In the race for the Georgia Senate seat previously held by Johnny Isakson (R-GA), and currently held, by appointment of Governor Kemp (R-GA), and in contradiction of President Trump’s wishes, by Kelly Loeffler (R-GA), polling is not in Loeffler’s favor. From Civiqs, for The Daily Kos:
4. If the special election for U.S. Senator from Georgia were held today, who would
you vote for?Doug Collins, Republican 34%
Raphael Warnock, Democrat 18%
Matt Lieberman, Democrat 14%
Kelly Loeffler, Republican 12%
Ed Tarver, Democrat 6%
Someone else 4%
Unsure 12%
The election for Loeffler’s seat is a special election, which means there is no primary, thus the format of the above question. If no candidate exceeds 50% of the vote on Election Day, then a runoff between the top two finishers is held January 5, 2021. Collins is Trump’s preferred candidate, but to my eye the deciding votes are in the Unsure row: they hold the balance of power. If Loeffler drops out and the Unsures break for Representative Collins, then Georgia will, working purely from quantitative analysis have a far-right Senator, as Rep Collins currently has a TrumpScore of 97.5%. And so much for Erick Erickson’s trust in Governor Kemp’s judgment.
But this isn’t the only Georgia news in a rare year in which both Senate seats are up for grabs. The incumbent in the other seat is David Perdue (R-GA), and Civiqs asked questions in the context of each Democratic declared for the primary:
1. If the election for U.S. Senator from Georgia were held today, who would you vote for?
Sarah Riggs Amico, Democrat 42%
David Perdue, Republican 45%
Someone else 8%
Unsure 5%2. If the election for U.S. Senator from Georgia were held today, who would you vote for?
Teresa Tomlinson, Democrat 44%
David Perdue, Republican 45%
Someone else 6%
Unsure 4%3. If the election for U.S. Senator from Georgia were held today, who would you vote for?
Jon Ossoff, Democrat 47%
David Perdue, Republican 45%
Someone else 4%
Unsure 3%
The election for Perdue’s seat is a regular election, meaning there is a primary to select Party nominees, who then compete for the seat. It’s fascinating that all the declared Democrats are competitive with Perdue, and investigative journalist Ossoff is actually ahead of Perdue. It suggests a level of dissatisfaction with Perdue that may leave Georgia with a Democratic Senator.
Georgia may be one of the most entertaining States viz a viz the election this year.
