Leaks From Toxic Dumps Just Go On And On

Remember Rep Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL), former chair of the DNC, who I suggested should shoulder a large part of the blame if Trump won the Presidency?

It appears that her behavior may have even longer repercussions than I had anticipated, based on this AP report:

Pichone voted for Green Party candidate Jill Stein in 2016 and said she may vote for a third party again if Sanders doesn’t clinch the nomination.

She’s emblematic of a persistent group of Sanders supporters who won’t let go of the slights — real and perceived — from the last campaign. The frustration is notable now that Sanders is a 2020 front-runner, raking in $18.2 million in the first quarter, downplaying concerns about DNC bias and highlighting his success in bringing the party around on liberal policies it once resisted.

Some establishment-aligned Democrats worry the party could lose in 2020 if lingering concerns about the last primary aren’t put to bed.

“It has the potential to escalate, and it has the potential to help re-elect Donald Trump,” said Mo Elleithee, a former spokesman for Clinton and the DNC.

If the disaffection with the Democrats is so strong that it could cost them two Presidential elections against the weakest GOP nominee in modern history, Donald J.Trump, then it suggests that the Democrats are nearly as rotten at their core as the Republicans. It doesn’t show up in their policies, which do not feature self-enrichment as a career goal, but the apparent manipulation of the nomination process without regard to the importance of fairness is appalling, which is another way to say the voice of the generic Democratic Party member has receded into nothingness in the conduct of Democratic Party business.

Of course, the fact that Sanders is (I-VT) rather than (D-VT) does throw a bit of fishing line into the cookie batter, doesn’t it? You want that nomination, Bernie, you should join the Party.

But Sanders adherents will take little note of that nicety, and honestly I don’t think they should take note of it. The Democrats should have either treated Sanders as even-handedly as Clinton and the others, OR it should have said, right up front, that Sanders didn’t qualify for the nomination. That would have been respectable and understandable.

Understand, I think Sanders is too old for the Presidency, as is Biden. Call me ageist if you will, but the Presidency isn’t just about who’s got the best policies and promises on offer. It’s also about competency. We don’t need another Reagan falling asleep during meetings.

But if Trump beats a non-Sanders Democratic nominee again, the basic operations of the Democratic Party should be carefully examined by the Party, because otherwise it’ll continue to lose winnable elections. How are they looking these days? The latest from Gallup:

Not so good. The independents are gaining ground while the Republicans continue to sink from the rocks in their pants, and the Democrats are merely treading water. If you’re a Democrat, you should be taking alarm right now.

It’s Unsettlingly Like Cancer

We use analogy as a supplement to reasoning because sometimes the required reasoning is simply too difficult. There may be too many variables, or the causal links from one state to another are too poorly understood to confidently employ. This is when analogy comes into play. We find a system that seems to look and operate like the system upon which we’re trying to settle some predictions, and about which we have some known conclusions, and then we try to map those conclusions back to our system of interest. It’s a crude style of reasoning, but, if nothing else, the other system can offer insights into our system of interest.

In this spirit, let me offer an analogy. It occurred to me while reading about the queasiness some banking experts, as well as ex-officials, are feeling about the banking sector right now:

Actions by federal regulators and Republicans in Congress over the past two years have paved the way for banks and other financial companies to issue more than $1 trillion in risky corporate loans, sparking fears that Washington and Wall Street are repeating the mistakes made before the financial crisis [of a decade ago].

The moves undercut policies put in place by banking regulators six years ago that aimed to prevent high-risk lending from once again damaging the economy.

Now, regulators and even White House officials are struggling to comprehend the scope and potential dangers of the massive pool of credits, known as leveraged loans, they helped create.

Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan Chase, Bank of America and other financial companies have originated these loans to hundreds of cash-strapped companies, many of which could be unable to repay if the economy slows or interest rates rise. [WaPo]

These officials are drawing very credible analogies with the banking system’s behavior prior to the Great Recession and how today’s seems similar in many respects. This seems very credible to me, as the arena and many of the particulars seem to correspond. As a member of the economy and working dude, this of course interests me – as it should my reader.

But I’m more interested in an more outré analogy, and that’s to cancer. Cancer is characterized as a corruption of a part of the body which is experiencing an abnormally high mutation rate of the DNA of the cells in question. Cell death is delayed or not permitted, resulting in rapid growth and monopolization of resources to the detriment of the host organism; the termination of the host organism is calamitous both to the host and to the cancer.

My analogy is to how investors relate to the companies in which they invest. A company whose profits and revenues are static is considered to be a company that is in trouble; only those that shoot for the moon, continually increasing profits, or have the potential to generate sudden and immense profits (think Little Pharma, or Apple), are considered to be healthy companies.

This is, from an evolutionary perspective, evolutionary pressure. We know, from biological evolution, that an evolutionary pressure results in one of two things: termination of the species, or the evolution of a survival mechanism to counter that pressure. One thing we do not see is a non-response, a static organism. The probability the organism does not change and survives is zero.

What does this mean in business? The pressure is for more and more profits. Companies respond, first beneficially (if you’re an economist; if you’re some other –ist, such as an environmentalist, then it may be neutral or even disastrously negative), by finding more efficient processes, replacement materials, and the like. But at some point, the gains dry up – they cannot go on forever.

I suspect the banking sector has reached its limits and is now dancing on the line of disaster. My Arts Editor saw this when she was a Wells Fargo employee and they were using an internal program called Eight is Great to encourage more selling of financial products to customers, without regard to the customers’ needs. The company culture, such as it was, was to simply make money. This has resulted in a number of scandals over the last several years.

Sector wide, we saw the termination of the Glass-Steagall legislation in 1999, which removed regulation of banking behavior and permitted ownership of investment services that contained inherent conflict-of-interest. This was motivated by the banking sector, which, like most regulated segments of the private sector, continually seeks to ‘capture’ its regulatory agencies, as well as influence Congress. With the accession of President Trump, much progress has been made by the banking sector on this front, as can be seen by the strongly bally-hooed deregulation, the subsequent Great Recession, and the continued pressure of the banking sector to remove the Glass-Steagall successor, the Dodd-Frank legislation. The banking sector players, which are all run by human beings susceptible to the usual human emotions of fear, pride, and the like, are pressured to continue to increase profits.

Think about that, and add in the time element.

It’s rather akin to the Malthusian conundrum: a population will continually expand until it runs out of resources. There are only so many profits to be made, yet the thirst for them is unquenchable, once that becomes the focus of investors. I say that as an investor myself.

So let me get to my point: in the future, we may have to accept that a company that is merely static in the profits and revenue results may be more desirable than those companies that are driven to continually increase profits. This would be a monstrous sea-change in the attitude of all investors but those in the low-risk category; indeed, I wonder if the entire stock-exchange concept has been entirely healthy for society as a whole, because it focuses on money rather than service. Remember, the oil of the economic machinery, which we call money, was not the original goal of capitalism. The original aim was to escape the evils of the the enforced status quo. If you weren’t born into the dominant banking family, the system would damn well make sure you would never be a significant competitor to it, either, and that applied to all other sectors. In a sense, the private sector hardly existed. The concept of money was a necessary but not sufficient part of making capitalists happier than the downtrodden of the status quo.

Today? Too many worship money. Look at who’s President.

I think it’s worth considering the behavior of economic actors, especially corporations, through the lens of cancer. Cancer’s dynamically changing DNA leads to it becoming immune to treatments which had formerly shut it down (remission). Similarly, for a while the banking sector was kept under control, but through its lobbying, agency capture, and other efforts, it’s gradually becoming immune to efforts to control its behavior.

And, like cancer, there’s little reason to believe its out of control behavior is good for the society within which it exists. The last time the corruption exploded, we had a Great Recession which scared the shit out of us. But now it’s shrugging off its restraints again, and it’s entirely possible that the next explosion will lead to even worse results than before. Don’t forget: the institutions that were Too Big To Fail are now even bigger. The financial craters may turn out to be even larger.

Belated Movie Reviews

How they made cocktails before World War II. The guy on the right screwed up once and lost his eyebrows.

The Shadow Returns (1946) is part of a long-neglected set of stories[1], published in magazines and told in radio shows, about private detective Lamont Cranston. He has an alter-ego, The Shadow, who wears a mask and is almost never seen but as a shadow against the wall, with which he uses extra-legal means to extract information from criminals and their associates while solving crimes. In this particular episode, he’s the nephew of the Commissioner of Police[2], which lets him hang around the investigation of a man who mysteriously commits suicide from the balcony of his mansion after a set of diamonds disappears from his mansion. In the company of his fiancee, Margot, and his minion, Shrevvy, they pursue lead after lead, twice more seeing men mysteriously leap to their deaths.

Soon, they discover the secret of the stones, a formula of immense value, and how a man’s fetish for a particular ranch tool is used to effect the many murders. As the bodies pile up, Lamont and Margot maintain their rather carefree approach to the case, until one of the several suspects, each less memorable than the next, is finally fingered, and the case is closed.

Now the only question is how to bundle The Shadow out of the mansion before the Inspector finally fingers him.

It’s ok. The humorous bits with Shrevvy are mostly off the mark, but Lamont and Margot have an easy chemistry that helps move this story along. This is definitely a pre-Bogart crime movie, as Bogart seems to mark the point where we get deep looks into the characters, whether they are protagonists or antagonists, and that’s why The Maltese Falcon and Casablanca stand head and shoulders above most of their predecessors.

Unfortunately, the print we saw had some damaged audio, but it was nothing we couldn’t tolerate. We mostly stuck around just to see why these guys kept leaping from balconies.

And here is the YT version (we saw the version on Amazon Prime). The YT preview looks terrible.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TLuGtk_f0Kg


1 Or perhaps not. I just know I’ve never seen any new stories in this series since I became a conscious human being. And I don’t care enough to do the necessary research.

2 Perhaps this is always true. I am unfamiliar with this series of stories.

The Aging Queen

Not all elephants end up poached. Wildlife photographer Will Burrard-Lucas has a blog post up concerning the last days of an elderly queen elephant, and they are very impressive. Rather than poaching those photos themselves, I’ll just recommend you visit his blog.

It may be sad that the queen has passed on since those photos were taken, but I’d prefer to think of it as the passing of a successful queen elephant, and as such a thing to be considered, oh, satisfying. There’s not really a word for the emotion in question.

As you view the photos, notice the signs of age, and think of how little we see such signs in wildlife photography. I found it moving.

Belated Movie Reviews

Smile! You’re on Candid Camera!

Sordid. I think that’s a good adjective for Forbidden World (1982; aka Mutant), an exploration of the horrors of unrestrained scientific research. Troubleshooter Colby, whose usual tool is a laser gun, and his trusty killer robot, Sam, has been assigned to a mysterious problem on Xarbia, an uninhabited planet hosting a research station. An interlude with a pointless space battle occurs, which incidentally utilizes footage from Battle Beyond the Stars (1980), after which Mike reaches the station.

He finds three or four scientists specializing in various fields of genetics, a couple of assistants, and a mutant something-or-other imprisoned in a science lab isolation chamber. With movable panels. And all the other research animals ripped to pieces, and blood all over the walls. But never mind that, because it’s time for dinner!

During their meal of syrup dripped on tofu, Mike discovers the scientists are remarkably close-mouthed about their work, as well as a missing scientist, Annie. In the meantime, one of the assistants, Jeff, who has been assigned to clean up the lab, turns out to be remarkably slow-witted: He sticks his head into the lab isolation chamber, and becomes the horrified host to whatever that damn mutant thing might be.

This is what earning a Ph.D. gets you.

Well, there’s cleaning up the liquifying Jeff (don’t ask), there’s the sleeping with the beautiful lady scientist, there’s another mutant, now looking like a giant spider, who goes gallumphing about out in the inhospitable outer world and manages to trap the science team lead and eat him up (yum!) with some of the most unbrushed teeth I’ve ever seen in a movie, all with Mike and Sam running around shooting their laser guns with little effect. And don’t forget the nudity.

Finally, the crime comes to the fore: the mutant, singular or plural, are actually the result of crossing a human cell with something called “Proto B,” a synthetic DNA that results in … the mutants? But then there’s the liquifaction of the bodies, which the mutants are eating. Maybe it’s something the mutants excrete. Yeah, that’s it. Sure. And missing Annie? She was the host mother for this mess. It didn’t end well for her.

Anyways, the scientist who has cancer (and the fakest coughs in the world) comes up with the solution for killing the mutant: feed his own cancer cells to the mutant. With the rest of the scientists gone in various horrific ways, Mike ends up as the ad hoc surgeon who must cut out the tumor and then feed it to the oncoming mutant, who doesn’t appear to want to ingest it, but a little ingenuity and soon all that is left is Mike and the surviving assistant. And, ah, a foaming monster. With teeth.

So, what’s the point? There’s no real sincerity in the “science is evil” theme, no palpable You shouldn’t do that! Not like Frankenstein’s Monster, anyways. The science team lead is vigorous in attempting to forestall Mike’s mission from successful completion, but exactly his motivations in defending the mutant, which eventually lunches on him, are completely unclear.

No, this is mostly about the visceralities of life: pursued by monsters, getting it on with the beautiful ladies, cleaning up messes, and a lack of sleep. If you’re feeling like you need a bit of a dip into a crass exploration of, ummmm, whatever this is, have at it.

Is North Carolina the Most Toxic State in the Union?, Ctd

A random addition to the evidence that North Carolina’s GOP breeds some really dubious characters, provided by a reader:

A Russian bank owned by former North Carolina Congressman Charles Taylor has been accused of money laundering and lost its license, according to Bloomberg News.

The Commercial Bank of Ivanovo “failed on multiple occasions to comply with Bank of Russia regulations” on money laundering “of criminally obtained incomes and the financing of terrorism,” the Bank of Russia said in a press release.

The bank lied about its assets and reserves, the central bank said, “in order to improve its financial indicators and conceal its actual financial standing.” The bank also artificially inflated its capital to make it look like it was in line with Russian regulations, the press release said. [Charlotte Observer]

Furthermore …

The AP reports, “Taylor bought CBI in 2003 alongside his business partner Boris Bolshakov, a former KGB agent and Supreme Soviet deputy who is listed as the bank’s second-largest shareholder.”

That same year, two people tied to Taylor testified that he “knew about fraudulent loans made by Asheville-based Blue Ridge Savings Bank, which he owned at the time, to a political supporter,” according to the AP. The then-congressman said at the time he did not know anything about the loans.

Sigh. I may be amused by Republican sleaze, but it’s in a painful way. I have to wonder if they’re conscious that their activities are not honorable, or if they lie to themselves as well.

Word Of The Day

Glycome:

The glycome is the entire complement of sugars, whether free or present in more complex molecules, of an organism. An alternative definition is the entirety of carbohydrates in a cell. The glycome may in fact be one of the most complex entities in nature. “Glycomics, analogous to genomics and proteomics, is the systematic study of all glycan structures of a given cell type or organism” and is a subset of glycobiology. [Wikipedia]

Noted in “Move over, DNA. Life’s other code is more subtle and far more powerful,” Hayley Bennett, NewScientist (29 March 2019, paywall):

The genetic code has just four biochemical letters strung together in lines. But the sugar code, known as the glycome, contains tens of different sugars that fit together in branched strings called glycans (see Diagram). Reading the sugar code isn’t just a case of decoding it letter by letter, but recognising the shape of each sugar and understanding what it means. That is hard. “It was so much easier to build on the DNA code, to develop tools for genomics,” says Godula.

Grim Schadenfreude

I suppose I should be appalled, but instead I cheer on the winning side. Here’s the CNN headline:

Suspected rhino poacher killed by an elephant then eaten by lions in South Africa

Given the cruel manner in which poachers treat their prey, I just don’t have a lot of sympathy, even if the article expressed dismay at the sight of the poacher’s daughters mourning their loss.

Messaging Review

Inaugurating a new UMB feature, these reviews will be of targeted messages to consumers by industrial groups, or even specific companies, in defense of their activities. This post might be considered a ragged, unfocused predecessor of this series.

So I received this one in email, but here it is online:

In the wake of the Green New Deal, which supposedly endangers the beef industry, this defends the beef industry by examining its many uses. I appreciated that the makers of this video, made (apparently) by Tech Insider, supplied references for their claims. I spot checked the bovine insulin claim and it appears to be accurate, although perhaps a little strongly put.

Clearly, though, the film makers are amateurs. Gelatin’s important in the making of … Gummi Bears? Collagen is important for … smoothing wrinkles out of faces? The selection of examples should exemplify the indispensability of cattle in the manufacture of products important in our everyday lives – not superfluous little shit that we would never miss if it had never been made.

All that said, perhaps its strongest defect is in what it doesn’t address. Speaking globally, there are often alternative solutions, sometimes environmentally or even economically superior, to the world’s problems. Suggesting that the utility of cattle makes it indispensable is intellectually deceptive so long as they don’t supply arguments to suggest why the cattle-associated solutions are far preferable to alternative solutions, especially on balance against the amount of feed (or just call it food) consumed by the beef vs how many people that food would support if eaten directly, as well as the climate change gases associated with cattle. That omission is disappointing.

In the end, its unintended message is, oddly enough, simply too many people.

Presidential Campaign: 2020 Edition

As a working dude, I don’t always have time to do the sort of in-depth research I’d like to be doing on political figures, especially those who may be up-and-coming, but not yet here. When I can read what appears to be a positive report on them from a member, or former member, of the opposition party, or at least someone of a political philosophy differing from the reportee, I take an interest. Reports from the same side can be a whitewash; reports from someone with little or no reason to conceal flaws are more likely to be honest.

With that in mind, Jennifer Rubin, ex-Republican, comments on Democratic Presidential wanna-be nominees Stacy Abrams, who just missed out on being governor of Georgia, and Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana:

Stacey Abrams is an African American woman, of “sturdy build” she says, from the South who barely lost the Georgia governor’s race, has made voting rights her passion and knocked it out of the ballpark in her response to this year’s State of the Union. Pete Buttigieg is a white, gay man of slight build from the Midwest who’s spent eight years as mayor of South Bend, Ind., a mid-sized city, served in the military and is a genuine intellectual. They couldn’t be more different, right?

Not exactly. Both are quite progressive but do well in red states and both have made a giant impression on the media and among those voters who know who they are. What’s the secret of their success? I’d argue they have important ingredients rarely found in a single politician.

First, both are crazy-smart. She’s a Yale Law School gradhe’s a Harvard grad and Rhodes scholar. They don’t simply have credentials, however. They have nimble, curious minds and are voracious readers. That makes them interesting to listen to and makes them sound somehow different, more serious than traditional politicians who rely on buzzwords and catchphrases. [WaPo]

That they value knowledge is, of course, important to me, and should be to any voter. Rubin has lots more. My takeaway from this? To watch the other Democratic nominees with this in mind: are they trying to distract me with their body language, or are they talking to me. Do they seem chronically curious about the world, or do they think they know all the answers already?

That was part of Obama’s attraction for me: forever reading, always searching for a viewpoint that gave insight into problems he was, or might, face.

But more important is Rubin’s throwaway line:

Both are quite progressive but do well in red states …

In this line may well lie the winning Democratic Presidential strategy for 2020: to nominate someone from a red state. Buttigieg, of course, is not holding a state-wide office, but his last victory in South Bend was with 80% of the vote in a city in a red state. Abrams lost deep South Georgia by a whisker.

I wonder just how much they’d rupture the red states if one of them won the race for Democratic nominee and picked the other as running mate.

My exposure to both is confined to their appearances on The Late Show. Buttigieg came through as having a sense of humor, but of serious purpose as well. Abrams, which was just a night or two ago, seemed to have quite the nimble sense of humor, had just the right touch of embarrassment concerning her career as a romance novelist, undertaken to put food on the table, and was at least as impressive as Buttigieg and other The Late Show guests Harris, and moreso than Gillibrand.

Belated Movie Reviews

Yes, they’re singing a song! But why?

Let’s say you’re in the mood for some psychoactive drugs, but you’re lacking any, whether it’s a dearth of cash on your part, or all the shops have closed up for the night. What to do?

Friends, I can heartily recommended Forbidden Zone (1980) to fill that gap in your life. It left us with mouths agape and eyes aswim with tears, as Frenchy’s family wanders into the Sixth Dimension in search of their kidnapped relative. Meanwhile, King Fausto lusts after her (she’s French, and therefore perfect), Queen Doris continually sends assassins after her, her family seems to be having, well, intimate relations with anything that’ll sit still for it, and Chicken Man. Yes, Chicken Man. Who needs complete sentences for this review?

Yes, you, too, can partake of surrealistic juvenilia. Just don’t ask me why anyone made this.

It’s All About The Money, And I’m Tired Of It, Ctd

The lobbying update from AL-Monitor has more details on the attempted transfer of nuclear tech to Saudi Arabia:

The Donald Trump administration has granted nine authorizations to sell civil nuclear technology and assistance to the Middle East since taking office, including seven to Saudi Arabia and two to Jordan, Energy Secretary Rick Perry revealed to Congress this week. The so-called Part 810 approvals come after a massive lobbying push by Saudi Arabia and several US firms to negotiate a bilateral civil nuclear deal with the United States that remains in limbo amid concerns over nuclear proliferation and the congressional backlash over the murder of Jamal Khashoggi and the war in Yemen.

Unlike its predecessor, the Trump administration is refusing to disclose which firms were issued the 810s. However lobbying records reviewed by Al-Monitor shed some light on the matter. Virginia-based Bechtel, the largest US construction company, has lobbied the Department of Energy regarding “Part 810 licensing relating to Saudi Arabia” since the first quarter of 2018 (Bechtel National spent a total of $130,000 last year lobbying on 810s and other issues).

A Bechtel spokesperson told Al-Monitor that the firm has “no current efforts regarding commercial nuclear power in Saudi Arabia” after dropping out of the running for a bid to build two nuclear plants in the kingdom. The firm would not confirm or deny on the record that it had received an 810.

Bechtel is the only firm that has disclosed any lobbying specifically on 810s related to Saudi Arabia. Several firms that remain interested in Saudi nuclear projects and attended a meeting of nuclear developers at the White House in February however have also disclosed related lobbying. Westinghouse Electric has lobbied on “810 licensing,” while Exelon and Centrus have lobbied on civilian 123 agreements. The Fluor Corporation, which is reportedly working with Westinghouse and Exelon on the bid, has also lobbied on “Issues related to Section 123 Agreements and Part 810 Reform.”

Separately, the Saudi Ministry of Energy, Industry and Mineral Resources hired four law firms last year to lobby on the nuclear issue: King & SpaldingPillsbury Winthrop Shaw PittmanGowling WLG and the law office of David B. Kultgen. Read all our Saudi lobbying coverage here.

Take it as you will.

Snark Alert

In response to news that Tesla is making more games available on the drivers’ panel of their iconic electric cars, Lloyd Alter of Treehugger pines for a more apropros offering:

Classic movies would be good too, like Death Race 2000.

For those not in the know, Death Race 2000 (1975) wasn’t a classic race, but instead consisted of finding ways to kill people with the hopped up cars. The most points, the win.

But That’s Computational Photography, Your Honor!, Ctd

A reader remarks on the imminent infidelity of cameras to reality:

The latest pro camera from Olympus has an AI that’s been trained (by feeding it thousands of images) to recognize a number of things (planes, trains, automobiles) and choose optimal focus points, shutter/aperture and image enhancement. They also are using AI in their endoscopes to recognize and help physicians diagnose cancer. The resulting images are perhaps not “true” but certainly useful.

Amazing stuff. But at some point there’s a change from “better focal selection” to “enhancements that renders the camera’s work a possible work of fiction,” as the authors of the article argue. I think the reader’s examples don’t step over the line. But what happens when examples are offered, in court, that do? And then court case after that, when maybe a cop beats up someone who’s been arrested, and then claims in court that the camera used to record the beating “just made it up”?

Reality is becoming more and more distant.

Me Me Me Marches On

Often in rhetoric, the implicit logic of a position is followed into absurdities, thus, the argument goes, illustrating the folly of the position. Going in the other direction is a little less popular, but can be used to argue that some cultural position is, if not absurd, at least flawed.

In this spirit, I present the subject of an e-mail from known lefty organization MoveOn.org:

Join us tomorrow: We deserve the full Mueller report NOW

Stop and think about that: what have they done to deserve access to the full report? Are they such worthy creatures, by virtue of being American citizens – perhaps – that all such reports should be automatically bestowed on them? Have they attributes of Gods and must therefore have every whim satisfied? Is it true –

This line of reasoning ridicule can go on for quite some time, once you take their wording seriously.

If pressed, I suggest they’d shrug and suggest it’s merely a figure of speech. My reply is that reflects the basic absurdity of some facet of their philosophy of extreme individualism, and the >ahem< apparent divinity which goes along with it.

Naturally, as chronic readers of this blog know or can guess, I’m in favor of the full release of the Mueller report. Not because I’m a God[1][2], or need to satisfy some intellectual / prurient interest, or some other self-interested, self-aggrandizing, or even grandiose reason.

But because I think the more information we have on the character of our President, shrouded as it is in lies and deliberate metaphorical fog, the better our country, as a whole, can make proper decisions about whether to cut his Presidency short – or to permit it to move on to a second term.

This may all seem akin to counting angels on the head of a pin, but let me draw a lesson from engineering: way too many times I’ve seem some subtle assumption or implementation decision that looked right, seemed right – and was wrong. And correcting that mistake rippled through the system like the waves of a pebble in a still pond, troubling the waters far out of proportion to the apparent size of the decision.

Operating from proper assumptions and philosophical underpinnings is far less likely to lead one astray. The self-entitlement mind-set evident in the subject of that email speaks volumes about the half-baked philosophy of those who wrote it.


1 Which would be a funny thing to claim for an agnostic.

2 Nonetheless, I’ve been proclaimed one an uncomfortable number of times, decaded ago. No kidding. Even in fun, it’s disturbing.

Will Public Computing Take A Hit?

Michael Le Page reports on the climate impact of all your computing devices for NewScientist (16 March 2019):

Our tech addiction is cooking the planet. The manufacture and use of smartphones, computers and TVs will produce 4 per cent of global greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 and 8 per cent by 2025.

That is the conclusion of a report on the sustainability of the digital technology sector put together by 12 experts for a Paris-based think tank called The Shift Project, which says that energy use in this sector is increasing by 9 per cent every year.

In theory, digital technology could replace other activities that produce even more emissions. For instance, people might be using video conferencing instead of flying to meetings. But this isn’t happening, says Maxime Efoui-Hess, one of the authors of the report.

“The ‘good effects’ of digital technologies, in terms of energy consumption and associated greenhouse gas emissions, are constantly neutralised at global scale by the fact that we use these technologies without thinking about the right way to do it,” he says.

And if we fail to make excellent progress replacing fossil fuel power plants with ‘green’ power plants, however you wish to define ‘green’, then that raises the question of how to deal with these power hogs we have on our desk and in our pockets. Will we have rallies where we turn off all the computing devices for a day? A week? A month?

Or will we somehow enforce a ‘tasks suitable for computing’ regimen? No more computer filing, it’s all by hand? Back to Solitaire using real decks? A huge cached server to which you can make a request as to whether “something” has been computed, and get the immediate result back if true, otherwise you compute it and then contribute the result? That last one would present some interesting challenges in terms of problem specification and scalability, but for sufficiently difficult to compute problems, it might be useful.

And the impact on the public computing projects could be enormous. A choice between a better climate and more knowledge? Hard to make a pick. The servers that MUST be up 24 hours could continue to contribute, but everyone else, such as myself? It turns into an interesting question.

Is North Carolina the Most Toxic State in the Union?, Ctd

When it comes to North Carolina’s GOP, the charges are almost drearily to be expected:

Federal prosecutors have unsealed an indictment charging North Carolina State Republican Party Chairman Robin Hayes and three associates in an alleged bribery scheme involving campaign contributions to the state insurance commissioner.

Hayes, along with political and business figures Greg Lindberg, John Gray and John Palermo, made initial appearances in US District Court in Charlotte Tuesday.

“The indictment unsealed today outlines a brazen bribery scheme in which Greg Lindberg and his co-conspirators allegedly offered hundreds of thousands of dollars in campaign contributions in exchange for official action that would benefit Lindberg’s business interests,” said Assistant Attorney General Benczkowski in a news release.

The March 18 indictment charges Hayes, Lindberg, Gray and Palermo with wire fraud as well as bribery concerning programs receiving federal funds and aiding and abetting. Hayes also has been charged with making false statements. …

The alleged scheme was to pay the commissioner of the North Carolina Department of Insurance at least $1.5 million in exchange for making staff changes, among other things, the court documents say. [CNN]

The little cesspool of North Carolina politics may have just had a filter put on it. I look forward to hearing how this turns out.

Growing Global

I keep wondering why I added my name to an email list AL Monitor uses to send mail concerning lobbying in Washington. Then I run across something like this from last Friday:

This newsletter reported last week that Saudi-owned alfalfa farm Fondomonte Arizona recently hired the Rose Law Group out of Scottsdale to lobby on “agriculture and employment issues.” Now the Guardian sheds new light on the issue with an in-depth look look into Saudi efforts to exploit loose water regulations in the drought-stricken American West to grow food for Saudi cows.

Which leads to this Guardian article:

Four hours east of Los Angeles, in a drought-stricken area of a drought-afflicted state, is a small town called Blythe where alfalfa is king. More than half of the town’s 94,000 acres are bushy blue-green fields growing the crop.

Massive industrial storehouses line the southern end of town, packed with thousands upon thousands of stacks of alfalfa bales ready to be fed to dairy cows – but not cows in California’s Central Valley or Montana’s rangelands.

Instead, the alfalfa will be fed to cows in Saudi Arabia.

The storehouses belong to Fondomonte Farms, a subsidiary of the Saudi Arabia-based company Almarai – one of the largest food production companies in the world. The company sells milk, powdered milk and packaged items such as croissants, strudels and cupcakes in supermarkets and corner stores throughout the Middle East and North Africa, and in specialty grocers throughout the US.

Each month, Fondomonte Farms loads the alfalfa on to hulking metal shipping containers destined to arrive 24 days later at a massive port stationed on the Red Sea, just outside King Abdullah City in Saudi Arabia.

The efficiency of the global transportation system continues to amaze me. More importantly, the ability of the Saudis to export the ruination of an ecological system, while not uncommon, is quite troubling, and speaks to the current position of royal agency the dollar has achieved in the American system – much to our unconscious (mostly) distress.

Belated Movie Reviews

Much like The Day Of The Triffids (1962), the story Night Caller From Outer Space (1965) is an attempt by the British to infuse an essentially silly story with professional effort. Here we have a monstrous meteorite entering Earth’s atmosphere with neither an explosion or a crater left at its landing point, but just a small silicon-covered sphere. Found by the military in the company of a leading science team, they soon discover the sphere is actually a matter transceiver – but at the cost of the science team’s leader. Worse yet, the creature that comes through escapes the military compound with the matter transceiver in tow.

But it’s the connection to Ganymede, a moon of Jupiter, which is most puzzling. A number of young women in London and neighboring towns have gone missing, and somehow it’s connected to the creature – but how?

The police not accounting for the impossible, and a couple of bodies, and in the end, the creature escapes with the women. His goal? They will become the mothers of a new race of Ganymedeans, a race that is fatally damaged by their own hubris. As he leaves the horrified police behind, he shouts they needn’t worry about their safety.

Call it dark if you like.

This story has a few things going for it. The science, outside of the one incredible part allocated to it, doesn’t do too badly most of the time, although there’s a few head-shakers in the bunch. The lead female character is quite strong, and I liked her a lot – I wish she’d had more lines and scenes.

But the motivation of the Ganymedeans was more than a little difficult to take seriously. Perhaps if we’d spent a little more time with the creature, we’d have more empathy for the antagonist – but that would have shattered the tension the moviemakers are at pains to build.

In the end, this is not as good as The Day of the Triffids, and that’s too bad. It was a solid professional effort, undone by the script.

But That’s Computational Photography, Your Honor!

In NewScientist (16 March 2019, paywall), Donna Lu notes that our smartphone cameras have been enhanced so much that, well, they no longer record reality any longer, but replace it:

THE phrase “the camera never lies” has never been so wrong. Artificially intelligent smartphones are now editing pictures in real time to create images that can’t be produced by conventional cameras. These enhancements, known as computational photography, are changing the way we view the world.

The goal of digital photography was once to approximate what our eyes see. “All digital cameras, including ones on smartphones, have always had some sort of processing to modify contrast and colour balance,” says Neel Joshi, who works on computer vision at Microsoft Research.

Computational photography goes beyond this, automatically making skin smoother, colours richer and pictures less grainy. It can even turn night into day.

These photos may look better, but they raise concerns about authenticity and trust in an era of fakeable information. “The photos of the future will not be recorded, they’ll be computed,” says Ramesh Raskar at the MIT Media Lab.

The endangered activity that is not mentioned, I noticed, was citizen proctoring of police activities. After all, smartphones are the primary device for recording police misconduct by citizens. Is there anything to stop a policeman from arguing that the photography of his conduct cannot be introduced as evidence because it’s so easily modified?

Of course, this defense is less likely to work if there are more than one recording device employed, but it’s not hard to argue in this Age of the Network that the devices merely coordinated their modifications.

This will not be far in the future, I predict.

Belated Movie Reviews

Arsenic and Old Lace (1962) is actually a play written by Joseph Kesselring, but we saw it in its movie form. This reminds me a little bit of Oscar Wilde’s The Importance of Being Earnest in that both are about the unsuspected, shocking secrets we keep from even our closest friends and family. Drama critic Mortimer Brewster’s surviving family consists of his delusional brother, Teddy, who believes he’s T. Roosevelt, currently President, occasional digger of canals, and someday to go on a famous safari in Africa (his sense of time is remarkable); his unmentionable and, well, loathed brother Jonathan, unseen for years since his eviction from the family home; and his spinster aunts, Martha and Abby Brewster.

He’s hoping to add a new member to the family in the form of Elaine Harper, asking her to marry him, and she is joyful to answer yes. But while hunting for some papers at his aunts’ boarding house, he discovers a body hidden in the windowseat, a discovery which doesn’t perturb his aunts, since, you see, they stored the body there after poisoning the poor man.

One might say Mortimer’s hair becomes a trifle undone at the revelation, but it nearly flies from his head when he learns that Teddy digging his “canals” means the digging of graves, and there’s eleven more, or is it twelve, down in the basement. (I feel a little as if I should be doing Dr. Seuss rhymes at this point.)

Distressing as this is, it’s merely a warmup, for it turns out that long-lost brother Jonathan may not be sentimentally missed, but neither is he lost. The aunts Mabel and Abby are distressed at his unexpected return and his desire to make their home his on a long-term basis, but they soon become absolutely furious. Why?

Well, his count of kills rivals their’s, for one thing. This is intolerable, now isn’t it?

The plot continues on, to Mortimer’s distress, as he tells his beloved that he cannot possibly marry her because of unnamed defects in his family. But as the police descend on them, albeit for a chip and a sandwich, who will end in the lead in their morbid little race, and where, geographically, in their midnight travels? And about that story-ending twist…

I thought this was a lot of fun, if not quite as agile and slick as The Importance of Being Earnest. The script had been slightly modified, I assume, for the presence of Boris Karloff, and the mods gave it a little bit of an extra kick. The only real problems are the production values, as there’s quite a bit of glare and occasionally the sound is a bit off. But if you like farce, this is not a bad one at all.

That Darn Climate Change Conspiracy, Ctd

A reader sends in a link to some more climate change that seems a bit contradictory, published in Snow Brains:

A major glacier in Greenland that at one point was one the fastest shrinking ice and snow masses on Earth is growing again, a new NASA study reports and is covered by ABC.

In 2012 the Jakobshavn glacier was retreating about 1.8 miles and thinning nearly 130 feet every year. But that has reversed and in the past two years, it has started growing again at the same rate, according to a study in Monday’s Nature Geoscience. Study authors and outside scientists think this is temporary. …

University of Washington ice scientist Ian Joughin, who wasn’t part of the study and predicted such a change seven years ago, said it would be a “grave mistake” to interpret the latest data as contradicting climate change science.The water can get cooler and have effects, but in the long run it is getting warmer and the melting will be worse, he said.

Time will tell the final story. However, as the climate scientists have been quite good in their predictions, it’s worth giving a lot of credence to Joughin’s comment.

For what it’s worth, here’s Climate Reanalyzer’s 2M Temperate Map for today:

There’s indeed a cold spot around Greenland – but it’s merely a day’s measurement, and isn’t measuring the ocean’s temperature. The scary part is all the red down around the equator. Sea Surface temp is more interesting in our case:

Again, a mere day’s measurement. But what I think is interesting is the connection to the North Pole. Could this be a result of the cold normally locked into the ice cap flowing down to Greenland, analogous to the recent breakdowns in the polar vortex? I hope to hear an answer to that unvoiced question some day.

SCOTUS Conservatives Put Their Foot In Their Ass, Ctd

You may remember the last, failed appeal by Dominique Ray to have a representative of his faith tradition (Muslim) be present at his execution, and that SCOTUS voted 5-4 along strict party lines in that decision. But now another such appeal has come along, this time involving a Buddhist – and SCOTUS voted 7-2 to uphold the appeal. So what the hell is going on? Ilya Somin of The Volokh Conspiracy explains the situation and has a guess as to the reason for the decision:

… the Supreme Court stayed an execution in a Texas case in which the defendant, a Buddhist, was denied the right to have a Buddhist priest join him in the execution chamber, even though Christian and Muslim prisoners were allowed the company of spiritual advisers of the same faith, in like circumstances. The facts of Murphy v. Collier are very similar to those of Dunn v. Ray, a recent ruling in which the Court allowed an Alabama execution to go forward, even though the prisoner, a Muslim, was not allowed to have a Muslim imam in the execution chamber with him, while Christian prisoners were allowed to have a Christian minister present. …

Why then, did Alito, Kavanaugh, and Roberts rule in favor of Murphy despite previously ruling against Ray? We cannot know for sure. But it is possible to make some educated guesses. …

A more likely reason, in my view, is that the justices saw the extremely negative reaction against their decision in Ray, and belatedly realized they had made a mistake; and not just any mistake, but one that inflicted real damage on their and the Court’s reputations. Presented with a chance to “correct” their error and signal that they will not tolerate religious discrimination in death penalty administration, they were willing to bend over backwards to seize the opportunity, and not let it slip away.

And, whatever can be said about the procedural question, it’s a good thing that the justices have taken a major step towards clearing up any confusion over their stance on the substantive one. Whether in death penalty cases or elsewhere, it is indeed impermissible for the government to discriminate on the basis of religion.

I’m a little conflicted. It’s dismaying to see the Court swayed by public opinion (or pundit prattle, if you prefer), since Courts are ideally in the business of interpreting the law & Constitution regardless of the whim of public opinion. They provide a stable pillar to how government works.

On the other hand, given the reaction from across the political spectrum to what appeared to be religious bigotry on the part of the conservative wing of the Court in Ray, it’s a little reassuring that at least Alito, Kavanaugh, and Roberts were willing to admit a prior mistake and have backfilled where they can, assuming that Somin is correct in his guess.

But then how do we evaluate the Gorsuch and Thomas votes? They may have reasoned that making this a 9-0 vote for the appellant in Murphy would have suggested they had made a mistake in Ray; or it might have suggested inconstancy in their judgments between the two cases. Neither looks good for their legacy. On the other hand, their vote in Ray is an equally outsized blemish on their legacies. It’d be interesting to know if any of these guesses truly are accurate, or if they’d put forth yet another reason for their stubborn position.

And for the long term? I’m not sure. That Chief Justice Roberts screwed up the Ray case is appalling and disappointing. Somin has already pointed out in text I did not quote that, if anything, the reasoning applied by the majority in Ray applied with even more impact in Murphy; yet three conservative justices did not accept that reasoning.

These two cases, although as I understand it not precedent-setting, may generate painful and logically twisted legal arguments for years to come.