A Spike In The Eye

Daily Kos‘ NebraskaDemocrat has a soothing claim:

Another symptom of Trump fatigue is that [Trump’s VP] Mike Pence has declined to endorse his candidacy. In addition, 41 out of 44 Trump cabinet members have declined to endorse him. These are the people who know Trump best. This gives millions of Republicans a permission slip to not vote for Trump in November.

[My bold.] Unfortunately, no source for this claim is given. Still, that even one has outright spoken out against Mr. Trump and his winning reelection – former Chief of Staff John Kelly, for instance – is unprecedented in my lifetime. And I don’t know if all of the Republicans understand this, but the sad tragedy in Baltimore this week, of the container ship Dali knocking down the Francis Scott Key Bridge and killing six construction workers, is doubly a disaster for the Republicans. A big ship loses power, hits the Key Bridge, knocks it over and kills some construction workers, and – worst for Republicans – knocks an important Port offline.

None of this is the fault of Democratic President Biden nor his allies, inside or outside of Congress.

But it is Biden’s responsibility to keep the Nation running as smoothly as possible, and this is a situation where Biden has an opportunity to shine. If my reader remembers Hurricane Katrina of 2005, the bungled response of the Republican Bush 43 Administration was another blot on an Administration that was not only discredited for incompetency and political favoritism, but was replaced by the Democratic Obama Administration, and in the same election Democrats completed their takeover of Congress, begun in 2006.

Biden is reportedly smarter than Bush in this respect, having hired competent administrators for posts such as Secretary of Transportation. The Biden Administration, having experience in untangling supply chains by motivating Ports to move faster after the Covid pandemic, and as Professor Richardson notes,

Perhaps learning from the 2023 East Palestine, Ohio, train derailment, when the government response was fast but quiet and thus opened a window for right-wing complaints they weren’t doing enough, the administration was out front today. Buttigieg rushed to the scene from a trip out West, and Maryland governor Wes Moore told reporters Buttigieg had called him at 3:30 am, just two hours after the crash.

By around 6:00 am, the National Transportation Safety Board already had a team of 24 people on the scene to launch an investigation into the cause of the collision.

Speaking today, President Joe Biden said: “I’ve directed my team to move heaven and earth to reopen the port and rebuild the bridge as soon as…humanly possible. And we’re going to work hand in hand…to support Maryland, whatever they ask for. And we’re going to work with our partners in Congress to make sure the state gets the support it needs. It’s my intention that federal government will pay for the entire cost of reconstructing that bridge, and I expect…the Congress to support my effort.”

And Republicans have tried to turn this disaster to their advantage, blaming it on … governors who prioritize diversity, a particularly juvenile and crass statement of … DEI did this, referencing a left-wing initiative commonly called diversity, equity, and inclusiveness, and the heretofore invisible Senator Schmitt (R-MO), who I had to look up:

Republican Senator Eric Schmitt addresses misinformation on the bridge collapse: the problem here this is the consequence, this distrust of terrible leadership when you have an administration that has weaponized the department of justice.

For those who are solid members of the MAGA base, this is all followed by a head nod. The rest of us? At both best and worst, they’ll be muttering Where’s your evidence? while the rest of us just shake our heads at the repetitious incompetence and clumsy attempts at politicizing a disaster.

And, I must say, Senator Schmitt appears to be particularly clumsy and ill-suited for the job of being a Senator.

Last word I heard was that the Biden Administration was rushing equipment to the scene to help remove debris in order to get the Port reopened, including large helicopters. Because I’m feeling ungracious at the moment, I predict some Republican official will ask why these helicopters weren’t allocated to the effort:

Competency from the Biden Administration, properly messaged and honestly covered by the media, may be a big nail in the Republican coffin of 2024. Between the Freedom Caucus in the House and a portfolio of weak Senators in the Senate, the Republicans are fielding one of the weakest Republican teams in recent times, possibly even worse than those in the 2006 elections, in which

Democrats defeated 22 Republican incumbents and won eight open Republican-held seats. For the first time since the party’s founding, Republicans won no seats previously held by Democrats and defeated no Democratic incumbents.

While many pundits are still hung up on the Trump base, the age of Biden without considering the age of Trump and his concomitant imbecilic behaviors, I’m looking at trends: Trump’s many legal liabilities, shocking record of brazen mendacity, record of corruption, record of incompetence, questions about his wealth, his record as a grifter, and etc, while Biden’s record since taking office, such as excellent messaging, superb economic progress, fast and competent response to incidents, response to Putin’s War (Ukraine invasion), the difficult problem of the Middle East, the excellent folks he’s hired; to summarize, how the trends are positive for Biden, while negative for Trump.

All of this makes me ask what most will call the impossible: Will this be Nixon vs McGovern (1972) all over again, with Biden in the Nixon role as the guy who wins with a record of 49 States to McGovern’s 1 State?

Of course not. All those pundits will tell you that we’re all too polarized for that to happen.

Repeat after me: All those pundits

OK, it won’t happen. Idaho and North Dakota are full of arrogant right-wingers who simply don’t understand the poor quality of most Republican candidates.

But those two States won’t be enough. I’m looking at Biden winning two, perhaps three more States than last time. And the last weeks of the campaign will be peppered by Republican accusations that Biden was in the Dali’s wheelhouse, even at the helm, when the tragic crash occurred.

Because that’s how surreal the far-right has become.

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About Hue White

Former BBS operator; software engineer; cat lackey.

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