Supporting The Troops?

I guess President Trump saw that poll in the Military Times concerninghis popularity:

The latest Military Times poll shows a continued decline in active-duty service members’ views of President Donald Trump and a slight but significant preference for former Vice President Joe Biden in the upcoming November election among troops surveyed.

The results, collected before the political conventions earlier this month, appear to undercut claims from the president that his support among military members is strong thanks to big defense budget increases in recent years and promised moves to draw down troops from overseas conflict zones.

But the Military Times Polls, surveying active-duty troops in partnership with the Institute for Veterans and Military Families (IVMF) at Syracuse University, have seen a steady drop in troops’ opinion of the commander in chief since his election four years ago.

Why do I say that? Because President Trump is indulging in his favorite reaction when some group appears to denigrate him – he’s punching back. From USA Today:

In a heretofore unpublicized recent memo, the Pentagon delivered an order to shutter Stars and Stripes, a newspaper that has been a lifeline and a voice for American troops since the Civil War. The memo orders the publisher of the news organization (which now publishes online as well as in print) to present a plan that “dissolves the Stars and Stripes” by Sept. 15 including “specific timeline for vacating government owned/leased space worldwide.”

“The last newspaper publication (in all forms) will be September 30, 2020,” writes Col. Paul Haverstick Jr., the memo’s author.

It’s rather like watching a petulant three year old take a swat at a tower of blocks, only to have it all come raining down on him, doesn’t it? In all likelihood, this’ll simply engender more politically independent troops to become Biden voters; only hardened Trump supporters will be unaffected, politically.

Fortunately, this venerable institution can be easily restored once this President is replaced. I hope.

And that graph is especially telling, isn’t it? From a 9 point advantage to a 12 point disadvantage over twelve years, it’s gotta say something about how a body of people whose culture includes commitment to discipline views the deeply undisciplined actions of this Administration. While the military does have its problems, at its core it believes not only in what it does, but in how it does it – and, Trump’s claims of being the military’s best friend notwithstanding, they are coming more and more to the realization that Trump shares very little with them.

Bad Carrot! Bad Carrot!

Large, distributed enterprises require the careful selection of appropriate incentives in order to entice the humans who happen to inhabit them to, well, not pee in the corners. Dr. Stuart Ritchie has been looking into the twin problems of sloppy experiments and reproducibility, and talks about it in this interview in NewScientist (22 August 2020) – but, first, this:

WHEN Stuart Ritchie was a graduate student in Edinburgh, UK, in 2011, he was involved in an incident that shook his faith in science. With two colleagues, he tried and failed to replicate a famous experiment on precognition, the ability to see the future. They sent their results to the journal that published the original research and received an immediate rejection on the grounds that the journal didn’t accept studies that repeated previous experiments.

Which leaves me wondering just what this nameless journal is doing if it won’t publish retrospective studies. Since we’re talking precognition, a noted delusion, we can be fairly sure the experiment should have found nothing; if it did find something, then there was something wrong about it, and a careful survey of the study could be informative.

My sneaking suspicion is that the journals inhabiting the junk science part of the landscape are run by biased people – those who are convinced they’re studying real phenomenon, and whose livelihoods depend on that assertion.

But back to Ritchie:

How did we let the rot set in?

It crept in due to a system of perverse incentives. There’s huge pressure to publish papers and huge pressure to bring in grants – which is an incentive to publish papers and apply for grants, but not an incentive to discover the truth. We focus far too much on rewarding people who have brought in big grants or published papers in prestigious journals, which isn’t necessarily getting us what we want.

But there are checks and balances, like peer review, where independent experts vet papers before they are published…

It works in some cases, but it’s nowhere near the filter it needs to be. Some of the worst papers ever went through the peer-review system of the world’s best journals.

For instance, the system isn’t set up in a way that peer reviewers can easily get raw data. It’s absurd. The people who are supposed to be checking whether the analysis is correct rarely see the data that the claims are based on.

And so a lot of our knowledge of reality is, well, even more contingent than it should be.

What’s to be done? Perhaps every relevant discipline could support an Institute of Reproducibility (IoR), and every fresh post-doc could be expected to put in a year or two at their IoR. Papers lacking a notation in their IoR’s public database are considered dubious.

But, in a way, this is a patch on a systemic problem. This is really a fault of the institutes of higher learning that mostly exist to support research and teaching, and excellence in the former is proven by publishing – not in excellent publishing, but just publishing. As Ritchie points out, publishing is considered a pure good, when it should be considered a contingent good. The problem in this competitive system – for that’s how science is performed these days, and has, to a greater or lesser extent, since the Renaissance, whether it be in terms of prestige, individual and national, or profit-driven concerns – is that, incredibly, little credence is given to the possibility that someone’s study is wrong – despite the fact that RetractionWatch is flooded with news related to study retractions.

Oh, sure, there are noted retractions, such as the disgraced Dr. Wakefield’s notorious study erroneously connecting autism with vaccines, published in the top-flight journal Nature – a disastrous move that has cost many people their lives, for it was taken seriously for far too long by credulous people[1]. While many folks would hold up its eventual retraction as proof that the system works, I’ll suggest that it was nothing more than the spasmodic reaction of a dying animal that happened to kick the conquering predator in the teeth – a symbolic victory, at best.

We need a sea-change in all of the culture surrounding science, including both the scientific community, and the lay community which benefits from science, to understand that a single, unconfirmed study is the moral equivalent of probable bullshit. Reproduce a study’s results in two or three repetitions, and then we know we may have something. And maybe a collection of IoRs is part of that change.

But, first, we have to impregnate society with that proper skepticism, and I don’t know how to get there.


1 Although it doesn’t qualify as the start of the anti-vaxxer movement. My understanding is that the anti-vaccine movement more or less began with the introduction of the first vaccine, at least in Western culture.

Spawning The New Republican Party

Reuters is reporting on a new Republican, or former Republican, group announcing its support for Democrat Joe Biden:

Nearly 100 Republican and independent leaders will endorse Democrat Joe Biden for president on Thursday, including one-time 2020 Republican presidential candidate Bill Weld and the former Republican governors of Michigan and New Jersey, people involved in the effort told Reuters.

The latest Republican-led effort to oppose the re-election of President Donald Trump also includes current and former Republicans in the key battleground state of Michigan that will help decide the outcome of the Nov. 3 election, the group’s members said.

Called ‘Republicans and Independents for Biden’, the group is headed by Christine Todd Whitman, a former Republican governor of New Jersey who has become one of Trump’s fiercest critics and who spoke at the recent Democratic National Convention in support of Biden.

Steve Benen provides a comprehensive summary of Republicans Endorsing Biden here.

Source: Uncertain. Sort of like its future.

Skipping any jokes about how enthusiasm for Biden exceeds enthusiasm for Trump on the right side of the political spectrum, we may be seeing the beginning of the formation of a new Republican Party. The old Republican Party, the GOP, will continue its skid to the right, losing members who are, ironically, less and less moderate – but no longer acceptable to the Trumpists.

And while, in the short-term, the cavalcade of the more moderate Republicans to Biden will help ensure votes for Biden from the undecided independents and moderate Republicans, in the long-term many of these people are contributors to the pathological specimen that is the Republican Party. If they believe Trump is an anomaly and all will snap back to normal after Trump is roundly defeated, then they mistake their erstwhile Party.

This is nothing new for long-time readers. My themes on this matter are toxic team politics, religion and politics mixing and the consequent disdain for science, and, in common with the Democratic far-left, a palpable loathing for those fellow Americans who don’t fall into line with them, a belief that abortion should somehow be a crime, or, as I call it, the great crowbar of American politics, and those who disagree are intolerable monsters – rather than just folks with a differing opinion on a subject that some find difficult.

Without repairing these faults – a word that seems entirely inadequate to the situation – I fear a new Republican Party will suffer the same fate as it appears will befall the current GOP – taken over by any power-hungry and/or God-driven righteous person who can shout RINO! loudly enough.

Senator Barry Goldwater, right-wing fringer that he was, sure sounded the right alarm on this group.

Belated Movie Reviews

Proper technique for sneezing is to turn your head and sneeze into your neighbor’s sleeve.

The Woman Eater (1958) is a story about a Dr Moran, whose unfettered ego soars far above his accomplishments, and it’s made him bitter. Having traveled to the Amazon and obtained a sample of a plant that exudes a sap that makes mankind immortal, now he seeks to refine it in the English countryside – by feeding the plant random women, who go to their fate inexplicably all wearing the same one-strap dress after being subjected to a drum-beat song from an Amazonian ex-pat.

Into this mess stumbles Dr Moran’s car mechanic, and the woman the mechanic rescues from an abusive circus situation, whose name might be Susan. He’s a bit of a lump, and her hula dancing fails to counter the depradations of the plant, but the local gendarmerie have been poking around, looking for missing women.

Well, Susan gets a job as a maid, inadvertently pushes out the housekeeper, and things go terribly wrong from there. The plant becomes underfed, and, well, it all comes to a flaming climax.

It’s a bit limp and dated, even if the monstrous plant is cool in that B-list movie monster way that evokes affection more than horror, but it remains a B-list movie. Maybe, after a couple of beers, you’ll enjoy this.

Then again, maybe not.

Video Of The Day

The Lincoln Project should write a thank-you note for Trump providing his own rope. If you haven’t heard about the “people in the dark shadows”, here it is:

The interviewer is Fox News host Laura Ingraham and Trump fan, and even she seems disbelieving of what she’s hearing.

Word Of The Day

Gnomon:

gnomon (/ˈnmɒn,ˈnmən/, from Greek γνώμωνgnōmōn, literally: “one that knows or examines”) is the part of a sundial that casts a shadow. The term is used for a variety of purposes in mathematics and other fields. [Wikipedia]

Noted in “Everything you wanted to know about Joe Biden’s shadow people but were afraid to ask,” Alexandra Petri, WaPo:

I’m glad you asked. The Shadow People have been present ever since someone glancing at the Washington Monument realized that it was the gnomon of an ominous sundial and stood in its shadow as the sun set; within that shadow were bits of deeper shadow. That man was Henry Clay; it was because the Thing from the Shadow followed him patiently out of it that the presidency always eluded him. It was long thought that the Shadow People could not cross the Mississippi River but that turned out to be what they wanted us to believe. And if you stare into the Masonic eye on the dollar too long, something small and gray will flit out of it into your eye and, from that moment onward, you will not know rest.

Great rant!

How To Cross This Goal Line?

Graham Lawton reports in NewScientist (22 August 2020) on the newest environmentalist goal:

Jackson’s theme was restoring the atmosphere, by which he means returning it to its pre-industrial state. Jackson said he was no longer satisfied with goals to keep warming to 1.5°C or some other arbitrary value, but longed to return the atmosphere to how it was before we started dumping carbon dioxide, methane and other pollutants into it.

Taking inspiration from the growing field of ecological restoration – intervening to help degraded ecosystems recover – he argued that we should treat the atmosphere as we do wetlands, forests or endangered species. We don’t merely aim to halt their destruction, but to nurse them back to full, pristine health. The atmosphere deserves no less. Think of it as rewilding the sky.

Yes, he admitted, it seems a “preposterous idea”. We can’t even stabilise levels of greenhouse gases, let alone reverse them. But, he said, with so much bad news we need a new narrative of hope. Temperature thresholds are abstract; normal people don’t relate to them. “They don’t provide a narrative that has, or will, lead to action.”

There is a certain importance in having impossible goals, because sometimes they’re not impossible.

But I’m wondering about the definition in this case. It might be great to have the atmosphere returned to some pristine state – even defining such a state strikes me as being problematic, unless you have large error bars. Really big ones, maybe. I mean, pristine can mean an atmosphere nearly empty of O2, if you push back the time of your definition far enough.

But how about connecting the state of the atmosphere to the state of the environment? An endless chase after some indefinable pristinity may lose adherents, but chasing after removal of contaminants inimical to life is far more measurable – and good for both wildlife and humanity.

In the end, it’s hard to see this happening unless the size of humanity is shrunk, and in a peaceful manner, too. But I do look forward to seeing if this nascent movement thrives or deteriorates. I’ve been so wrong on my predictions on these sorts of things that I expect this one’ll take off.

Don’t Act So Surprised

Even if it’s fairly horrifying, it’s unsurprising:

As Iowa’s positive coronavirus cases climbed this week to their highest level yet, local elected officials in several of the state’s most populated counties said they are increasingly relying on data sources other than the state health department to make decisions about protecting residents in their communities.

In places such as Polk, Story, Johnson and Linn counties, several officials complained they no longer trust state data or metrics because case numbers have been consistently under-reported and contain inaccuracies — and that Gov. Kim Reynolds’ guidance thus far has failed to quell the coronavirus’ spread.

“Iowa has become an island to ourselves,” said Linn County supervisors Chairman Ben Rogers, a four-term elected official from the northeast side of Cedar Rapids. “We find ourselves at the top of all the bad lists. … It’s not slowing down.” [Des Moines Register]

The Democrats could screw this up, too, it’s true, but when a party has come to believe that nothing but collecting loot and plaudits follows a political victory, as has the GOP, and when its expertise and experience is disdained in favor of political loyalties and the soothing of tender, needy egos, it’s not hard to guess that the entire exercise at the State level is being mishandled.

Or even deliberately.

It’s beyond question that the county-level officials lack the resources to manage these sorts of things on their own; this is one reason a state, or a national government, exists. But it appears these folks will have to get creative in the face of incompetence – or malevolence.

Belated Movie Reviews

Gonna dance ’til I can’t dance no more! Clack them bones!

Sinbad: The Fifth Voyage (2014) is a rather limp addition to the long and sometimes gamy Sinbad collection of tales. Let me see if I can remember this properly:

Sinbad and crew – a small crew compared to some of his tales – are sailing into his home port of Baghdad, laden with jewels & plunder, but something’s not right. Ships are not moving about, the lights are not right this evening. He rushes to the palace, where he finds the guards, and, indeed, everyone is frozen. In fact, it’s quite the chilly reception.

But the court magician – or witch – is still mobile, and now that Sinbad is back, she uses one of his collection of talismans to unfreeze everyone. Everyone, that is, except for Sinbad’s love, the Princess. In flashback, we learn she was abducted by a visiting wizard, or Deev, and taken back to his island for a ceremonial decanting of her soul, the better to consume it for his own fell purposes.

At this point, I was sort of hoping Sinbad would cough delicately and say, What island did you say? Didn’t we just invade and sack that one on the way home, crew? He’s going to be one mad wizard.

Sadly, nothing so clever comes out of Sinbad’s mouth. Indeed, I don’t believe Sinbad ever says or does anything clever, which is a pity because that’s part of the charm of Sinbad, along with being a lady’s man and a slight rapaciousness – it’s his core. Now, I must admit, he is clever, just once, but it’s not spectacular, and I shan’t recite it.

Anyways, Sinbad & crew make their way to the island, trek through it, the crew gets mangled, the Princess rescued, the secret of Sinbad and the Princess is revealed, and the Deev is sorely disappointed, after chewing the landscape thoroughly.

There’s little reason to see this movie, unless you’re a Ray Harryhausen fan. Harryhausen, a pioneer in stop-action special-effects, is more or less honored in this 2014 movie by having all the monsters presented in the same style as Harryhausen’s – choppy stop-action. But while it was leading edge in Harryhausen’s day, now it’s better done by the gang who did Chicken Run (2000), and more distracting than anything else.

Add in some indifferent acting and a script that needed three more rewrites, and this, despite some lovely cinematography, was a definite disappointment.

Rendering A Statement Null And Void

The latest rumor to roil the political waters is that the President has been experiencing mini-strokes, and that is why he visited Walter Reed Hospital last November.

It’s just a rumor, not substantiated news, boosted by Trump himself.

But the statement by his physician was less than reassuring:

“I can confirm that President Trump has not experienced nor been evaluated for a cerebrovascular accident (stroke), transient ischemic attack (mini stroke), or any acute cardiovascular emergencies, as have been incorrectly reported in the media,” Dr. Sean Conley said in a statement. [Yahoo News]

Dude. If you haven’t evaluated someone for a stroke, logically you cannot say the patient hasn’t experienced one.

You cannot. You dispute that, you get to surrender your degrees in medicine and logic.

Is this a carefully worded denial, or a carelessly worded denial? Beats me. I suspect it’s just carelessness, the kind that characterizes an Administration of third-raters.

But keep it in the back of your mind.

Criminal Cronies Right At The Top, Ctd

Judge Emmet Sullivan’s extraordinary suit seeking to permit him to examine the reasons the prosecutors have decided to drop charges against former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn for lying to the FBI – after he had plead guilty twice – has been granted on appeal to the full U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, much to my relief. Here’s WaPo:

In an 8-to-2 ruling, the court denied Flynn’s request, backed by the Justice Department, to shut down Sullivan’s planned review and his appointment of a retired federal judge to argue against the government’s position.

The decision by the full court reverses a ruling by a three-judge panel of the same court that ordered Sullivan to immediately close the case.

The three judge panel ruled against Sullivan 2-1, so when the entire court rules 8-2 against, it means only Trump appointee Judge Rao and Bush appointee Henderson were persuaded that seeking the presiding judge’s permission to terminate a case in which a conviction has been obtained is mere formality.

As I noted earlier, it’s a gob-smacking opinion to hold, at least to this non-lawyer who is merely reading the clear meaning of the text, and I’m mightily relieved that the entire Court felt those two members were mistaken.

So – does the government now apply to SCOTUS for a reversal? Or does Sullivan get to put the prosecutors – who are not the original prosecutors – on the stand and ask them, if they don’t mind, to tell him just what the hell they think they’re doing?

Interestingly, either route is a win for the forces of democracy. If SCOTUS has to decide, in all likelihood they’ll vote 7-2 against Barr and Trump, again exposing them for their inability to understand the law or their unprincipled use of delaying tactics. If SCOTUS votes for Barr and Trump, the conservative wing will have a lot of explaining to do to both sides of the political spectrum. But the vote won’t go that way.

And if they don’t appeal, the replacement prosecutors, faced with Barr’s wrath on one side and perjury sanctions on the other, will be sweating that much sooner. I hope Judge Sullivan signals that the trial will resume this extraordinary phase later this week.

Of course, the prosecutors, with or without Barr’s direction, could reverse themselves yet again. That self-preservation move would conceal from public view the corrupt directives of Barr & Trump, which would make me sad. But they may go that way. But I doubt it. It’s more likely they’ll resign, buying more time for Barr & Trump.

Although I have heard of resignations not being accepted by a Court.

That Law Of Unintended Consequences, Ctd

The campaign to get Kanye West on the November election ballot has attained a cartoon-like quality:

West’s lawsuit on Friday requested that the local court rule that his nominating papers met the submission deadline to ensure that he appears on the swing state’s ballot in November after he narrowly appeared to miss the state’s filing deadline.

While the WEC voted to dismiss the rapper’s petition on the basis of its lateness, West’s attorneys contend in the complaint that Wisconsin’s deadline expires one minute after 5 p.m., making West’s submission which reportedly arrived seconds after 5 p.m. valid.

The news of West’s address on the lawsuit being tied to the RNC, is the latest evidence that the hiphop icon is being boosted by GOP strategists to drive votes away from the Democratic presidential ticket. [Talking Points Memo]

Extend the deadline for us by one minute. Because, what, they’re special? Amazing.

And I remain fascinated by the possibility that this maneuver will unwittingly serve as a repository for a protest vote for Republicans, and not the apparent goal of giving Democrats or members of the black community who may be uncomfortable with Biden, or have no faith that the Democrats will work to eliminate racism in America, an alternative voting option. This is illustrated by the last quoted paragraph, above.

West has made it on the ballot here in Minnesota. It would be the highlight of the year for a local poll to appear showing West outpolling Trump.

Belated Movie Reviews

Oh, hell. I’m going on vacation. Enough with the lightning strikes showing where I am all the time.

Reigo: The Deep-Sea Monster vs. the Battleship Yamato (2005) is the painful story of the Imperial Japanese Navy Yamato’s encounter with a magical monster while escorting troop transports. Nothing works here: a bad plot, a useless romantic subplot, an American prisoner who is clearly Japanese, poor special effects, and, at times, a farcical broad humor which doesn’t sit well with the overall noir feel of the movie. The most that can be said is that a few night scenes have a Minnesota Fringe Festival feel to them.

Take a skip on this one.

Getting A Bit Flippant, Aren’t We?

My weekly pop-sci NewScientist issues have been showing up at erratic intervals; this week, after what seemed like weeks of no issues, two showed up on the ame day, although of a non-contiguous nature. No doubt just more evidence of the, shall we say, demonic incompetence of Postmaster General DeJoy in combination with the more comprehensible delays inherent in publishing during a pandemic.

Paging through the 8 August 2020 issue, I was struck by the surrealistic features of two articles. The first, concerning a variety of termite which always lives with another specific species in their nests, contains this little gem:

“Many times,” says [Helder Hugo of the University of Konstanz in Germany], “when two unrelated colonies are put together in a single confined space – such as an experimental arena – the outcome is warfare with losses from both sides.”

But that didn’t happen here. Despite attacks from host termites, the tenant termites were acquiescent. Hosts would bite or spray the inquilines [foreign termites] with acrid chemicals, but their targets never responded in kind, opting to flee. Some ignored the hosts completely.

At most, the lodger termites would squirt faeces towards a threatening host termite, surprising their assailant long enough to retreat. “By preventing conflict escalation, inquiline termites may considerably improve their chances of establishing a stable cohabitation with their host termites,” says Hugo.

Yep, that’s right – they pooped on their hosts. Or in their hosts’ living room.

From Wikipedia.
This is the sauropod, not the mammal.

However, the ribaldry comes right out in the open in this article on finding mammalian toothmarks on the bones of a sauropod – and small mammals at that. While interesting in itself, I fear I woke my Arts Editor when I started laughing at the penultimate paragraph:

The mammals must have been scavenging, says [Felix Augustin at the Eberhard Karls University of Tübingen in Germany], as it isn’t possible that such tiny mammals could have taken down a huge sauropod dinosaur.

Beyond the obvious, I can also remark that this reminds me of my aborted project to construct an animated film involving a T-Rex finding himself in similar contretemps. If some young Blender artist, looking to showcase their skills, needs a project, I might be persuaded to share the story with you. My Arts Editor thought it was fairly cool, but my time constraints and relative clumsiness with Blender has made it unlikely that I’ll ever get beyond the picnic basket.

Your Weekly Downer, Ctd

Regarding Andrew Sullivan’s dark view of the American future, a reader writes:

The same Andrew Sullivan who declared his unabashed support for fascism? Here:

Of course, it’s useful to review the tweet and the replies, of which the first is from Sullivan, refuting the attack. Although a refutation on Twitter, one of the saddest and ineffectual social media platforms, is a twisted or fragmentary thing[1].

But I think Sullivan’s first mistake was not clearly delineating the abstract nature of the discussion, because he’s centered on how the Democrats screwed up. The abstract nature is that this is a discussion of societal governance competition.

Which is to say, if democracy does not provide for the safety and prosperity of the citizenry, out it goes. There is nothing sacred about democracy, just as there’s nothing sacred about a theocracy or a monarchy[2]. Democracy is one way to run a society; there are several competitors, a word which I stress, such as the aforementioned divinity-based forms, along with straight autocracies, whatever it is we call what Russia is currently using, the conservative Swiss model, radical anarchy, and including the Amish approach of requiring each modification to how things are done be reviewed by the community’s families for its potential effects on the community as a whole – and if they decide it’ll damage the community, it’s not permitted. Call it an implementation of the precautionary principle.

Briefly, Sullivan is demonstrating a linked prioritization ladder – first safety & prosperity, then the form of social governance. If democracy can provide safety & prosperity, great – any long-time reader of Sullivan knows he’s for democracy, due to its support for individual rights, and its ability to swiftly evolve when injustices are discovered, such as gay rights in general, and gay marriage in particular. Klion appears to be quite the douchebag.

But if democracy is going to put Sullivan in perpetual danger because of the policies of its main proponent – and, yes, I don’t view the GOP[3] as a proponent of democracy these days – while the GOP, the only other likely choice, under the ugly flag of fascism, claims it guarantees safety, well, what to do?

Of course, fans of democracy can argue about the fate of all fascist regimes, which is a rapid decline into bigotry, barbarity, and disaster. But there is a problem with this approach: Most Americans are historically illiterate. Their view of history extends back to the last car they bought. It becomes a yelling contest, and such smoothly-coiffed villains such as Matt Gaetz are likely to out-charm the Democrats, who tend to be technocrats, geeks crossed with schmoozers.

And it doesn’t help that the proponents of democracy do not, at least in Sullivan’s view, talk about safety.

In my view, the work to guarantee that safety, insomuch as that’s possible, has already begun because of the awareness of the systemic, as well as explicit, racism present in society precipitated into national debate by the brutal Floyd murder, and how it damages democracy. Asheville, NC, is already exploring reparations, a subject which should be picked up at the state and national levels over the next year or two. But the Democrats had better link these nascent efforts to the safety they will bring as the black community finally begins to share, en masse, in the prosperity of the American dream.

And that’s what I think Sullivan should have emphasized – that if the Democrats promise to bring permanent chaos, then it’s not an attractive choice, and it’s an evolutionary failure. The GOP is also not an attractive choice, as Sullivan has made obvious in multiple New York Intelligencer articles, as well as the 15 years of his previous Daily Dish blog. It’s why I can’t possibly take Klion seriously – he’s either malicious or he’s intellectually shallow.

But it’s worth contemplating that democracy is not a replacement for a religion, an eternal institution, it’s just an approach to societal governance that seems attractive – until this sort of thing happens. As my long-time readers may remember, I’ve worried a time or two that the Trump election may be damaging not just the United States, but the entire concept of liberal democracy as a viable governing form. I think, in essence, that’s all Sullivan is doing.


1 “Twitter storms,” indeed. That’s simply a way to say, “This platform isn’t useful for anything more than sharing cool maps.”

2 I apologize. I’m sure my reader saw it coming.

3 Aka the “Party of Trump,” which I presume will, someday, become its legal name.

Word Of The Day

Cryptochrome:

A dose of radio waves seems to encourage plant seedlings to grow slightly faster, a find that, if confirmed, could have applications from farming to medicine.

Margaret Ahmad at Sorbonne University in Paris, France, and her colleagues exposed thale cress seedlings (Arabidopsis thaliana) to weak pulses of radio frequency (RF) radiation at 7 megahertz, a frequency normally used by amateur radio operators.

The team found that this altered the activity of a type of light sensor in the plants called a cryptochrome. The expression of several genes regulated by the cryptochrome also changed, and the seedlings grew slightly faster.

This is the first time anyone has found a biological receptor sensitive to radio waves, says Ahmad. “What we showed is that we can manipulate the ‘chemistry’ of the cryptochrome receptor in living plants by a remote radio frequency signal.”

Cryptochromes are proteins found across biology in insects, birds and mammals, including humans. They have a wide range of functions, from regulating plant growth rates and biological clocks to helping birds navigate. They are thought to sense weak magnetic fields in many species, through a quantum mechanism in which the field alters the rate at which the protein is activated by light.

FromPlant protein responds to radio waves by making seedlings grow faster,” Jo Marchant, NewScientist (22 August 2020, paywall).

A Confused Conservative

The conservative conundrum?

A few hours before President Trump accepted the Republican nomination on the White House South Lawn, Mike Baker and his wife went on a meandering, three-hour drive near their Bloomington, Ind., home.

On the ride, they mulled the upcoming election, debating whether they could separate the president’s policy from his personality, and if it mattered.

Baker, still undecided, had watched some of both political conventions over the past two weeks, supplementing his observations with newspaper articles and socially distanced conversations with friends.

On Thursday night he tuned in, hoping for an answer.

It didn’t come. [WaPo]

I dunno, Mr. Baker.

Would you trust an employee who lies whenever it makes him look better than the truth might? Before you take that as hyperbole, look at the 20,000+ lies in the WaPo Fact Checker database. Take a few out for some investigation and validation. Do the math – it’s not how many days between lies, but how many lies per day.

And remember – Mr Trump is an employee of the American people, not the king. That makes this question crucially important to every American to bring to the forefront of their analysis. If you decide to vote for Mr. Trump, then you must own all of those lies, and all the lies he’ll tell in the future. You must realize that you’re putting your own business at risk because you cannot predict future actions by Mr. Trump if he’s reelected.

As a business owner, how can you possibly do that?

I can understand, sir, if you, your wife, and all your colleagues choose to sit this election out, although Republican cries that Joe Biden, a quintessential centrist who still believes in working across the aisle in order to accomplish good governance, are not credible. Whether this makes him a beacon of goodness in our current fierce fog of partisanship, or a fool with a torch, I don’t know. But it doesn’t make him a far-left radical. He’s the thing that Trump is not – they’ve both made mistakes, but Biden admits to them, apologizes, analyzes, and adjusts. Trump makes mistakes, and there is no more comparison. Full stop.

But I cannot understand you putting your business at risk for an employee who veritably thinks an adherence to truth is for suckers. If your vote leans to Trump, then I perceive there’s little point in noting the vast corruption that associates with names such as Pruitt, Zenanke, Flynn, Cohen, Stone, and so many others in Trump’s orbit; the sucking up to known, dangerous national adversaries; and the vast hubris associated with this amateur who has not improved a single whit since day one. Do you prefer employees who do not improve over time?

I should only remind you that, without a happy & prosperous United States, which, under Trump, we certainly are not, your business can not exist for long.

“There’s so many of these issues that on the surface seem like this administration has somewhat delivered,” Baker said Friday morning. “I don’t think having a proper immigration policy is a bad thing. Total lawlessness is not a good thing. There’s a lot of these things that I think have happened that I think are good long term.”

But for this, those who consider Trump a disaster owe you a debt. It brings to the fore and authenticates issues that Trump’s official rivals must properly advance as answers. Yes, as President Obama pointed out, this lawlessness cannot go on, for it’ll wreck the cities. This does not mean simple repression, but an investigation into the suppression of the communities of color, the elimination of opportunities for them, and how to excise those foul elements propagating these injustices from our society. Efforts have already begun in this area, but it remains a fragile effort, and will be until people such as you contribute ideas to it, much as have employees, such as those of the various sports leagues.

I leave it to those who speak officially for Biden and the Democrats to delineate their policies more cleanly on those issues and others that may concern confused conservatives. But you are to be thanked for making some of your concerns clear.

So. Thank you.

A Convenient Blunder, Ctd

A reader writes concerning testing blunders discovered regarding a pesticide:

There are about ~80,000 industrial chemicals in common use in the US. OSHA regulates about about 600 of them by establishing enforceable exposure limits. Most of the “science” behind these limits is more than 40 years old. EPA regulates another 400. The simple fact is nobody knows what exposure is safe for the overwhelming majority of chemicals we come into contact with every day.

Not to mention what they’ll do to the wildlife if they’re permitted to dump right into the environment.

Theater Review: Much Ado About Nothing

Just a quick note for local readers about Stillwater Zephyr Theatre’s production of Much Ado About Nothing, done as a Shakespeare in the Park … ing Lot:

It’s fun!

It’s free, except for the front row.

Groups of 2-4 are seated together, separate from all other groups by six or more feet. In fact, I think they prefer only groups.

And the staging is fun. I particularly liked the constabulary’s horses; the other actors were even better.

If you’re looking for something to do tomorrow, they’ve added a second show, so they’re doing 1 and 6:30 shows.

Go have some fun!