About Hue White

Former BBS operator; software engineer; cat lackey.

How Wrong Will He Be?

Some economists get reputations for always being wrong. Such a reputation afflicts Arthur Laffer, inventor of the Laffer Curve, which shows how lowering tax rates leads to higher revenues for government because of the economic renaissance which follows such changes. Except … it doesn’t happen. Government finds itself in a financial bind.

Steve Benen suggests Trump’s new economic advisor, economist and TV commentator Larry Kudlow, is another economist with a bad reputation:

In political circles, the Weekly Standard’s Bill Kristol is known for a few things. He was former Vice President Dan Quayle’s chief of staff; he’s one of the more influential Republicans in the D.C. media; he’s a notable critic of Donald Trump; and he has an unfortunate habit of making predictions that don’t come true.

Larry Kudlow is similar, except instead of always being wrong about political developments, Kudlow is always wrong about the economy. And while that’s an unfortunate track record for someone who pontificates about the economy on television – Kudlow is a longtime CNBC anchor – it’s an even worse trait for someone who leads the White House’s National Economic Council.

And yet, that’s the job Donald Trump tapped Kudlow for this week.

It’s an interesting thought – Trump guided by someone he likes and trusts, who unfortunately gets it all wrong. Will it continue? And how long will he last, being wrong all the time? Here’s one of his earliest pronouncements, regarding the imminent, threatened trade war, via Reuters:

The official Xinhua news agency said late on Wednesday that the U.S. tariffs proposal would cost the United States “dearly”.

“China will not be afraid or back down if a trade war is unavoidable. The country has never surrendered to external pressure, and it will not surrender this time either,” Xinhua said.

The apparent determination not to retreat is at the polar opposite of comments by White House National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow, who told Fox News Channel on Wednesday: “I believe that the Chinese will back down and will play ball.”

I’ll try to remember to keep an eye out for results as well as other prognostications by Mr. Kudlow. For the sake of our farmers, I hope he has this one right.

Belated Movie Reviews

Here we have Guiron tickling Gamera’s tummy. I do hope it’s not breeding season!

Attack Of The Monsters (1969; aka Gamera vs. Guiron) is an odd, teeth-gritting, yet mildly charming movie starring Gamera, known as “Friend to children,” a gigantic, flying (there’s rockets up that ass, I’m tellin’ ya!), space-patrolling turtle with tusks and an odd devotion to the children of Earth.

In this fifth entry in this series of movies, two boys, Akio and Tom, spy a spaceship approaching Earth, and recognize it is landing near their homes in Japan. The next morning, rush off and find it. Traipsing inside, they find it unoccupied, and pushing a button as children will, it takes off. When in space, they encounter Gamera, who appears to be about three times the size of the spaceship. Gamera saves them from an incoming meteoroid strike, but when he tries to stop the spaceship, it evades and outruns him.

Knifehead of Pacific Rim

Where is it going? To the twin planet of Earth, circling the Sun in direct opposition to our blue marble. Our twin planet is cagily named Terra, the Latin name for Earth, and often used in old science fiction stories. The boys land near an abandoned science station and witness two monsters fighting, with victory going to the monster they later learn is named Guiron, which bears more than a passing resemblance to the kaiju Knifehead of Pacific Rim (2013).

Then they encounter the inhabitants of the station, two lady scientists, and learn they are the last survivors of Terra, endangered by creeping cold and invading monsters. (Hey, what about that spaceship, then?)  Their only protection is Guiron, whom they control. They promise to help the boys get home by repairing the spaceship, which has been damaged.

But there are ulterior plans going on. The ladies really want to put the boys on their lunch menu, as they believe consuming the boys’ brains will give them the kids’ knowledge of Earth – and permit them to blend into the population when they, ah, emigrate. But just as Tom and Akio about to become appetizers, Gamera appears, and the ladies must occupy themselves with loosing Guiron to tackle Gamera.

The battle is strange, with Gamera running around on his hind legs, and Guiron revealing he can throw shurikens that are attached to his knife-like snout at Gamera, which even return to him after taking chunks out of Gamera. But Gamera has a few tricks of his own, including immobilizing Guiron for a few moments, long enough for Gamera to blow fire right up his ass.

No, I’m not kidding. It was quite impolite, I thought, and really a bad example to these kids.

In any case, Gamera loses in a victory for plot twists, and sinks to the bottom of a nearby lake, apparently dead. During the commotion, the boys stumble onto the secret of their destiny (good with olive oil), and do their best to escape – and it’s not a bad try, actually, what with short-range teleport stations and young legs. But their antagonists are equally wily and eventually capture them. But as they begin the preparations for the great feast, they are distracted by something (I forget what), one of the boys awakens from an enforced nap and frees himself, and eventually manages to find the control room and free Guiron from his cave. The scientists try to escape in the spaceship, but Guiron, apparently in a bad mood, slices the ship in half, injuring one of the scientists (turns out that injury in the Terran society is a fatal mistake, which may explain what really happened to the Terran society). Gamera, at the pleas of the children, springs back into action and destroys Guiron by dropping him on his head from about 100 feet up, and while he’s stuck in that position, Gamera uses a convenient rocket to blow Guiron up (the surviving scientist is also finished off).

Yeah, they could have just left Guiron alone, as he was stuck for a while, but instead they blew him up. For something that loves Earth kids, Gamera sure sets a bad example.

Gamera then repairs the spaceship, the boys board it, and Gamera takes them home by putting it in his mouth and taking flight.

What hurt? The dialog and/or dubbing, which was both dreadful and awful. The monsters are hardly any better, just guys in rubber suits, and while Guiron is sort of interesting, Gamera still has rockets up his ass, and this creepy interest in Earth’s children. The special effects in general were also awful.

But there are elements of a real story here. Gamera is not impregnable, as Guiron not only makes him bleed, but knocks him unconscious. And the monsters’ battles do have elements of cleverness, which adds an element of ebb and flow of tension.

And for all that the dialog was awful, the bones of this story are not rotten. Both the boys and their antagonists are clever. The boys formulate a plan and you expect it to work – and it doesn’t. So they try something else. There’s an actual bit of anticipation, although you know the boys are hardly likely to actually end up in an oven.

So it’s sort of looking at a soup full of rotten vegetables and realizing the carrots are not rotten. I wouldn’t watch it again, but I can’t quite categorize it as utterly trite trash. You have to comb it for a while, but there’s just a little bit that’s OK. The soup’s base fish stock was made from a rotten piscine, and most of the veggies are rotten, but every once in a while a bit of turnip is OK.

Good thing I spent most of my time “watching” this actually making and eating dinners, though.

Striking At A Support, Ctd

I see that Reuters is suggesting my speculation is correct:

China appeared to be angling to inflict political costs on Trump by striking at signature U.S. exports, including soybeans, frozen beef, cotton and other agricultural commodities produced in states from Iowa to Texas that voted for him in the 2016 presidential election.

The sad thing is that China has drawn a number of complaints over the with regard to its trade practices. Trump, however, has no concept effective action, only of newsworthy action. War is a big-time word, guaranteed to get the blood moving, so he uses that, rather than working with allies to quietly but effectively move China into a more friendly posture vis a vis trade.

Instead, he’s waving a big flag and will probably accomplish nothing – but he’ll trumpet it to high heaven, because that’s all he knows how to do.

Who knows, maybe he’ll get the Chinese to back down and change some practices. I’m not putting any money on it, though, especially since the Chinese kicked Trump’s butt way back at the beginning of this debacle of an Administration.

How Tall Can We Go With Wood?, Ctd

The trend towards building tall with wood continues as Moriyama & Teshima Architects and Acton Ostry Architects have won a $130 million project in Ontario, CA. From the press release:

George Brown College has announced that Moriyama & Teshima Architects + Acton Ostry Architects have been selected to design The Arbour. This $130-million project will be a 12-storey mass timber building on George Brown’s Waterfront Campus, ushering in the first building of its kind in Ontario. The team was one of four shortlisted teams in this international design competition.

To this non-architect, it has a little bit of a feel of a Brutalist architecture, although, not being primarily concrete, it doesn’t really qualify. But it’s big and not shy and retiring.

And it’s made of wood.

From their Project Description:

George Brown College envisions The Arbour as a landmark, tall wood, low-carbon building that will feature ecological innovation across its entire life cycle and be a model for 21st Century smart, sustainable, green building innovation throughout Canada. To support this vision, our proposed design for The Arbour is deceptively simple, straightforward and, above all else, smart.

The design of The Arbour enhances connections to neighbouring developments and the natural spaces offered by Sherbourne Common and the Water’s Edge Promenade. The soaring solar chimney signals the sustainable systems within, while the angled apex of the Tall Wood Institute speaks to future advancement of tallwood technologies and development of low carbon building methodologies.

Looks like if you’re an architect who’s not investigating the use of wood in your 10-20 story buildings, you may be behind the curve.

This Guy Doesn’t Get It

CNN reports on a GOP candidate for the Senate and how he views his sought-after job:

Rep. Kevin Cramer, the Republican challenging Sen. Heidi Heitkamp this fall in North Dakota, compared voting against President Donald Trump in Congress to cheating on a spouse.

Cramer’s comment criticizing Heitkamp’s voting record came in a Wednesday radio interview with conservative North Dakota host Scott Hennen.

“Here’s the good news about Donald Trump: Most of the time, he’s for North Dakota, and that’s my point where I’ve heard her say, ‘Gee, I voted with him 55% of the time,'” Cramer said.

“Can you imagine going home and telling your wife, ‘I’ve been faithful to you 55% of the time?’ Are you kidding me? Being wrong half the time is not a good answer.”

Nor is running around with your head crammed up Trump’s ass.

Look, it’s not unexpected that there’ll be some coordination among Party members on legislation, as one would expect those with a certain ideological orientation to come up with the same answers to the same questions. However, in a general situation, there are always those who will have different answers, even when coming from roughly the same ideological positions. Different judgments and life experiences are part of what brings wisdom to the Legislature.

And, of course, as a member of the legislative branch, his responsibilities are far different from those of the President. Simply from scoping considerations, answers may be different. To say you’ll stand with your leader is to abandon your responsibilities. You must fulfill your legislative responsibilities, not his Executive responsibilities.

But this is fuckin’ Trump. He’s incompetent, erratic, contradictory, ignorant, and incurious. You’re going to marry HIM? You may have oversight responsibilities to ensure he’s not corrupt and damaging the Republic. Are you up for that? After swearing allegiance Trump?

And don’t forget this power-hungry dude. I have to think Mr. Cramer fits into the same mold.

Word Of The Day

Conspectus:

  1. : a usually brief survey or summary (as of an extensive subject) often providing an overall view
  2. : outline, synopsis [Merriam-Webster]

Noted in “The Passing of the Libertarian Moment ,” Kevin D. Williamson, The Atlantic:

But rather than embodying the future of the Republican Party, Paul embodies its past, the postwar conservative era when Ronald Reagan could proclaim that “the very heart and soul of conservatism is libertarianism,” when National Review founder William F. Buckley Jr. could publish a conspectus of his later work under the subtitle “Reflections of a Libertarian Journalist,” and young blue-blazered Republicans of the Alex P. Keaton variety wore out their copies of Milton Friedman’s Free to Choose.

New one on me.

Adding To The 2018 Inflammation, Ctd

Minnesota and Mississippi may be joined by yet another State – Arizona. The nature of this exclusive club? Hosting not one, but two Senate races later this year.

This is brought about by the potential retirement of Senator McCain (R-AZ), currently battling a glioblastoma (brain cancer). While I admire Senator McCain and regard him as an erratic member of the better half of the GOP, there’s little use in pretending there’s no change he’ll choose to retire before the end of his term in 2020. WaPo has details on a deadline:

If McCain vacates his seat by May 30, there would be primaries in August and a November special election to fill the remainder of his term, provided candidates submit enough signatures to qualify for the ballot, according to Eric Spencer, the election services director in Arizona.

While some close observers contend there is gray area in the way the election laws are written, most agree that if May 30 comes and goes without any vacancy, there would be no election this year and the Ducey appointment, should there eventually be one, would serve through 2020.

This would be yet another seat the Republicans would have to defend unexpectedly, vs only one so far for the Democrats. But who would run? No names, yet, although when McCain first announced his illness, State Senator Kelli Ward demanded that he immediately retire and Governor Ducey (R-AZ) appoint her to his seat. She has since waded into the race for retiring Senator Flake’s (R-AZ) seat, but if two become available, I’d guess the current GOP contenders would split up and cover both races.

All good wishes to Senator McCain, however. He and Flake have tried to be the conscience of the Senate, although their actions have only occasionally backed up their words.

A Harsh Storm Indeed

Yesterday’s storm was so awful it killed a ghost. I was fortunate to catch a picture of the poor thing.

Oh, wait, I’m told this is something else.


Darn it, another fine theory shot down by an inconvenient fact!

Striking At A Support

According to WaPo, Trump’s base should be in their bunkers just about now:

According to multiple reports, people in agricultural communities are on edge over President Trump’s trade war with China. Now that China has retaliated against Trump’s tariffs by announcing its own tariffs on more than 100 American products, fears of a serious escalation are becoming more real by the moment, with stocks sliding and companies registering their objections over Trump’s actions to the White House.

New data supplied to me by the Brookings Institution show that agricultural communities are right to worry about what’s happening. But that’s not all: The data also show that other targeted industries should be worried as well. And it reveals that those who are vulnerable to negative impacts from these trade tensions are mostly concentrated in counties carried by Trump, though a lot of them are in counties carried by Hillary Clinton as well.

Makes me wonder if the Chinese are deliberately selecting Trump’s base as a target, or if the nature of the trade is such that Trump’s base would get his regardless. Interestingly, MPR mentioned tonight that we run a trade surplus in terms of agricultural goods with China. No more? That’s not so clear, as the MPR report suggests:

“If there’s going to be retaliation by [China], the odds are pretty high that it’s going to impact agricultural products,” said [Agricultural banker Kent] Thiesse.

Thiesse said that’s because the U.S. has a trade surplus with China for agricultural goods overall. So it’s not surprising China would target that sector for reprisals. But China’s demand for U.S. farm commodities also gives him hope that the two sides can reach a deal.

Thiesse, who works for MinnStar Bank in Lake Crystal, said since American farmers help feed the Asian nation, any reduction in that supply could be a problem for China.

“Are they going to be able to find enough soybeans in the next twelve months in the rest of the world to fulfill their needs if they aren’t buying as many from the U.S.,” said Thiesse.

Soybean producers are hoping that’s what will happen.

In any case, I’m sure the Chinese will be delighted to cause more turmoil in what used to be the most influential nation in the world; an ever-weaker President will, no doubt, aid their plans to supplant us in that regard.

Yes, You Can Genuinely Like Each Other

In case you were wondering about the social aspects of SCOTUS during this highly partisan era, here‘s Associate Justice Sonia Sotomayor in Research News @ Vanderbilt:

She credits mutual respect for sustaining the collegiality of the nation’s highest court despite some strong differences. She cited fellow Justice Clarence Thomas as the judge with whom she disagrees the most, but said the way he treats people outside the courtroom is endearing.

“He knows the name of every single employee in the building,” Sotomayor said. “I can stand here and say I just love the man as a person. He has the same value towards human beings as I have, despite our differences.”

Which tends to put attempts to discredit the members of SCOTUS in a dark light.

You’re Defined By The Company That Seeks You Out

There’s something grimly funny about the Laura Ingraham situation. She’s the Fox News host who taunted school massacre survivor David Hogg concerning his college admissions failures; he then returned fire by listing her show’s commercial sponsors and suggesting his Twitter followers might call them up and discuss that support. Sponsors began dropping, although I haven’t tried to keep track.

So who’s rallying to her beleaguered side? From WaPo:

Embattled Fox News host Laura Ingraham has found some unlikely allies: Russian bots.

As Business Insider reported, Russian-linked Twitter accounts have rallied around the conservative talk-show host, who has come under fire for attacking the young survivors of the Parkland, Fla., school shooting.

According to the website Hamilton 68, which tracks the spread of Russian propaganda on Twitter, the hashtag #IstandwithLaura jumped 2,800 percent in 48 hours this weekend. On Saturday night, it was the top trending hashtag among Russian campaigners.

The website botcheck.me, which tracks 1,500 “political propaganda bots,” found that @ingrahamangle, @davidhogg111 and @foxnews were among the top six Twitter handles tweeted by Russia-linked accounts this weekend. “David Hogg” and “Laura Ingraham” were the top two-word phrases being shared.

Wading into controversy is a key strategy for Russian propaganda bots, which seize on divisive issues online to sow discord in the United States. Since the Feb. 14 Parkland shooting, which claimed 17 lives, Russian bots have flooded Twitter with false information about the massacre.

Assuming botcheck and Hamilton 68 are accurate, the rush of Russian bots to the rescue of Ingraham is a rather noir commentary on the status of a voice that would want to be associated with liberty and the right-wing. The Russians have little history with liberty, what with a dubious recent Presidential election and the attempted assassination of a former Russian spy in the UK. Further, the fact that foreign ‘bots on Twitter are being used to rally support suggests she’s dependent on foreign support to stay afloat, a suggestion which might be dubious in itself, but is hard to separate from authentic support.

Do authentic American Twitter users who support her know about the Russian support? Are we learning how to recognize efforts to stir up divisiveness, or are we not yet getting it?

Beats me.

Belated Movie Reviews

These are the restrained hats.

The vampires are out to get you, if you live near their castle and are a villager, or so we’re lead to believe in Twins of Evil (1971). This is a dull story of that village near the castle, and the lives and deaths of the various villagers. First, there’s the painfully devout Brotherhood, led by Gustav, who have a hobby of capturing the local social outcasts, subjecting them to a quick trial as to whether they’re evil or not, and burning the losers. Up in the castle lives a vampire or two, who occasionally take victims from the village.

Into this village come a set of orphaned twins, lasses visiting their Uncle Gustav, who distinguish themselves with a couple of pairs of gorgeous hats, and cleavage nearly as magnificent as their hats (the uncut version, from what I’m seeing on the Internet, is considerably gamier). But one of them is predisposed to evil, and when the Count living in the castle puts the bite on her, she doesn’t die, but transforms into a vampire. She wreaks a little havoc over the next few days, but eventually the old bloodlust lures her into putting the bite on a member of the Brotherhood while he is on his way to a meeting, and she’s captured with blood on her chin, as it were.

Well, it was probably a soul-crushing meeting in any case.

She’s imprisoned, and, in case you didn’t guess, while the cats are away, because these meetings are never cancelled, the vampires shall play, in this case substituting the innocent twin for the vampire twin. We come close to burning the innocent one (and Anton, the handsome choirmaster and local atheist, nearly gets laid, but that would have ended badly), but disaster is averted, and the vampires are tracked down and staked.

Yeah, it was dull. The technicals were fine, but the story was numbing. Perhaps if I’d viewed an uncut-for-TV version … but I doubt it.

Crossed Circuits

NewScientist (24 March 2018, paywall) reports on another way we can cross our circuits:

ELLIOT FREEMAN was a student when he first noticed that he could hear Morse code. Looking out into the dark one evening, he spotted a lighthouse flashing a signal. “Every time I saw the flash I heard a distinct buzzing sound,” he says. “I thought ‘That’s kind of odd. I should look into that sometime.’”

It turns out Freeman isn’t alone. He is one of a group of people who experience a phenomenon called visually evoked auditory response. This form of synaesthesia makes people hear noises when they see certain silent moving images. Now he has carried out the biggest study of the condition so far and found that one-fifth of us seem to experience it.

With his colleague Christopher Fassnidge, Freeman, a psychologist at City, University of London, built an online survey that tests for this response. They found that about 22 per cent of the 4000 respondents rated more than half the videos in the test as stimulating clear sounds.

22% showed visual-to-audio synaesthesia? Wow!

This does remind me of some experiments done a few years ago in which computer code was translated into sound, and then programmers would attempt to detect problems with the code by listening to the sound generated from the code in question. There was some evidence that this actually worked, but I’ve not heard anything since the initial report.

Here’s my guess how Windows 10 might sound:

Just kidding!

Wisconsin Petty Politics Nightmare, Ctd

Way back in 2015 we talked a bit about the Wisconsin State Supreme Court, and how it appears to be approaching Three Stooges territory. Tonight, my partisan mail included this notification from the Democrats:

Wisconsin: With precincts still coming in, progressive candidate Rebecca Dallet has easily won a race for state Supreme Court, ousting a right-wing justice appointed by Scott Walker.

Perhaps the right wing magic is beginning to fail in Wisconsin, a state I tend to identify as more of a labor bastion than a right-wing bulwark; in fact, I’ve been puzzled by the support for Governor Walker. But I don’t live there – perhaps the Democrats fouled things up and disgusted the voters.

Now it may be the Republican’s turn.

Word Of The Day

Stoat:

The stoat (Mustela erminea), also known as the short-tailed weasel or simply the weasel in Ireland where the least weasel does not occur, is a mammal of the genus Mustela of the family Mustelidae native to Eurasia and North America, distinguished from the least weasel by its larger size and longer tail with a prominent black tip. Originally from Eurasia, it crossed into North America some 500,000 years ago, where it naturalized and joined the notably larger, closely related native long-tailed weasel. [Wikipedia]

Noted in “Why ancient deer returned to the sea and became whales,” Colin Barras, NewScientist (24 March 2018, paywall):

Some of the most spectacular species now living in the sea have land-living ancestors. Whales are descended from animals similar to deer, while walruses evolved from animals a bit like stoats.

The Next Hurdle, Ctd

The competition in the special election for AZ-8 continues to draw attention, even as Republicans claim they have a comfortable lead, reports Politico:

Source: Ballotpedia

House Speaker Paul Ryan will headline an April 18 fundraiser for Arizona Republican Debbie Lesko, according to a copy of an invitation to the event obtained by POLITICO. Attendees to the Capitol Hill fundraiser are being asked to give up to $2,500.

Lesko, a former state legislator, is running for a suburban Phoenix seat that President Donald Trump won by 21 percentage points. Party officials say their internal polling shows Lesko with a comfortable lead over the Democratic candidate, physician Hiral Tipirneni.

Yet Republicans are taking few chances after last month’s loss in a special election for a conservative Pennsylvania seat.

They don’t call out President Trump, who appears to have very short coattails, but a more predictable extremist – Speaker Ryan. There’s a hidden danger here for the Republicans, though. If Lesko fails to win what should be an easy victory in this district, this will taint Speaker Ryan. He’s strongly denied rumors that he’s intending to retire at the end of this current term, or even resign in the midst of it.

Source: Ballotpedia

However, if his presence fails to spur the faithful on to victory (yes, I chose that metaphor quite deliberately), and the Democrat takes the prize, or loses narrowly, that may spur Mr. Ryan to change his mind. If he leaves his seat open, which is the Wisconsin 1st district, then the Republicans lose the advantage of incumbency. Could the Democrats take the Speaker’s seat at the mid-terms?

The Republicans fear looking weaker and weaker, which is why they’re pouring resources into a “safe” seat. But there may be more at stake than is apparent.

Lessons On Usage

The city of Atlanta was recently hit by a ransomware attack by a savvy gang of hackers – they only want somewhere in the neighborhood of $40,000 – $50,000, which is more than doable for a big city. Paul Rosenzweig and Megan Reiss on Lawfare explore two of the lessons:

Second, this episode is a prime example of a situation where what is good for the city is at odds with what is good for the federal and state governments.

Knowing it could lose a significant amount of data if the ransom is not paid, the city of Atlanta is facing a serious burden. Six bitcoins, while expensive, is almost certainly far less than the costs and man-hours that went in to the creation of the data that could be lost and will need to be recreated as a result of the freeze. If we were advising Atlanta as a client, our advice would be simple: “Pay the ransom.”

However, the federal government will almost certainly see things differently.

And you can guess why – paying the ransom will simply encourage the criminal behavior. A prime example of scoping, and why the Federal government isn’t a business.

Third, this episode should serve as a cautionary note on the unfettered growth of cryptocurrency. Cryptocurrency can have malignant uses that seem to overwhelm—in both volume and effect—the benign purposes to which it can be put. The Atlanta attack is yet another example of a situation that would be nearly impossible to replicate in a world where no cryptocurrency existed. In the long run, the attack provides another data point in the ongoing effort to determine whether and how cryptocurrency should be regulated.

This would be a radical form of value transfer.

Yet, crime occurred prior to the advent of cryptocurrency. While not wishing to step on the authorss venerable toes, I have to wonder if the many ways to conceal and handle stolen money are not roughly equivalent to this particular scheme. I’m also somewhat baffled by their assertion that this scheme wouldn’t work without cryptocurrency. There are many ways to transfer value, which money is just one representation, from one entity to another – I have to wonder if it’s worthwhile to get hung up on the method of payment.

Political Theater Today

Remember our vengeful expulsion of 60 Russian diplomats for the attempted murder of a former Russian spy? Business Insider discovers this is just a bit of political theater:

But there’s a catch.

A State Department official confirmed to Business Insider that the White House’s diplomatic expulsion will not require Russia to reduce its staffing levels in the US, and vice versa. In other words, the 60 diplomats who were kicked out — many of whom were undercover intelligence operatives— can be replaced by others.

USA Today first reported the news on Friday.

The revelation initially gained traction in Russian state media, which said an anonymous senior White House staffer told the Russian government that it could send new diplomats to take the place of those who had been expelled. The Russian state media outlet Vesti quoted the official as saying, “The doors are open.”

Or, in other words, Please replace your 60 spies with a different set of 60 spies. There’ll be a slowdown in spy production, true, but nothing truly damaging.

In a way, I find this revelation reassuring, because it returns Trump to his pattern of Russia-loving, and deception. For a while there, he actually looked like he was doing the right thing, and while that, in itself, is a good thing to see from our Executive Branch, it was somewhat disturbing to see an anomalous behavior.

But now we find that, behind the curtain, he’s still pulling the levers so as not to hurt Russia.

Good ol’ Donny, back in pattern.

Belated Movie Reviews

There’s one hundred weasels waiting to attack you, you say? What were you doing in the forest, my friend?

Cyrano de Bergerac (1950) is a story about truth and falsity, ranging from fidelity to the needs of a story, to the needs of the heart and how ill-served it is by Cyrano’s insincerity. Cyrano, the bearer of the largest and ugliest nose in France, is a Guardsman in the 17th century, the leading member of his military unit, and the finest swordsman in the country. But his opinions are at least as pointed and aggressive as his sword; it is his supreme skills with the sword that keeps him alive – and esteemed by his comrades.

As the story opens, he appears shouting critiques of a play at a tavern, accusing the lead actor of playing poorly, of his failure to be true to the story he is to tell. He is pre-emptory, dominating, ecstatic, and when it is required, he donates all his available funds to refund the tickets to the patrons gathered: a considerable sum. This does not settle one patron, though, a member of the upper classes disposed against a man for interrupting a play – and possessing such a nose.

Cyrano owns up to the nose in memorable fashion, embracing its existence and how it might serve as a pivot for the agile wordsmith; during the following duel, he embraces his three most important attributes, of wit, nose, and swordsmanship, composing a ballad and reciting it during the fight, capping it all off by critically injuring his opponent.

But when his love, Roxanne, appears, he is uncertain, hesitant, his stomach in his mouth, as it were. She wishes to arrange a meeting, and his heart soars; when a friend and amateur poet appears, fearful for his life due to maladroit wordplay, Cyrano is delighted to fight the hostile band off, and even expresses disappointment at their small numbers.

The meeting with Roxanne, it turns out, is a dart in his chest: she loves a new Guardsman by the name of Christian, despite never having spoken with hi, and begs Cyrano to take care of him. Wracked with disappointment, he returns to his comrades, and pressed to recount his night’s battle, begins to do so – only to be interrupted by a stranger who makes wordplay of Cyrano’s deeds – and famous appendage. Cyrano demands this puppy’s name – Christian! His comrades, expecting the quick end of the newest Guardsman, are astounded at Cyrano’s restraint, and soon Cyrano chases all but Christian out.

Soon enough, Christian admits to admiring Roxanne, and Cyrano, betraying his allegiance to truth, has agreed to supply the words Christian lacks the wit to use. Let the wooing commence! It’s a rough road, but soon enough tongue meets tongue, much to their mutual delight. Roxanne is not above a little deceit, for when a message arrives instructing her to marry a military commander not to her liking, she reads it to all present as instructions to marry Christian, and Cyrano is assigned to delay the commander until the ceremony is complete.

But the commander has one more set of orders to his name, and that’s to wheel out and engage in war with the Spanish, and to leave immediately: there will be no wedding bed for Christian, no rest for Cyrano.

At the front of the war, Cyrano seals his fate with the letters he writes Roxanne under Christian’s name, for when Christian dies in her arms, it proves impossible for Cyrano to hope to court her, even as he proves his courage against the Spanish.

Years later, he is now a somewhat faded version of the man he once was, writing condemnatory opinions of how France is run for the local broadsides. No man willingly will face his sword, but assassination need not be accomplished via that avenue. Mortally injured, he finds himself making one last pilgrimage to the still-bereft Roxanne, where his lies are finally laid bare for Roxanne to mourn, and he faces death, sword in hand: and if he’s delusional, it is the sort he’d like, facing opponents and dealing them their blows, but he’s lost his way through his ill-considered lies, not only his life wasted, but Roxanne’s as well. A man cannot be two men and hope to have either end well, it seems.

This film has its problems, primarily with the visuals – they are blurry and, perhaps, this was not the best copy of the film available (Amazon Prime). On the other hand, the lead, José Ferrer, has a wonderful voice and plays the part just about perfectly. If you can put up with the visuals – or find a better copy of this film – then you should have a very good time.

Recommended.

If You Feel Like You’re Being Manipulated, Yeah, It’s Happenin’

Checking the partisan mail files, this came in from the Democrats:

Not long ago, the GOP leader in the Iowa Senate resigned in the aftermath of a sexual harassment scandal that cost taxpayers nearly $2 million.

Now Republicans are scheming to prevent his seat from flipping blue, and we only have a few days to stop them.

In the wake of the resignation, Republicans called a snap special election for April 10thto fill the vacant seat – that’s one week from tomorrow.

With little time for Democrats to recruit volunteers and a severely limited early voting period, Republicans think they can run out the clock on us before local Democrats can get their campaign off the ground.

The GOP is so sneaky? Well, no,  not really. According to The Courier, this date was announced March 17:

Gov. Kim Reynolds issued a proclamation Thursday setting April 10 as the date for a special election to fill the Iowa State Senate District 25 seat following this week’s resignation of former State Sen. Bill Dix.

And Ballotpedia reports:

How vacancies are filled in Iowa

See also: How vacancies are filled in state legislatures

If there is a vacancy in the Iowa General Assembly, the vacant seat must be filled by a special election. The governor of Iowa is required within five days of a vacancy in the General Assembly to call for a special election. If the vacancy happens in session, the governor must call for an election as soon as possible with a minimum 18-day notice. All other special elections require a 45-day notice as long the election does not happen on the same day of a school election.

In accordance with the law, unlike Governor Walker of Wisconsin, who didn’t want to call one at all. So we have a little fear-mongering coming in from the left. Something to remember.

Characterization Of The Day

Jennifer Rubin, Right Turn, WaPo:

Contrary to the positive spin that Trump is now getting the Cabinet he wants (was he not president before this?), he’s in fact getting the dregs, the cranks, the Fox News personalities and the even more unqualified hangers-on to backfill posts.

That’s just so reassuring, JR.