Preventing Keith Laumer’s Bolo, Ctd

Dustin Lewis, Naz Modirzadeh, and Gabriella Blum report on Lawfare that the Pentagon is moving into the killer robots field, which they call algorithmic warfare:

In April 2017, the Pentagon created an “Algorithmic Warfare Cross-Functional Team,” pending a transfer of $70 million from Congress. The premise of this initiative is that maintaining a qualitative edge in war will increasingly require harnessing algorithmic systems that underpin artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML). This realization is not unique to the United States: while the Pentagon’s algorithmic-warfare team gets up and running, other countries are also seeking to integrate AI and ML into various military functions. As armed forces race to secure technological innovations in these fields, it is imperative to match those developments with sound regulatory responses.

The broad remit of this new Department of Defense (DoD) team—to consolidate “existing algorithm-based technology initiatives related to mission areas of the Defense Intelligence Enterprise”—underscores that it is not just weapons that are of interest; far from it. Think logistics, communications, situational awareness, and intelligence collection management, among many other possibilities. And a May 2017 report from the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies explains that other countries—including China and Russia, as well as several traditional U.S. partner forces—are also pursuing an edge through diverse algorithmically-derived functions related to war.

They note that some nations have preceded us down this path, most notably China. The first task is monitoring video feeds from current battlefields. They worry:

Without context, a mere “data-labeling effort” might sound benign. But the setting for this Pentagon Team’s first assignment is reportedly U.S. operations directed against ISIS (and others) in Iraq and Syria. “Labeling” such data may implicate an array of IHL/LOAC concerns, such as the status of the individual under scrutiny: Does he or she qualify as a combatant, as a civilian, as a member of an organized armed group, as a civilian directly participating in hostilities, as religious personnel, as medical personnel, or as something else? The stakes are extremely high as, under IHL/LOAC, status is a key determinant for whether an individual may be subject to targeting in direct attack. In some cases, the determination of status is relatively straightforward. In many others, however, it can be very difficult.

For human operators as well, of course. I’m not sure I’d tag this as something to be especially worried about. The computer as a generic multiplier worries me more.

In related new, the Campaign to Stop Killer Robots is disappointed that a scheduled conference on the subject has been canceled:

The Campaign to Stop Killer Robots is deeply disappointed that the Convention on Conventional Weapons (CCW) has cancelled a crucial week of formal discussions on fully autonomous weapons in August. This step was taken because of the failure of several states, most notably Brazil, to pay their assessed dues for the convention’s meetings. …

… on 30 May, the CCW’s president-designate Ambassador Matthew Rowland of the UK announced that the Group of Governmental Experts meeting scheduled for 21-25 August has been cancelled due to a lack of funds. Rowland issued several warnings that that the lack of payment of assessed financial contributions would mean the likely cancellation of CCW meetings planned for 2017.

Several countries have financial arrears from previous years, but according to the UN’s official summary, Brazil accounts for 86 percent of the outstanding contributions due to four core humanitarian disarmament treaties, including the CCW. Brazil last paid its assessed CCW contributions in 2010. The Campaign to Stop Killer Robots has appealed to Brazil to pay its outstanding contributions without delay and it challenges CCW states to achieve cost saving measures in other ways that do not require the cancellation of key meetings.

Belated Movie Reviews

Maybe it’s a flying castle!

Vincent Price burns an airship (not a castle) in Master of the World (1961), but this airborne version of 20,000 Leagues Under The Sea (1954), regardless of the parallels, is far inferior to the prior movie in all respects. The characters are little more than thin, illogical stereotypes, with the exception of government agent John Strock (Charles Bronson), who at least stays within expectations without chewing the scenery; an opposite example is the arms manufacturer Mr. Prudent, who is quite loud while being a stereotype. The audio and cinematography is adequate, but the plot, although akin to 20,000 Leagues, is far more sketchy.

We know the airship is far in advance of any other known technology. Run by Robur (Price), he seems driven by interior distress, as he mumbles about man’s foolish need for war. He’s caught the attention of the US government when something he does excites a local mountain into appearing to be a volcano. A government agent engages a local  hot air balloon for reconnaisance, owned by Mr. Prudent, and he and his daughter and her fiancee come along. They are shot down by unguided missiles (impressive for the 1830s), survive the crash and are taken prisoner. They watch as an American warship is destroyed through the use of aerial bombs, then the British fleet and, presumably, parts of Paris. Finally, they try to stop a war in Egypt, with lugubrious consequences.

The plot abounds with annoying inconsistencies. Prisoners are permitted to run about with little restriction, the suggestion that teeny little bombs from the airship are adequate to cow entire nations otherwise known for obduracy is taken seriously, the airship suffers mysterious failures with no explanation, and the ship’s master, Robur, places his ship in mortal peril for no particular reason.

And his apology to his first mate drew shrugs of puzzlement from myself and my Arts Editor. Perhaps that was the result of an unfortunate TV editing cut.

In any case, perhaps the best part of the movie are the baroque sets, much in the style of 20,000 Leagues, and after a while they grow wearisome. Add in ridiculous special effects, and this is really a time-waster, unless you’re a Price completist.

Even then, you may want to find something else to do while this dog’s playing, just to salve that bleeding wound that opens every time you see a worthless movie.

Vaccine, Autism, and Consilience

The controversy over an alleged, but disproven, link between various vaccines and autism recently erupted again in Minnesota after some Somali immigrants chose to listen to some mistaken activists and denied vaccines to their children. The result, easily predictable, was a measles outbreak, but the supposed connection between vaccinations and autism continues to be publicized despite the many studies performed and analyzed by scientists that found no connection between the two.

Now, in a bit of consilience, another study shoots down the supposed connection, but in an independent manner. NewScientist (17 June 2017) reports:

BRAIN scans of 6-month-old babies may now be able to predict who will show signs of autism by the age of 2. This means it could become possible to intervene to try to reduce the impact of some more difficult autistic behaviours before symptoms emerge.

“We have been trying to identify autism as early as possible… before the behavioural symptoms appear,” says Robert Emerson at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.

And then they used machine learning to train an algorithm to use brain scans to predict which children will show symptoms of autism, and with quite some success. And the byproduct of this study?

“The study confirms that autism has a biological basis, manifest in the brain before behavioural symptoms appear, and that autism is not due to environmental effects that occur after 6 months, for example, vaccinations,” says Uta Frith of University College London. “This still needs pointing out.”

It does occur to me to wonder if the anti-vaccination forces have thought to connect vaccinations of the parents to the autism of their children.

That May Be Too Potent

Maybe I just missed this report, but it caught me by surprise. The Mercury News:

… a colleague told Green he had something on his shirt.

Green, without thinking, brushed it off with his bare hand.

Within minutes, he fell to the floor.

“I started talking weird. I slowly felt my body shutting down. I could hear them talking, but I couldn’t respond,” Green told Morning Journal. “I was in total shock. ‘No way I’m overdosing,’ I thought.”

Paramedics were already at the station tending to Justin Buckle, 25, the driver of the car, and diverted their attention to Green. They gave him one dose of Narcan, an FDA-approved nasal spray version of a lifesaving medication called naloxone that can reverse the lethal effects of an opioid overdose.

Green was transferred to East Liverpool City Hospital and given three additional doses of Narcan, East Liverpool Police Capt. Patrick Wright told TV station WKBN.

The reason? The shrek on his collar was fentanyl, the same drug blamed for Prince’s death. Just a few grains was a terminal dose for the officer, to be accurate; only fast action saved his life.

Which focuses the mind on the combination of potency, its undeniable danger to casual brushes, with its use as a way to enhance the effect of heroin for high-seekers. It brings to mind the question of whether it makes sense to make those drugs illegal; the entire failed War on Drugs, which may be reiterated under current Attorney General Sessions, is once again brought into the stark light of reality and made questionable.

I think I’d be in favor of drug dens, wherein you enter, order & take your drugs, and cannot leave until a doctor certifies you fit to conduct normal business once again. Would there be deaths in the den? Sure. But is it right to endanger police just because someone wants an illegal high?

Portulaca Porno, Ctd

Continuing a theme from last season with a survivor of the winter….

Maybe he’s watching over that dead baby apple. I didn’t even notice until now.

I think I’m getting dizzy.

That whole focus thing appears to be overrated. Or under-emphasized. Smartphone cameras, rah.

Solarpunk

If solarpunk is a new word for you like it is for me, Connor Owens will enlighten you at length:

Solarpunk is a rebellion against the structural pessimism in our late visions of how the future will be. Not to say it replaces pessimism with Pollyanna-ish optimism, but with a cautious hopefulness and a daring to tease out the positive potentials in bad situations. Hope that perhaps the grounds of an apocalypse (revelation) might also contain the seeds of something better; something more ecological, liberatory, egalitarian, and vibrant than what came before, if we work hard at cultivating those seeds.

Any speculative applications?

A solarpunk polity would replace centralised forms of state government with decentralised confederations of self-governing communities, each administering themselves through many forms of direct and participatory democracy, with countless kinds of horizontally-structured voluntary associations taking care of judicial, environmental, and societal issues in ways which seek to maximise both personal autonomy and social solidarity.

A solarpunk “economy of the commons” would dispense with both profiteering corporations and statist central planning in favour of worker-run cooperatives, collaborative exchange networks, common pool resources, and control of investment by local communities. The aim of the economy would be reoriented from production-for-exchange and industrial “growth” to production-for-use and increasing the bio-psycho-social well-being of people and planet. Production would be moved as close as is possible to the point of consumption, with the long term aim being a relative self-sufficiency in goods and manufacturing. Decentralist forms of eco-technology would be used to help make work more participatory and enjoyable – “artisan-ising” the productive process itself – as well as automate away dull, dirty, and dangerous forms of work wherever possible. After realising an appropriate degree of post-scarcity, local self-sufficiency, and labour automation, it may even be feasible to abolish money as an unneeded nuisance in the allocation of resources.

Other notations make reference to social anarchists; I ran across anarchists back in the good old days. As with the libertarians, there seems to be a disconnect between the ideal system and the people of today. Insofar as the solarpunk movement goes, I’ll settle on just one aspect: religious folks. There is little treatment, at least on this page, of how such a society would deal with the various and varied cults (a word I use in its non-derogatory sense) of today. As an agnostic myself, I can understand trying to gloss over this particular facet of human existence, but if you are going to propose the shape of tomorrow’s society, one must consider the centrality of supernatural divinities in many people’s lives – and how to transition them from that to your new society (along with everyone else who absorbed free market economics with their mother’s milk), or how to accommodate those cults in the new societal structure.

I see a blog is associated with this site, but entries stopped a year ago.

Hopes & Fears has covered solarpunk:

Solarpunk is the first creative movement consciously and positively responding to the Anthropocene. When no place on Earth is free from humanity’s hedonism, Solarpunk proposes that humans can learn to live in harmony with the planet once again.

Solarpunk is a literary movement, a hashtag, a flag, and a statement of intent about the future we hope to create. It is an imagining wherein all humans live in balance with our finite environment, where local communities thrive, diversity is embraced, and the world is a beautiful green utopia.

In the Guardian, writer Rebecca Solnit reflects on the uneven impact of climate change on poorer communities around the world. She writes: “Climate change is global-scale violence, against places and species as well as against human beings. Once we call it by name, we can start having a real conversation about our priorities and values. Because the revolt against brutality begins with a revolt against the language that hides that brutality.” If climate change is a slow violence on the Global South, then Solarpunk represents peace.

I wonder if Norman Spinrad is a proto-solarpunk, principally based on his novel Songs From The Stars. I get the impression that a typical climate denialist would never have even heard of a solarpunk, and would be quite puzzled by them. Author Kim Stanley Robinson claims some association with them, in this interview with NewScientist (10 June 2017):

Are you comfortable being the guy who pulls the world towards a plausible, not dystopian, future?

Yes. It’s a little bizarre. I have definitely done the hard work. I have taken the utopian road, the scientific road and ground out stories where it isn’t obvious why they should be fun to read. Most of my novels, I think, are actually fun because I’m doing realism in a way the world needs.

As for anyone picking up the mantle, there’s a group of young writers who call themselves solarpunk, and what they’re trying is all about adaptation.

As a philosophic matter, I wonder how to consider the whole of human history based on a solarpunk perspective. Consider this, from above:

Solarpunk proposes that humans can learn to live in harmony with the planet once again.

There is a naive, even maudlin taste to this suggestion which leaves me uneasy. I suggest there are some definite noir facets to the planet which we might consider before we embrace the concept, such things, for example, as whooping cough, scarlet fever, polio, and many other diseases which we now avoid through cures and vaccines, most or all of which were developed through procedures which PETA[1] will tell you are brutal and definitely not in harmony with the planet.

And that’s the sticky wicket for me. If your philosophical goal is to live in harmony with the planet, does that mean I have to sacrifice half my children on the altar of illness? Does our brutality towards other creatures such as mice, rats, and bunnies invalidate our hug of the greenways of the world. I am not mocking the sentiment; it’s an important philosophical concern, and parallels the same concerns we express towards the results of Nazi science experiments performed on helpless prisoners – can we accept and incorporate the results into the corpus of science despite the unethical procedures?[2] Similarly, can we use the results we obtained when we were in disequilibrium with the planet, or does this philosophical faux-pas carry costs which we should be unwilling to pay?

But I suspect the solarpunks see themselves as supreme realists. They see the world falling apart, but rather than advocate for, perhaps, extreme depopulation, or a wholesale embrace of capitalism with an unexplained faith that it’ll solve all our problems if we just get the regulators off the backs of corporations (and there’s definitely a strong undercurrent of that attitude among the libertarians), they prefer to look to the tools available and try to get to a stable state where the world we live on is no longer degrading.

I just don’t know if any such state exists.



1People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals.

2Last I heard, the science was rather incompetent, rendering the question irrelevant. But as a hypothetical, it retains quite a punch.

It’s Nothing New

I’ve mentioned Kevin Drum’s interest in lead in the environment. But I had always thought leaded gasoline[1] was simply a mistake made through ignorance.

Turns out it’s the same old story we’ve seen over and over: man’s individual interest in wealth trumps the collective health of society.

In this case, the man in question is Thomas Midgley, and he not only invented and patented TEL (tetraethyl lead), but he knew it was poisonous, as Fred Pearce notes in NewScientist (10 June 2017, paywall):

From the start, medical researchers warned that it could poison the nation. In early 1923, William Clark at the US Public Health Service predicted that lead oxide dust would build up along busy roads. The following year, toxicologist Yandell Henderson of Yale University prophetically warned that “the development of lead poisoning will come on so insidiously that leaded gasoline will be in nearly universal use… before the public and the government awaken to the situation.”

And some of his workers died or were taken away in straitjackets, but he denied, with aplomb, that there was any danger at all. It’s a fascinating article, and too bad it’s behind a paywall. It has a lovely ad emblematic of corporate advertising at its deceptive worst, and I managed to find an image of that ad on the University of Virginia website, so I don’t feel so bad reproducing it here.

I think the older man may already be suffering from lead poisoning.
Source: University of Virginia

Midgley also invented Freon for Frigidaire, although perhaps he didn’t realize how much that would endanger the world in the future. His fate? To commit suicide after catching polio.

Sutori has a presentation on leaded gasoline here, including some more fascinating ads.



1The lead diminished the “knock” which made internal gasoline engines run poorly, but is also a neurotoxin. This is not the same as the “lead” in pencil, which is actually graphite.

The Continuing Mystery And One Possible Solution

In the category of “well, this fits the scenario,” I observe that the continuing insanity of the Congressional GOP and the health care bill may be explainable as simply this:

They know they’re a pack of second and third raters. By passing a major piece of legislation, they can claim they’re as good as the Democrats.

It’s heartbreakingly pathetic, but it does fit the facts.

Problems With Private Political Speech

Matt Reynolds reports in NewScientist (10 June 2017, paywall) on the use of technology to tailor political messages to voters during the recent British election campaign, and I found it disturbing. Keeping in mind this was published before the elections actually took place:

A shadowy battle is being fought in the Facebook feeds of UK voters. Political parties are using the online giant’s wealth of data on its users to send precisely targeted adverts that they hope will swing this week’s general election. But there is little clarity about what the ads are saying.

These “dark adverts” allow political parties to tailor a message to pop up only in the newsfeeds of specific audiences, leaving non-targeted people unaware. These adverts don’t appear publicly anywhere, which is raising concerns about their content.

“It’s fundamental to a healthy democracy that claims and promises made by candidates and parties before an election should be open to scrutiny and challenge. Dark ads made over closed social media platforms are not,” says Martin Moore of the Centre for the Study of Media, Communication and Power at King’s College London. …

A small group of online vigilantes aims to find out what’s in the messages. Who Targets Me? is a browser extension that extracts every political advert that 6000 volunteers stumble across in their Facebook feeds.

“We’ve tracked over 1100 versions of the same message from the Liberal Democrats alone,” says Louis Knight-Webb, co-founder of the project. Some adverts targeted Facebook users more likely to be concerned by funding cuts to the military, while other people saw a similar ad about grammar schools.

1100 variants? How many convey true information, and how many don’t? And how do we know?

I know this is for a British election, but the technology is nationality-neutral, so it matters to me. While I agree with Mr. Moore, I’ll take it a step further and state that political speech, because it conveys ideas concerning how we are governed, which is a group activity, should be a shared experience. Part of having an effective discussion is having agreed upon entities – from the meanings of words to the offered policies of candidates for offices.

If the speech is private, then by definition we have little chance of actually having a discussion because our assumptions may easily differ. It’s as if we have a candidate who vows to raise the military spending at one venue, and to cut it at the next – with no way to verify the asshole isn’t talking out of both sides of his mouth.

Except I’m wrong, as these folks with the Who Targets Me? app are providing a way to catch clashing political messages.

And I wonder how this can effectively regulated.

That Darn Climate Change Conspiracy, Ctd

Those who are both against immigration and are climate change deniers may soon find themselves in a tight situation. Stephanie Leutert explains on Lawfare:

A few weeks ago, during a trip along the Mexico-Guatemala border I met a group of climate migrants. The three Hondurans—two brothers and their childhood friend—were all heading north after three years of unusual weather in their community of San José in the Copán district of western Honduras. They explained that the seasonal rains were coming too late and the hot, dry periods were lasting too long, leaving the soil more like dust than fertile land. Without decent crop yields, the families spent down their savings until they finally ran out of money, food, and the capacity to wait for better weather.

To learn more about their story, I called the local government office of Santa Rosa near the brothers’ hometown. Josselyn Hernandez, the administrator who took my call, confirmed that the weather was indeed shifting in the area. But the issue wasn’t just the rainy season’s unpredictability. Severe storms were rocking the region as we spoke, ruining crops and displacing entire families. “It rains every year,” she explained during our call, “but never with this intensity.”

These are not just a few fluke weather years. Studies consistently show that Honduras is one of the world’s most vulnerable countries when it comes to the effects of climate change. The western section of Honduras is particularly vulnerable to reduced precipitation and extreme or unpredictable weather events. Projections estimate a 10 to 20 percent decrease in rain over the next 30 years and a 2-degree Celsius increase in the average temperature.

The sad part, of course, is that by dropping their denial, they could help remedy the other. After all, people, by and large, are homebodies, preferring to stay home when possible, and just make that trip to a foreign country a vacation – or a war. American ancestors left for various reasons – religious intolerance and economic hardships being two of the most popular. As climate change decreases crop yields and makes conditions unlivable in equatorial regions, we may see more migration – not less.

If you don’t like immigrants, building a wall is simple minded. Many issues, including climate change and our agricultural export policies, must be examined in turn with an eye towards how we’re ruining other countries, and therefore enticing their citizens to our country.

And foreign aid may not be enough. We may have to change our behavior, not only with direct regard to the wall, but towards questions of agricultural subsidies designed to help our farmers “win” – and thus ruining the economies of other countries. There are consequences to winning, just as there are to losing, and these need to be assessed in terms of our futures.

Word Of The Day

Bannerstone:

Bannerstones are artifacts usually found in the Eastern United States that are characterized by a centered hole in a symmetrically shaped carved or ground stone. The holes are typically ¼” to ¾” in diameter and extend through a raised portion centered in the stone. They usually are bored all the way through but some have been found with holes that extend only part of the way through. Many are made from banded slate or other colored hard stone. They often have a geometric “wing nut” or “butterfly” shape but are not limited to these. More than just functional artifacts, bannerstones are a form of art that appear in varying shapes, designs, and colors, symbolizing their ceremonial and spiritual importance. [Wikipedia]

I ran across this in an unfortunately print-only version in the July/August 2017 issue of Archaeology. The article, “Set In Stone,” by Eric A. Powell, suggests that bannerstones may have been used with atlatls, but not in the manner traditionally thought. Rather, hunters after white-tail deer and equipped with atlatls would have been required to hold certain poses while the deer, so suspicious, was lulled into a vulnerable position. The bannerstones would have worked as counterweights for the motionless hunter. Experimental work seems to support this idea.

And the article has some gorgeous pictures.

When Guinea Pigs Pay For The Privilege

NewScientist (10 June 2017) reports on a fascinating new trial:

TRANSFUSIONS of young blood plasma may cut the risk of cancer, Alzheimer’s disease and heart disease in older people, according to a controversial new study which …

“I don’t want to say the word ‘panacea’, but there’s something about teenagers,” Jesse Karmazin, founder of start-up Ambrosia, told New Scientist. “Whatever is in young blood is causing changes that appear to make the ageing process reverse.”

Since August 2016, Karmazin’s company has been giving people aged 35 to 92 transfusions of blood plasma from people aged between 16 and 25. So far, around 100 people have been treated. …

None of the people in the study had cancer at the time of the transfusion, but Karmazin’s team looked at their levels of proteins called carcinoembryonic antigens. These chemicals are found in the blood of healthy people at low concentrations, but in larger amounts can be a sign of cancer. The levels of these antigens fell by around 20 per cent in the blood of those treated, the team found.

Karmazin says the team also saw a 10 per cent fall in blood cholesterol. This may help explain why a study last year by a different company, Alkahest, found that heart health improved in old mice given blood from human teenagers.

Ambrosia also reported a 20 per cent fall in the level of amyloids – a type of protein that forms sticky plaques in the brains of people with Alzheimer’s disease.

The problem? No control group – and …

The fact that they all paid $8000 to be included, as well as the study’s lack of a placebo group, has attracted much criticism.

Obviously, we can’t be bleeding our children just so us oldsters can feel better – although it’d put a wonderful spin on the old Hansel and Gretel story. And whether the effects are real or merely placebo-related is a powerful question that may be further polluted by requiring participants pay for the privilege.

But it does fit with earlier studies involving old mice and young blood – from both young mice and young humans. So intriguing, yet so compromised. And why? Because Big Pharma can’t make money off this treatment – directly. I wonder if they figure it’s impossible to synthesize, or impossible to patent?

Stirring The Hate Pot

Once again, mail has come across my desk leaving a trail of slime, and try as I might, I find I must step on it and make it squeal. It’s quite long, and I’ll take it apart here and there, including the lead-in, supposedly added by someone on the email thread.

An interesting and observant article by a Brit using a literary pseudonym. Worth reading and considering. Applicable to both the UK and the USA.

A literary pseudonym is a polite way of saying I’m stepping into the mud and don’t wish to get my lacy cuffs the least bit dirty, so let me cover myself in a white sheet … if it’s a Brit, let him stick his name on it. No name? This is where we discard any presumption of positive antecedents and ask ourselves, what is this guy really promoting?

Though our stars tend to rise and fall in opposition through the years, your reputation for adventure, fearlessness and a legendary hunger for more lingers, and for the most part we find that admirable—no, more than that—we find it astonishing.

We may denigrate your American whisky (as well as your tendency to spell it with the Irish ‘e’) as you joke about our pasty faces and reliance upon dentures but we are cousins—if not always kissing—and share a rich common language, culture, customs and cuisine. We are more alike than different in nearly every respect but these: One, we are a constitutional monarchy and Two, despite what you may have heard we really, really envy you your guns.

America has always seemed the dangerous, glamourous older brother. You were the cowboy, the gangster, the astronaut and the comic book hero of our collective imaginations. You were the captain of the debate team, dating the homecoming queen and cruising through life in your ’55 Chrysler, one hand on the wheel, elbow on the door, working on that car tan.

OK, we get it – our eyes are full of stars and God has kissed our grits. Got it. About as useful as paper packing at a polka ball.

The 40’s, 50’s and 60s were perhaps your finest hours. During World War II you were overpaid, oversexed and over here, breaker of hearts and hymens. The winds of heaven tousled with a loving hand your perfect hair, the sunlight glinted off your straight, white teeth. After the war you invented rock and roll and corn dogs and forty-seven million things to do with sugar including LSD, and we were dazzled.

While we were washing under our arms from basins of cold water in cold rooms in a bitterly cold country, you were inventing the hot tub. At the cinema, we would bask in shimmering visions of your highways and high fashions, your Endless Summer California culture, your glittering skyscrapers and flawless pavements, then trudge home and tune in the wireless for a Parliamentary debate on whether or not we could afford to clean centuries of coal smoke from our cracked and blackened buildings.

While you were bringing Caesar Salad, Martinis, Bananas Foster, Baked Alaska and the almighty, sacred Hamburger into the world, we anticipated the prospect of instant mashed potatoes finally becoming available down the local shops. We were unimaginably insular; it is within living memory that people in Britain believed spaghetti grew on trees.

This guy’s good, intimating more Godliness going on, skipping the part where Britain was literally on the front lines of World War II and suffered terrible damage to its physical structures while the United States, while losing a lot of young men’s lives and a few ships, suffered little damage to the actual States (Hawaii not becoming a State until 1951). We didn’t have to rebuild, so of course, through this accident of geography, we managed to move ahead of our European competitors.

Despite pretensions to polite behaviour we relished your films and television programmes like The Godfather, The Maltese Falcon, The Third Man and White Heat; more recently The Sopranos, Breaking Bad and Deadwood—the more violent the better. We admired Clint Eastwood’s entire oeuvre. We devoured books like Lonesome Dove and the works of Steinbeck, Hemingway, Mark Twain and Raymond Chandler. Some of us even like bluegrass but those people are mainly in the looney bin. We treasure pretty much everything about you, but we’re British so you don’t hear us mention it very often.

He’s spending a lot of time, and giving us way too much tongue, buttering us up. The anticipation is exasperating, honestly.

Some Britons flinch when one suggests ever needing a gun in Old Blighty but don’t believe the lukewarm protestations. As the past few years have unfolded any remaining hesitation is apt to change, and soon. What we are beginning to remember is that for thousands of years everyone on this island was armed at all times with daggers—with swords if you could afford them, with throwing axes and longbows for truly special occasions. Personal defence was not just a choice, it meant accepting full responsibility for individual safety beyond city or castle walls. Defending ourselves with grace and strength and skill was something we once took great pride in.

Ah, and here we go. “Secretly, we want to be armed to the teeth just like you!” Let the paranoia begin, as I discussed here a few months ago – surely the Democrats will disarm everyone! Oh god they hate guns! Well, no, Bernie himself is for gun rights. But, Democrats look around and see so little good coming out of them – children dying, massacres, and right-wing denial of reality so strong that some law enforcement personnel believe that the Sandy Hook massacre was a hoax.

Guys, if you can’t see the horse’s ass, maybe you’ve got the cart hooked up wrong. (Contact me if this seems obtuse.)

Our downfall can be charted in three separate events:

A word to the wise: trying to hit multiple targets with one bullet will dissipate the effect. This guy is really quite ambitious.

Two hundred years ago, give or take a couple of decades, Sir Robert Peel established a full-time, professional and centrally-organised police force with the passing of The Metropolitan Police Act of 1829. It was not well received at the time; the public felt they did very well already with night watchmen and personal vigilance and besides, who was expected to pay for it? And why hadn’t the people been consulted? As things usually go between governments and their subjects, government had its way. We turned our weapons over to legally-sanctioned protectors and began to soften as a people.

Here we see a basis for conspiracy laid. The big bad government has big bad plans for you, so you just watch out! Indeed, this can be seen as a subtle use of the Deep State meme developed recently by the Far Right to explain why they are so very ineffectual in the governance department – it’s because the institution itself is against us! Well, no. As a former “member” points out, this is just characteristic of big institutions, especially when the new policies are of an extremely dubious nature.

So let’s just ask a simple question: should we have simple night watchmen tackle The Crips, a notorious street gang? No? I didn’t think so.

In the midst of austerity after The Second World War, universal healthcare for all was rolled out to tremendous fanfare, followed by a steadily increasing system of welfare for mothers and children, later for pensioners, then veterans and civil servants. There was in the early days some shame associated with taking a government handout but practice makes perfect and before long anyone with a doctor’s note affirming a sprained wrist or dodgy knee could sign on and be supported for life. No one asked this time who would pay—no one wanted to hear the answer anyway. And we grew softer still.

Yes, indeed, we’re so soft when we’re suffering from pediatric cancer, aren’t we? It’s all our fault, our child lying in the hospital bed, wracked with pain, and since we’re just factory workers, we can’t afford the life-saving drugs. All our fault, isn’t it?

Listen. If you believe this bozo, then you need to come up with an answer to the above.

There’s a reason people come together to work on problems – because many problems are bigger than any one of us can solve. The Brits decided that the essential randomness of illness made it an appropriate target for collective action, and regardless of the competency of the implementation of their plans, the reasoning is not inappropriate.

Blaming people for illness is the actions of a child.

Simultaneously, the government threw open its doors to the former colonies, or rather the brown colonies. Indians, Pakistanis and Caribbean Islanders answered the call to serve as a labour force and in short order became a demographic who never actually seemed to leave. Politicians had discovered the lucrative stand of virgin timber that was the immigrant class and promised them anything, even citizenship, in exchange for their vote. And vote they did, until their children grew up, stood for election themselves and were voted in by their own people on the colour of their skin. When native Britons asked why they were never consulted on allowing this flood of immigrants they were called racialists. Since Britain had just finished dealing Jerry a bally good hiding, any accusation of holding Nazi sentiments was social poison. Hence we softened our principles and muffled the warning of our hearts.

Apparently, one of those principles was racism. But here we see someone warning that having the principle of color-blindness leads to disaster (on the quite sound observation that a principle that leads to bad results is not a principle worth holding). I keep waiting to hear about the black prime minister of Great Britain, and how he (or maybe it’ll be a she) was such a disaster – but since Great Britain hasn’t had a black prime minister, perhaps our doughty anonymous Brit doesn’t know what he’s babbling about.

This is how we joined the invertebrates.

Self-shaming, the clever maneuver of the terminally shameful.

Now we are facing Islam, though not many know that what is happening today is just another battle in a very old war.

From the 16th to the 18th centuries upwards of two million Europeans were captured and sold as slaves in Tunis, Algiers and Tripoli. These weren’t people who were taken at sea but from their beds, in the dark of night in coastal towns and villages in Cornwall, Devon, Dorset, up into Wales and along the west coast of Ireland, as well as throughout the Mediterranean. Why who would do such a thing, you may ask—the Barbary Pirates, of course—Muslims.

More sober estimates are of “… 1 million to 1.25 million white Christian Europeans were enslaved in North Africa …” [Wikipedia quoting Professor Robert Davis of Ohio State University], which is still a substantial number.

More importantly, this is a red flag – because I’ve noticed someone spreading bullshit apparently has to inflate every possible number that might support their position. So you go and check on something and you see it did, in fact, happen – but not at the asserted scale. That tells me something about the writer – that there’s rot at the core of their argument, and they’re desperate to cover it up by stirring the hate lying dormant at the heart of all our souls.

And finally, wars are fought between cohesive entities. The Barbary Pirates have been gone for a very long time. And if someone wants to try to point out that slavery is a characteristic of Islam, one can find approving references to slavery in the Bible.

This carried on for two hundred years with only sporadic and half-hearted interruption. England talked a good game and now and then ransomed a lord or two out of slavery, but what’s a few missing Cornish fisherman, their wives and children here and there? It wasn’t until American ships began to be attacked and raided for goods and slaves that investors studied the situation and concluded, “You know, this could be bad for business,” and went to war.

Ummmmmm … no. Investors existed in Great Britain as well as America, and generally investors don’t like to fight wars. As it happens a coalition of European countries, in concert with the United States, resulting in a couple of small wars, followed by raids, culminating in France placing Algiers under colonial rule. Doubt it? Go do the research. Don’t rely on this bilious bozo OR me.

First though, in the interest of fair play, Thomas Jefferson and John Adams made the perilous journey across the Atlantic to London for a sit-down with Sidi Haji Abdrahaman, the envoy from Tripoli. When asked what right the Barbary pirates had to force Americans into slavery, Jefferson recorded the ambassador’s answer in two letters and his personal diary:

“He replied that the right was founded on the Laws of the Prophet, that it was written in their Koran that all nations who should not have answered their authority were sinners, that it was their right and duty to make war upon them wherever they could be found, and to make slaves of all they could take as prisoners, and that every Mussulman who should be slain in battle was sure to go to Paradise”.

So, not a lot’s changed then.

Such is one of the problems with most religions – an adherence to inhumane laws. Even when they are discarded, there is always the threat of returning to them, as we often see in the extremist cults who believe we should be stoning witches, because the sheer fluidity of religious activity, underpinned by the shallow philosophy that The Book will tell us how to behave, is open to constant and miserable manipulation. However, once one has committed to living a life based on principles, there’s a better chance of making progress with less chance of regression, although there’s always a different variety of mistake that may be made.

In any case, the dryly cynical observation that little has changed applies to far more than the writer might wish us to think.

In an Anglo-Dutch-American alliance three campaigns of The Barbary Wars were fought and the Muslims were at last subdued and colonised. Client kings and strong men were installed and until the present day Muslims have remained a benign tumour on civilised society.

Note how the above paragraph has little confirmation with the prior paragraph which gave investors the credit for the war? And yet, for all that, the writer must inflict an epithet on a huge number of people who want no more than to live their lives.

It was a stunning victory and Francis Scott Key composed a song to mark the occasion. The original verses included:

And pale beamed the Crescent, its splendor obscur’d
By the light of the star-bangled flag of our nation.
Where each flaming star gleamed a meteor of war,
And the turban’d head bowed to the terrible glare.

It wasn’t a huge hit at the time though after the War of 1812 he dusted it off, rewrote some of the more laboured lines and it eventually became the American National Anthem.

Were you taught all this in school? No? Nor I. Why is it that where our history intersects with Islam it always seems to either vanish like morning mist or become corrupted into making the Christian world into the bad guys and aggressors?

Because it was a long time ago, and far, far away. Much further away than today because, back then, it was sailing ships and couriers, not telegraphs and biplanes, or the Internet. Not to mention the barbarism often accompanying colonialism is not attractive to the home population, so there’s certainly no effort to promote the history.

This brings us to the current mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, the platitude-puss Pakistani with links to Hamas, Al-Nusra, Al-Qaeda and the Muslim Brotherhood. When he’s not scurrying along the baseboards he’s raring up on his two hind legs and sporting the most punchable, weapons-grade constipation face this side of the Atlantic. It doesn’t take an adept in Texas Hold’em to ascertain that Khan’s tell is one of a man who is eternally biting back what he really wants to say.

Nothing like a little blatant ad hominem to rile up those hormones, is there? Meanwhile, I did a little research and noticed that all the web sites preaching Mayor Khan is a terrorist are right wing sights. Mainstream and left wing sites ignored the entire subject, with the exceptions of The Guardian in this article, which surveys the various claims, investigates a few, and finds little to nothing to them, and Snopes.com, which fact-checked certain claims and found them to be false.

Within an hour of the latest cultural enrichment, Khan is on hand with fair-minded and reassuring statements like, Terrorism is part-and-parcel of living in a big city or London is one of the safest cities in the world. Meanwhile, the poisonous flood of piety and bloodlust threatens to drown us all.

What people in Britain are gradually coming to grips with is that Islam teaches that this life on earth is merely a stepping-stone to Paradise and that Muslims must stop at nothing to attain it. To paraphrase Kyle Reese, they can’t be bargained with, they can’t be reasoned with, they don’t feel pity, or remorse, or fear and they absolutely will not stop, ever, until all non-Muslims are dead or enslaved.

Is that right? In the past they’ve actually recognized the right of other religious groups to retain their religious identities, while demanding a tax to be paid in return for this privilege. Now, this was a while ago, and it certainly appears ISIS isn’t giving lip service to that old custom, but it serves to puncture this attempt to stir up the fear so useful in manipulating you, the reader.

For politicians, though, hope springs eternal; just fire the old PR firm and hire a new one. Hence, the RUN•HIDE•TELL campaign is off to a rocketing start. Of course, scruffy young tearaways were quick to deface the posters by substituting the last word to read RUN•HIDE•SUBMIT but the kings of PR, the Americans, have gone us one better with DRAW•AIM•SHOOT as the only viable response. We respect this, of course, because we love your guns.

In other news, on 28 May 2017, police sent a helicopter and combat-ready police to confiscate a karaoke machine from a backyard BBQ because the hosts played a song mocking Osama bin Laden. Bear in mind this was four days after bomb and bloodshed at a concert attended by teenaged girls in Manchester Arena. Several days after the karaoke caper, the horrific massacre on London Bridge took place. Clearly, prioritising threats could do with some work.

Our current PM, Barren Cat Lady, famously stated upon her election, “Brexit means Brexit.” We’re still waiting. After the London Bridge Massacre she said, “Enough is Enough.” At this rate she’ll probably say,”Potatoes are Potatoes,” next and the media will still stand up and applaud it.

But now I am just lobbing outrage darts at the page so I’ll wind this up.

Governments which no longer guarantee the security of their citizens are worthless, and those that disallow the right to defend oneself are worse than negligent, they are clearly dangerous to support in any way. People here are beginning to get this, but I still feel it’s too late to prevent the rivers of blood alluded to by the brilliant Enoch Powell, king of ‘racialists,’ true patriot and martyr.

As I write this it’s less than seventy-two hours till we march once more unto the polls to vote in an election that probably won’t make a bit of difference except to take our Brexit away for good. And yet it could also upset the entire apple cart as well. Such are the times we live in.

My American friends, you are surely aware that you don’t have to own a gun to fight like hell to retain your right to bear arms, as well as the freedom to play anything you damn well please on your karaoke machines. Preserve those rights, defend them, they are more precious than you know. Never sell them. Never soften.

They say a falling knife has no handle and yet our British politicians keep snatching it in mid-air, then expressing astonishment and dismay at the cuts on their hands.

Based upon past experience they’ll just carry on trying to catch it while the rest of us bleed to death

And so our call to another Crusade comes to an end. It’s really a bit exhausting, isn’t it? The fear. The hate. The manipulation.

Is there danger? Of course. Extremists are always with us, sad to say, but now their firepower is more than a dagger, a sword, or even a trebuchet. And that’s the real danger, on either side of any ocean you want to name. They blow up car bombs in Iraq, and blow up government buildings in Oklahoma City. They use cars to kill people on bridges, and they use rifles to kill doctors in churches. The firepower is frightening. Now you don’t have to raise an army to impose your extremist position. You just buy some weaponry.

But they are extremists. They may come into power, occasionally, through ruthlessness and dishonorable means, whether it’s the knife in the back, or incessant lies – the rungs on the ladder to power are often different. But the extremists are the same. Power, power, power.

And so it is with this writer. British? Maybe. Misrepresenting facts? It’s our usual mishmash, isn’t it? All to serve an agenda not worth a moment of our time. Who taught us to hate? Who taught us to love? It’s worth thinking about it. And with a little research, we know where this dim bulb comes out.

This Is No Time To Be Chewing On Our Innards

Elsa Kania on Lawfare notes the world is changing, and old wisdom about China may need to be discarded:

It is clearly a mistake to underestimate China’s competitiveness in this space based on the problematic, even dangerous assumption that China “can’t” innovate and only relies upon mimicry and intellectual property theft. That is an outdated idea contradicted by overwhelming evidence. It is true that China has pursued large-scale industrial espionage, enabled through cyber and human means, and will likely continue to take advantage of technology transfers, overseas investments, and acquisitions targeting cutting-edge strategic technologies. However, it is undeniable that China’s capability to pursue independent innovation has increased considerably. This is aptly demonstrated by China’s cutting-edge advances in emerging technologies, including artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, and quantum information science.

I’d add that the vast majority of the Chinese population can be below average in creativity, and it doesn’t matter. Remember, computers are multipliers; if the right team of Chinese researchers is brought together by, say, the People’s Liberation Army, their work can be spread quickly through the replication automatically associated with computers.

And Elsa’s article is vastly unsettling. Consider this:

Indeed, China aspires to lead the world in artificial intelligence. Under the Thirteenth Five-Year Plan, China has launched a new artificial intelligence megaproject. “Artificial Intelligence 2.0” will advance an ambitious, multibillion-dollar national agenda to achieve predominance in this critical technological domain, including through extensive funding for basic and applied research and development with commercial and military applications. In addition, China has established a national deep learning laboratory under Baidu’s leadership, which will pursue research including deep learning, computer vision and sensing, computer-listening, biometric identification, and new forms of human-computer interaction.

And now consider who’s in charge in Washington – a bumbling, weak fool in the White House, an ideologically driven Islamophobe (or two) as his advisor, and Congress controlled by such power-hungry folks that they’ve shattered the political norms which have kept this nation going for 200+ years, and appear certain that however they stumble and screw around, all will be well because they think of themselves as the chosen ones.

U.S.S. Oklahoma, capsized after the Pearl Harbor Attack.
Source: PBS.org

Meanwhile, China has its own problems, but its government / governing Party is a forward looking group fixated on technological advancement in service to their own national mythos of superiority – and a determination to prove it in the future. Indeed, their pursuit of technological innovation as a pathway to world domination has some unpleasant reminders in my understanding of the run up to World War II, wherein the Japanese worked hard on developing naval air power, while the American and British navies disregarded the potentialities of naval air power in favor of the old standbys of the great battleships. This failure to look into the future nearly cost both nations their futures.

I do not think the War Department Department of Defense has that problem – but I think the GOP has lost its focus on the outside world. I do not think they perceive other nations accurately, and I think their flawed understanding of governance is leading them to believe they can fund the US government on the cheap without regard to the expenses of defending the nation against future threats on future battlefields. They do call for greater spending on war materiel (but not diplomacy, which is another indicator of their foolishness), not because of forward thinking or innovative new approaches, but because building a new aircraft carrier group brings a lot of cash to Congressional districts. Do we really need so many aircraft carriers today?

Or someday will they constitute the new & disastrous Battleship Row of Pearl Harbor?

These incompetencies could be covered up so long as the Democrats held the Presidency and had qualified people to fill it, but with the rejection of Clinton in favor of Trump, we’re left with a leadership of extraordinarily dubious quality.

And an external challenge our leadership may have trouble recognizing, much less meeting.

Bated Breath For Tomorrow, Ctd

It appears the GOP fall in satisfaction was not enough to boost the Democrats in the special elections in Georgia and South Carolina, as CNN is reporting the GOP has retained the Georgia and South Carolina seats, although neither by convincing margins:

Republican Karen Handel defeated Democrat Jon Ossoff in a high-stakes special election for a Georgia House seat on Tuesday, denying Democrats their first major victory of the Donald Trump era.

Handel led Ossoff by 4.8 percentage points with more than three-fourths of the 6th District’s precincts having reported their results at 10 p.m. ET, in the most expensive House race in US history.

The South Carolina seat is somewhat closer. Just for fun, let’s update the line graphs:

Data Source: Ballotpedia and CNN

Data Source: Ballotpedia and CNN

(Yeah, I need a better charting tool.) As we can see, the Democrats made significant gains, echoing the dissatisfaction we saw in the Gallup poll cited here. The GOP may have technically won, but it appears the wave of reaction to the buffoonery in the national GOP is having a real impact.

In fact, the winners of these two races may be sighing with relief that they did not have to vote for the AHCA. But what will happen if the Senate follows through with their own bill and the House has to vote for the new bill? Are these winners going to run screaming from the room – or will they embrace this opportunity to show their loyalty to Party over constituents?

And the Democrats must regroup and try to understand how they’ve failed in Montana, Kansas, Georgia, and South Carolina. All are Republican strongholds, but it’s worth asking the question – was the candidate in each case up to the task? Or were they quixotic candidates selected by fragmented, limping locals who didn’t realize the seat might be available to a strong candidate with a record of local governance? Or have they failed to cultivate and train such people? While there’s certainly an attraction to finding that candidate with no experience but lots of face recognition, generally the best candidates are folks who’ve served on councils and in state houses, as they can demonstrate their competency in running these sorts of things – and, if they are prone to corruption, you can maybe catch them at it before they make it to the national level. Not that this always works, but it’s an approach with some likelihood of success, no?

The final word? The Democrats make strides in key strongholds, but don’t break through the barrier. Keep working at the local level, as state houses are almost as important as Congress.

We’ll reform the GOP back to acceptability only by beating them at the polls.

Belated Movie Reviews

Uh, line, please.

After Midnight with Boston Blackie (1943) features the usual cast of recurring characters and actors, engaged in verbal and physical pratfalls, all while looking for the diamonds stolen – I think – by a man just released from jail. Wracked by a terminal cough, he determines to get them to his now-grown daughter; in his way are some determined criminals who have an ill-defined link to him.

For all that he’s dying, a gun in his face is sufficient to get him to cough up the location of the diamonds; he is swiftly terminated thereafter. From then on it’s a race to figure out where they’re located, how they disappeared (never revealed in this TV version), and just why the hell is The Runt marrying a woman at least 6 inches taller than himself – and what does she see in him? While this is a subplot without merit, at least the presence of World War II and the resultant blackouts actually plays a useful part.

As is usual with these recurring series, the tension isn’t in the mystery and its resolution, but in the interactions of the characters, and this script, I fear, could have benefited from another rewrite or two.

1984, Istanbul

Nineteen Eighty-Four and Turkey have a certain affinity to each other as Turkey slides into the grasp of governmental madness. The artist Asli Cavusoglu, in the context of an exhibition in Istanbul named “Doublethink: Double Vision“, has an interesting comment as well as a work, as noted in AL Monitor by Nazlan Ertan:

One Article From
Cavusoglu’s Newspaper

For Cavusoglu, the silver lining of “1984” is the possibility of an erring totalitarian regime. Describing her recent work, which opened simultaneously with the Biennale in Venice, she told Al-Monitor that the Turkish regime’s “moment of error” came during last year’s attempted military coup. “What we saw in the July 15 attempted coup was the realization that Turkey’s institutions had become an empty shell,” she told Al-Monitor.

Her recent project in Venice wanted to outline uncertainty, unpredictability and polarization. The project, called “Future Tense,” is a newspaper where the day’s news is interpreted by fortunetellers, astrologers and clairvoyants. “Parallel to the increasing censorship and move away from being a state of law, a number of fortunetellers and astrologers emerged. Astrologers and clairvoyants were getting invited to newscasts, warning us about bombs by looking at the angles of the stars in the skies, providing us with a date for a rebellion depending on the position of Mars. The way they play with the language helps them avoid any censorship. I found 50 soothsayers of different political orientation and ethnicity and asked them what they thought would happen. They replied in their own way — and a very pluralistic paper [which Cavusoglu distributed in Venice] was published,” she said.

“The different clairvoyants have found a way to escape censorship in a totalitarian regime. I aim to show both with my made-up newspaper and with my work in the Pera Exhibition that censorship creates a new language,” Cavusoglu said, echoing Pepperstein’s statement that doublethink is just a beginning, in art as in politics.

Her work, which I did not read thoroughly, has a certain taste of Nostradamus to it. Take that as you will.