And Their Credentials Might Be?

I was a little surprised by this from Brian Katulis on The Liberal Patriot:

Two main wildcards exist for those who are open to an argument for building back U.S. politics of national security from the center.

First are the open questions of who will emerge as the leading voices in Congress on national security in both parties.  The GOP remains in disarray after the surprising setback it suffered in these midterms. Inside of the Democratic Party, there are loud voices who like to pretend the positions they espouse on foreign policy have more public support than they actually do.  Yet the American public supports a more balanced foreign policy agenda than these fringe voices seem to recognize.

It sounds like a nice bit of patter until you think about it a bit. So the American public supports a middle of the road foreign policy.

So what?

The American public supported isolationism in the late 1930s, and that got them a metaphorical smoking hole where the US Pacific Fleet was docked on December 7th, 1941, and our closest ally, Great Britain, teetering on the edge of oblivion.

While it’s important to understand the aggregate American public position on foreign policy, it’s not in order to conform to it, but to understand the deficiencies of the public’s understanding in order to correct them. For me, we elect the President to represent the nation to other nations, and that includes becoming and/or hiring experts on what can be done, in combination with what we think is best for us as a nation.

And not relying on the provincial attitudes of the common citizen, who knows little of other nations, even in the Era of the Internet.

Belated Movie Reviews

“Now, I know you want a relic from the Event Horizon, you can feel it down in your soooouuuuul, you just have to have one! Brothers, sister, predators, it’ll make you one of us to have a bit of this famous ship of Christ in your living room! So here’s the first piece we have, and it’s … the … ship’s STEERING WHEEL! Imagine how the neighborhood will talk about you once you reveal this is in your living room, with the victims’ blood still on it! Who’ll start the bidding at $24.99?” They should have gotten Drew Carey to run the auction, instead.

Event Horizon (1997) is, I suppose, an infuriating story for science fiction fans. It gets off to a fine start, as spaceship Lewis & Clark gets underway to rescue a ship, Event Horizon, that’s been missing for seven years that’s suddenly popped up in orbit around Neptune. The science sounds good, rescue ship is suitably worn, rescue crew interactions are mostly believable, although the eccentricities seem a bit exaggerated, but the idea that the designer of the Event Horizon didn’t go with the ship – especially with his wife aboard – seems really odd.

Designer, you say? But yes; it’s revealed that Event Horizon is more than a whimsical name. The ship was designed to be the first interstellar exploration ship, and to do so, it creates a temporary, artificial black hole, and uses its event horizon to make the leap to its target star system.

All well and good. After all, a good star drive is one of the accepted exceptions to real physics allowed in science fiction.

But … it turns out the path opened by Event Horizon is the one to Hell. Just about literally. Yep, use your reverberating bass mind voice for that one. One by one, crew members experience terrible things in their heads, so frightening they become catatonic, and then one of them is taken over.

And let me say, Bah. My Arts Editor and I were involved in multiple incidents of eyeball-rolling, because an interesting story about rescuing explorers had become just another religio-jump-scare movie, with demons and evil and all that unexplained trash, including a space captain who happens to speak Latin at moments of supreme stress.

Might as well encounter Jason in Space. (“Jasons In Space”? Anyone care to describe what was in your mind when you read that?)

So this was off to a fine start, and abruptly jumped into the metaphorical La Brea Tarpits for an informal wrestle with a sabre-tooth tiger and the lead monster from Alien. Unrecommendable, really. And too bad.

One Step Taken, Ctd

A congratulatory bouquet to the victors!

The first half of the ruin of extremists in the United States has now been completed by Rep Mary Peltola (D-AK) and Senator Murkowski (Rmoderate-AK), as each is projected by CNN and Ballotpedia to have won their reelection contests.

In Rep Peltola’s case, she has defeated former Governor and VP candidate Sarah “quitter” Palin (Rextremist-AK) and Nicholas Begich (R-AK) in the ranked choice voting (RCV) contest, triumphing in the third round. Rep Peltola had assumed the late Rep Don Young’s (R-AK) seat on winning the special election for the seat just a few months ago. Keeping in mind that CNN still shows votes to be counted, how does Peltola’s victory compare to her previous victory?

The margin is significantly larger.

Peltola’s special election margin over Palin was 3 points.

CNN and Ballotpedia has her margin in the general election currently at nearly 10 points.

This suggests that either moderate voters skipped the special election, which is certainly possible, or the regular Republican voters have decided that Peltola is not a member of the Devil’s Party, or at least that the Devil’s Party isn’t so bad as a fully configured religious extremist.

It’s a trap!
(Apply metaphor as needed.)

And that would be a real problem for an Alaska Republican Party (ARP) that put forth said extremist as its most popular candidate. It suggests that the extremists currently in control of the Party in Alaska don’t know how to make their positions palatable, don’t understand the voters’ preferences, and that voters don’t care for their loyalty to the former President, a loyalty evident in ARP’s censure of a sitting Senator for voting for conviction of the then-President, and his endorsement of Palin in return. Have Alaska voters decided that the Trump brand is the brand of losers who don’t know how to govern, and the ARP is controlled by out of touch advocates of positions incompatible with the future? If Trump wins the nomination for the 2024 Presidential Election, is it possible that Alaska will go Democratic? I think so, although that depends on a number of factors. Stay tuned for a couple of years.

Moving on to the victory of moderate Senator Murkowski (R) over Trump-endorsee Kelly Tshibaka (R), for a race that was considered to be a nail biter by conservative news outlets who, in obeisance to the former President, were rooting for Tshibaka, Murkowski won by a comfortable 7+ points. Importantly, Murkowski not only was running without endorsement from the ARP, but had actually been censured by the ARP for voting to convict the former President in his second trial for the January 6th Insurrection, as well as voting to confirm U.S. Rep. Deb Haaland as Department of Interior secretary. As Haaland is an enrolled member of the Pueblo of Laguna in New Mexico, this censure may have served to alienate many indigenous Alaskan voters from Tshibaka, although I only speculate. Murkowski is well known for her devotion to indigenous Alaskan interests, so it may not have mattered.

Even more interestingly, the ARP also voted to censure Senate GOP leader Senator McConnell (R-KY) for his financial support of Murkowski. This is not important in the context of the election, except to signify the fury of the extremists at the proper functioning of a democracy, but McConnell’s investment on Murkowski’s behalf had multiple purposes: Frustrate Trump, who hates McConnell and had endorsed Tshibaka; preserve an ally for McConnell; and, most importantly, conserve a U.S. Senate seat for the Republican Party. In previous posts I’ve suggested Murkowski might consider starting a new political party of a moderate nature, or could go independent; McConnell’s investment should restrain such impulses on her part, which I think is a sad result, but very smart investment by McConnell.

These results should dismay the extremists who thought the “red wave,” which disappeared into the vortex of disaffected voters, would carry them into dominance. Other extremist news includes the 13 point defeat of former two-term governor of Maine Paul LePage (R), who characterized himself as, paraphrasing, “Trump before there was a Trump.” (I preferred Amanda Chase’s self-description of “Trump in heels,” which has a lovely, terrible visual.) This rejection of LePage’s radical politics is perhaps not as decisive as desired, but if the Maine Republican Party wants to return to governance, they’ll be well-advised to dump LePage and those who advance his causes.

While national Republicans continue to make radical noises, those states in which RCV is used should see moderates winning elections – and Republicans hating RCV. It’s the bane of extremists who find toxic team politics and first past the post voting to be far more favorable.

But I see RCV as a natural result of toxic team politics and the consequent election of incompetent, grandstanding extremists. Look for it to become ,ore popular with moderates of all stripes.

Word Of The Day

Copypasta:

copypasta is a block of text that is copied and pasted across the Internet by individuals through online forums and social networking websites. Copypastas are said to be similar to spam as they are often used to annoy other users and disrupt online discourse. [Wikipedia]

Well. I wonder if the Flying Spaghetti Monster approves. Noted in “Twitter king Dril on Musk’s chaotic reign,” Taylor Lorenz, WaPo:

To those trying to predict Twitter’s fate, there’s probably no one more representative of a certain part of Twitter than Dril. His posts have become meme formats and copypasta; in one tweet he even appeared to predict the end of Twitter in 2022. Academics have dissected and analyzed his tweets. The A.V. Club, an online publication devoted to pop culture, declared Dril “the patron saint of the internet itself” and “a rare rallying point and muse for everyone, regardless of affiliation or creed.”

To which I can only say, Who?

The 2022 Senate Campaign: Updates

I had not meant to add anything more to this thread, although a final sum up came to mind. But the Georgia runoff has its first poll, and it shows Senator Warnock (D) leading challenger Herschel Walker:

A new poll focusing on the Dec. 6 runoff between U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker shows a close race with challenges for both rivals as they rush to rebuild their coalitions.

The poll, commissioned by the AARP, pegged Warnock at 51% and Walker at 47% — within the margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

Conducted by the bipartisan team of Fabrizio Ward & Impact Research, it’s the first major public poll since the Nov. 8 election ended with neither rival securing the majority vote needed for an outright victory. [The Atlanta Journal-Constitution]

Technically, a dead heat. Still, Walker may have a lot of ground to make up in two weeks.

Prospective Nominee vs Party

I’m a little puzzled over this statement by Erick Erickson:

People forget that Donald Trump won the GOP nomination with the smallest percentage of the vote any Republican nominee got through his party’s primaries. Trump got 44.95%. For reference, Romney got 52.1% of the GOP primary vote in 2012, and McCain got 46.7% in 2008. McCain was the second most divisive GOP nominee in the history of Republican primaries. Trump was the most divisive.

I’m not saying it’s insightful or unusual or poorly stated. But I have to wonder if it’s an accurate conclusion.

To me there’s an unstated assumption that “the Party” is malleable in its views and it allegiance to those views. Not infinitely malleable, but changeable by the various politicians running for the nomination, if they only know how.

But that’s not true, especially in this era of arrogance and disdain for compromise. Folks cling to their views with an apocalyptic certitude that I view with dismay and even disgust. Is Trump divisive within the Republicans? Or is he merely a reflection of a Party that is becoming less and less capable of compromise, of that necessary self-doubt that is the heritage, loathed as it might be, of every American who has read the Constitution?

Does Trump, McCain, and for that matter Dukakis cause the divisions, or are they the source of illumination of the abysses that riddle the parties, crevasses that are not bridged because of the pride of those on the heights?

Given Trump’s intra-party approval poll numbers, I actually find it hard to label him divisive in that context. Of course, such polls don’t accurately evaluate those folks who are former members of the Party, driven away by Trump, and so it does become a bit of a statistical mystery.

But it throws doubt on Erickson’s observation:

We should not memory hole the massive establishment rally to Trump when Cruz was the last man standing against him.

Even more importantly, it’s worth remembering that, from a cast of dubious and even repulsive characters (the “deep bench” of laughable reporting), probably the two most repulsive, the most shallow duo, ended up mano y mano.

Think about that.

Some Deep Dives Find Whales

And some find the S. S. Minnow.

In case you’re not intimate with the Hunter Biden saga that the House GOP now threatens, spittle everywhere, to investigate, and you don’t read Kevin Drum, here he is on the Hunter Biden affair:

It’s still 43 days until the new Congress starts up, but it’s never too early to take a deep dive into some the important issues Republicans will be addressing when January 3rd rolls around. And anyway, there’s only one, so it’s not like you have a ton of homework to do. The subject, of course, is Hunter Biden and his laptop. Here’s a detailed rundown of this sordid affair:

  • Back in the day, Hunter did a lot of drugs and got himself enmeshed in a bunch of sleazy deals. Apparently he routinely promised people that his ties to “Dad” would be a big help to their cause.
  • There is no evidence that Joe Biden knew about Hunter’s dealings or was ever involved in any of them.

Also, come on. Even if you’re a total partisan hack, this doesn’t really sound like Joe’s style, does it?

The news sources are obligated to cover real news. I’d recommend ignoring anything that’s merely political speculation. Here, for example, on a slightly different topic is Rep Chris Stewart (R-UT), in an interview with far-right pundit Glenn Beck:

@RepChrisStewart tells me he believes the House GOP’s investigation into the Biden family may leave the Senate “no choice” but to convict Biden: “There’s actual evidence of conspiracy with companies that are directly tied to the [Chinese Communist Party].”

Has he brought this evidence forward? No. Either submit the evidence, or do the honorable thing and keep your trap shut. You occupy a position of responsibility, you’re not running a blog as your primary route of public expression.

We’ll be seeing if the House GOP can be responsible or just the center ring of the a circus.

Reversal Over Time

I must say, it’s been interesting watching progressives speculate that Musk’s apparent mismanagement of his latest acquisition, Twitter, may not be a matter of gross incompetence, but of direction, such as this, from bluedogsd on Daily Kos:

I’m presenting a thesis:   Elon Musk is breaking Twitter as a co-opted asset for the Putin Oligarchy with the purpose of disrupting or damaging the best information coming out of Ukraine to the public that bolsters support in NATO and the west. 

Of course this thesis can and will never be proven but I want to make what I think is a compelling case.

There’s been a couple of other articles of the sort on Daily Kos, as well as an alternative hypothesis of Neoreactionarism, or what I’d term a weak-minded belief that a strong man leadership is better than democracy. The association of this juvenile philosophy with libertarianism seems a trifle odd, as most libertarians seem to appreciate the positives of democracy, at least as far as I could tell ten or more years ago.

That these hypotheses are coming from the left, rather than the right, strikes me as a trifle funny is because I remember accusations of the left being in league with the Soviet Union, which had, at its core, Russia, coming from the right decades ago.

That now the left can make similar accusations of, essentially, traitorous behavior by Musk and some of his fellow right-wing millionaires and billionaires, and have those theories at least considered, is a fascinating insight into the use of the East as The Other, the eternally menacing shadowy creatures with which we strip adversaries of their honor and even their humanity.

It doesn’t hurt that accusations against the left from decades ago were partially substantiated when Guy Burgess, Donald Maclean, Kim Philby and Anthony Blunt, members of the Cambridge Five and known for their left-wing views, were revealed as Soviet spies. Will we eventually see right-wingers being bought and paid for by Russian paymasters?

And how many of us will be able to appreciate the historical parallel?

What does it say, not about the East, but about the West?

Currency Always Has Costs, Ctd

From almost a month ago, prior to the FTX collapse:

A cryptocurrency platform in the United Arab Emirates announced today it will offer a card linked to cryptocurrencies.

The Dubai-based BitOasis and Mastercard will partner to offer “crypto card programs” that will use cryptocurrencies for everyday purchases. The cards will convert the crypto assets into fiat currency, such as US dollars or Emirati dirhams. BitOasis said in a statement that the cards will launch in early 2023.

“We continue to witness sustained demand amongst our customers for crypto to be integrated into, and relevant, for their daily lives,” said BitOasis CEO Ola Doudin. “Research tells us that 47% of the Middle East population now believe crypto is the future of money.” [AL-Monitor]

Given the description, deeply simplified I’m sure, this rather defeats one of the purposes of the blockchain: to record who bought what for how much.

Word Of The Day

Ronnagram:

“If we think about mass, instead of distance, the Earth weighs approximately six ronnagrams,” which is a six followed by 27 zeroes, Brown said. [“Earth now weighs six ronnagrams: New metric prefixes voted in,” Daniel Lawler, Phys.Org]

Quetta is another 3 zeroes, and ronto and quecto down at the other end of the spectrum, describing painfully small measurements. WaPo’s article, “The Earth now weighs 6 ronnagrams. What does that mean?” appears to be terminally confused about the difference between weight and mass:

The Earth can now be said to weigh about six ronnagrams, instead of 6,000 yottagrams. Jupiter can be described as having a mass of about 1.9 quettagrams, instead of just 1.9 million yottagrams. And an electron’s weight is one rontogram, or 0.001 yoctograms.

Mass, not weigh, please. Confusion runneth over. It was probably an ankylosaurus. He was in the club, after all.

Belated Movie Reviews

<Insert pathetic Harry Potter joke here, then jump off Niagara Falls in a flowerpot as an apology.>

The Woman In Black (2012) seems like a movie out of its era, at least to these modern eyes. Set in Edwardian or late Victorian England, young and probationary lawyer Arthur Kipps is sent by his employer to Crythin Gifford in England to process the estate of client Alice Drablow, lately deceased. Mourning the loss of his own wife in childbirth four years earlier, Kipps discovers a village that is standoffish, but not for the usual reasons, whatever they may be, but because the children of the village are dying.

In droves, I mean. And it’s all by, well, it appears inadvertent suicide. No, don’t walk in the train tracks. No, don’t drink lye.

But he has a job, and no matter how hard the villagers try, Eel Marsh House, late home of Alice Drablow and intoxicator of my Arts Editor, will be processed. So Kipps digs in and starts reading.

And hearing the noises.

And seeing the mysterious, disappearing figures. Indeed, we’re almost overrun by the haunted house tropes. In fact, I began to muse on how to flip them on their heads, just for fun.

And that’s the problem here. Each scene, for all its earnestness, for all its unconscious dedication to the art form of the earnestly haunted house, inspired not shivering or thoughtfulness, but straight lines.

And this is Arthur Kipps, seen here extinguishing the very idea of humor in England,” as Stephen Colbert might intone.

The problem is that a haunted house story needs some sort of underlying theme, a Don’t ever do this moment, and … It. Doesn’t. Have. That.

And that lack leads the mind to wander.

Back to the story, and skipping a great deal of it, eventually Kipps’ four year old son comes a-visiting (“Hey! Make him bait!”), and soon we have the woman in black, as well as Arthur’s dead wife, at the rail station, but, too bad for her kid and still-living husband, she’s just useless in the protection racket, so terrible things keep on happening.

And, yes, the future is bleak for this little village. But moreso for a movie that is ultimately far too earnest for the current era, an era that demands cleverness and insight, and the haunted house genre, in earnest mode, just doesn’t seem to be up for it here.

If you want recently done effective horror, see Get Out (2017). Horror is not my gig at all, but I liked Get Out.

Will The Roil Continue?

Governor DeSantis (R-FL) may be considered a leading contender for attention in Florida, but fellow Republican Senator Rick Scott (R-FL) may be giving him a run for his money, if not in the most salubrious manner:

The GOP’s post-election finger-pointing intensified Tuesday, with two senators calling for an audit of the National Republican Senatorial Committee.

During a tense, three-hour-long meeting of the Senate GOP Conference, Sens. Marsha Blackburn (R-Tenn.) and Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) said there should be an independent review of how the party’s campaign arm spent its resources before falling short of its goal of winning the majority.

Scott responded in a statement issued after this story was first published Wednesday morning, describing taking over the committee two years ago and “immediately” learning that previous staffers had been paid “hundreds of thousands of dollars in unauthorized and improper bonuses.”

Kevin McLaughlin, the executive director of the NRSC during the 2020 election cycle under then-Chairman Todd Young (R-Ind.), said in response: “This is what children do when they are caught with their hand in the cookie jar. They lash out. Obviously this is crazy and we welcome a full audit.” [Politico]

Some sort of corruption going on? Sure. But if it gets a Republican Senator marched off to jail, it may emphasize the point to many independents that the Republicans seem to be a different breed from the Democrats. Here we’re talking about Senators Young (R-IN) and Scott (R-FL), and if either broke the law, we may see a special election called for the guilty party.

What are the odds of a special election in Florida’s future due to corruption? Very small. The audit may detect misbehavior, but it may not rise to the level of actual criminality. Or a prosecutor might be overwhelmed by the position of whoever’s at fault.

But it’s worth contemplating. Even without criminal charges, the revelation may be enough to drive moderates away from the Republicans.

When Will It Occur To Them?

Erick Erickson is appalled at the behavior of the Republican leadership:

There was a time in Western Civilization when if the party screwed up as badly as the GOP screwed up last Tuesday, the people in charge would resign out of shame.

They have no sense of shame anymore. The grift is too strong.

Tom Emmers, the head of the National Republican Congressional Committee, thinks he deserves a promotion to House Republican Whip. In what world does the man deserve that after the GOP took a red wave and turned it into a bloodbath by suicide?

Kevin McCarthy wants to be Speaker. The man thought the GOP would get up to sixty seats.

And on top of it all, Ronna McDaniel wants to be RNC Chair again. What the actual hell is up with that?

But Erickson, so far as I can make out, seems to think this was a matter of tactics. It’s not; it’s a matter of a toxic culture within the Republican Party, where certain tenets, such as 2nd Amendment Rights are absolute, regulation and taxes are an unremitting evil which are used to hold down the little guy, abortion is outright evil (baby-killing in Erickson’s terms), and experience and competency in the area of governance, if not deeply suspicious, is of secondary or tertiary importance.

Being capable of the gun-rights polka, the anti-taxation jig, the anti-abortion waltz are the primary requirements of a Republican candidate, and after that it becomes a matter of proving just how extreme you can be, as Governor Stitt (R-OK) demonstrated as he tried to drag Oklahoma into theocracy over the last few years. The lack of interest in experience leads to candidate with, well, no experience, and it’s that lack of experience which leads candidates to shoot their mouths off irresponsibly.

That toxic team culture means that it’s going to be hell to reform the GOP, and Erickson does recognize the difficulty:

In Georgia, the Governor of Georgia has decided to gut the state GOP. Kemp is setting up a leadership PAC that will siphon off most of the GOP donors from the Georgia GOP. The Chairman of that state’s party found primary opponents for Kemp and several other statewide officials. The Chairman won’t resign, so the state Republican elected leader will destroy the party, and deservedly so. It must be burned down to save it.

But if Governor Kemp (R-GA), himself a shady character, as we may deduce from his failure to recuse (or resign!) when he was Secretary of State and running for Governor, doesn’t understand that reformation includes returning experience to primacy, and enabling dissent and discussion around what are now religious tenets, his accomplishment will be fleeting.

And the only reason the Republicans will continue to be competitive is a Democratic Party that has equal trouble resolving its mistakes, primarily its autocratic streak.

Here’s Why We Don’t Own Tesla

Car or stock.

The nine-word tweet was sent Thursday afternoon from an account using the name and logo of the pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly and Co., and it immediately attracted a giant response: “We are excited to announce insulin is free now.”

The tweet carried a blue “verified” check mark, a badge that Twitter had used for years to signal an account’s authenticity — and that Twitter’s new billionaire owner, Elon Musk, had, while declaring “power to the people!” suddenly opened to anyone, regardless of their identity, as long as they paid $8.

But the tweet was a fake — one of what became a fast-multiplying horde of impersonated businesses, political leaders, government agencies and celebrities. By the time Twitter had removed the tweet, more than six hours later, the account had inspired other fake Eli Lilly copycats and been viewed millions of times.

He may have gotten Tesla and SpaceX off the ground, but it’s clear that he doesn’t understand his own limitations, that limitation being how to run a modern social media site. Nor do I. But I’m not jonesing to do so, either, while he went off and bought one.

This is not a capable business leader, and I don’t want to own the car or the stock. The latter, BTW, is down quite a bit off its highs, but so are a lot of stocks. But will it return to its high flying ways? That remains to be seen.

I’m thinking a lot of investors like myself are leaning against it.

Currency Always Has Costs, Ctd

More on the basis of the FTX debacle by Emily Parker, summarized by CNN as … executive director of global content at CoinDesk, a media, event, indices and data company, and a former policy advisor at the US State Department and writer/editor at The Wall Street Journal.

… crypto shouldn’t need a savior. The whole point of crypto is that it is supposed to be decentralized and transparent. Bankman-Fried’s rise and fall shows how far the industry has strayed from that ideal. Today’s crypto world is one of opaque entities run by larger-than-life personalities. There is perhaps no better example than FTX and its leader.

It wasn’t supposed to be this way. Bitcoin, the world’s first major cryptocurrency, came into the world on the heels of the 2008 financial crisis, which led to a deep disappointment in bankers and politicians. In light of the distrust in financial institutions, the basic idea was that this new system didn’t require you to trust anyone at all. Bitcoin transactions are recorded on a decentralized ledger known as a blockchain, which everyone can see and no bad actor should be able to fraudulently alter.

But Bankman-Fried’s empire, it turned out, was far from transparent. [CNN]

As fine an analysis as this might be, it still ignores the larger context. What is that?

Look, let’s stop ignoring the interests of society. Extreme wealth, which Americans and half of humanity, if not more, are taught to desire and pursue, is, at best, a neutral result for society as a whole; it is, I suspect, more of a negative result.


THE label society is a placeholder for the idea of group survival, a group which supports successful reproduction of enough of its members to ensure group survival at a minimum. An age-old definition, more recently, as we’ve overpopulated our various geographical niches, we’ve attempted to add factors related to environmental stability and robustness to the definition, which threatens the personal ambitions of certain individuals and, more importantly, groups that share misunderstandings of the purpose of capitalism and the sort-of meritocracy to which we sort of honor.

But once this aggregate entity is recognized, there is an inherent question of whether the individual desires are superior to that of the societal requirements, or the reverse; my inclination is the latter.

But there’s a lot of adversarial evidence, isn’t there? Various forms of government and economy, the tools of society, have been tried, and that of individual autonomy are generally considered to lead to robust nations. Monarchies, theocracies, autocracies, communisms, all have lead to societal turmoil, thus lessening the chances of group survival. We’ve tried most of the worst, now we’re on this one.

But in our particular case at hand, extreme wealth and its pursuit appears to lead to instabilities of various institutions and organizations, from endangering corporate entities such as Twitter to the endangerment of societal members health, such as victims of parasites when the price of Daraprim steeply climbed due to the manipulations of a hedge fund manager, who jacked up the price in a criminal pursuit of wealth, his name being Martin Shkreli.

It’s this single minded pursuit of wealth, whether individual or under the color of corporate wealth, that tends to damage society. The cryptocurrency industry, while not bringing any tangible benefit to society, seems to have minted many new rich people.

And then deminted them.

And how does this benefit society? Well, so far I haven’t seen any such thing. Capitalism, or the cessation of mercantilism, wasn’t just to give individuals a chance to advance in society on their own merits, but to advance society’s purpose of a stable environment where the best providers are best rewarded. This single minded pursuit of wealth, from that point of view, strikes me as more a mental illness than the solid contributions of societal members.

And that’s my concern over cryptocurrencies. Just more of the same.

Election Detritus

As I read this, from an article entertainingly headlined, Congressional Republicans panic as they watch their lead dwindle

With control of the House and Senate still undecided, angry Republicans mounted public challenges to their leaders in both chambers Friday as they confronted the possibility of falling short of the majority, eager to drag Rep. Kevin McCarthy (Calif.) and Sen. Mitch McConnell (Ky.) down from their top posts as consequence. …

The first hurdles for a slim House GOP majority are leadership elections and agreeing on conference rules, a showdown that is expected next week. The staunchly conservative House Freedom Caucus is calling for a delay to those housekeeping efforts — especially if control of the House is not decided by then. [WaPo]

… I thought, If McCarthy wins, he’ll face the problem of the Freedom Caucus, the same people who brought down Speaker Boehner (R-OH). Would he consider expelling one or two members of the Freedom Caucus from Congress as a signal warning to the rest of them?

Sure, seems highly unlikely. But who’d miss Rep Jordan (R-OH), Greene (R-GA), or Gosar (R-AZ)? Hey, there’s currently 43 members, maybe kick a couple out and tell the rest to get in line?

Nyah, won’t happen. Democrats would have to cooperate, as it takes 2/3 of the membership of the House to expel a member. But, hey, a little thinking outside of the box by McCarthy may be necessary.

Which reminds me, the Senate, as I type this, is at 49-49, advantage Democrats because they hold the White House and therefore get to break ties via VP Harris. Arizona was called for the Democrats yesterday, in case my reader missed the news. This means the Democrats must win one of the two remaining contests, while the Republicans must win both.

These contests are Senator Cortez Masto (D) vs Adam Laxalt (R) in Nevada, currently lead by the latter by a tenth of a point with an estimated 94% of the vote counted, and Senator Warnock (D) vs Herschel Walker (R) in Georgia, where there’s a requirement that the 50% barrier be broken, or the race goes to a runoff election. As Warnock is at 49.4% with 99% of the estimated vote counted, that’s almost certainly where it’s going.

Now let’s suppose that Senator Cortez Masto has enough votes in the uncounted vote pile to make up that tenth of a point and more, thus winning her seat again and, more importantly, guaranteeing the Democrats control of the Senate. Riddle me this: Given that Walker may be the most inadequate nominee to the Senate in a good long time, spewing gibberish, lies, and unacceptable policies every which way, do you, in your role of controller of Republican policy and monies, go all in on him for the runoff?

Knowing that he could be six years of unmitigated embarrassment, six years of damage to a Republican Party that unexpectedly failed to make substantial gains last week?

Or do you not support him and figure the Democrats can have the seat for six years, giving it to Senator Warnock (D), who apparently is gaining a reputation for oratory, for persuasiveness?

Tough question, really. I suppose you have to go all in, but it’s really a distasteful decision, at least in my view.

Currency Always Has Costs, Ctd

The saga of cryptocurrency continues on its sad, even tragic path, as FTX Group, a Bahamian-based cryptocurrency exchange, has foundered:

FTX Group said Friday it has filed for bankruptcy in the United States and that its CEO has resigned, marking a stunning downfall for one of the biggest and most powerful players in the crypto industry.

FTX said Sam Bankman-Fried, the 30-year-old founder of the exchange, will remain to assist in an orderly transition. The firm appointed a new CEO, John Ray III, and many employees are expected to stay on to operate the company in Chapter 11.

“I’m really sorry, again, that we ended up here,” Bankman-Fried wrote in a Twitter thread Friday. “Hopefully things can find a way to recover.”

The bankruptcy proceedings include FTX US as well as FTX’s crypto hedge fund Alameda and about 130 other sister companies. [CNN/Business]

While in isolation it’s not unlike a bank going under, in the context of the industry, it’s not good. Last time I was paying attention to Bitcoin, it went for something like $19K/coin. Now?

Call it $17K/coin. More importantly, yesterday the stock market had a marked recovery on a report that inflation is slowing.

Bitcoin didn’t.

Too much navel gazing? Not sensitive to that particular marker since the system is supposedly insensitive?

Maybe it’s deflating from unsupportable price spikes. Hello, tulips?

This Is Reassuring

From WaPo:

As voters cast ballots largely without incident on Tuesday afternoon, former president Donald Trump took to social media to declare that a minor, already rectified problem with absentee balloting in Detroit was “REALLY BAD.”

“Protest, protest, protest,” he wrote just before 2:30 p.m.

Unlike in 2020, when similar cries from the then-president drew thousands of supporters into the streets — including to a tabulating facility in Detroit and later to the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 — this time, no one showed up.

After two years of promises from Trump and his supporters that they would flood polls and counting stations with partisan watchers to spot alleged fraud, after unprecedented threats lodged against election workers, after calls to ditch machines in favor of hand counting and after postings on internet chat groups called for violent action to stop supposed cheating, a peaceful Election Day drew high turnout and only scattered reports of problems.

Evidence that the American electorate can learn. The grifters are looking bad this time ’round:

Election officials said nationally that fewer partisan challengers showed up than they had thought likely, given pre-election rhetoric from figures like former Trump adviser and popular podcaster Stephen K. Bannon, who boasted of a massive new network of “election integrity” activists. (“We’re going to be there and enforce those rules, and we’ll challenge any vote, any ballot, and you’re going to have to live with it, okay?” he said on a recent episode of his show.)

Bannon’s a spent balloon – he may make a bit of noise if someone steps on him, but it turns out there’s really not much more to him than taking people’s money with little or no return on it.

In North Carolina, [Pandora Paschal, the election director in Chatham County, N.C.] said it was election workers who had kept partisan challengers from breaking the rules.

“We let them know we would not tolerate it,” she said.

The heroes of the election. Despite the threats and extra challenges, they went out and did their jobs, and, so far, by all reports quite well.

Word Of The Day

Photophoresis:

There is a known effect for levitating flat objects with two sides called photophoresis. This occurs when one of the sides absorbs lots of light and the other very little, creating a difference in temperature. Just like how temperature differences in the atmosphere cause winds, this temperature gradient makes molecules move in such a way as to create a lifting force on the object.

Benjamin Schafer at Harvard University in Massachusetts and his colleagues designed a device that could use photophoresis to levitate small atmospheric sensors that wouldn’t need motors or batteries to stay aloft. [“Weather sensors could float forever in the stratosphere using sunlight,” Karmela Padavic-Callaghan, NewScientist (29 October 2022, paywall)]

Earl Landgrebe Award Nominee

Here’s a meta-nominee. Or something.

That’s right, the former President gets all the credit and none of the blame. In a very real way, it’s a paean to this man’s philosophy, a deeply broken philosophy that contributes to the disaster that seems to follow his life around.