too late.

Minneapolis, just down the road for us, uses RCV, and I have yet to hear any complaints. Quite honestly, while this is not a hard and fast rule, my suspicion is that if you don’t like RCV, you may be an extremist. RCV is, I think, a path towards victories by moderates. The capture of a political party by extremists, along with the implementation of toxic team politics, a subject I’ve discussed too much, is not sufficient to capture an election in a vulnerable district where RCV is used. Let a moderate enter a race and get their name on the ballot – or even run a Murkowski-esqe write-in campaign – and they’re likely to capture the first votes of the moderates and the second votes of the extremists. But the moderates may not vote for the extremists at all, leaving the moderate with all the votes on that side of the spectrum.

And leave extremists, like Erickson and most of the GOP leadership, sitting on their ass at the bus station, thumb out, looking for that ride out of town.

Erickson is tasked with helping make the Republicans look good and win elections, and he has a long ways to go.

Return To The Mean? Mean Something Else?

Gallup recently released a new poll:

After doubling last spring and staying elevated in December, the percentage of Americans who believe that religion is increasing its influence on American life has retreated to 16%, in line with pre-pandemic levels.

I suppose a lot of questions could be asked about what this means. Does the big leap in late 2019 and early 2020 reflect the stress of the pandemic? If so, why does it fall off until now it’s back to the old mean?

I’ll be interested in seeing the next couple of data points.

If it stays at the mean, then we can guess there’s not much change in the fundamentals of Americans’ perceptions of the influence of religion on American society.

But if it falls below substantially? That might suggest that the pandemic, after its initial provocation of folks to turn to religion for comfort, began causing religious adherents to realize that religion’s promises were hollow. This graph may reflect a fear that I believe afflicted many clerics: without the in-person meetings, the strengthening of social bonds that are useful for engendering compliance with religious tithing, people lose that urge to attend religious institutions. After all, at least here in the United States, we look for payoffs for what we do, whether it’s using coupons, helping the poor, going to work, or seeking to propitiate the deity of our choice.

If you pray for you and yours to be delivered from Covid, and then Uncle Ray dies of it, miserably alone in a hospital, that may bash a hole in your faith, no matter how much we chant that dismaying phrase, God has a plan….

But that’s all speculation. We shall see. I actually expect it’ll stabilize right where it’s at.

Word Of The Day

Mucormycosis:

“It’s a form of flesh-eating fungus that destroys tissues as it grows,” said Akshay Nair, an oculoplastic surgeon treating mucormycosis patients in Mumbai. Before the pandemic, Nair would see 10 such patients in a year, but since January, he has treated nearly 100 affected patients. “If it involves the sinus, they have to be cleared. If it involves the eye — the eyeball, lids, muscles around the eye have to be removed, leaving behind the bare, bony socket.” [“The deadly black fungus striking India’s recovering covid patients,” Ronny Sen and Niha Masih, WaPo]

I’m at a loss for words.

Don’t Worry About Solemn Duties, Hey?

I wish I subscribed to the Wall Street Journal so’s I could read a particular opinion piece with my own two eyes, but instead I’ll have to depend on Professor Richardson:

More telling, perhaps, is an eye-popping op-ed published yesterday in the Wall Street Journal by Mike Solon, a former assistant to [Senator Mitch McConnell (R-KY)], and Bill Greene, a former outreach director for former House Speaker John Boehner; both men are now lobbyists. In order to defend the filibuster, they argue that the measure protects “political nobodies” from having to pay attention to politics. If legislation could pass by a simple majority, Americans would have to get involved. The system, they suggest, is best managed by a minority of senators.

“Eliminating the Senate filibuster would end the freedom of America’s political innocents,” they write. “The lives that political nobodies spend playing, praying, fishing, tailgating, reading, hunting, gardening, studying and caring for their children would be spent rallying, canvassing, picketing, lobbying, protesting, texting, posting, parading and, above all, shouting.”

The authors suggest misleadingly that the men who framed the Constitution instituted the filibuster: they did not. They set up a Senate in which a simple majority passed legislation. The filibuster, used to require 60 votes to pass any legislation, has been deployed regularly only since about 2008.

Presuming this is accurate, I’d have to respond that Monitoring the Senators and Representatives who we, the citizens, have voted for is among the most important duties incumbent upon the citizens of the United States, as with any democracy, along with taking action when their competence is unsatisfying, or their positions lead to poor results.

Solon and Greene are basically advocating for the citizens to fail in their duties, to become not unlike foolish chikldren.

Solon and Greene are little more than wannabe autocrats, terrified of the change that actual citizen participation might bring.

Mega-Drought

Curious about soil dampness over the centuries? The Guardian has a neat presentation here. Money quote:

But here’s the astounding part: Williams and his team also estimated what drought conditions would look like if human activities had not caused global warming … and they found that we would still likely be living through a once-in-a-century drought – but human activity accounts for about 46% of the severity of the current megadrought.

I tend to see the weather as a massive non-linear system ala Chaos Theory, so I’m not quite sure I can sit comfortably with that assertion. Still, the last few years in the graph was quite instructive, wasn’t it?

 

The Era Of Vast Egos

Peter Beinart, another in a list of writers recommended by Andrew Sullivan (h/t, in other words), thinks we’re entering an era of illiberalism:

Now, as Netanyahu’s twelve years in power come to an end, there’s reason to believe that he was right [that the future belongs to authoritarian capitalism]. Over the last decade, leaders in his mold have sprung up across the globe. When Netanyahu returned as Israel’s prime minister in 2009, his chauvinistic, free market hyper-nationalism appeared anachronistic. Then, the following year, Viktor Orban reclaimed the prime ministership of Hungary. In 2012, Putin returned as President of Russia and Xi became General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party. In 2014, Narendra Modi became prime minister of India. In 2017, Donald Trump became president of the United States. In 2019, Jair Bolsonaro became president of Brazil. All of a sudden, Netanyahu was elder statesman of a club of authoritarian, populist bigots. That’s his global legacy. In Israel-Palestine, Netanyahu will be remembered for having dug the two-state solution’s grave. But internationally, he’s done something bigger: He’s helped to father our illiberal age.

He may be right, but I have suspicions about extending trend lines with no interrogation of those people on the backs of which these extensions rest. As they observe a lack of disaster when the coalition replacing Netanyahu take power, as Biden continues to provide quietly competent leadership, etc etc, these folks who previously supported these dubious characters, at least in the democracies, may quietly give up on them, even refuse to admit to having supported them out of simple embarrassment.

Be that as it may, I prefer a different label, based on Beinart’s own statement, and that would be The Era Of Enormous Fucking Egos:

And, like Trump, Netanyahu’s communication style has always included large doses of lying. From the British officials who nicknamed Bibi “the armor-plated bullshitter” to Bill Clinton aide Joe Lockhart, who recalled that Netanyahu “could open his mouth and you could have no confidence that anything that came out of it was the truth” to Netanyahu’s own former aide, Limor Livnat, who Caspit and Kfir quote as saying that, “You cannot believe a word he says,” people who dealt with Netanyahu have long noted his fraught relationship with the truth. Which helps explain why, when prosecuted for corruption, Netanyahu responded with a campaign of brazen deceit that threatened to delegitimize Israel’s judicial system.

The irony is that Netanyahu has long seen himself as this era’s Winston Churchill, the man courageous enough to stare evil in the face when other leaders preferred appeasement. The two men do have things in common: Churchill was a racist too. But, nonetheless, Churchill helped lead a global coalition that defended liberal democracy in its hour of peril. Netanyahu has done something closer to the opposite: He has helped to lead the coalition of authoritarians that now imperils liberal democracy across the globe.

Sure, leadership nearly always requires an ego at the national level. But when it involves chronic mendacity, a fixation on reputation rather than essential truth, then it’s intolerable in a leader.

Word Of The Day

Sessile:

In botanysessility (meaning “sitting”, used in the sense of “resting on the surface”) is a characteristic of plant parts that have no stalk.[1][2] Flowers or leaves are borne directly from the stem or peduncle, and thus lack a petiole or pedicel. The leaves of most monocotyledons lack petioles. [Wikipedia]

Noted in “Debunking the ACLU’s ‘4 Myths About Trans People’,” Colin Wright, Reality’s Last Stand:

Is sex binary? The use of the term “binary” is one that many seem to trip over. According to the dictionary definition, binary means “consisting of, indicating, or involving two.” As a biologist, I can confidently say this definition accurately describes biological sex. That is because the sex of an individual refers to one of two—and only two—functional roles that an individual may play in sexual reproduction. Males are defined as the sex that produces small, motile gametes (sperm), and females produces large, sessile gametes (ova). There is no third gamete between sperm and ova, and therefore there is no third biological sex apart from males and females. Intersex is an umbrella term that refers to external sex ambiguity or a mismatch between internal sexual anatomy and external phenotype, but it is not a third sex.

To The Disappointment Of McConnell

While reading Noah Smith’s summary of disasters that didn’t happen during the pandemic, it occurred to me that Senator McConnell (R-KY) might be a trifle disappointed in this one:

4) State budgets are healthy

The Great Recession clobbered state budgets, and they never really recovered. It was natural to expect that the COVID-19 recession would have the same effect. Most people predicted giant budget gaps and called urgently for a federal bailout of the states. Here’s Brookings, from April 2020:

[I]n the coming months, states will experience large declines in tax revenues and increased enrollment in safety-net programs as disruptions caused by COVID-19 drive incomes and consumption lower. Without assistance from the federal government, states will likely be forced to make deep program cuts, enact substantial tax increases, or both.

But fortunately, the crisis never happened. The relief bills raised income, and that income got taxed, filling states’ coffers. Capital gains taxes resulting from the big stock market boom helped too. This May it was reported that California has a $75.5 billion budget surplus. New York has a more modest surplus, as does Texas.

In fact, by the time Biden gave states a big dollop of federal cash, most probably no longer needed it.

It’s a known rumor that Senator McConnell would love to see state budgets, plural, get into trouble, because then the judiciary might assign a judge to supervise a state’s budget – and that might result in the big slashes in those budgets that he’d like to see.

No such luck this time, Moscow Mitch.

It’s Not Just Here In Minnesota, Ctd

Stephen J. K. Walters, chief economist at the Maryland Public Policy Institute, etc, has a countering view on the Baltimore phenomenon of lowered violent crime during the pandemic. Briefly, he’s not a fan and thinks we’re seeing rank amateurism from prosecutor Marilyn Mosby:

And now Baltimore is among the national vanguard in a new trend: de-prosecution. While it was widely perceived that early in her tenure Mosby put the brakes on prosecution of many “low-level” crimes, once the pandemic began she made that policy explicit (nominally to ensure that overcrowded prisons not become Covid spreaders). She dismissed over 1,400 pending criminal cases and quashed as many warrants for possession or “attempted distribution” of controlled dangerous substances, prostitution, trespassing, public urination or defecation, minor traffic offenses, and more.

A year later, she revealed that this policy was not just a Covid palliative but an experiment with human subjects; declaring it a big success, she proclaimed that “the era of ‘tough on crime’ prosecutors is over in Baltimore.” She pointed to a 20 percent reduction in violent crime and a 35 percent decline in property crime in the first quarter of 2021 compared with the same period last year. With all the confounding variables at work during the pandemic, of course, no social scientist worth her salt would proclaim such a complex experiment complete—much less successful—with just a year’s worth of data (or a subsample thereof).

When you’ve got data you like, however, “the science” or logic can be overlooked. So Mosby claimed that a 33 percent decline in 911 calls mentioning drugs and a 50 percent decline in calls mentioning sex work during her experiment proves that “there is no public safety value in prosecuting these offenses.” To the contrary: with drug use and prostitution de facto legal in Baltimore, many residents still wasted their time calling the cops about the dealers, junkies, hookers, or johns on their block. [City Journal]

He thinks … well …

A simpler explanation is that Mosby is just not very good at her job. Pre-pandemic, violent crime surged on her watch; homicides (averaging 55 per 100,000 residents) have run one-fifth higher than in any prior administration. Conviction rates fell as soon as she took office. According to Sean Kennedy of the Maryland Public Policy Institute, in 2017 only 12 percent of murder, attempted murder, or conspiracy-to-commit-murder cases resulted in a guilty plea or verdict for the murder charge. In 2018, only 18 percent of gun-crime defendants were found guilty.

It’s not the kind of statement designed to elicit agreement and analysis from the inside, but it may be accurate. It’s worth noting, though, that Walters is a fan of the Broken Windows philosophy of policing, which raises a red flag for me. If he had considered and rejected the lead poisoning theory of crime waves, then I’d be contingently happier, but he betrays no consciousness of it – which leaves me wondering if he’s well versed in the subject, or simply doesn’t like the work of Mosby.

But Walters provides a lot of context to the crime drama in Baltimore, so it’s worth a read.

[h/t Andrew Sullivan]

Word Of The Day

Moral risk:

In economics, moral hazard occurs when an entity has an incentive to increase its exposure to risk because it does not bear the full costs of that risk. For example, when a corporation is insured, it may take on higher risk knowing that its insurance will pay the associated costs. A moral hazard may occur where the actions of the risk-taking party change to the detriment of the cost-bearing party after a financial transaction has taken place.

Moral hazard can occur under a type of information asymmetry where the risk-taking party to a transaction knows more about its intentions than the party paying the consequences of the risk and has a tendency or incentive to take on too much risk from the perspective of the party with less information. One example is a principal–agent problem, where one party, called an agent, acts on behalf of another party, called the principal. If the agent has more information about his or her actions or intentions than the principal then the agent may have an incentive to act too riskily (from the viewpoint of the principal) if the interests of the agent and the principal are not aligned. [Wikipedia]

I assume Moral Risk and Moral Hazard are more or less synonyms. Noted in “Not That Innocent,” Elizabeth Bruenig, The Atlantic:

He shouldn’t have done what he did, none of it; nor should we have given him the opportunity to do what he did from death row, which we did when we created the machinery of capital punishment. Killing never reduces moral risk; there’s no cosmic ledger it can, by subtraction, set right, and no slate it can wash clean with the right amount of blood. In this way the lives of the innocent are no different from the lives of the guilty. The abolition of the death penalty will likely rest on whether we are willing to make that case.

Easy Money

I’m not quite sure why, but I found this particularly repellent:

According to [Marissa Bluestine, the assistant director of the Quattrone Center for the Fair Administration of Justice at the University of Pennsylvania Carey Law School], unsavory actors have taken advantage of the profusion of innocence organizations to exploit anxious inmates marked for death. “There is this weird cottage industry of folks who are under the radar—and I think they are completely predatory and disgusting,” she said. “They will reach out to folks who are incarcerated, [and] offer to review their case and present it to a conviction-integrity unit, saying it’ll only cost you $2,500. And they have no intention of doing any work.” Bluestine said she has worked with clients who have lost money and resources, such as transcripts with only one extant copy, to scams masquerading as innocence efforts. None of which is to say that genuine innocence programs are responsible for their malicious imposters—only that the proliferation of scattered innocence groups across the judicial landscape has given the fakes room to grow. [Elizabeth Bruenig, The Atlantic]

I suppose an innocence program, which advocates for convicts for whom there is some credible doubt as to their guilt, is simply trading in a product, and as such grifters/scammers are attracted due to the desperate circumstances of the customers.