When it comes to November, it appears Senator Jodi Ernst (R-IA) remains vulnerable, according to a Civiqs Poll conducted for The Daily Kos:
Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA)
1. If the election for U.S. senator from Iowa were held today, who would you vote
for?Theresa Greenfield, Democrat 48%
Joni Ernst, Republican 45%
Someone else 3%
Unsure 3%
A Des Moines Register/MediaCom poll also puts Senator Ernst in the danger zone:
Fresh off a four-way primary race that drew millions in outside spending, Democrat Theresa Greenfield leads Republican Sen. Joni Ernst by 3 percentage points in Iowa’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.
According to the poll, 46% of likely voters say they would back Greenfield if the election were held today, and 43% say they would back Ernst.
“This is definitely a competitive race,” said J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the poll. She said the poll contains other “warning signs” for Ernst and noted that this is the first Iowa Poll conducted since Ernst first ran in 2014 in which she has trailed her general election opponent.
Vulnerable but not yet firmly put in the upset column, unlike Senator McSally (R-AZ), whose deficit continues to widen into double digits as November approaches. If Ernst’s gap becomes larger, will Ernst decide to throw President Trump under the bus and strike out on her own, showing independence and disapproval for his behaviors, or would that be political suicide? In the face of the unexpectedly low turnout for the Tulsa Trump rally, it might be a viable option.
