Republican internal polling signals a Democratic rout

[CNN/Politics]

From the article:

Democratic and liberal aligned groups have put out 17 House polls taken in April or later. Republican aligned groups have put out 0. That’s a very bad ratio for Republicans.

Interestingly, Republicans were the ones dominating the polling landscape in the first quarter of the year. From January through March, Republican and conservative groups released 10 polls compared with the Democrats’ 2.

The April turning point lines up well with when the coronavirus pandemic became the headline story of the year. It’s when President Donald Trump’s approval rating started an almost continuous decline that remains unabated.

In other words, it makes a lot of sense that Democrats started to dominate the House polling landscape in the past few months. They had a lot of good news for their side that they wanted out in the public. Republicans, meanwhile, were likely seeing numbers that wouldn’t make them look good.

Under the hypothesis that parties only release good news for themselves, the avalanche of poll releases from the Democrats point towards a rout of Republican candidates in November.

I went into the article hoping for more Republicans expressing confidence about November; the cognitive dissonance behind such pronouncements can be quite entertaining. But that’s not the message of this article. They just screwed up their article title.

Ah well.