Maybe A Head Feint

Clean Technica is reporting, even celebrating, the move of Statoil out of it fossil fuel assets in Canada and into offshore wind in the US:

Norway’s state-owned Statoil oil and gas company won the right to develop an offshore wind farm in US waters last week, practically within hours of selling off its tar sands oil assets in Canada. The new wind area is off the coast of New York State, hard by New York City, which makes it a high status, high visibility site for the global energy giant.

Similarly, Sami Grover on Treehugger.com is also excited:

… is about perfectly designed to make my little TreeHugging heart sing: Norwegian oil and energy giant Statoil has spent the end of 2016 selling off its assets in Canadian tar sands, and securing rights to develop a gigantic offshore wind farm off the coast of New York State. …

True, critics will note that Statoil is still involved in an awful lot of dirty energy production and exploration. Still, this is exactly the type of divest-invest move from a major energy player which could bring about a major shift in the economics of energy markets. And once that shift happens, there will be little that can be done to stop it.

But to emphasize the point, Statoil is state-owned by Norway, a country. I stop the sentence there to emphasize the point: Statoil is, to some extent, controlled by an entity which has more than just profit on its mind. More formally, Norway has a responsibility to assure the survival of its citizens in the future.

This is important in that most of the climate change offenders are public companies, such as ExxonMobil, and they are not necessarily concerned about climate change and the environment in general; their shareholders clamor for profits.

So I hesitate to become excited that this may be the start of a sea-change.

It does, however, bring to mind the problems that will occur if & when the sea-change comes: a multitude of workers out of work. Of course, there will be new jobs in the cleaner energy industries, but will there be enough? Will adequate retraining be provided, or do those who worked to provide us with energy just get pushed off the oil platform and told to swim for it?

I Hate 2016

Three cats, Carrie Fisher, Debbie Reynolds, David Bowie, and many others gone – and a very bad election.

I’m a little terrified of catching the news now.

Can’t wait for this year to end.

Retiring Fish on Unusual Canvas

It may be the end of the practice saber lamé as it proves that resistance is, ummm, one way to the eternal barcalounger. On its way from competition to Social Security, my Arts Editor has used it as a casual canvas. While we wait to hear about one more road to salvation, or possibly hell, here’s the front side – quite reserved, I’d say:

And, far more dramatic, here’s the back side.

The practice foil lamé is much more ambitious. Someday we’ll have to post pictures of its kraken.

Driven By Fear, Not Nature

Lloyd Alter on Treehugger.com delivers a history lesson on the United States interstate system – and what Trump’s comment on nuclear arms may portend for our future:

It is important to remember why cities were building highways like this through the fifties and sixties; why the federal government was promoting low density suburban development and why companies were moving their corporate head offices to campuses in the country: Civil defence. One of the best defences against nuclear bombs is sprawl; the devastation of a bomb can only cover so much area. Shawn Lawrence Otto wrote in Fool Me Twice:

In 1945, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists began advocating for “dispersal,” or “defense through decentralization” as the only realistic defense against nuclear weapons, and the federal government realized this was an important strategic move. Most city planners agreed, and America adopted a completely new way of life, one that was different from anything that had come before, by directing all new construction “away from congested central areas to their outer fringes and suburbs in low-density continuous development,” and “the prevention of the metropolitan core’s further spread by directing new construction into small, widely spaced satellite towns.”

But the strategy had to change after the development of the more powerful hydrogen bomb, and with it the realization that having people living in the suburbs but working downtown was a problem. “President Dwight D. Eisenhower instead promoted a program of rapid evacuation to rural regions. As a civil defense official who served from 1953 to 1957 explained, the focus changed “from ‘Duck and Cover’ to ‘Run Like Hell.’”

In other words, suburbs are not a natural development, but a result of concerns over enemy nuclear attacks. As were the little office parks that dot the landscape.

I’d hate to try to actually use the interstates to get out in the event of a nuclear attack, though. Maybe those in the outer rings would succeed …

Is North Carolina the most Toxic State in the Union?, Ctd

On this thread, this is a rather amazing article from The News & Observer, entitled “North Carolina is no longer classified as a democracy.” It’s not hyperbole – the author, Andrew Reynolds, is a political science professor at the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill who helped found the Electoral Integrity Project (EIP). First, about EIP:

… my Danish colleague, Jorgen Elklit, and I designed the first comprehensive method for evaluating the quality of elections around the world. Our system measured 50 moving parts of an election process and covered everything from the legal framework to the polling day and counting of ballots.In 2012 Elklit and I worked with Pippa Norris of Harvard University, who used the system as the cornerstone of the Electoral Integrity Project. Since then the EIP has measured 213 elections in 153 countries and is widely agreed to be the most accurate method for evaluating how free and fair and democratic elections are across time and place.

And so what happens? He’s asked to evaluate the North Carolina elections.

In the just released EIP report, North Carolina’s overall electoral integrity score of 58/100 for the 2016 election places us alongside authoritarian states and pseudo-democracies like Cuba, Indonesia and Sierra Leone. If it were a nation state, North Carolina would rank right in the middle of the global league table – a deeply flawed, partly free democracy that is only slightly ahead of the failed democracies that constitute much of the developing world.

Well, we knew North Carolina and its GOP were a special place – but at this juncture maybe it’s a special needs place. I’m not quite sure what “integrity of the voting district boundaries” might mean, but …

… no country has ever received as low a score as the 7/100 North Carolina received. North Carolina is not only the worst state in the USA for unfair districting but the worst entity in the world ever analyzed by the Electoral Integrity Project.

The professor is, I think, outraged, and has a prescription. Here’s one of the points:

Last, elected officials need to respect the core principles of democracy – respect the will of the voters, all the voters and play the game with integrity.

Integrity, meaning respect for your opponents.

Meanwhile, I am quite happy I’m not a user of the cloud, such as Amazon Web Services. How does that connect to the North Carolina issue?

Because a state that does not respect democratic principles generally doesn’t have principles at all, and that would mean any confidential data in the cloud that happens to be stored on computers located in North Carolina – a state with a certain amount of technology companies, such as Wells Fargo – is only as safe as technology can make it, not as safe as the law can make it.

And that’s important.

Of course, the GOP will scream foul, but this is a respected political science professor, not some obviously biased report. Sure, he could have a hidden agenda, but that would have to be revealed to invalidate this finding.

And as this sinks in, it’ll be interesting to see if the corporate world takes notice and pushes North Carolina to resume democratic ideals. Since the GOP has abandoned democratic principles, they are left with the only fuel for their own self-respect, at least in the secular world, being prestige, and in the United States there’s a significant amount of prestige associated with having big corporations in your State. If they start walking away, the state and the GOP, the responsible political entity of the last decade, will lose prestige.

A lot of it.

State legislators of the GOP persuasion may wish to postpone trips outside of North Carolina until they clean up this mess.

Future Palestinian Tactics

Paul Rosenzweig on Lawfare reports on some tactics under consideration if the two-state solution for Israel and Palestine falls through:

The Palestinians want a full state — with all the independence that entails. But the Israelis won’t permit that. They are scarred by the Intifada and the violence of that time still resonates strongly. Their idea of a state is a partially independent entity that remains subservient to their control for security matters. The two of these ideas just don’t mix.

That has led some Palestinians (particularly younger ones) to suggest a one-state solution: Agree that Israel has won and owns the land, and then wage a civil/human rights campaign to gain equal rights and treatment. “You want us,” they might say, “you got us. Now give us free health care; free education; and the right to vote.” I’m not sure if that position can be sustained — it is premised on passive civil resistance that is not culturally attractive — but if it can it would pose a deep problem for Israel. It’s commitment to liberal democracy would run straight into its commitment to a Jewish state — and I don’t know which would give way. My guess is that if the Palestinians called the Israeli bluff the Israelis would have to fold — and simply admit that they plan to occupy the West Bank as a protectorate for the foreseeable future. That, too, is not sustainable.

My bold. Would this result in a natal race, an attempt to out-reproduce the other side?

A key assumption is the commitment to a liberal democracy – not at all clear to me in a government so deeply entangled in religious demands. Paul then adds in the recent American refusal to veto a UN resolution condemning the illegal settlements:

The final straw, if you will, is the changing US policy that seems in these last days of the Obama Administration to be almost schizophrenic.  The outgoing President, perhaps in a fit of pique or perhaps in order to create his own facts on the ground, has allowed the UN Security Council to condemn Israeli settlements as unlawful — a change in US policy that is almost as earth-shaking as the President-Elect’s abandonment of the one-China policy.  Meanwhile, the President-Elect had lobbied against the resolution and has named as his envoy to Israel an appointee who strongly favors expansion of the settlements.  The US embassy may move to Jerusalem.  This radical shifting of American policy, after years of stability, can only be further unsettling in an already unsettled environment.

Word of the Day

nutation (astronomy):

In astronomy, nutation is a phenomenon which causes the orientation of the axis of rotation of a spinning astronomical object to vary over time. It is caused by the gravitational forces of other nearby bodies acting upon the spinning object. Although they are essentially the same effect operating over different timescales, astronomers usually make a distinction between precession, which is a steady long-term change in the axis of rotation, and nutation, which is the combined effect of similar shorter-term variations. [Wikipedia]

Noted in A Matter of Degrees, by Gino Segrè.

So Much Kool-Aid It’s Coming Out His Ears

The New York Times covers some particularly provocative commentary:

Carl Paladino, a western New York builder, one-time Republican candidate for governor of New York and political ally of President-elect Donald J. Trump, came under fire on Friday for racially offensive comments about President Obama and the first lady, who Mr. Paladino said should be “let loose in the outback of Zimbabwe.”

Mr. Paladino’s comments were published in Artvoice, a weekly Buffalo newspaper. They came in response to an open-ended feature in which local figures were asked about their hopes for 2017.

“Obama catches mad cow disease after being caught having relations with a Herford,” said Mr. Paladino, who ran unsuccessfully for governor in 2010, making an apparent reference to the Hereford cattle breed. He said he hoped the disease killed the president.

The title of this post is merely an attempt to give Mr. Paladino the benefit of the doubt, as it’s not entirely clear this is a racist comment; on balance, it’s far more likely that his only source of news is Fox News and sources closer to the fringe. He also claims he was merely trying to draw attention to President Obama’s “transgressions.” It may be time to consign him to a nursing home.

The Trump campaign disavowed his remarks.

Word of the Day

Mattang:

Stick charts were made and used by the Marshallese to navigate the Pacific Ocean by canoe off the coast of the Marshall Islands. The charts represented major ocean swell patterns and the ways the islands disrupted those patterns, typically determined by sensing disruptions in ocean swells by islands during sea navigation. Most stick charts were made from the midribs of coconut fronds that were tied together to form an open framework. Island locations were represented by shells tied to the framework, or by the lashed junction of two or more sticks. The threads represented prevailing ocean surface wave-crests and directions they took as they approached islands and met other similar wave-crests formed by the ebb and flow of breakers. Individual charts varied so much in form and interpretation that the individual navigator who made the chart was the only person who could fully interpret and use it. The use of stick charts ended after World War II when new electronic technologies made navigation more accessible and travel among islands by canoe lessened. [Wikipedia]

Noted in a review of an exhibition of maps from the British Library in NewScientist (10 December 2016):

Inevitably, the categories can overlap. Better, perhaps, to get lost amid the cartographic cornucopia than try to follow a fixed path like the earnest pipe-puffing ramblers on the covers of inter-war OS maps. The leaps between culture and context yield mind-stretching views, as when Harry Beck’s “electrical circuit diagram” of the 1931 London Underground shares a space with a mattang, a navigational stick chart from the Marshall Islands. This time-honoured seafarers’ aid not only locates islands with a schematic audacity to rival Beck, but even indicates ocean swell.

Belated Movie Reviews

This evening’s repast was Critters (1986), starring Dee “Hysteria” Wallace Stone, Mitt Romney, the lusty but more or less useless daughter, the plucky son, and a supporting cast including the eternal fat sheriff, “Forgetful” Davros from Doctor Who, a bar full of bellilgerent bowlers, and half the cast of the Tribbles episode of Star Trek.

Yeah, that half.

A sure-fire candidate for MST3K, the movie chronicles a pair of bounty hunters tasked with killing escaped convicts. The convicts make it to Earth and begin consuming … oh dear. That poor cow. Bull. Whatever it used to be. Anyways, the convicts scamper about looking like black tribbles, until it’s time to eat, in which case they suddenly have red eyes and fangs.

And grow faster than our plucky young hero once they get some chickens into them.

For all that, there’s some humor here. For one thing, the bounty hunters appear to be part of a big hair band. For another, the convicts have a certain awareness of the silliness of the whole thing, in contrast to this poor farming family, who plays the whole thing straight with a script which, unlike a Brit script, never takes advantage of the straightness to milk it for laughs. But it’s kinda weird that the special effects creatures get the best lines in the film.

Oh, well. We watched in mounting horror as the minuscule special effects budget was stretched way beyond credibility, as the milquetoast family scrambled for its life, the cat, the dead boyfriend (oops), the shotgun, the hammer, the couch (mmmmmmm, that couch is good eatins!)  … might want to ask them if they’re related to Fran Tarkenton, famed Vikings’ scramblin’ quarterback.

Honestly, I don’t know why we watched to the end. There was little enough to recommend it.

Making a Future Appointment?

In what may be the spread of the North Carolina plague, Vermont Public Radio reports on an attempt by outgoing governor Peter Shumlin (D) to appoint a new member of the Vermont Supreme Court – before the retiring member actually, ummm, vacates:

In a Friday ruling, the Vermont Supreme Court temporarily blocked Gov. Peter Shumlin from appointing a new justice to the court.

According to the order from the court, the temporary halt to Shumlin’s appointing power comes after a legal challenge from Republican Rep. Don Turner, the House minority leader.

Shumlin is attempting to fill the vacancy that will be left by Vermont Supreme Court Justice John Dooley, who is leaving the job. Critics, including Turner, say Governor-elect Phil Scott should fill the vacancy once he takes office in January.

The supreme court seat in question will not be vacant until Dooley’s official retirement in April. Since Scott will be governor in April, Turner challenged Shumlin’s legal authority to appoint a new judge to fill a vacancy that will not exist during Shumlin’s tenure as governor.

The governor’s successor is Phil Scott (R). It appears that stretching the bounds of credibility is becoming something of a political sport this season, following in the footsteps of the North Carolina GOP-dominated legislature’s attempt to strip certain powers from the incoming Democratic governor. It’s a sad commentary on the state of affairs these days – paranoia dominates both sides of the aisle.

Are They Personal Items?

First Liberty has announced its filed for certiorari with SCOTUS for the case of …

… LCpl Monifa Sterling, a Marine convicted at a court martial in 2013 for refusing an order to remove Bible verses from her personal workspace.

The IB Times reported during previous, military court appeals:

Sterling was charged after she refused to take down a single Bible verse she used to decorate her cubicle in three locations. She later told the court she had posted them in a triangular shape to represent the Holy Trinity. …

“This is a case of insubordination,” Brian Keller, the attorney representing the federal government, told a five-judge panel Wednesday during the hearing. The judges are expected to weigh the arguments and release their decision later this year.

So it’s not entirely clear to me if the issue is the display of religious verses, or failure to obey an order. First Liberty, a conservative group devoted to religious freedom, suggests the issue is the former:

First Liberty attorneys argue that Sterling’s right to post Bible verses is protected under the Religious Freedom Restoration Act (RFRA) of 1993, a federal law that should apply to all American citizens.

But so far, every court to hear Sterling’s case has claimed that RFRA doesn’t protect Sterling’s right to display a Bible verse.

Chris Rodda on HuffPo points out that Sterling had also been court-martialed for other charges unconnected with the Bible incident, such as refusing the orders of a superior officer and lying about a medical treatment, and suggests this is all trumped up:

Of all the charges that Sterling was found guilty of at her court-martial, the charge of disobeying the order to remove the signs was not the most serious of the charges brought against her. In fact, as the transcript of the court-martial shows, the Bible verse incident received the least amount of attention at the court-martial. But now, thanks to the propaganda from fundamentalist Christian organizations and the right wing media, Sterling’s case has been turned into a case of outrageous Christian persecution. Anyone reading articles about this case on the internet would think that Sterling is a poor, persecuted Christian who was court-martialed for nothing more than posting a Bible verse on her desk.

An article from the Washington Times, for example, titled “High military court will hear case of Marine punished for displaying Bible verse,” begins: “The highest U.S. military court will hear the case of a Marine who was punished for refusing to remove a Bible verse from her workstation.”

For the curious, if four Justices agree to hear the case, then SCOTUS accepts it (‘grants certiorari”). It’ll be interesting to see if the Court decides to hear the case.

With Whom Does Responsibility Lie?

The Seattle Times reports that the Washington Supreme Court has ruled that psychiatrists can be sued for the actions of their clients:

The family of a Spokane woman who was murdered along with her son can pursue a lawsuit over whether the killer’s psychiatrist should have done more to protect them, the Washington Supreme Court held in a case with implications for mental-health professionals around the state.

Rebecca Schiering and one of her sons, Phillip, were shot by her ex-fiance, Jan DeMeerleer, in 2010. DeMeerleer, who also wounded another of Schiering’s sons in the attack, then returned to his own home and killed himself.

Schiering’s family sued the killer’s psychiatrist, Dr. Howard Ashby, and Spokane Psychiatric Clinic, alleging they were negligent in their treatment of DeMeerleer and that they should have done more to protect the victims. Ashby knew his patient had previously expressed homicidal and suicidal ideas, but found no “real clinical problem” in their most recent meeting, three months before the killings.

In a 6-3 opinion, the Supreme Court held Thursday that the lawsuit can go forward. The majority said mental-health professionals must act with reasonable care to identify and mitigate the dangerousness of psychiatric patients.

There is no real simple answer to questions like these. The profession of psychiatry is not an exact science. But this must have some frightening implications for psychiatrists, psychologists, and those who aspire to those professions. As the article notes, this could result in a far more conservative approach adopted by practicioners, with more involuntary committals, as well as more second-guessing.

Running A Fever May Be Communally Beneficial

Gino Segrè is a physicist fascinated with the concept of temperature, to the point where he’s written a history of it, entitled A Matter of Degrees. It’s interesting, and here’s one of the better parts encountered so far. All typos are mine.

But there is some evidence that fever enhances the functioning of the immune system; white blood cells, the system’s agents, move more rapidly as temperature approaches 104 degrees, but that’s only one of the possible reasons for the evolution of the fever response. P. A. Mackowiak has suggest that fever sometimes plays a protective role: a mild infection heals rapidly with perhaps a slight enhancement of the immune system, but a raging high fever that leads to a rapid death of the afflicted individual helps limit the spread to the individual’s kin of a violent contagious infection.

Hmmmmmmmm! Biological evolution applies to populations; individuals are merely the constituents of the populations, not the epitome.

They Choked On The Received Wisdom

And that’s a good thing. In case your latest memory of the theory of human migration into North America is the Clovis First model, you’re out of date. American Archaeology editor Michael Bawaya writes in the Editor’s Corner column of the Winter 2016 issue (article offline only):

The subject of the Americas’ colonization had long been the exclusive purview of archaeologists, but then some geneticists dared to butt in. … If the first Americans arrived roughly 16,000 years ago, as geneticists seem to think, how could they have occupied a site in South Carolina that an archaeologist claims is 50,000 years old? …

… fashioning all this disparate information into a model, even a remotely plausible model, is beyond the most nimble of minds. The Clovis First model is dead, but now what?

So if you happen to run into a Paleo-Indian archaeologist, don’t even bother to ask.

[typos mine] For a scientist, questions are better than answers! So this lack of consilience is really a positive, giving impetus to future archaeologists.

Coincidentally, my Arts Editor and I once wrote a novel (unpublished) in which the demise of the Clovis First model plays a small part.

We’re Zigging Right Now, Ctd

Continuing this thread on Israeli settlements, I ran across this article from an angry Akiva Eldar in AL Monitor concerning funding distribution in Israel these days:

In a letter to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the [Union of Local Authorities] warned that a planned 230 million-shekel ($60 million) cut in the budget of the Interior Ministry, which funds local governments, would result in the collapse of some of these weak municipalities in Israel’s “social and geographic periphery” and directly affect the services they provide to local residents. The cut stems from a Dec. 18 government decision to slash 1.25%, or 1.2 billion shekels ($313 million), across the board from its annual spending over the next two years, including on health, welfare and education services. …

In accordance with a policy that proves that crime pays, the public coffers, meaning the inhabitants of Israel, will lose another 130 million shekels ($34 million). That’s the price tag of getting a few dozen criminals living in the unauthorized West Bank outpost of Amona, on stolen Palestinian lands, to obey a court order to vacate their trailer homes and move to an adjacent hilltop also not under the sovereignty of their state. In northern Tel Aviv, across from the railroad station on Arlozorov Street, dozens of law-abiding citizens live in frayed, rain-drenched tents (forced out of apartments they could no longer afford). No one offers these homeless Israelis an iota of the aid that the government is pouring into the “legal” settlements — as the government calls them, in defiance of international law — in the occupied West Bank and the outposts there. The price of the deal with the settlers of Amona also includes the cost of demolishing dozens, perhaps hundreds of houses built without permits by Arab-Israelis in their communities within Israel’s sovereign borders. According to recent reports, that’s what Netanyahu promised the Jewish lawbreakers from the settlement movement in a compromise outline for the evacuation.

In the post-shame era, the government doesn’t even bother concealing the source of the millions that it will hand over to the Amona squatters. The Finance Ministry proposal presented to the Cabinet said the budget cuts are needed, among other things, to fund the Amona deal. One might say that 130 million out of the 230 million shekels being cut from the budgets of 190 disadvantaged local councils are destined for distribution to 40 squatter families. Truly distributive justice.

Lately I’ve been seeing religious groups as simple power structures, hierarchies built on notions of supernatural beings. The purported inclinations of those beings, deduced from subjective experiences, writings of mystics, and out and out fraud, are used to build the rickety ladders of the hierarchy, climbed unsteadily by the ambitious and power hungry.

The dangers of building a power structure on anything but reality – actions are taken on twisted, unshared notions of justice and right, damaging those truly in basic need, while those whose only need is satisfaction of religious sensibilities get the resources destined, in the case in Israel & by any sensible being, for the first group.

Humans are social creatures, drawn to groups for protection. Here we see a nation, originally secular, but transforming into a religious nation, which is no longer protecting its citizens, but only those favored by the power structure in place because those favored have chosen to climb the ladder already surmounted by those in power. The favor is bestowed upon only certain subgroups, and so does Israel betray those most in need, and brings shame upon itself.

All this assuming Eldar’s assertions are facts. I’m in a particular mood this morning.

On another tack, I notice that categorizing groups into power structures thrusts atheists back into a position that some of them detest. They often protest that they are different from religionists on the basis that they do not believe in God (or, like me, do not know, although based on lack of evidence, the position of the religionists seems grim). However, as they form their own groups, even as they’re based on their vision of reality, unexpectedly slippery as that can be (compare the a-religious philosophies of libertarians and communists – both supposedly based on reality), they are forming just another power structure. Built to protect, operating as a competitive arena in some form, the differences only lie in their underlying assumptions; the outcomes may measure the conformance of their vision of reality with reality itself.

When HR Wants To Review Your Exercise Habits

Sally Adee interviews André Spicer in NewScientist (10 December 2016) regarding the increasing concern corporations have for our health:

So what is this obsession in corporate culture with enhancing health and happiness?

There’s always been debate over whether a happy worker is more productive, but a more interesting question is how employers are now intervening to “make things better”. In the last decade or so, they’ve suddenly become interested in employee happiness and are designing workplaces to make the physical space itself increase happiness. One company built a workplace to look like a pirate ship.

But most interventions involve the employees themselves. BP gave each employee a Fitbit. It was a gift and using it was optional, but increasing numbers of companies are now insisting you use these things. At a hedge fund in London, the traders have to wear them, plus record things such as their diet and sleeping habits, and then the employer correlates that with their trading activities. At one Swedish utility company, if you don’t go to the gym as part of your working week, you get paid less.

I know my Arts Editor was periodically harassed concerning her health habits before she retired, with money dangled to buy her cooperation – although she was notably dour about those episodes. I work at a large engineering firm, and while there’s an occasional corporate email about taking care of our health, it hasn’t risen to the level of active intrusion into our lives.

I suppose I should be horrified, but this bit amused me instead:

So this is all about companies squeezing everything they can from their staff?

That’s one aspect. The second part is a cultural shift – what psychologists or philosophers would call category mistakes. Employers are starting to equate physical fitness with corporate competence. It’s this idea that if you’re slim and running marathons, you’re going to be a fantastic CEO. From 2001 to 2011, the proportion of CEOs in the US who ran marathons doubled, and you can be sure those marathons are featuring on their CVs. Give employers a choice of two CEOs with exactly the same skills and they’ll almost always choose the slimmer one. Your hobby can no longer be the community garden or whatever you’ve been doing. You have to be running marathons.

I also know that the Mayo Clinic offers an expensive, thorough, quick examination for CEOs – visualize a Formula 1 pit stop where all the tires get changed.

I don’t have the reference handy, but as I recall they mentioned that one CEO came in and left with an acute leukemia diagnosis and a bottle full of pills – and off he went back to his duties just a few hours later.

André is quite dour himself in interpreting these developments, especially in the light of automation threatening many jobs, as well as the new 5 AM to 9 PM work cycle:

So that explains this new economy built around self-enhancement, happiness and the body?

Yes, that’s one way of creating new forms of employment when knowledge-economy work is in decline. We are transitioning to the body economy. It’s also simply capitalism: what do you do when all other sources of growth have been exhausted? You turn to people’s private lives and you begin looking into their bodies and psychologies. You turn their minds and bodies into something you can sell.

Leads one to wonder if automation will be increasingly met with brickbats. Perhaps it’s time to consider how to decide which tasks should be automated. Keep in mind the hidden difficulties with such proposals, for which I have two examples, that computers used to reference mathematicians, not the modern digital wonders that have replaced them, and that we used to employ many secretaries and clerks whose duties today are automated. Was it wrong to automate those jobs out of existence? Nowadays it seems quite normal, doesn’t it? So while I’m tempted to propose that jobs that are very dangerous or very difficult (read: damn near impossible, such as flawlessly calculating mathematical tables) should be eligible for automation, whereas everything else isn’t, I do not feel it is truly a workable proposal.

Considering it honestly, either

  1. The libertarians are right, and that by freeing up people from boring and dangerous tasks, we’ll create new jobs with a more creative flare;
  2. Or (1) used to be true, but there’s a limit to how long this can go on.
  3. [I’ve managed to forget what I had dreamed up here.]

I also can’t help but notice how corporate competition appears to be limitless – rather like that of biological evolution, albeit on far more rapid and plastic basis. Are their endpoints in biological evolution? I think you’d have to assume endless geological stability, and that doesn’t really exist on the time scale of evolution.

Word of the Day

sorus:

A sorus (pl. sori) is a cluster of sporangia (structures producing and containing spores) in ferns and fungi. This New Latin word is from Ancient Greek σωρός (sōrós ‘stack, pile, heap’). [Wikipedia]

Noted in the Aperture column of NewScientist (10 December 2016):

THESE glowing orbs harbour the progeny of a strange life form. Their goal? To propel that progeny as far away as possible so it can conquer new habitats. An explosive launch will eventually help them disperse their contents.

They are the sporangia of fern plants, found on the underside of their leaves, or fronds. These sporangia grow in clusters called sori and are seen here under a fluorescence microscope, which uses a higher-intensity light source than conventional microscopes and labels the specimens with a fluorescent substance. This results in beautiful images that enhance the 3D features of small specimens: the sporangia don’t normally glow like this.

Follow the link for the pics.

From The Email Bag

Anything can be used in the culture wars, can’t it? For example, this lovely effort to commemorate World War II, The Fallen, which remembers, in a brief sort of way, the 9000 people lost on Normandy’s beaches during D-Day.

Yes, those are representations of dead bodies.
Source: The Fallen

Andy Moss and myself from Sand In Your Eye developed the idea of the Fallen Project together to mark Peace Day.  The objective was to make a visual representation of 9000 people drawn in the sand which equates the number of Civilians, Germans Forces and Allies that died during the D-day landings, 6th June during WWII as an example of what happens in the absence of peace.

The email mostly just uses the pictures on the website sans text and then adds its own subtly nasty comment:

What is surprising is that nothing about this
was seen here in the US.
Someone from overseas had a friend that sent it
with a note of gratitude for what the US started there.
Please share with others who understand
“freedom is not free–nor has it ever been”

Well, no. Both Fox News and the Huffington Post (both ends of the political spectrum) covered it. And the mail is introduced with this line, which clarifies the hidden agenda nicely:

A large percentage of our country doesn’t know of or care about Normandy.

This serves to define an appreciative audience which is better informed, even superior, to the general run of American citizenry. In combination with the end note, the group marks itself as a patriotic group, firmly rooted in history and all that’s good.

The problem? It’s divisive. It doesn’t appeal to our reason, but to our emotions, to the xenophobic emotions which drive our current cultural divides. And by creating a xenophobic group, those who choose to belong to it become vulnerable to the next emotional hook, that perhaps some political figure is also part of the group and should be voted for, without further consideration, at the next opportunity.

We saw an example of this during the recent American Presidential campaign when Mr. Trump was asked to name his favorite book from the Bible. His fumble was apparently not fatal.

But this is sadly un-American. We like to consider ourselves the best and brightest, but we’re not when we’re letting our emotions run our lives. Best comes from reason, not conspiracy theories and finger-pointing and all that rot.

Roaming Networks … Whoa!

Since the smartphone is basically a miniaturized bundle of sensors, I suppose this was inevitable – but it’s still cool. NewScientist’s Timothy Revell reports on how smartphones can be used in earthquake monitoring:

An app called MyShake is revolutionising earthquake detection. The app turns anyone’s phone into a seismology tool, and the project’s first results show it is surprisingly effective.

“We found that MyShake could detect large earthquakes, but also small ones, which we never thought would be possible,” says Qingkai Kong from the University of California, Berkeley, who is a co-creator of the app. Since launching in February, it has detected more than 200 seismic events across the world using data captured by 200,000 people who have downloaded the Android app.

The comments in Google Play are all over the map, so I don’t really get any sense about its utility on the ground, and my phone is too old to run it.

As a software engineer, I wonder if they’ve structured this so that other data can be collected as well, much like the BOINC project, which is used for distributed network computing for many applications, the first of which was SETI@Home, which I’ve been running since before BOINC came out, roughly April of 1999.

[UPDATE] While looking through the MyShake site I noticed it listed a 7.7 earthquake off the Chilean coast, which I had not heard about.

But here’s an independent report from CNN:

A magnitude 7.7 earthquake occurred off the coast of southern Chile Sunday, 40 km (about 25 miles) southwest of Puerto Quellon, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.

The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center issued a tsunami threat message for parts of the Pacific Ocean close to the earthquake. Tsunami waves 1-3 meters above tide level are possible on parts of the Chilean coast, according to the center.

The Hydrographic and Oceanographic Service of the Chilean Navy issued a tsunami alert for the region of Los Lagos.

Meanwhile, Chile’s Ministry of the Interior and Public Security has asked people to leave the beach areas of the regions of Bio Bio, La Araucania, Los Rios and Aysen near the quake zone.

Belated Movie Reviews

Does the harmonica blow for you?
Nyah.

This is a movie about dreams.

It’s a movie about the dream of building a railroad so that a man who’s seen the Atlantic Ocean can see the Pacific Ocean.

It’s a movie about the dream of building and owning a railroad station house.

It’s a movie about the dream of marriage.

It’s a movie about the dream of killing a man.

It’s Once Upon A Time in the West (1968). I’m not a Western fan, but I’ve seen a few, and this is an epic. It’s about the intersection of many dreams and how that intersection affects their pursuers. It’s the quintessential good guy, Henry Fonda, shooting a little boy at point blank range, deliberately and with pleasure.

The first time you see it, maybe even the second and third times, it’s about trying to understand the actions. Why does Charles Bronson play a harmonica? What is Jason Robard’s Cheyenne doing, anyways? Is Fonda just a sadist?

After that, you watch this for the pleasure of Sergio Leone’s decisions. His leisurely examination of the faces of his characters, up close and personal, from the pitted faces of Bronson and Robard to the casual perfection of Claudia Cardinale. His use of sound, both in the haunting melodies and especially the attunement of his characters to the sonic profile of their surroundings – an entire family freezing when the locusts abruptly go silent signals this will be a movie as much about sound as it is about visuals.

And his script is in tune with the rest of movie’s components, doling out critical information in a most stingy fashion, even as it floods you with visceralities. All of the major characters, and many of the minor characters, are fully realized men & women who’ve seen life and don’t talk about it but in the most thoughtful of phrases. And Leone doesn’t hesitate to linger, even in the violent parts of the movie, over the details, letting you view the eyes of characters, whether they’re drinking a whiskey, or meeting their fate.

This is a long movie, with running time listed at around 2 and a half hours, depending on which version you’re watching.

And you won’t really mind.

Highly recommended.

We’re Zigging Right Now, Ctd

A reader remarks on the Israeli settlements:

Ugh. I hate what Israel is becoming. Right wing religious fanatics controlling what is supposed to be a secular Jewish state. Bibi is an ass. The settlements are not ok. The RW of the GOP is all het up to “protect” Israel and provide weapons and excuse all manner of ill behavior — but it is NOT because they “love” Isreal at all. It is because Israel and Jews are required for their nutty end times scenarios. I think Israel should stop participating in that. And IMO this makes me a GOOD Zionist, because I understand that Israel has a responsibility in the world community, has to abide by the general standards of civilized people, and needs to participate in world organizations. Bibi is now threatening to stop paying UN dues, to possibly leave the UN. Great. And become North Korea? I’m sure that will work out well.

Yes. And the funny thing is these attempts to manipulate the world to conform to end-times predictions are terribly offensive tot he very concept of God. If there is a God and he’s ordained the world will end in a specific way on a specific time, it doesn’t matter if you try to encourage it or not. It will happen.

The truly responsible thing to do is to run the world as if there’s no God. Then if, against all odds, God pops up and torches the world, it doesn’t matter as it’s God. And if God doesn’t show up, the world’s not ruined.

But logic is rarely the strong suit of the religious fanatic. As Heinlein noted, it’s the guy who’s best at praying, not the woman who’s most rational.

Retraction Watch, Ctd

Speaking of the retraction of scientific papers, Neuroskeptic is pondering the question of peer review:

Is it the job of peer reviewers to detect scientific fraud?

I’ve been pondering this question for a while but lately my interest was sparked by the case of a retracted cancer biology paper in the high-profile journal Nature Cell Biology. Written by Taiwanese researchers Shih-Ting Cha et al., the article was published on the 15th August and retracted just three months later, after anonymous posters on PubPeer noticed several anomalies in the results.

For instance, there was image duplication: the paper contained identical images that were meant to be of different mice [image omitted].

It seems to me that a publisher should make every effort to validate the papers it publishes, not as a matter of honor or good taste, but as a matter of survival. Like other institutions, publishers are subject to evolutionary pressures, and in this case we’re talking about putting a premium on truth and reality. A publisher that gains a reputation for shoddy, fallacious papers within the community of scientists will lose both readers and quality content – a vicious vortex.

[I’ll now pause and consider the evolutionary pressures on religious publishers.]

I think scientific publishers should be taking a systematic approach to the problem, and that should include the use of our quasi-artificial intelligence systems to investigate possible image duplication, not only within papers, but stolen from other papers as well, as well as attempting to do the tedious validation of statistical analysis, if only in the mathematics – actually judging the validity of any particular approach may be beyond an AI system. (Or maybe it’s easy. I do not keep up with AI advances.)

Certainly the role of a peer reviewer remains important in judging the importance and quality of a paper overall. But we do need to remember that, after all this effort, a paper can still be wrong or irrelevant. Something both Neuroskeptic and his correspondents either ignored or forgot about is the role that study replication plays in the process of producing good science. A single experiment is rarely adequate; it’s more like a single torch on the path. Replication is as important, if not more so, as peer review.

Or, as engineers working on far more critical systems than I do, think about it, it’s all about redundancy.

Word of the Day

exsolve:

Geology
1 (of a mineral) separate out from solid solution in a rock:
‘the homogeneous alloys exsolved into metallic phases’

1.1 usually as adjective exsolved[with object] Form (a mineral) by the process of exsolution:
‘coarsely exsolved ilmenites’

[Oxford Dictionaries]

From a response on the Neuroskeptic blog:

Example: Disposable injection-molded plasticware is high volume, low cost. Bang ’em out! That requires a trace of mold release that exsolves during molding so the part can be easily ejected, typically a biologically inert cheap fatty acid amide like oleiamide. While that may be inert orally, a trace in your cerebrospinal fluid will put you to sleep in a snap – the natural ligand.