Commenting Contacts and Policies
Recent Keepers
Sources of Distraction
Voices in my Head
The Arabist
Confessions of a Political Junkie
Treehugger
The Mask of the Flower Prince
The Daily Kos Spam
Lawfare
Letters From An American
MaddowBlog
FiveThirtyEight
Am I The Only One Thinking This?
38 North
Kevin Drum
Paul Fidalgo @ CFI
Andrew Sullivan @New York Magazine
The Weekly Dish
The Volokh Conspiracy
The Resurgent
Greg Fallis
National Review
emptywheel
Talking Points MemoResources
Archives
- April 2026
- March 2026
- February 2026
- January 2026
- December 2025
- November 2025
- October 2025
- September 2025
- August 2025
- July 2025
- June 2025
- May 2025
- April 2025
- March 2025
- February 2025
- January 2025
- December 2024
- November 2024
- October 2024
- September 2024
- August 2024
- July 2024
- June 2024
- May 2024
- April 2024
- March 2024
- February 2024
- January 2024
- December 2023
- November 2023
- October 2023
- September 2023
- August 2023
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- April 2023
- March 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- January 2020
- December 2019
- November 2019
- October 2019
- September 2019
- August 2019
- July 2019
- June 2019
- May 2019
- April 2019
- March 2019
- February 2019
- January 2019
- December 2018
- November 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- August 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- November 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017
- August 2017
- July 2017
- June 2017
- May 2017
- April 2017
- March 2017
- February 2017
- January 2017
- December 2016
- November 2016
- October 2016
- September 2016
- August 2016
- July 2016
- June 2016
- May 2016
- April 2016
- March 2016
- February 2016
- January 2016
- December 2015
- November 2015
- October 2015
- September 2015
- August 2015
- July 2015
- June 2015
- May 2015
- April 2015
- March 2015
iNaturalist
Meta
Category Archives: Uncategorized
Reading North Korean Body Language
If you were wondering about North Korea at the Olympics, Andray Abrahamian on 38 North brings his perspective on why the North Korean athletes seemed to be shunning their free cellphones:
When the North Koreans weren’t marching in the opening ceremony with the Samsung phones given to all athletes by the Olympic partners, the media speculated it was “likely in an attempt to control their access to information. Tight control may be part of an effort to prevent defection.” The former sentence is probably true, the latter probably isn’t. The biggest reason was probably that carrying the symbol of your rival and enemy country’s greatest corporate success is a worse public relations look than not carrying them at all.
Generally, Andray didn’t much care for the coverage of North Korea during the Olympics, which isn’t surprising since it’s a sporting event covered by sports journalists – not political journalists. Still, they should have picked up on this:
The media understandably obsessed over the symbolism of a selfie taken by South Korean gymnast Lee Un-ju and North Korean gymnast Hong Un Jong: it was a heartwarming shot of two athletes from a divided country sweetly and spontaneously smiling together. To the media’s credit, they generally resisted reading too much into the selfie. But there was less reflection on how weak a symbol of unity that was, compared to Sydney in 2000, when North and South marched in the opening ceremony together under a unification flag, to a stadium-wide standing ovation. They did it again in Athens in 2004.
Now we get North Korean missile tests.
Goldenrod and Kale
Dissing McMansions, Ctd
Big, bad new houses get more big, bad raps on the knuckles:
McMansion (starter castles) and similarly styled though smaller houses are Ugly and Horrible, in my humble estimation. Have you seen James Howard Kunstler’s TED talk review of suburbs and this style of architecture? If not, you should: https://www.ted.com/…/james_howard_kunstler_dissects…
Most houses these days are built using one style which can be called neo-eclectic (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neo-eclectic_architecture), but which is really just a bunch of stupid ideas thrown together to fake “impressiveness”, “style” and “taste” — and at the same time be cheap, cheap, cheap for builders to build. And if you live someplace like Minnesota where ice dams are a real problem, all those stupid, fake extra gables are just water leak problems waiting to happen.
I can’t say enough bad things about typical suburban-style building.
Take a deep breath … I’ll have to find some time to see that TED talk.
Profitable Prisons, Ctd
A reader expresses skepticism about returning prisons to public sector management:
The mega-prison corp’s. are big enough that I expect major lobbying to stop this, so basically I won’t believe there’ll be any change until I see significant numbers of federal prisons being “nationalized”.
If Trump or Johnson wins, I agree, but if Hillary wins then I expect trend back to public sector management to continue, as she’s taken a pledge to do so. However, via The Intercept_, it appears the CEO of the Correction Corps of America agrees with my reader:
THE CHIEF EXECUTIVE of the largest private prison company in America reassured investors earlier this month that with either Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton in the White House, his firm will be “just fine.” Damon Hininger, the chief executive of Corrections Corporation of America, was speaking at the REITWeek investor forum.
Private prisons have received a great deal of criticism this election cycle, first with Bernie Sanders campaigning to end for-profit incarceration, followed by Clinton taking up a similar pledge.
After The Interceptrevealed that the Clinton campaign had received campaign donations from private prison lobbyists, a number of activist groups confronted Clinton, leading her to announce that she would no longer accept the money and later declaring that “we should end private prisons and private detention centers.”
But Corrections Corporation is apparently not concerned. Asked about prospects under Trump or Clinton, Hininger argued that his company has prospered through political turnover by taking advantage of the government’s quest for lower costs.
“I would say that being around 30 years and being in operation in many, many states, and also doing work with the federal government going back to the 1980s, where you had Clinton White House, you had a Bush White House, you had Obama White House, we’ve done very, very well,” Hininger said.
“If we continue to do a good job on the quality, and with that, we can demonstrate savings both on capital voids, but also cost savings in our services, then I think we’ll be just fine,” he said.
The report goes on to note CCA was founded by the former head of the Tennessee Republican Party.
Obscure Phrase of the Day, Ctd
A reader finds a better phrase for counterfactual regret minimisation.
There’s already a term for this in finance and economics: it’s called lost opportunity cost.
Ah! Well, depend on software geeks to come up with new words for old concepts. The one I loathe the most: prepend. Y’all could use prefix, ya know.
Numbers Stations Revived?
The 38 North blog attempts to cover and analyze incidents and trends in North Korea. Recently they covered an activity out of the Cold War – the recurrence of a Numbers Station. Numbers Stations are shortwave radio stations which send coded messages, presumably to agents operating in other countries, and have fallen out of use with the advent of the Internet and digitally secure communications. 38 North’s Martyn Williams explores why North Korea may have resumed use of a Numbers Station:
Some are worried it signals that North Korean might be planning some type of operation, alerting its spies by sending the coded broadcast. But for that to be true, North Korean agents would have had to have been listening at the right time to take down the message, and how would they have known it was coming? Numbers haven’t been broadcast for 16 years, so have agents really spent the last decade and a half listening just in case something came across? It is possible they could have been alerted that such a message was about to be broadcast, but then when why not send the message contents over whatever communications channel was used for such an alert?
Had this been a real broadcast, interpreting the message would have relied on code books that are probably years out of date, making the whole thing all the more unlikely.
There is also a possibility the broadcast really was some sort of remote mathematics course, but that seems equally unlikely given its sudden and unexplained start.
Perhaps the most credible theory says that North Korea is trying to cause a bit of panic and confusion in Seoul. If that’s true, then mission accomplished—at least for a day or two.
But the fuss in Seoul about the return of North Korean numbers on the airwave misses an important point: South Korea itself resumed its own numbers broadcasts back in February, although the National Intelligence Service isn’t as keen to talk about those.
South Korea has a much richer recent history of using numbers stations than its northern neighbor. After all, while the Internet and digital communications have made the radio stations obsolete in the rest of the world, North Korea stands alone in the almost complete absence of technological progress. So radio remains the best and safest way for South Korea to contact its agents in the north.
Beyond what I read in Under the Loving Care of the Fatherly Leader, I know very little about North Korea, so this is fascinating. No doubt reflective of the convoluted machinations of current Leader Kim Jong-un, does this suggest espionage activity is increasing? I’m not so incredulous concerning the use of the station for exactly what it was used by in years past – getting agents out of North Korea and into South Korea may not be as difficult as Martyn believes.
The really sad part is we may never know the truth.
Measuring Communication
Measurements of language diversity and what I’ll call communications efficiency are a slippery goal, but useful in that it’s good to understand how well we, as an amalgamated whole, can communicate. Hari Balasubramanian reviews the fascinating issues and the work of Joseph Greenberg in connection with this problem on 3 Quarks Daily:
The most basic measure Greenberg proposed is the now widely used linguistic diversity index. The index is a value between 0 and 1. The closer the value is to 1, the greater the diversity. The index is based in a simple idea. If I randomly sample two individuals from a population, what is the probability that they do not share the same mother tongue? If the population consisted of 2000 individuals and each individual spoke a different language as their mother tongue, then the linguistic diversity index would be 1. If they all shared the same mother tongue, then the index would be 0. If 1800 of them spoke language M and 200 of them spoke N, then index would be:
1 – (1800/2000)2 – (200/2000)2 = 0.18
…
In fact, there are fifteen countries whose linguistic diversity exceeds 0.9, as the table above shows (based on Ethnologue data). The list is dominated by 11 African countries, with Cameroon at number two. India, whose linguistic diversity I experienced firsthand for twenty years, is at number 13. Two Pacific island nations – Vanuatu and Solomon Islands: small islands these, and yet so many languages! – are in the top 5. First on the list is Papua New Guineawhose 4.1 million people speak a dizzying 840 languages! The country’s index of 0.98 means that each language has about 5000 speakers on average and that no language dominates as a mother tongue.
Hari has a few more equations, but nothing terrifying; his anecdotes include the field work of himself and others, such as Jared Diamond, from whom he gains this story:
“One evening, while I was spending a week at a mountain forest campsite with 20 New Guinea Highlanders, conversation around the campfire was going in several different local languages plus two lingua francas of Tok Pisin and Motu…. Among those 20 New Guineans, the smallest number of languages that anyone spoke was 5. Several men spoke from 8 to 12 languages, and the champion was a man who spoke 15…”
I feel completely out-manned, with my single language command of verbal and written communications. Ah, to have such skills at one’s beck & call! But as Hari points out, their fluency is not measured – it is a slippery problem.
HD 164595, Ctd
The anomalous signal from HD 164595 has attracted some comments and a bit more research. First the readers:
But was it just one blip?
Another: [picture not available, darn it]
On the SETI @ Home forums Eric Korpela, who saw the raw report and is listed as a project scientist for SETI @ Home, opines:
We believe a signal when
- It is persistent. It appears at the same spot in the sky in multiple observations.
- It only comes from one spot in the sky.
- If we reobserve the target, the signal is still there.
Things that add to believability
- Its frequency/period/delay does not correspond to known interference.
- Its Doppler Drift rate indicates that it is exactly frequency stable in the frame of the center of mass of the solar system
- Its properties (bandwidth, chirp rate, encoding) indicate intelligent origin.
Unfortunately the observing method used by the Russian team does not permit many of these things to be determine. 1. The signal was not persistent. 2. The signal was gone when the target was reobserved. 3. The signal frequency/period/delay cannot be determined. 4. The signal Doppler drift rate is unknown. 5. Many sources of interference, including satellites, are present in the observing band.
So it appears the initial answer for the reader is Yes, just one blip so far, and perhaps this is a lot of fuss over nothing.
Lucy’s Measurements
Christine Lepisto @ Treehugger.com reports on research on the hominid skeleton we’ve named Lucy, 3.18 million years old, and how she may have died from a fall from a tree:
The “smoking gun” consists of a proximal humerus fracture of Lucy’s left shoulder, consistent with the type of broken bones that occur when a conscious person stretches out their arm to break a hard fall. The fractures were sharp, and splintered, not consistent with the usual fractures seen in ancient fossils. Dozens of other compressive fractures, including at the ankle, knee, and pelvis, even a broken rib, all point to a fall from a great height. Because there is no evidence that these fractures started healing, the scientists conclude that the fall occurred shortly before Lucy’s death.
I don’t get too excited about hominid discoveries and research, but this is really interesting:
What’s more: you can make up your own mind. For the first time ever, the Ethiopian National Museum provides a set of 3-D files of Lucy’s shoulder and knee for the public to download and print.
Which might be seen as another move towards the democratization of science – a dubious suggestion, to my mind. Science is already available to anyone with the intellectual chops to make it happen. But suggesting anyone with a 3D printer and an Internet connection can have a valid opinion on a subject both difficult and political is to let in those who would prefer one conclusion over another for purely ideological reasons.
But it makes me wish I had a 3D printer.
The Extinction of an Effect
Worried that the Bradley Effect may be skewing polling results? Jon Perr on The Daily Kos covers the topic thoroughly:
If this formula sounds vaguely familiar, it should. That’s because back in the early 1990s political scientists, pundits, and the press proclaimed the existence of the “Bradley Effect” in which some white voters would lie to survey takers (and even themselves) about supporting a black candidate only to mark the ballot for his or her white opponent on Election Day. The Trump campaign, it now appears, is counting on the reverse dynamic to save it in November. …
In September 2008, the legendary Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium weighed in on “The Disappearing Bradley Effect.” As more analysts suggested the polls would contain a hidden bonus for John McCain, Wang cautioned the usual conventional wisdom peddled by the likes of Ron Fournier:
Now comes a large-scale empirical study (in preprint form) by Harvard political scientist Dan Hopkins. He finds that since the mid-1990s, the Bradley effect has disappeared. His paper is a must-read…Until now, the empirical evidence for the Bradley effect rested on individual cases…Now Dan Hopkins has gathered some highly relevant information. In a recent paper he analyzes polling data and election outcomes for 133 gubernatorial and Senate races from 1989 to 2006…
Polls did show a significant Bradley/Wilder effect through the early 1990s, which includes the period when Bradley and Wilder were running for office. However, Hopkins notes that the effect then went away in races from 1996 onward. To quote the study: “Before 1996, the median gap for black candidates was 3.1 percentage points, while for subsequent years it was -0.3 percentage points.”
And there’s lots more.
The End of Public Education?, Ctd
On this topic Fredrik deBoer, who is taking a break – perhaps a long one – from blogging, has a last, and informed, shot at the replacement of public education with private education:
Here’s the model that the constant “online education will replace physical colleges” types advance: education is about gaining knowledge; knowledge is stored in the heads of teachers; schooling is the transfer of that knowledge from the teacher’s head to the student’s head; physical facilities are expensive, but online equivalents are cheap; therefore someone will build an Amazon that cuts out the overhead of the physical campus and connects students to teachers in the online space or, alternatively, cuts teachers out altogether and just transfers the information straight into the brains of the student.
The basic failure here is the basic model of transfer of information, like teachers are merchants who sell discrete products known as knowledge or skills. In fact education is far more a matter of labor, of teachers working to push that information into the heads of students, or more accurately, to compel students to push it into their own heads. And this work is fundamentally social, and requires human accountability, particularly for those who lack prerequisite skills.
I’ve said this before: if education was really about access to information, then anyone with a library card could have skipped college well before the internet.
Or in other words, education is not a mechanical, deterministic process, but requires processes outside of those which can be implmented by a computer. Teachers must motivate kids who’d rather be outside – or at football practice. Study groups can be exceptionally beneficial – and if it’s not convenient to form them, they may not form. Fredrik has a final thought:
Education is always getting disrupted, in the Silicon Valley mind. And though they dress it up in a million different ways, this disruption always functions the same way: by minimizing the teacher, the actual human being, whose job it is to inspire and direct and cajole and, yes, to drag students into competence. Either the teachers are replaced by an iPad or they’re forced to scale up the number of students they can teach by factors of hundreds or thousands through online technologies. One way or the other, the teacher is the problem the technology is designed to solve.
There is another way, which is to actually put our money where our mouth is, recognize that education is expensive, and that teachers themselves have value, and that mankind has cultivated human relationships of respect and guidance between teacher and student for millennia for good reason. I know a thing or two about a thing or two, and people pay me for that knowledge. But despite a culture of the autodidact, I know almost all of it because of great teaching, because teachers with patience and dedication had the time and resources to guide me to understanding. Teachers are not a problem to be solved; teachers are skilled laborers who should be well-compensated and respected.
Balles Prize in Critical Thinking
The Committee for Skeptical Inquiry has awarded its Balles Prize to Vox’s Julia Belluz:
For deftly debunking unscientific and outrageous medical claims, and for taking on the gurus of pseudoscience and quackery, Julia Belluz of Vox.com will be awarded the Balles Prize in Critical Thinking by the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry, a program of the Center for Inquiry. The award will be presented on October 28 at the CSICon conference in Las Vegas.
“The peddlers of medical misinformation have more ways than ever to spread their message and bamboozle and endanger the public, using the tools of the web and social media, and shrouding their ludicrous claims in scientific-sounding jargon,” said Barry Karr, Executive Director of the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry. “Julia Belluz beats them at their own game. In her outstanding work at Vox, she combines the tools of digital storytelling with a unique, passionate voice and good old-fashioned fact-based reporting (imagine that!), dispelling myths and sparking genuine critical thinking in the minds of her many readers.”
Kudos!
HD 164595
HD 164595 lies near the source of an interesting new signal. CNN is a popular source of information:
Astronomers engaged in the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI) are training their instruments on a star around 94 light years from Earth after a very strong signal was detected by a Russian telescope.
An international team of researchers is now examining the radio signal and its star, HD 164595 — described in a paper by Italian astronomer Claudio Maccone and others as a “strong candidate for SETI” — in the hopes of determining its origin.
“The signal from HD 164595 is intriguing, because it comes from the vicinity of a sun-like star, and if it’s artificial, its strength is great enough that it was clearly made by a civilization with capabilities beyond those of humankind,” astronomer Douglas Vakoch, president of METI International, which searches for life beyond Earth, tells CNN.
Whenever a strong signal is detected, “it’s a good possibility for some nearby civilization to be detected,” Maccone tells CNN.
For a more technical approach to the phenomenon there is Paul Gilster Centauri Dreams:
A candidate signal for SETI is a welcome sign that our efforts in that direction may one day pay off. An international team of researchers has announced the detection of “a strong signal in the direction of HD164595” in a document now being circulated through contact person Alexander Panov. The detection was made with the RATAN-600 radio telescope in Zelenchukskaya, in the Karachay–Cherkess Republic of Russia, not far from the border with Georgia in the Caucasus.
The signal was received on May 15, 2015, 18:01:15.65 (sidereal time), at a wavelength of 2.7 cm. The estimated amplitude of the signal is 750 mJy.
No one is claiming that this is the work of an extraterrestrial civilization, but it is certainly worth further study. Working out the strength of the signal, the researchers say that if it came from an isotropic beacon, it would be of a power possible only for a Kardashev Type II civilization. If it were a narrow beam signal focused on our Solar System, it would be of a power available to a Kardashev Type I civilization. The possibility of noise of one form or another cannot be ruled out, and researchers in Paris led by Jean Schneider are considering the possible microlensing of a background source by HD164595. But the signal is provocative enough that the RATAN-600 researchers are calling for permanent monitoring of this target.
The mJy is a mega-Jansky, a unit of spectral irradiance, “… equivalent to 10−26 watts persquare metre per hertz.” A Kardashev Type categorizes civilizations and their energy usages:
The Kardashev scale is a method of measuring a civilization‘s level of technological advancement, based on the amount of energy a civilization is able to use for communication.[1] The scale has three designated categories:
- A Type I civilization – also called planetary civilization – can use and store energy which reaches its planet from the neighboring star.
- A Type II civilization can harness the energy of the entire star (the most popular hypothetic concept being the Dyson sphere—a device which would encompass the entire star and transfer its energy to the planet).
The scale is hypothetical, and regards energy consumption on a cosmic scale. It was proposed in 1964 by the Soviet astronomer Nikolai Kardashev. Various extensions of the scale have since been proposed, including a wider range of power levels (types 0, IV and V) and the use of metrics other than pure power.
Isotropic might be summarized as unfocused, as could be guessed from the context.

Credit: N. N. Bursov, et al, via Centauri Dreams
All we have is a signal that has low, but non-zero, probability of being just random noise. The reports I’ve read do not discuss whether the signal is constant or time or just a single blip, but a chart from Centauri Dreams suggests a blip, if I understand the scale properly.
Exciting! (Or, as the Arts Editor says, Nerdgasm!)
Is He Pushing the Envelope?
On Lawfare, Professor David Wirth addresses complaints from Congress that President Obama overstepped his authority with regard to the Paris Agreement regarding climate change:
… it has triggered cries of protest in the Congress, and especially the Senate, where there have been claims that the President has bypassed the Constitutionally-mandated advice and consent process for a treaty. Along the way, there has been much confusion and misinformation. And President Obama, if anything, may have undershot in the Paris Agreement by failing fully to exercise his Executive authority.
In negotiating the Paris Agreement, the Executive Branch took great pains to remain within the confines of its authority as provided by (1) the President’s plenary powers; (2) federal statutes, particularly the Clean Air Act; and (3) existing treaties, most notably the 1992 Framework Convention on Climate Change , to which the Senate gave its advice and consent in 1992, under the George H.W. Bush Administration, which subsequently ratified the Convention for the United States. Even the most cursory review of the text of the Paris Agreement discloses a careful, purposeful alternation between the mandatory “shall”—indicating a binding obligation governed by international law—and the hortatory “should”—non-binding statements of strictly political intent without legal force. Indeed, the U.S. delegation held up the closing minutes of the conference that adopted the Paris Agreement over the should/shall distinction in an important provision of the Agreement addressing the need for developed country parties to undertake increasingly ambitious emissions reductions goals over time.
Professor Wirth thinks President Obama may have been too cautious:
If anything, U.S. negotiators overcompensated on the side of caution in the negotiation of the Paris Agreement, even to the title of the instrument. The Convention specifically addresses the relationship between that instrument and ancillary protocols. But as long ago as 2009 governments had widely understood that the new agreement could not be called a “protocol” without complicating U.S. participation after the highly charged domestic debate over the earlierKyoto Protocol. More to the point, the many undertakings employing the hortatory “should” can be examined one by one to determine whether they might have been supported by U.S. domestic law. This preference for a non-binding mode is part of a pattern in negotiations undertaken by the Obama Administration, which has the effect of avoiding the creation of internationally legally binding obligations altogether.
The result? No truly binding legal obligations. If his successor decides they don’t like the agreement, any convenient garbage can will do.
Belated Movie Reviews
Labyrinth (1986) is a collaboration of David Bowie and the Jim Henson puppet team. The story opens with a fantasy prone teenage girl, Sarah (Jennifer Connelly), asked to babysit her infant brother, who finds the task insufferable and accidentally invokes the Goblin King (Bowie) to remove the baby. Upon discovering her mistake, she embarks upon a quest to return the infant, encounters enemies, friends, obstacles, dreams, and treachery as she races against a deadline that will turn her brother from human to goblin – and cause him to forget he was ever human.
I had trouble at the beginning as this teenager is a spoiled little girl, her fantasy world featuring her at its apex, her real world meticulously ordered – but for her brother, who cries and cries and frustrates her instantly. Her inadvertent invocation of the services of the Goblin King is satisfyingly traumatic, but her instant requirement of the return of her brother, without a moment’s introspection – perhaps it would be to your advantage to lose your brother, did it ever occur to you? – renders her a troubling and unrealistic quicksilver character.
Queerly, this nearly unbelievable change plays into the story, for her quest for her brother leads her into the Labyrinth, the path to, and the barrier guarding, the goblin king’s castle, sometimes made of rock, sometimes so overgrown that its mystery is forgotten for the forest and its creatures that live in it. Here is the playground of the Jim Henson team, tirelessly inventing flocks of creatures, creatures that talk, have powers and vulnerabilities. The puppets, ranging from knee-high to 8 feet or even more, provide the friends and enemies, the backdrop, to the magical labyrinth through which she travels.
But in the metaphorical dusk there always lurks the Goblin King, bringing not only a sense of dread, but also of timelessness to the folk of the labyrinth. The creatures have, mostly, the wrinkles of age on their faces, the dust of the ages sagging on their shoulders, and a certain indefinable and attenuated ennui as they enact their parts, once again, for His Majesty and his Goblin retinue. Of children, there are none, the classic tableau of fairy-tale creatures, who exist and exist and exist, and …
… into this charges change: Sarah. She is the one who dares to play outside her role, who surprises the Goblin King with her persistence, and then her luck. She gnaws on the poisoned fruit, and prospers. She stirs the clotted pot that the Goblin King has set with her very presence, bringing forth obstacles, enemies (but so ineffective), unexpected friends, and in so doing exposing, to herself and to the audience, those tendons which really bring worth to our world of social creatures: relationships. As she depends on friends to help her in her quest, they depend on her as she introduces redemption and helps them to their goals, whether it’s personal glory, or simply forgiving them their sins. In the end, what of things, of dolls and book, or the keeping of people? What of those who we love? These are the questions brought to life in her drawn-out battle with the Goblin King, he who awaits her with honeyed tongue and golden locks.
Is it a great film? No. The musical compositions are ineffective; my Arts Editor was heard to mutter, “Oh, this is awful.” The musical performances were OK but not memorable. Bowie brings a certain otherworldliness to his role, but it needed to be a little more off-world. But the special effects were, with an exception or two, quite good, the puppets were exceptional, and the story was, if perhaps a bit slanted towards the younger set, still enjoyable and unpredictable in all its turns, if not in its dénouement. (I was also amused to see the proto-Star Wars Death Star crew appearing during the battle scene.)
It won’t appeal to everyone, but we had a good time watching.
Besides, who can resist a movie that causes my Arts Editor to exclaim, “Oh, it’s a bog full of anuses!”
Obscure Phrase of the Day
counterfactual regret minimisation
This a relatively new evaluation technique devised for poker bots to use when considering strategies. From NewScientist (20 August 2016, paywall) and Adam Kucharski:
“Regret” here refers to the difference between the expected pay-off of the action taken by their poker bot, named Cepheus, and the potential pay-off if it had acted differently. The technique involves Cepheus tweaking its strategy over the course of billions of hands, lowering its overall regret until it is as small as possible.
They are days when I wish I had taken up AI studies beyond that single course. It just sounds so interesting, even if I’m rather dubious about the uses of AI.
Profitable Prisons, Ctd
In a related move to the Federal retreat from private prisons comes this Reuters report on a requested study of whether Department of Homeland Security privately run detention centers are doing the job:
The U.S. Department of Homeland Security will study whether to discontinue using privately run detention centers, which the Justice Department recently called unsafe, for migrants and shares of private prison operators fell on Monday after the news.
Department Secretary Jeh Johnson said he directed his advisory council to evaluate whether the agency should continue to contract with private prison operators and make a recommendation by Nov. 30. Advocates for immigrants have accused the companies of withholding proper mental health and medical care from detainees to boost profits.
Without expectation, I would hope there would be a section on the theoretical underpinnings of the performance of the centers – or lack thereof. As noted earlier in this thread and examined in some – disorganized – detail here, if the centers are found to be wanting I’d expect there to be a focus on the differing goals of the entities involved, i.e, the private sector focus on profit (for I do not expect these companies to have embraced Conscious Capitalism) vs the government goals of detaining those who should be detained in a humane mattermanner. I shan’t add without regard to price as this, too, can be an invitation to abuse; the trick is to find the proper balance.
[edited 8/31/2016: change matter to manner.]
Is There Useless Knowledge?, Ctd
Earlier this year Spaceweather.com was discussing solar activity and cosmic rays, and now they’ve returned to whether the two continue to exhibit an inverse correlation. Here’s the chart:
A fascinating exercise in high energy physics.
Dissing McMansions, Ctd
A reader comments on the big houses:
I’ve bee [sic] in a lot of those McMansions and have always thought they had a lot of wasted space (to heat and cool). One had a double staircase in the foyer, when one would have worked nicely. And, yes, “Welcome to my triple garage. The house is around the back.”
I’ve not been in many, as we prefer older houses with more character, although we have to be careful about that statement – we’ve visited one or two painted ladies that were charming on the outside and an utter disaster on the inside.
And then there was this monster in a chi-chi part of Minneapolis, just outside of Uptown, it I think, hosting an estate sale – tremendous sweeping staircase, no doubt the house’s usable footage measured in acres … and not new. I wonder how it was characterized when it was new.
Review: Donald Giovanni in Cornlandia: A Picnic Operetta, Ctd
A reader has more information on this production:
Since our very good friend Naomi Karstad plays Carly Davidson in this production, I can tell you that at least the leads are all professionals. You seem to have neglected to mention that part of production is the serving of some quite tasty food.
We saw the Loring Park show on Friday. It was quite humorous, even if one doesn’t understand Italian (only a few of the pieces are actually sung in the original Mozart / Da Ponte Italian, anyway).
Oh, excellent! I thought they were professionals, but had failed to bring the program home and their website didn’t actually list the cast anywhere I could find.
And I did mention the food: “… with some finger foods served during the performance.” However, I was not particularly impressed by them, nor do I consider them necessary – just a nice touch.
This Year Our Production Quota is Quite Low
Dissing McMansions
My Arts Editor and I like to walk neighborhoods, looking at homes new and old (so long as they’re not tract housing from the 60s-80s). This has led to the inadvertent substitution of the word ‘chickenshit’ for ‘gingerbread’ while admiring the fine work on Victorian, and the depressing observation that people must be sleeping in their garages since the garages on the new houses are bigger than the balance of the house.
Lloyd Alter on Treehugger.com observes that the McMansion craze may have run its course:
There were many reasons for the McMansion boom. After the recession the banks tightened up lending so that only the rich with huge downpayments could get a mortgage; increases in income inequality meant that there were a lot fewer people able to by cheaper, smaller houses; there were millions of them on the market, left over from the crash.
Builders loved them because they were really profitable; the hard expensive stuff is the same whether the house is big or small (services, plumbing, kitchens) but they are selling a lot more air. They get a lot more profit per square foot.
They also sold for a lot more money; four years ago, the average McMansion cost 274 percent more than an average house in Fort Lauderdale. Today, the premium is down to 190 percent. In fact, the premium has dropped significantly in 85 of the 100 largest U.S. metropolitan areas. In most places, the bottom has fallen out of the McMansion market.
The Worst of McMansions blog he references features some lovely snark, but also a tutelary section:
The mass is the largest portion of a building. Individual masses become interesting when they are combined together to form a façade. The arrangement of these shapes to create weight is called massing. As the pieces are combined, they are divided into categories: primary and secondary masses (1).
The primary mass is the largest shape in the building block. The secondary masses are the additional shapes that form the façade of a building.
Windows, doors, or other openings are called voids. Voids allow creation of negative space that allow for breaks within masses. Placing voids that allow for natural breaks in the mass create balance and rhythm across the building’s elevation.
Name of the Day
Swedenborgian Church:
The Swedenborgian Church draws its faith from the Bible as illuminated by the teachings of Emanuel Swedenborg (1688–1772). In 2003, the Swedenborgian Church of North America had about 1,800 members, almost identical to the membership it had in 1981 but rather less than the 5,440 it had in 1925.
As a loose affiliation of regional associations, the Swedenborgian Church does not make any statements as to the exact authority of Swedenborg’s writings on the Bible or to the correctness of either. Each Society and member is given the responsibility to arrive at their own conclusions, and the denomination allows for discussion and debate. It is also liberal on social issues and sexual ethics, such as the ordination of women, homosexuality, and abortion. [Wikipedia]
![]()
I just like the name. They used to have a church in St. Paul at Virginia and Shelby, not far from Moscow on the Hill, but it appears to have been sold to another congregation. St. Paul Historical1 provides images of this rather handsome structure.
1Paul Nelson, “Virginia Street Swedenborgian Church,” Saint Paul Historical, accessed August 29, 2016, http://saintpaulhistorical.com/items/show/120






