Kos of The Daily Kos remains untroubled by the pending Presidential election:
Trump is running into the same problem Mitt Romney had in 2012, which is the same problem every Republican candidate will have until they stop making so many demographic enemies—his current levels of support are so low, getting to 50[%] becomes a monumentally difficult task.
Nationally, Trump is at 43. Add Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Trump falls to 39 percent.
NPR reported today (no transcript available) that Clinton is campaigning in Pennsylvania for Millenial votes, promising to give them more information about her. Kos is also unconcerned on their account:
NextGen Climate and Project New America have been checking in on the nation’s millennials (18-34 year olds) in 11 battleground states, and the news is encouraging (crosstabs here).
Clinton-Trump matchups among 18-34-year-old likely voters.
For context, in 2012, Barack Obama won the 18-29 vote 60-37, and the 30-44 vote 52-45. So while there’s no apples-to-apples age comparison, it’s certainly hard seeing Donald Trump matching Romney’s 37 percent. Indeed, the trends are pulling him further and further away from that number.
Meanwhile, Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight blog gives Clinton a 59.3% chance of winning, with Trump getting 44.4% of the popular vote. That makes me a little nervous.
And, finally, I decided to check on the Libertarian candidates, Johnson & Weld. Here they are:
And all I could think was, “Well, here’s two old, white guys, looking for power.” Which is sad, since, as two former Governors, they certainly bring more experience to the game than Trump & Pence, although not much in the foreign affairs arena. But I think the younger voters are looking for more inclusive representation, and just the visual here is unfortunate. And since it’s hard to take their run seriously, so far, I’m not inclined to do the research to discover if their policies are more inclusive. Libertarians are more about competition than inclusiveness, so I suspect they are more about free markets than anything else.
I wonder how they’d react to the phrase “Justice-oriented markets”? By which I would mean properly accounting for all externalities. Would they have the guts to embrace it? I suspect if externalities were properly factored into many products, the price jump would be staggering.
