James Hohmann notes on WaPo‘s PowerPost that the Democrats are looking to improve their messaging:

Many Democratic talking heads make weak arguments on television that fail to move voters. To address this, several groups and top pollsters on the left are teaming up to launch a new project that will conduct surveys and convene focus groups to produce monthly guidance with the most politically potent lines of attack against President Trump and congressional Republicans.

This new initiative, which has not been previously reported, will be called Navigator Research. The debut report, shared first with The Daily 202, offers original polling and talking points related to the economy, political corruption and disruption.

It flows from fears among progressive thought leaders that their side focuses too much on the ups and downs of public polls related to the generic ballot and Trump’s approval rating, rather than messaging and framing.

“There is a dearth of direction as it relates to how to talk about things,” said Jefrey Pollock, the president of Global Strategy Group. “When the news cycle is the length of the tweet, that challenge is more acute than ever. … For years, Republican politicians have been better at paying attention to language cues. We’re trying to do a progressive version of that.”

My concern is how they play to make sure they do that ethically – or does the subject even come up? Things to avoid include only telling part of the story, using keywords to get the emotions of the voter all het up, making shit up … that sort of thing.

On The Fix, Aaron Blake talks about U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley and her argument with her boss:

Nikki Haley might as well have called the White House a bunch of liars.

The U.S. ambassador to the United Nations on Tuesday rebuffed White House aides’ claims that she bungled an announcement of new sanctions against Russia. After Haley said Sunday that the sanctions were on the way by Monday, the White House appeared to change course and said a decision had not been made. But rather than an admission that President Trump had had a change of heart, word ventured out that Haley had gotten out over her skis. …

Not so, says Haley. And in fact, she said that even the more charitable explanation is wrong.

“With all due respect, I don’t get confused,” Haley said in a statement.

When I read that a couple of days ago, I wondered if Haley was on her way out. After all, Governor Haley was initially hired so her Lieutenant Governor, Henry McMaster, would be rewarded with the South Carolina governorship. Reports at the time suggested Haley didn’t much care for Trump. But she’s proven to be one of Trump’s best hires, a straight-ahead diplomat in the United Nations who represents traditional American interests – which is more than can be said for Trump.

I think, with this little tempest, that she’s showing backbone that will be appreciated in the future. She may, in fact, have higher ambitions, and this incident will play in her favor. The question may become whether there’s a party she can call home the next time an election rolls around – or if she’ll be part of the moderate Republican segment who chooses to breakaway from the GOP and form their own party.

Louche:

questionable; shady; odd [America]
shifty or disreputable [English]
[Collins Dictionary]

Noted in “The cast goes ape in a stage adaptation of a Will Self novel,” Stewart Pringle, NewScientist (7 April 2018):

Self’s work has always been a freewheeling mishmash of whimsy, bar-room philosophy and bum jokes, giving his work great energy and exuberance. There is also a less appealing note: a queasy “appreciation” of the louche excesses of London’s arts scene. Marmion has nailed that perfectly.

It’s a review of a play, of course. What it’s doing in NewScientist is less obvious. But I’d never seen the word louche before.

Jeff Singer of The Daily Kos publishes a lengthy analysis of the new North Carolina legislative district map, lately redrawn after the courts found the 2011 map discriminated against black voters:

Last year, the U.S. Supreme Court affirmed a lower court ruling that had struck down 28 of North Carolina’s 170 state legislative districts on the grounds that Republicans had violated the Constitution by diminishing the power of black voters when they drew these maps in 2011. However, the GOP legislature still got first crack at drawing remedial maps, and they took the opportunity to shore up a number of Republican districts—something they otherwise were not permitted to do, since the state constitution prohibits mid-decade redistricting.

A Democratic challenge to this backdoor gerrymander ran aground in the courts, leaving Republicans with maps they can still be quite happy with. As a result, breaking the GOP’s veto-proof three-fifths supermajorities in either chamber is still going to be a major challenge for Democrats, much less actually gaining control of the legislature.

So it appears the North Carolina GOP plans grasp and claw for every shred of power it can gain. No surprise.

Renminbi:

The Treasury Department, in its biannual currency exchange report, scolded China for its lack of progress in reducing the bilateral trade deficit with the United States, but did not find that it was improperly devaluing its currency, known as the renminbi.  [“Trump Declines to Label China a Currency Manipulator as Trade War Brews,”  Alan Rappeport and Ana Swanson, The New York Times]

I’ve been listening to these reports concerning Trump personal attorney / “fixer” Michael Cohen and his three clients, Trump, Mr. Broidy, an RNC deputy finance chair who’s just stepped down, and, most interestingly, Sean Hannity of Fox News with some puzzlement, and while most of the media world is off on a gallop over possible conflicts of interest, because Hannity was broadcasting on the subject of Cohen as he ‘s found himself in a pot of hot legal water, I’ve been wondering about the details of Hannity’s denials.

These denials boil down to Hannity discussing minor matters with Cohen in passing. No payments, no formal relationship, no nuthin’. But but but … doesn’t the definition of a client include some sort of payment? The trading of one thing of value for another?

Why is Hannity going to such great lengths to disavow a business connection, when Cohen appears to have acknowledged just such a relation?

If Cohen is naming Hannity as a client in open court, why would he lie about it?

Someone’s got their ass hanging out, but I can’t tell who. If the Feds (not Mueller, who’s not involved, despite Hannity screaming the Cohen raids means Mueller’s out of control and “off the rails”) have Cohen’s files, I suspect they know, or soon will know – unless that information is considered non-germane. The “taint team” apparently will take care of that.

And if there is a formal business relationship, what then? I suppose it’ll depend on the nature of the business contracted.

But I must say that it seems quite odd that Trump, Broidy, and Hannity, all big names, are all using the same “fixer,” someone who deals with unsavory details of the lives of the rich and powerful. Broidy has already admitted to using Cohen to pay off a Playboy model he impregnated. Trump allegedly used Cohen to payoff Daniels. Hannity can see where this train is heading and wants to head it off.

Could his career be on the line here? I’m not familiar with him, but I’ve noticed both journalists and comedians are licking their lips. Although, given the depths to which the Fox News audience appears to have sank, what could he have done that would turn them off?

Voted for Hillary?

Ever wonder just what Kim Jong Un might mean by the term denuclearization? Georgy Toloraya on 38 North elucidates:

Among these presumptions, the one concerning denuclearization is the most dubious, simply because the meaning of the word is understood differently by North Korea and the United States and other parties who at some point would be involved in negotiations.

The North Koreans have a much more comprehensive understanding of “denuclearization.”Kim Jong Un reportedly told South Korean envoys last month that he’s for denuclearization of Korean peninsula (including the South), and reaffirmed during his recent trip to China that: “It is our consistent stand to be committed to denuclearization on the peninsula, in accordance with the will of late President Kim Il Sung and late General Secretary Kim Jong Il.” This formula was again repeated by Foreign Minister Ri Yong Ho during his recent visit to Russia.

But this is hardly anything new. North Korea has repeatedly stated that denuclearization is a global concept and Pyongyang will relinquish its nuclear weapons in the context of complete and general nuclear disarmament. They have told Russian experts that for years, the DPRK was the only country in Northeast Asia without a “nuclear umbrella,” but now the situation is one of “equality” and they are ready to solve the problem amicably within a regional framework.

So does this mean they expect world-wide nuclear disarmament? Or just the peninsula?

Georgy’s remark about what might happen if Trump is unprepared makes me positively ill – because we know he won’t be prepared.

My recent meetings with North Korean government representatives indicate they are seriously preparing for the dialogue and probably have developed a plan that would involve concessions and compromises based on the principle of action-for-action. However, the Trump administration does not yet appear to have a clear roadmap in mind, apart from the blunt demand of “denuclearize or else.” There is danger that without a proposal of its own to put on the table, the US might get caught flatfooted against at more prepared Pyongyang. If the summit ends up as a failure, then the United States and North Korea may go back to where they were before the North launched its peace offensive in early January.

Trump wouldn’t admit to it, of course. We’d have to await evaluation by 3rd party experts.

Timorous:

1. full of fear; fearful:
   The noise made them timorous.
2. subject to fear; timid.
3. characterized by or indicating fear:
   a timorous whisper. [Dictionary.com]

Heard on Dr. Who a night or two ago, in reference to a timorous beast.

Whatever you may think of Roman Catholicism, it’s worth keeping an eye on the Pope as he influences one helluva lot of people. So I thought this observation by E. J. Dionne, Jr. in WaPo was of interest:

It’s not often that public figures hold themselves to the standards they apply to others. There was thus an instructive symmetry between what Francis said in his Apostolic Exhortation Gaudete et Exsultate (“Rejoice and Be Glad”) and his own moment of necessary penance.

In the document, the pope declared that “the lack of a heartfelt and prayerful acknowledgment of our limitations prevents grace from working more effectively within us.” Humans — every single one of us — fail, falter and fall. We do far better when we admit it.

And this is what the pope did Wednesday when he apologized for his terribly misguided defense of a Chilean bishop accused of covering up abuse by an infamous pedophile priest.

Many of us who admire Francis feared that his apparent standing up for the indefensible was a sign that the 81-year-old pontiff was incapable of recognizing the Church’s profound breach of trust when it placed institutional self-preservation above a concern for the suffering of those abused by priests.

How often do you see a world leader admit to a rather serious error in judgment? Not very often. Most of them are too wrapped up in their egos, often disguised as matters of national pride or even national security. Certainly, religious world leaders, as a subset of world leaders, have a somewhat different set of priorities, but how often do you see even them confess to screwing up badly?

He sets an example that others should pay attention to – and, of course, will not.

The latest on the special election for AZ-8? Or maybe it’s just propaganda. Anyways, the Democrats sent a fund-raising letter that says,

But a funny thing is happening with this race — Dr. Hiral Tipirneni, the Democratic candidate, has been campaigning hard under the radar for the past couple months. She’s sneaking up on the Republican candidate, and a poll out today has them locked in a dead heat.

Would have been nice if they’d provided a link to the poll, no? In today’s era, not providing that link is malpractice, to my mind. In fact, The Hill has a poll from 4 days ago:

A survey from Phoenix-based polling firm OH Predictive Insights and ABC15 Arizona found former state Sen. Debbie Lesko (R) garnering 53 percent of the vote, compared to physician and first-time candidate Hiral Tipirneni (D) with 43 percent.

But let’s stipulate that the poll mentioned in the Democrat’s fund-raising mail exists and has reasonable error bars. Arizona is a conservative state, and since redistricting in 2011, the former Republican occupant of the seat never won by less than 63% of the vote. If Dr. Tipirneni has, in fact, closed the gap to close to even in a district which went for Trump by 21 points (according to the same Hill article), that’s a tremendous achievement as well as a commentary on the poor reputation of the GOP. It’d be another lesson for a GOP that seems to have forgotten how to govern – or how to be a responsible political party.

Architects don’t have to just design buildings. Consider the goals of pioneering architect Cornelia Hahn Oberlander, now 96, profiled in Wallpaper*, who continues to work on healing the sick of Vancouver – which appears to be basically everyone in the city, and, by extension, all city dwellers:

But Vancouver today has come a long way from the heady days of the 1970s, when the building blocks for Vancouverism – the forward-thinking green city model that became the darling buzzword for international urbanists in the 1990s – were formed. Vancouver in 2018 is in the grips of a housing crisis, and increasingly an ecological one. Oberlander has used the $50,000 she won from the 2015 Margolese National Design for Living Prize to fund a study on how overdevelopment, lack of affordable housing and dwindling green spaces affect people’s mental and physical health. In spite of several public lectures on the topic, City Hall, she says, has yet to respond. But Oberlander remains a true believer in the power of landscape architecture to save the world, and sees an innate connection between social justice and good design. ‘Beauty is important,’ she affirms. ‘It unites people and makes something meaningful to the user.’

She ultimately sees her calling as a kind of healing art, and like the concept of ‘invisible mending’ expressed in her Inuvik school in the Northwest Territories, which reintroduced native plantings after nurturing them in nurseries, she also helps to heal cities. ‘My design is therapeutic for busy people in the city who use only electronic devices,’ she pronounces. ‘Just look out at my garden. You can’t even see the street. Isn’t it peaceful?’ And with that, Oberlander is off to preach her gospel of enlightened urban design to City Hall, where the mayor’s office would do well to pay heed to the wise landscape architect who helped build a city that still dreams of being truly green.

I think her type of landscape architecture appeals to our evolutionary brains, which did not evolve in stone and glass buildings, but rather in natural surroundings. I might presume the brain must endure extra processing as it encounters the smells and sights of rectangular bricks and that sort of thing.

Or maybe I’m just all wet.

Remember the candidacy of convicted coal mining company CEO Don Blankenship for the Senate seat in West Virginia? He was convicted of neglecting required coal mine safety measures when CEO of Massey Energy, resulting in the deaths of 29 Massey employees. He’s in the GOP primary and doing well – too well, and this is disturbing what passes for the mainstream GOP, according to Politico:

The Republican establishment has launched an emergency intervention in the West Virginia Senate primary aimed at stopping recently imprisoned coal baron Don Blankenship from winning the party’s nomination.

Late last week, a newly formed super PAC generically dubbed the “Mountain Families PAC” began airing TV ads targeting Blankenship, who spent one year behind bars following a deadly 2010 explosion at his Upper Big Branch Mine. The national party isn’t promoting its role in the group, but its fingerprints are all over it.

The 30-second commercials, which the group is spending nearly $700,000 to air, accuse Blankenship’s company of contaminating drinking water by pumping “toxic coal slurry,” even as the multimillionaire installed a piping system that pumped clean water to his mansion.

The primary result will act as a measuring stick for how far the GOP base has slid to the right. Are they willing to embrace a former coal mining CEO who constantly fought safety regulations for the mines, neglected those measures and therefore lost lives? He claims it wasn’t his fault, but the government’s, and of course I’m not in any position to evaluate such claims – but it doesn’t really matter. The incident and Blankenship’s attitude will be ammunition for the Democratic incumbent, Joe Manchin. If the base rejects him, all well and good, at least in proportion to the severity of the rejection. But if he wins the nomination, then it’s an indication that the base is continuing to slide to the right.

Just as importantly, there’s some irony here in that the Republicans have long run on assertions that add up to Too Much Regulation and Corruption In Washington. Blankenship is using those themes in his run:

He has far outspent his primary opponents, Rep. Evan Jenkins and state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, whom he castigates as pawns of the GOP establishment.

The GOP has sowed the farmland with persistent messages about the corruption of Washington, and then elected a President who personifies corruption. The entire situation bears a striking resemblance to, oh, cannibalism.

And cannibals often suffer from highly destructive diseases like kuru. Sure, this stretches the analogy into flab, but I think there might be some weight to it, even so.

Reader reaction to 2018 GE3:

“2018 GE3 was found less than a day before before its closest approach.” Yikes.

Very. To say we have a NEO (Near Earth Orbit) detection system in place is not to say it detects everything. There are size limitations and directional limitations – which is to say, if an object is on an outbound leg, which is to say outbound from the direction of the Sun, then the Sun can make it more difficult to detect.

Another:

My father-in-law believed that NASA launches from Kennedy Space Center would ultimately affect Earth’s rotation and orbit. It was his play on Newton’s First – for every action there is an equal and opposite…..

I’m not sure about rotation, since launches are perpendicular to the rotational direction of the Earth, but I’d believe orbit. I recall reading somewhere about how “slingshot” maneuvers around other planets “stole momentum” from them – an immeasurably smal fraction, but physics is physics.

On Lawfare Alan Rozenshtein talks about the encryption debate and just who’s the target – not terrorists:

My experience—which accords with what I’ve heard from many seasoned prosecutors—illustrates the critical importance of default settings. It’s been widely known for decades that only a sliver of users ever change the settings on their devices, or even know that the settings are there for the changing. And if users can’t be bothered to change easily accessible settings, they certainly won’t go to the trouble of switching smartphones or messaging apps just to frustrate law enforcement. But when WhatsApp decides to make end-to-end encryption a default setting on its already immensely popular messaging program, the communications of a billion people are suddenly warrant proof. That’s the stuff of law-enforcement nightmares.

There’s no question that sophisticated bad actors—whether terrorists or spies—won’t just settle for the default setting. They’ll always find a way to encrypt their communications, whether by adopting products that don’t fall under national laws mandating third-party access or by taking technological countermeasures. (For instance, bad actors can sideload secure messaging apps that might otherwise be restricted from the Apple or Android app stores).

But end-to-end encryption won’t cripple counterterrorism investigations. (If this were a serious concern, one would expect a former NSA director to lead the charge against end-to-end encryption, not support its wide deployment.) There aren’t that many would-be terrorists, and the ones who exist get ample attention from the FBI and U.S. intelligence agencies. At such a high ratio of good guys to bad guys, the government can generally get around encryption where it needs to, whether by paying millions of dollars for third-party hacking tools, exploiting software and hardware vulnerabilities to hack devices, or engaging in physical surveillance. (The same logic also applies to counterintelligence investigations.)

So, rather than 3rd party access to encrypted data, simply make sure the defaults are off and make the criminals figure it out. This will work for the petty, dumb criminals, as Alan points out, but organized crime may figure it out, and sophisticated terrorists will be on the spectrum from “may figure it out” to “will use immune solutions.”

Given Alan’s discussion, I’m having trouble figuring out if there’s any point to 3rd party access. The math & coding skills necessary for nearly impossible to break communication isn’t confined to the security or commercial worlds. Only if a quantum computing solution is found will the government have a one size fits all potential solution to the problem. So far, I have not seen any reports of an actually capable quantum computer.

Picture from National Review’s commentary on the controversy.

The third part of Andrew Sullivan’s weekly tripartite column covers a controversy I missed out on, which I regret since I would have laughed quite loudly if I had:

And then they came for Apu.

In battling against the relentless onslaught of “social justice,” you have to take solace in a few small acts of defiance. And last week, we had one, as the writers of The Simpsons stood their ground against the attempt to rid their show of funny stereotypes, in particular to reform and remake the character of Apu Nahasapeemapetilon. The usual arguments have been made: Apu foments racism because he was long the sole South Asian figure in mainstream television and does not represent many Indian-Americans, he is voiced by a white (i.e., Jewish) man in a parody of an Indian accent, he “hurts” people, he’s created by people with “privilege,” the oppression is intolerable, yada yada. We haven’t yet gotten to the point in the formula where Apu is actually responsible for the deaths of Indian-Americans, but I’m sure that’s coming.

As I recall, and as Andrew notes in passing, Apu happens to hold a doctorate in Computer Science. But how does he make his living in Springfield, ??, United States? He runs a convenience store. Now, Andrew focuses on Apu’s status as a small business owner (who happens to sell absolute crap to the gullible citizens of Springfield), but I think the contrast of having earned a doctorate, but ending up running a convenience store, is really a slap at the prejudices which infest the United States.

Now, in reality, a doctorate in Computer Science from India can get a job in the United States, as I know of at least one (there may be more, as I don’t pay a lot of attention to the academic attainments) in my building at work. But it’s a convenient trope to use in The Simpsons, as it fits right in with other stereotypes concerning India and who emigrates from there – and how much of a hurdle emigres often face from the somewhat xenophobic society they find here in North America.

So, in that respect, this is really the reverse of what the social justice mavens of Andrew’s acquaintance would claim – it’s an illumination of the problem and a cry for solution, not just the use of it for entertainment value.

Andrew goes on to defend the use of stereotypes in comedy, and I have no problem with that. I just want to say that Chief Wiggum is the most dedicated and loving father in all of TV that I’ve seen.

Which isn’t much.

Bloody April snowstorm. Well, actually, I liked the composition, but as my Arts Editor says, it’s a little grainy. So much for smartphone cameras.

It turns out a biggish asteroid came zooming near Earth, closer than the Moon is to us, just a few hours ago. Spaceweather has the update:

Based on the intensity of its reflected sunlight, 2018 GE3 must be 48 to 110 meters wide, according to NASA-JPL. This puts it into the same class as the 60-meterTunguska impactor that leveled a forest in Siberia in 1908. A more recent point of comparison is the Chelyabinsk meteor–a ~20-meter asteroid that exploded in the atmosphere over Russia on Feb. 15, 2013, shattering windows and toppling onlookers as a fireball brighter than the sun blossomed in the blue morning Ural sky. 2018 GE3 could be 5 to 6 times wider than that object.

If 2018 GE3 had hit Earth, it would have caused regional, not global, damage, and might have disintegrated in the atmosphere before reaching the ground. Nevertheless, it is a significant asteroid, illustrating how even large space rocks can still take us by surprise. 2018 GE3 was found less than a day before before its closest approach.

Watts Up With That has a lovely graphic illustrating the probable orbit of 2018 GE3:

I wonder if that close of an approach to Earth is enough to alter its orbit significantly.

From yesterday’s WaPo:

Just weeks until her wedding, Laurin Long sat down in front of the bathroom mirror, wrapped a blue-and-white striped towel around her shoulders and turned to her fiance.

“Go,” she said.

Michael Bank, 34, switched on the hair clipper and slowly started to shave her head.

“I woke up with bald spots this morning — so shaved head it is,” the 29-year-old then-soon-to-be bride told family and friends in February during a nine-minute Facebook Live video.

Laurin had battled breast cancer before and, in fact, had been bald when she met Michael three years ago.

The breast cancer had returned. This time it was Stage 4 and had metastasized to her bones, liver and lungs.

But despite the cancer and chemotherapy, despite doctors’ concerns about her deteriorating health, and despite their recommendations that she move up the March 24 wedding date, the couple pressed on.

It’s a lovely little story.

It looks like President Erdogan of Turkey, who has arranged for his position to accumulate more and more power, is indulging in the old game of propping up the economy in order to avoid the angry mob incident. Mustafa Sonmez reports in AL Monitor:

On March 29, the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) announced that the country’s gross domestic product grew 7.4% in 2017, the highest rate in the past four years. The 7.4% rate made Turkey the second fastest-growing economy in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development after Ireland with 7.8% and ahead of Slovenia with 5%. The GDP, however, shrank in terms of dollars to $851 billion from $863 billion in 2016, reflecting the dramatic depreciation of the Turkish lira. Accordingly, GDP per capita went down to $10,597 from $10,883 in 2016.

There is another side of the coin, which shows that Turkey’s spectacular growth came thanks to government propping that is hard to sustain and at the expense of excessive borrowing and increasing fragilities. The social leg of growth is also troubling, as low-income Turks appear to have benefited little in terms of job opportunities and income increase.

As Deputy Prime Minister Mehmet Simsek conceded, government guarantees encouraging loan expansion were the main booster of growth, coupled with tax cuts and incentives. The economy’s growth was driven largely by domestic consumption, which brought about double-digit inflation — 12% in consumer prices at the end of 2017.

I wonder how long it’ll take for the edifice to come toppling down – and the disillusionment in the strongman to grow strong enough to chase him out.

Or force violent confrontations.

We’re supposed to be oohing and aahing over the tulips!

Not dealing with this!

Sigh!

Feeling virtuous when you’re deveining that hapless shrimp? Discard that feeling, reports NewScientist (7 April 2018):

There’s an ironic twist to this picture. Let me know if you figure it out.
Credit: Organic Facts

Globally, [Robert Parker at the University of British Columbia and his colleagues] found that carbon emissions from fisheries rose by 28 per cent between 1991 and 2011, even though total catch has barely changed (Nature Climate Change, DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0117-x). That contrasts with other foods, where improved efficiency has led to lower emissions per kilogram of product.

One reason is that we are eating more shrimp and lobster. Compared with beef, these have higher emissions per kilogram, partly because they are hard to catch. Most other fish are good choices for a climate-friendly diet. “The typical fish product is going to have a similar footprint to chicken, which is the most efficient land-based animal source,” says Parker. Some small fish, such as anchovies, do even better. The team is now developing a website that will let people look up the greenhouse gas footprints of different seafood.

The best way to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from seafood is to manage fisheries well. This will allow fish populations to rebuild to higher levels. “The more abundant your fish are, the easier it is to catch them,” says Ray Hilborn at the University of Washington in Seattle.

In other words, don’t eat so much fish. And don’t fish so inefficiently, which I would measure as non-target fish that are caught up in the nets and die as a result.

Or you can be like these fish biologists and simply cease eating fish.

The Libby Scooter surprise pardon, coming on a late Friday afternoon where unwholesome news is often dumped by political administrations of all types and stripes, is generating some commentary. Former White House Counsel Bob Bauer on Lawfare:

It is not clear how a Libby pardon advances the president’s cause directly. But Trump has never showed much interest in Libby’s conviction—until now. Perhaps the subject arose during discussions about Rosenstein and Mueller. Trump may have been moved to act, as he often does, on impulse, experiencing newfound sympathy for Libby’s plight that he imagines to be so much like his own. He may be especially focused on the obstruction report that, according to news accounts,  Mueller is preparing for Rosenstein, who then has a complex decision to make about his authority to provide that report to the Congress or the public.

Then again, this action could also reflect a strategic move in the president’s legal defense. Trump’s lawyers may have thought that the president could improve on his expressions of personal pique by building his constitutional case against Mueller by taking this action now in the Libby case—by demonstrating that Trump will do what it takes, including using pardons, to bring special or independent counsels (or special prosecutors) under control and to remedy what Trump believes to be their abuses.

So Libby’s prospective pardon is not as much of an abrupt change of subject as it might appear. By this action in a totally unrelated matter, Trump may be looking to cloak in principle at some future time his exercise of the power of his office to protect himself.

From a criminal trial, yes. If it comes to impeachment, it only depends on whether or not the GOP can muster up the gumption to vote for conviction. Bauer also notes this:

The move resonates in other ways with the situation now facing the president. His preoccupation at the moment seems to be Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein. Following the raid on the offices of Trump’s personal lawyer Michael Cohen, the president’s objections to Rosenstein’s role have intensified. Apart from his natural anxiety about what befell his lawyer and what it means for him personally, Trump is intensely focused on what he perceives to be Rosenstein’s inadequate supervision of the special counsel. He has recently heard Alan Dershowitz’s judgment in public comments, and maybe in private conversations as well, that Rosenstein—presumably a witness in the obstruction investigation—should be subject to a recusal motion and removed from the supervision of the Russia matter.

Which leaves me with this piquant question: is there anyone competent to the position of supervising Mueller in the White House who isn’t a witness?

Steve Benen:

So why would Trump pardon him a decade later? Perhaps because this White House is determined to advance another petty political point.

Kellyanne Conway told reporters this morning, for example, that Scooter Libby may have been “the victim of a special counsel gone amok.”

Left unsaid was the obvious point that Trump World sees itself as a victim of a special counsel gone amok, offering us another example of this president using his pardon authority as an instrument of political messaging.

Nicole Wallace (on The Rachel Maddow Show) of MSNBC is paraphrased:

Trump conditioning public with pardon of Scooter Libby

Activities which will condition thoughtful independents to be inclined against Trump, but would please his base inordinately, appealing to their sentiment of being under attack by the forces of evil. Don’t underestimate this urge, as it’s an emotional underpinning to the entire Trump movement, and it takes an effort to break free of it, evaluate Trump objectively, and leave the movement that has become your emotional home.

Valerie Plame, who was the agent outed by those leaks for which Libby was convicted in court, as reported by Politico:

Plame, appearing on MSNBC on Friday, suggested that Trump is telegraphing a message to Manafort and other aides, including former national security adviser Michael Flynn and son-in-law Jared Kushner, who are also key figures in the Russia investigation.

There’s a moral dimension to the Mueller investigation, which I believe Trump and his supporters are attempting to obscure – much to their discredit. Mueller isn’t investigating insipid technicalities, he’s been asked to investigate whether the activities of Trump during the Presidential campaign have left the Republic endangered.

This message needs to be conveyed to Manafort, Flynn, and the rest – a reminder that whatever they may believe, their first duty is to honestly come forth with answers to Mueller’s questions. Failing this relatively low hurdle, at this governmental level they become traitors to the United States. A pardon may be a hollow comfort for them.

CNN’s Chris Cillizza has 5 possible reasons Trump pardoned Scooter. I like #1:

1. He wants to send a message about out-of-control special prosecutors

Libby was charged and convicted as the result of a probe by special counsel Patrick Fitzgerald. Libby allies argued that Fitzgerald was far too aggressive and ventured too far afield in his pursuit of Libby.

A special counsel who is overstepping? Sound familiar?

Just in case you missed the message, White House counselor Kellyanne Conway is here to help. “Many people think that Scooter Libby was a victim of a special counsel gone amok,” said Conway in a Friday interview with Fox News.

In pardoning Libby, Trump can send a very clear message about how he feels about special counsel Robert Mueller’s probe into Russian meddling in the 2016 election. (As if anyone living on planet Earth hadn’t received that message before.) He can also send a more subtle message about his willingness to step into the breach for those who he believes have been unfairly persecuted by a special prosecutor.

Which leads me to the inevitable question: should a special prosecutor ever not be out of control of his nominal superiors when the prosecutor is investigating them?

But there is definitely a theme here.

Kevin Drum:

I suppose all of Mueller’s victims deserve pardons too, don’t they? Of course they do.

On the subject of Libby, however, I’ll offer up this hot take: he was basically just a spear carrier for his boss, Vice President Dick Cheney. As long as Cheney is walking around free, I don’t really have a big problem with pardoning the fall guy.

Good point. Cheney, and for that matter his family, remain convinced of the necessity of torturing human beings and thus violating the international laws of warfare, which in my mind apply regardless of whether your opponents are also bound by them. Psychologically, of course, they have very little choice; it would take an extraordinary human being to deny the will and choices of their patriarch in matters of this great of importance, especially given the monumental consequences of such a denial, if not to his person, then at least to his honor – and for those around him.

I haven’t run across much of anything from the conservative side of the spectrum, which is not unexpected given the timing of the pardon, the strike on Syria, and the fact we’re barely 24 hours since the announcement. If I see anything of interest, I’ll relay it along. I expect it’ll be Happy Days for them, but we shall see if any of them can rise above party or movement loyalty.

Oh, and myself? I remember little of the matter except he was convicted in open court. The outing of a spy is an extremely serious matter, and since Trump admitted he’s not familiar with the matter himself, I think this is another blot of dishonor on his legacy.

Gov. Bevin of Kentucky must be really peeved at the teachers who walked out on Friday to protest various vetoes by Gov. Bevin of various budget and revenue bills, as WDRB.com reports:

“I guarantee you somewhere in Kentucky today a child was sexually assaulted that was left at home because there was nobody there to watch them,” the governor told a group of reporters outside the Capitol. “I guarantee you somewhere today a child was physically harmed or ingested poison because they were home alone because a single parent didn’t have any money to take care of them. I’m offended by the idea that people so cavalierly and so flippantly disregarded what’s truly best for children.”

Gov. Bevin is deeply unwise to use an argument which can easily be turned around and used on himself. I’ll just note in passing that he’s an exemplar of the third-raters who have ridden the first rate GOP marketing machine to positions of influence.

But, of course, it’s Gov. Bevin’s vetoes which have brought the teachers out to help ensure the public good, and encourage the KY Legislature to override his actions.

Bevin’s comments came after thousands of teachers swarmed the Capitol, most of them hoping lawmakers would override his vetoes on budget and revenue bills. The House and Senate ultimately overturned those decisions, but Bevin said children across the state suffered after several school districts closed either to allow teachers to attend Friday’s events or because enough teachers absences triggered closures.

The suggestion that the teachers should curtail the civil rights they were using in opposition to his actions, whether those actions were correct or not, is not only inappropriate, but unethical and against the spirit of the United States. Fortunately, such arguments as his are specious and sensationalistic, and should alienate the independents who hold the pivot of power. If children are at such risk, then we should ask why he’s running a State that does not provide safer environments to all children. Teachers, after all, are not baby-sitters. They are teachers, who are inculcating knowledge; the safety of the classroom, which I say fairly sardonically at this juncture in American history, is strictly a requirement for teaching.

Shame on you, Gov. Bevin.