Imran Khalid notes that Iran’s government is becoming more cohesive:
The decapitation of Iran’s Intelligence Ministry is a tactical success that masks a strategic failure. It has simplified the Iranian power structure by removing the voices of caution and institutionalizing the most aggressive factions of the military. It runs counter to efforts to make the world safer or to force Tehran to the negotiating table. Israel’s Ministry of Defense might call the strike a milestone, but Washington and its allies are not witnessing the collapse of a regime; rather, they are effectively shepherding the birth of a more streamlined, more militant and more unpredictable adversary. A post-Khamenei regime run by hard-liners is not a challenge that can be solved by a missile strike. It is a new global reality that the U.S. is unprepared to manage. [MS NOW]
If this guy is right, then we’re looking at a five year war that will effectively alienate a chunk of the world that has no time for Trump’s entitled crony capitalism, whether it actually believes in upright competition or has its own version of crony capitalism.
If we’re disruptive enough we may even face a unified bloc willing to use violence to pacify us.
Neither of our political parties appear smart enough to really be worthy of leading this nation: one thinks the divine is backing it with no evidence of same, while the other thinks everyone else is idiots and they’re the smart ones.
The future is not bright at the moment.
