The Hill has covered the poll I mentioned concerning AZ-8:
A poll from Emerson College found physician Hiral Tipirneni (D) narrowly leading with 46 percent, compared to former state Sen. Debbie Lesko (R), who is at 45 percent — well within the poll’s margin of error.
Monday’s poll is an outlier and a huge swing in the direction toward Democrats, with other recent polling showing Lesko winning by double-digit margins. The latest public poll on Friday from OH Predictive Insights and ABC 15 Arizona found Lesko leading by 10 points, 53 to 43 percent. …
… the survey found that there’s more enthusiasm on the Republican side. Seventy-nine percent of Republicans consider themselves excited to vote, compared to 52 percent of Democrats.
That’s good news for Republicans in a district where the party has a 17-point voter registration advantage. The demographics of the 8th District trend toward the party — it’s overwhelmingly white, and 45 percent of the voting-age population is 55 or older.
An interesting result. It’s relatively easy to make up a story that suggests the poll is biased in order to rile up the Democratic base. But that would also be speculation on my part – not to mention a lack of faith in the basic goodness of humanity.
Which seems to be a dubious position to take when it comes to American politics these days.
With only a week to go, we don’t have much longer to wait to see if the Republican, Lesko, can pull this out for the GOP.
