About Hue White

Former BBS operator; software engineer; cat lackey.

It’s Not Enough To Spit On Them

Conservative WaPo columnist Max Boot finds it necessary to confirm his decision to leave the Republican Party in the wake of it transforming into the Trumpian Party:

Personally, I’ve thrown up my hands in despair at the debased state of the GOP. I don’t want to be identified with the party of the child-snatchers. But I respect principled conservatives who are willing to stay and fight to reclaim a once-great party that freed the slaves and helped to win the Cold War. What I can’t respect are head-in-the-sand conservatives who continue to support the GOP by pretending that nothing has changed.

They act, these political ostriches, as if this were still the party of Ronald Reagan and John McCain rather than of Steve Bannon and Stephen Miller — and therefore they cling to the illusion that supporting Republican candidates will advance their avowed views. Wrong. The current GOP still has a few resemblances to the party of old — it still cuts taxes and supports conservative judges. But a vote for the GOP in November is also a vote for egregious obstruction of justice, rampant conflicts of interest, the demonization of minorities, the debasement of political discourse, the alienation of America’s allies, the end of free trade and the appeasement of dictators.

That is why I join Will and other principled conservatives, both current and former Republicans, in rooting for a Democratic takeover of both houses in November. Like postwar Germany and Japan, the Republican Party must first be destroyed before it can be rebuilt.

It’s encouraging that some of the conservatives who populated the Republican Party recognize the disaster into which the GOP has transformed itself. But there really needs to be more than this: how this has occurred must be identified, isolated, and procedures put into place to discourage it from happening again. For example, one of my favorite hobby horses is the Team Politics rule and how it turns out that it encourages victory at the electoral box, but discourages the development of worthy leaders, locally and nationally. The result is that he or she who is best at lickspittle politics ends up occupying positions of power – the opposite of a meritocracy, which is the basis of the United States. This policy, this entire culture, should be banned by the leaders of the future reborn GOP, or whatever the legitimate conservative party ends up naming itself.

So when Mr. Boot waves a flag of national emergency, it’s all well and good. But we need to learn from this national mistake, and try to prevent it in the future, if possible.

Belated Movie Reviews

They’re on a date. Bestiality will occur later.

For science nuts, Dinosaurus! (1960) is an abomination and a blasphemy – if you also don’t have a sense of humor. For the rest of us, it’s an agonizing stop-action / sock puppet movie set in the Virgin Islands. A crew of Americans are dredging out a bay at an island when they encounter two frozen monsters. In the interests of paleontology, they drag them up on the beach, much to the delight of the local cute kid, Julio. In the meantime, the local equivalent to a mob boss has been menacing the waitresses of the restaurant and Julio (the Americans are not impressed), but during the night, he inadvertently discovers the frozen body of a caveman. Smelling a cash cow, he pulls the body off the beach and into the woods.

The incoming tropical storm of the evening features lots of lightning, which functions as a giant automated external defibrillator (AED) for giants, and soon enough the monsters, a Tyrannosaurus Rex and a Brontosaurus, are up and tromping about, making dinner out of the watchman (who, in a touch of humor, happens to be reading a comic book named Rip Van Winkle) and then charging off into the forest.

An unusual and, sadly, unfortunate element of this movie is the recovery of the caveman, who invades a local house and proceeds to puzzle over the sputterings of the short-wave radio, tries on the lady’s frilly dress (it doesn’t suit him), and is eventually discovered and befriended by Julio, who serves him a bit of pie after teaching him how to sit in a chair. In what’s otherwise a survival tale, the humor is ill-fitting, if earnestly presented, but has little function in this story.

The mob boss refuses to let go of his dream of riches, and despite the shrieks of the T. Rex in the forest, he and his minions (another couple of farce-specialists) track down the caveman. However, he proves hard to handle and escapes with Julio into the forest. Pursued by the mob boss, the T. Rex, and the leader of the Americans, Julio gets a ride on the Brontosaurus before he and the leading lady, who has little function beyond being cute, take refuge in the abandoned mine from the T. Rex. (We’ll skip over the uncomfortable near-sex scene of the caveman with the leading lady.)

T. Rex proves impervious to the Molotov cocktails dreamed up by the Americans, but soon enough the refugees escape and end up at the ruins of the colonial fortress of the island, where a moat of oil-fueled fire holds the T. Rex off until the leader of the Americans hits on the idea of forcing the T. Rex off a cliff and into the sea below using construction machines.

I shouldn’t have wasted my time reciting the plot. While the comedic element of the caveman was unusual and unwanted, it was otherwise the typical dinosaur survival story, or, to misquote Jurassic Park’s Ian Malcolm, a screaming and running movie. The Rip Van Winkle bit made me laugh, but otherwise it was all fairly boring. Perhaps in 1960 it was thrilling, but in the context of today’s CGI effects, it’s more a historical curiosity.

Wailing Over Meaningless Doctrine

On The Resurgent, Susan Wright is discomfited by another evangelist leader who’s using the Bible to support Donald Trump:

Televangelist Andrew Wommack hosted a Facebook question and answer time on Facebook Tuesday night, as a lead-in to his usual Truth & Liberty livestream event.

At some point, the pastor was asked by a viewer why so many Christians were “blinded” and couldn’t see how God could be using Donald Trump.

It’s the same kind of nonsense I have dealt with in a thousand interactions since the election. Trump, with his adulteries, cheating, scamming, lying, and abusiveness is King David. He’s King Cyrus. They’ve stopped just shy of assigning messianic qualities to him, in some cases.

Just shy.

Wommack’s answer to this question was the dangerous twisting of Scripture that so many have used to excuse their support of an ungodly man.

Citing a passage from 2 Thessalonians in which Paul warns that, in the Last Days, God will send a “powerful delusion” on those “refused to love the truth,” Wommack said that this is precisely what is happening now.

“How come people can’t see things today?” he asked. “It really defies logic. It really does defy logic. It seems like there is a supernatural deception that’s over people that they can’t see the fallacy of what they’re doing.”

“I do believe that we are in the End Times and this is one of the signs of the End Times,” Wommack said. “I believe that there is a demonic deception that is blinding people today.”

I’ll agree with Wommack on this: There is a great delusion that has overtaken the people.

Four heads are better than one.

Trying to derive doctrine from a text readable in so many ways, years after it’s been translated, all strikes me as one of the nuttier ways to spend one’s time these days. But I suppose it’s not surprising, as it’s a movement pre-disposed to accepting the cloying bullshit of charlatans.

I know it’s just chanting into the wind, but how about evaluating President Trump on his own terms, using your life experiences with liars and cheats, and then tell me how you feel about his competency in a position completely outside of his experience? The difference in conclusions will cast a new light on the rancid remark magical thinking.

Yacking over “doctrine” … just leaves me shaking what I use for a head these days.

What You Stand To Lose

The US Chamber of Commerce has evaluated the costs of the “easy to win” trade wars President Trump is kicking off, and broken them down by state. What does Minnesota stand to lose?

Tariffs imposed by the United States are nothing more than a tax increase on American consumers and businesses–including manufacturers, farmers, and technology companies–who will all pay more for commonly used products and materials.

Retaliatory tariffs imposed by other countries on U.S. exports will make American-made goods more expensive, resulting in lost sales and ultimately lost jobs here at home.

This is the wrong approach, and it threatens to derail our nation’s recent economic resurgence.

This is coming from a bastion of Republican support. As the Republican Party becomes the Party of Trump, of right-wing ideology (that being, manic loyalty to Trump) and Trump’s poorly thought out political actions, the Chamber of Commerce becomes a marker of sorts of just how far the GOP has slunk from its old mooring at the pier of capitalism, free markets, and a strong defense, and moved to the pier of mercantilism, xenophobia, and a cult of personality that might begin to verge on Mao-like someday. It’s not hard to attribute some principle to the CoC, while the Republicans, as embodied by Trump, are now more or less moving through a self-interested set of political moves, not motivated by love of country, but love of self.

Kevin Drum thinks this means the cultural war we’ve been expecting is about to begin:

Trump hasn’t responded with a devastating tweet yet, but I’m sure he will eventually. At this point, though, China has retaliated against Trump. Canada has retaliated against Trump. Europe has retaliated against Trump. And now the Chamber of Commerce has retaliated against Trump. The battle is finally fully engaged.

I don’t know that Trump considered the CoC to be a vital ally, so he may not consider their ‘betrayal’ to be much of an event. But time will tell.

Not Every Vacation Is Good

Being neither musical nor obsessed with the literature of the 19th century, I was unaware of this particular vacation trip, as described by Jonathan Gaisman in Standpoint:

The most notoriously unsuccessful holiday in the history of classical music was that taken by Chopin and his androgynous literary lover George Sand (and her family) in Majorca in 1838-1839. The trousered, cigar-smoking Sand was derided by Baudelaire as possessing the morals of a janitress; her future lover Alfred de Musset mordantly observed of the silver dagger which pinned her hair that “a woman of such slight virtue hardly required so immoderate a weapon”. Chopin’s characteristically acidulous comment on his first encounter was, “What an unattractive person la Sand is. Is she really a woman?” That was in 1836; by 1838 the two were lovers. They numbered Delacroix (who painted them both) and Heine among their Paris friends.

In Majorca, where they arrived in November 1838, they soon retreated to a former charterhouse in the valley of Moses or Valdemossa, high in the mountains outside Palma. Here they occupied cell 4. (In the late 20th century, the owner of this cell successfully sued the owner of cell 2, who was passing it off as the composer’s former residence.) Relations with the islanders did not prosper: in her 1841 memoir Un hiver à Majorque, Sand referred to them as “cowards, hypocrites, pickpockets, Indian monkeys, Polynesian savages”. The local newspaper retaliated, describing her as “the most immoral of writers . . . the most obscene of women”. Chopin’s fragile health deteriorated through the winter. A neighbour observed: “That consumptive will go to hell, first for being a consumptive, and next for not going to confession.” Sand claimed that her children were stoned in the streets. They abandoned Majorca in February 1839, leaving the Bauza behind them. As is the way with unsuccessful holidays, this one improved in recollection; Chopin later told Liszt that the short visit was one of the happiest times of his life: “It was as if, like Linnaeus’s clock, the time of day was told by the blossoming of flowers, each with a different perfume and each disclosing other beauties as they opened outwards.”

I cannot say I’ve had such an unsuccessful vacation myself.

Delaying That Mexican Vacation

Kevin Drum is riding his favorite hobby horse, but this time in the context of Mexico. It’s a fetching Iron Horse …

Mexico didn’t start to phase out leaded gasoline until 1990, and average blood lead levels were at or above 15 μg/dl until then, especially in rural areas. In America, the generation of children born during the era of BLLs that high (1970-1980) was the same generation that later produced the “superpredator” hysteria of the 90s—except that it’s a little unfair to call it hysteria, since many of these kids really were unusually vicious and dangerous.

Mexico, by contrast, had a generation of kids born as late as 2000 with BLLs this high. The fact that violence is endemic 18 years later is no big surprise. In another decade, things should be a lot better.

Fascinating. So when, in fifteen or thirty years, we try to explain the drop in violence in Mexico, will it be because of the legalization of marijuana and other currently illegal drugs by the big neighbor to the north? The efforts of Mexican Federal troops? These are highly tangible efforts by law enforcement to control law-breakers, so it’s the very tempting choice. Abatement of lead in the environment, on the other hand, is a public health effort which, simply because it’s aimed at brain damage rather than violence, is the less obvious answer.

And the others make for such great arguments. Just think of former NYC Mayor Guiliani still trying to take credit for cleaning up New York using the “broken window” approach. His squalling can be positively vociferous. And I can understand why he does that, because lead abatement is not the obvious solution for the problem he was trying to solve.

If the lead poisoning theory of societal violence does prove out, it’s a glaring example of the dangers of unconstrained pollution. And it makes one wonder about our current collection of leaders and their irrational choices. Did that doc of Trump’s perform a blood level test on him?

There’s A Clue Here, Ctd

Last time I talked about a Nazi in Illinois who had managed to win the GOP nomination for a seat in the House of Representatives, but he’s not the only example of the Republican run to the right. WaPo discusses the mass embarrassment felt by the Virginia GOP after a former Minnesotan by the name of Corey Stewart won the Republican nomination for the Senate seat currently held by former VP candidate Tim Kaine by embracing Southern statuary, attacking immigrants, and refusing to disavow white supremacists:

Stewart’s elevation has some lifelong Republicans questioning their political identity.

“I am extremely disappointed that a candidate like Corey Stewart could win the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate,” former Republican lieutenant governor Bill Bolling tweeted on the night of Stewart’s primary win. “This is clearly not the Republican Party I once knew, loved and proudly served. Every time I think things can’t get worse they do, and there is no end in sight.”

Rory Stolzenberg, who began identifying with the GOP as a fourth-grader and had a seat on the state party’s governing board in his early 20s, plans to vote for Kaine.

“When the debate is between bad policies and fundamentally un-American policies that betray the democratic ideals that this country was founded on, it’s not even a choice anymore,” said Stolzenberg, 26, a Charlottesville entrepreneur. “I question whether I’m still a Republican, but I think it’s important that we don’t surrender the party to people like that.”

It’s not trickery, it’s a matter of numbers and attitude of the base. Stewart claims he’s not a supremacist, but he appears to be repulsing traditional members of the Republican Party.

I think there’s a clue here, though:

Fissures opened anew the next year when Dave Brat, a little-known professor with a tea party following, toppled then-House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, with help from Breitbart News. Divides between Cantor and his supporters, and Brat and the tea partyers still resonate four years later.

And Brat then won the seat, despite being little-known. That’s the key, little-known, because it implies the Party’s levers of party have been usurped by the extremists.

That’s something to think about, for the moderate Republicans. How long will they stick around?

Back To Prosperity, Which Didn’t Work Last Time

The Green Revolution, long lauded as averting mass famine, turns out to have an attributed dark side in India: farmer suicide. Katherine Martinko on Treehugger.com  comments:

Amrita Bhoomi offers an alternative to this deadly cycle. The centre’s educational philosophy is based largely on the teachings of Shri Subhash Palekar, the charismatic guru of “zero budget natural farming“, who teaches that a farmer doesn’t need anything other than what s/he has available locally to maximize soil fertility. The method uses home-brewed concoctions made from fresh cow dung (it must be an indigenous cow), cow urine (the older the better), jaggery (coarse palm sugar), and lentil flour to promote microbacterial growth in the soil. In Gifford’s words:

“Zero budget natural farming is amazing because it’s not top down; it’s informal, decentralized; there’s no central organizer, no revenue or paid staff, no bank account, and there are already millions of people practicing it.”

The approach is not all that unusual. Amrita Bhoomi’s director Chukki Nanjundawsamy told FoodTank last year:

“Agroecology isn’t new to Indian agriculture. The Green Revolution technologies that wiped out agroecology happened only 50 years ago. Before that, agroecology was everywhere… I’m proud of how this movement has evolved. Young farmers are joining. They know what’s going on with the agrarian crisis and are choosing agroecology as a way forward.”

Amrita Bhoomi wants to reclaim crops that once were staples in the Indian diet, such as millet, or ragi. Ragi was displaced by white rice, a more chemically responsive crop, when the Green Revolution enabled farmers to practice water-intensive, paddy-style agriculture, but Indians’ health has suffered as a result; there are 50 million cases of type 2 diabetes, the highest rate in the world, that are largely attributed to refined white rice. The centre is pioneering millet production and hoping to get it added to the public distribution system.

I was not aware that rice was more carbohydrate-intensive than other crops. I’m always wary of the charismatic, since they motivate people to do irrational things, so I’d like to see this put under a dispassionate microscope.

Acknowledging Reality Is Not Accommodating Reality

There is an old, old theory called Mind-Body dualism, which basically suggests that the mind, in at least some respects, is separate from the body, which implies that events impacting the body do not, at least directly, impact the mind.

Yeah, I’m neither a philosopher (it started with Aristotle and Plato) nor a biologist, but when you stick a pick axe in someone’s brain and see a change, that tells me the theory is fairly damn silly.

I was reminded of this theory while reading the second part of Andrew Sullivan’s latest tri-partite weekly column in New York, this one on the latest gender theory remarks of Katrina Karkazis:

Which draws Karkazis to this concession: “I don’t mean that T is immaterial, imaginary, or ineffectual, or that our scientific or experiential knowledge of T is completely false.” Science and human testimony can’t be explained away entirely, you see. Just almost entirely: Listening to science or individual testimony runs the risk of “naturalizing the difference [between men and women] and obfuscates how our very experience is structured by social and historical forces and the interpretive frameworks we derive from them. There is no experience outside these constitutive conditions.”

And this is her core case. Humans have no experience outside the social constructions they live in. Nature, as an entity outside those constructions, doesn’t exist, and therefore cannot be a valid form of critique. This is a world in which humans are not animals, and have never experienced natural selection, or evolved a reproductive strategy around sex. But when we observe other animals on this planet, we see their sexes programmed by millions of years of evolution for different and complementary purposes. The male tends to protect the home, fend off dangers, forage for food, while the female is oriented toward the rearing of the young. And sure enough, the males in almost all of these species have much higher testosterone than the females. And the hormone is much stronger in predicting malelike behavior than chromosomes: “Species in which the female is typically more aggressive, like hyenas in female-run clans, show higher levels of testosterone among the females than among the males. Female sea snipes, which impregnate the males, and leave them to stay home and rear the young, have higher testosterone levels than their mates. Typical ‘male’ behavior, in other words, corresponds to testosterone levels, whether exhibited by chromosomal males or females.” Meerkats also have females with slightly higher testosterone than males — and guess what? — the female is more aggressive, sharing duties in foraging and hunting. I suppose you can live your life without ever fully confronting this wider natural reality, and believe that none of this has any relevance for humankind. But seriously. Open your eyes to more than your shopworn ideology.

Karkazis then argues from my exploration of testosterone that I am inferring that the hormone “provides the biological basis for male-female hierarchies.” But that’s not what I believe at all. I believe it provides the biological basis for male-female differences, not hierarchies, and hold no case for the “superiority” of one sex to another, which is to my mind, an absurd idea. I agree that social constructionism has a part to play in how we see men and women, across time and place, but I also think it’s obvious that nature also has a big say in it. That doesn’t mean restricting any opportunities for women; it means finding a way for everyone, male and female, to live the lives they want to lead. It simply means that at some point, you won’t be surprised to find differences in behavioral and social outcomes for the two sexes, and given more formal or structural political equality, as in Scandinavia, the differences in careers and lifestyles may well become starker, going forward.

I haven’t read Karkazis, so apologies if my understanding of her arguments from Sullivan’s rebuttal is wrong. But I’m mainly reacting to Sullivan’s statements, not Karkazis’.

There’s a fundamental implication of  “provides the biological basis for male-female hierarchies” which should be reconsidered, and it’s that a biological basis provides a platform for the should statement. That is, a lot of how we tend to reason is to look at Nature and draw lessons for how we should behave. It’s a form of natural morality which derives a certain validity from the fact that it is a product of evolution, and evolution might be described as a conglomeration of success. In this example, the suggestion that there’s a biological basis for the mind being affected by testosterone is extended to suggest that men should dominate women. Karkazis, whether conscious of this or not, has chosen to deny the impact of physical processes on the mind, thus indulging in a form of mind-body dualism theory, because it appears that it doesn’t produce a conclusion compatible with her thesis that .

Giving in only slightly to Nature.

But for all that I just stated that we often look to Nature for a guide to the shoulds, humanity’s history is positively littered with cases in which we’ve gone against the dictates we might deduce from Nature. Perhaps one of the strongest examples is the entirety of the medical profession, which has obviated, perhaps only temporarily, the bloody dictates of biological evolution for the human species, which has been replaced with a social evolutionary mechanism.

Karkazis may deny the biological influences on the brain, and Sullivan seems to call for living with it, which is far more reasonable. But my suspicion is that we’ll continue to struggle against it, at least so long as we adhere to a genderless notion of justice as part of the foundation for running societies, a notion to which I see little sensible alternative. Nature has little truck with our notions of fairness, and so depending on it for guidance, however, informal, to how to behave may be a fool’s errand. We may find someday that the only way to achieve the goal of Karkazis’ is when the majority of humanity has downloaded its brains into computers, thus eliminating the, until now, inevitable biological & chemical influences to which we’re currently heir.

And then will we really be human?

There’s A Clue Here

My Arts Editor directs my attention to this Politico article portraying Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) as reasonable:

Texas GOP Sen. Ted Cruz on Friday urged residents of a Chicago-area congressional district to vote for a Democrat if they must, to avoid giving even one vote to an avowed Nazi who won the GOP nomination.

Cruz’s comments, made on Twitter, came after a POLITICO story detailed the Illinois Republican Party’s failed efforts to oust Holocaust denier Arthur Jones from the ballot or offer up an alternative for Republican voters.

“This is horrific. An avowed Nazi running for Congress,” tweeted Cruz. “To the good people of Illinois, you have two reasonable choices: write in another candidate, or vote for the Democrat. This bigoted fool should receive ZERO votes.”

It’s easy enough to laugh at Senator Cruz, given his reputation as a flake, and his father’s as a theocrat. But he, and everyone else, should really consider just how extreme the Republicans have become when they cannot find a reasonable candidate in one of the more populous states of the Union, the State of Illinois.

But Senator Cruz is eliding an important implication of this nomination. The fact that Jones is running in a heavily Democratic district against a Democratic incumbent is irrelevant to a central fact of the Republican Party:

It couldn’t stop an “avowed Nazi” from winning an important nomination.

Stop and think about that for a second. Nazis are not “just another political party,” as I’ve discussed before, but a system of government dedicated to power aggrandizement, conquest, and brutality, with little or no protection for minorities, dissident points of view, or any of the other important, even critical hallmarks of the liberal democracy.

And the Republican party was unable to understand this fact, recognize Jones as having a fundamentally un-American allegiance, and not only deny him the nomination, but to kick this bum and his supporters out onto the street.

They were permitted to stay and attain an important nomination. They had the numbers to do it.

If you’re a Republican, why? Why are you still enabling this appalling development? It’s not just embarrassing – it’s a danger to the Republic (see previous link concerning Nazi government).

And, since Cruz has now spoken out against a fellow nominee for national office, I have to wonder if he’ll eventually soon go from “far-right extremist” to being run out of the Republican Party for being a … RINO.

False Equivalency

While reading about one of the possible replacements for Associate Justice Kennedy, namely Judge Brett Kavanaugh, in an article in WaPo, it gives his defense of his view that the President should be permitted to defer prosecutions of himself:

U.S. Circuit Judge Brett M. Kavanaugh, a former clerk for Supreme Court Justice Anthony M. Kennedy who is viewed as one of the leading contenders to replace him, has argued that presidents should not be distracted by civil lawsuits, criminal investigations or even questions from a prosecutor or defense attorney while in office. …

Having observed the weighty issues that can consume a president, Kavanaugh wrote, the nation’s chief executive should be exempt from “time-consuming and distracting” lawsuits and investigations, which “would ill serve the public interest, especially in times of financial or national security crisis.”

If a president were truly malevolent, Kavanaugh wrote, he could always be impeached.

I’ve gotta say this view is extremely ill-considered.

First, an impeachment is not an activity that takes place without information. An investigation, such as that under the leadership of Mr. Mueller, is a critical source of information for any member of Congress who must vote on the question of the impeachment and conviction of the President. To suggest that a truly malevolent President could simply be impeached is either naive or deceitful, because malevolence is not always an obvious attribute of a person.

Second, deferral of an investigation, lawsuit, or allied legal activity until the President is no longer President is to deny justice, and, yes, it’s as simple as that. For those who proclaim justice is done when someone is convicted of a murder that occurred forty years ago, I say that’s a dish of cold, rotting fish. For those forty years, the murderer escaped punishment, and may have committed more crimes. Similarly, a President uninvestigated is encouraged in his or her malevolent pursuits.

If, as Judge Kavanaugh suggests, the press of duties is such that the President dare not be distracted, there are procedures available to relieve him temporarily of those duties, now isn’t there? The 25 Amendment comes right to mind. After all, why do we select and elect a Vice President? So he or she can sit on her duff for four years?

Rancid nonsense, Judge Kavanaugh.

If Judge Kavanaugh has not retracted his ridiculous position on this matter, then I believe that he has effectively disqualified himself from a seat on SCOTUS. Not for ideological or partisan reasons, but simply because he does not appear to be able to think.

Word Of The Day

Copromancy:

Copromancy is the art of prognostication based on examining feces. Copromancy has a long history, and is part of traditional Chinese medicine and Ayurveda. [RationalWiki]

Noted in the Feedback column of NewScientist (23 June 2018, paywall):

Feedback hasn’t given much thought to copromancy since “Dr” Gillian McKeith, who pored over potties like horoscopes, was flushed from our screens. Yet the art of fortune-smelling endures.

During last week’s summit in Singapore, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un was reported to have brought his own portable toilet, to prevent foreign agents from capitalising on his leaks. With good reason: during a visit to Moscow in 1949, Chinese leader Mao Zedong’s excreta were swiped by Soviet spies hoping to divine his personality traits. A rare occasion when staff can be congratulated for going through the motions.

And again, same column:

MORE mystery droppings: residents of the Canadian town of Kelowna are keeping one eye on the skies after sewage twice rained down, creating a sort of Rorschach blot test for jobbing copromancers. Suspicion has fallen on aircraft bound for a nearby airport. Whether the plane responsible was anxious or angry is still unknown.

Wow.

This Will Grate On Some Nerves

From Deanna Paul, a former prosecutor, on WaPo’s Retropolis:

Since Kennedy was confirmed in 1988, he has adopted a relatively predictable approach: consistently voting in favor of individual rights (outside of criminal justice and capital punishment) but otherwise voting with the right. Kennedy, according to [George Washington University Law School professor Jonathan] Turley, bridged the bench, not because of his votes but his voice. “He had impeccable credentials as a jurist,” Turley said. “He showed that you could have a conservative philosophy and still protect individual rights.”

The right likes to jangle the keys of rights, and how the left wants to take them away, from gun rights to free speech. I wonder if this will get an outraged reaction.

Currency Always Has Costs, Ctd

Currency always has costs, but sometime they’re hidden.

Really hidden.

WaPo reports on the latest sources of computing power for crypto-currency miners:

As the popularity of virtual currencies has grown, hackers are focusing on a new type of heist: putting malicious software on peoples’ handsets, TVs and smart fridges that makes them mine for digital money.

So-called “crypto-jacking” attacks have become a growing problem in the cybersecurity industry, affecting both consumers and organizations. Depending on the severity of the attack, victims may notice only a slight drop in processing power, often not enough for them to think it’s a hacking attack. But that can add up to a lot of processing power over a period of months or if, say, a business’s entire network of computers is affected.

“We saw organizations whose monthly electricity bill was increased by hundreds of thousands of dollars,” said Maya Horowitz, Threat Intelligence Group Manager for Checkpoint, a cybersecurity company.

Which leads me to wonder just how much power, along with the concurrent wonder about amount of climate gases generated, is being used for cryptocurrency mining activities. Quartz had an article on this topic earlier this year:

A new study published in Joule—the first on the subject to undergo the rigors of peer review—argues that, globally, bitcoin mining consumes at least as much electricity in a year as all of Ireland (about 24 TWh). Worse still, it contends that the energy use is doubling every six months and could reach the annual consumption of the Czech Republic (about 67 TWh) before the end of 2018, which would be about 0.3% of the world’s electricity consumption. …

One of the early concerns over bitcoin’s electricity use was that almost all of it was sourced at polluting coal power plants in China. It’s likely true that a lot of it does still come from coal power plants, but in a bid to cut pollution the Chinese government has taken steps (paywall) in the past year, telling local utilities not to give crypto miners low-cost deals on electricity. The upshot is that many miners have since moved out of China.

In many of the places they’ve ended up, there is plenty of clean energy available. For example, the Canadian province of Quebec actively courted cryptocurrency companies to use the spare hydropower capacity it had built. The same is true of Iceland (with its spare geothermal) and Sweden (which, like Quebec, has plenty of hydropower).

That said, it’s not the fault of those mining for cryptocurrency that the world relies mostly on fossil fuels for its electricity. And just because there is a new and fast-growing source of electricity consumption is not enough reason for governments to regulate crypto companies.

No? I have to wonder about the necessity of cryptocurrencies – or lack thereof. I suppose a tradeoff comparing other sources of liquid wealth representation with cryptocurrencies would be necessary, but right on the face of it I do not agree with Rathi’s glib statement that regulation of cryptocurrency companies is unjustified on a power consumption basis. That may be true at the moment, but it’s a statement that does not scale. Today they may be consuming as much power as Ireland – but does the statement still apply when the amount of energy goes up two magnitudes?

Of course not. Not if there are more energy efficient alternatives available, such as old-fashioned cash.

But there is, even for this agnostic, a certain delicious irony in the thought that one of the drivers of our possible doom is our continued and outsized pursuit of, well, wealth. Because that’s what’s driving the miners. It’s true that they’re providing a valuable service, namely provision of new coins, but if we apply the lens of examining capitalist activity I wrote about concerning Lehman Brothers in this post, which I will save my reader the problem of digging out by quoting here:

I would contend, as did the author of that article, that it was a primary symptom of a foundational illness that ultimately doomed Lehman Brothers. Look, from a societal point of view, companies do not exist to make money. I know the general wisdom of the private sector would differ with me, but if you think it through, it becomes obviously right. The proper formulation is, Companies provide specific services thought to be useful to their consumers, and the best ones are profitable because they have the right combination of efficiency and service content.

Why is this important? It brings back into focus that a company is not an instrument for the implementation of greed, for the collection of more and more proxies of wealth, which can fluctuate in their value to a dismaying degree, by which I mean dollars (or whatever might be your local currency). The private sector wisdom leads to a corporate function which contributes nothing to the advancement of society.

… then there’s an uncomfortable link between the philosophically bankrupt institutions such as Lehman Brothers and these coin miners and the minimal goods they provide to society. Not that I deny that provision of new bitcoins is a necessity, but it appears, from the scale of energy use and the enthusiasm with which they’re pursued the generation of coins, that in the end the balance of social utility vs impact on morals as well as ultimate physical impact may lean towards the latter, suggesting cryptocurrencies may not be the great social leap forward – but an evolutionary dead-end.

Or worse.

Just for fun, there’s another site which appears to be tracking cryptocurrency energy consumption named Digiconomist. Here’s they’re their current chart:

Government Feedback Watch

A few weeks ago I reported on the first response to the mail I sent to my Senators and Representative concerning civil asset forfeiture. I haven’t heard from the other two, but since then I sent mail off to the three of them suggesting the separation of children from their illegal immigrant parents arrested at the southern border was an immoral practice which should be stopped immediately. Senator Tina Smith (D) is the first to respond to this concern, in which she basically said she agreed and then reprinted an Op-Ed piece on the subject she wrote for the StarTribune.

So there is feedback. It’s sometimes slow, though. Representative McCollum has yet to respond on either issue. Come to think of it, I don’t think she responded to an email from a couple of  years ago concerning the legalization of marijuana.

Bug On The Wall

Amber Phillips of The Fix covers one side of the President Irrelevancy Trump / Harley-Davidson story, wherein the iconic motorcycle manufacturer has announced plans to move some manufacturing to Europe in response to the trade war begun by President Trump:

By now it’s pretty clear that President Trump feels personally slighted by what used to be one of his favorite companies, Harley-Davidson, shipping some of its production overseas.

Harley-Davidson announced its decision Monday, and nearly every day since, Trump has insulted them or threatened them. Most remarkable of all, on Thursday, he flat-out begged them to bring production back to the United States.

“Harley-Davidson, please build those beautiful motorcycles in the USA, please. Okay,” Trump said in a speech in Wisconsin designed to champion his economic policies. “Don’t get cute with us. Don’t get cute.”

Harley-Davidson is based in Milwaukee, and it’s a brand that is popular with people Trump views as his loyal base. …

He’s tried everything to get Harley-Davidson to change their minds. Over 36 hours or so, he has gone from threatening them — “The Aura will be gone and they will be taxed like never before!” he tweeted Wednesday — to trying to cajole them back: “Build them in the USA. Your customers won’t be happy if you don’t. I’ll tell you that.”

Begging, as Trump appeared to do on stage Thursday in a televised address, is highly unusual for Trump.

And, sure, maybe the other half of the story might not yet be available – but I’m hoping it will be someday. It’s my guess that the top executives of H-D, or even the board of directors, are caught up in a bit of a political quandary. After all, they’re being harassed by one of the least popular Presidents in the history of the United States, but one who has a fanatical base. Does their customer base support Trump, or are they against him? If they roll over for Trump, do their customers refuse to buy from them ever again because they went soft?

They could easily go bankrupt if they shatter their own reputation as provider of bikes to some of the roughest riders in the States.

I don’t ride, so I don’t have a worthwhile opinion. But I’d like to see them show some gumption, basically tell Trump that them moving manufacturing is how it’s going to be, it was caused by him and he’d better own it, and not to come visiting because they’ll kick his ass right out of corporate headquarters because they don’t like threats from an incompetent moron.

It’d probably impress their entire customer base if they were aggressive enough about it, regardless of their political inclinations.

Will it happen? I have no idea who runs Harley-Davidson. Is it the cold-blooded corporate types who are just there to make money? Or is it cycle-lovers who care passionately about their product – and their reputation?

But It’s Not Dishonesty

Erick Erickson on The Resurgent is upset about all the games in Washington:

The reporters blasting McConnell for hypocrisy about not confirming a Justice in an election know damn well McConnell meant a Presidential election. But they don’t care. They’re trying to play gotcha. They know what McConnell meant, but they are amplifying and playing up some big inconsistency and only reporting half the facts.

The GOP knows damn well if this were a Presidential year, McConnell would be rushing through a nominee before the election regardless of his prior statement. You know he would. Stop pretending the Garland obstruction was anything other than preventing Obama from getting an appointment.

Everybody is playing games over this. That is to be expected. But what is happening in the process of gamesmanship is no one is really being honest about it. This is all part of politics. There is no noble rule about appointments. There is no high mindedness in the process. It is all partisanship.

Just be honest about it for once.

Here’s the problem: calling it partisanship and assuming this is how it should be is bloody well wrong. Why? Because it alienates at least a third of the population, and probably more than half, because of the way it was handled – lies, prevarication, and an overall absolute unwillingness to seriously participate in the task of governance.

And alienation is a problem, because when we’re alienated, we’re divided. Just about any successful group I can think of is successful because of trust. The trust that our fellow members, even those that we haven’t met yet, will treat us fairly when it comes to how we interact and, yes, govern ourselves. That’s the basis for why we’re morally outraged when, say, Senator McConnell prioritizes his little group of Republicans over the needs of the general citizenry of the United States by refusing to even consider Judge Garland for SCOTUS, and, even more importantly, that he didn’t treat the balance of the citizens with the minimal respect due to them by depriving them of the expected due process of considering Judge Garland before rejecting him.

Circling back to Erickson’s assertion that the media is being dishonest, then, I suggest they’re not. Instead, they are implicitly asking McConnell why he has, well, basically been a really bad American. If he now turns around and prioritizes the confirmation of whichever nominee Trump randomly pushes into the docket, he’s doubling down on saying that, you know, most of the citizens of the United States just don’t fucking matter. They’re just schmucks. So let’s treat them that way by taking care of our little subgroup first.

He’s weakening the case for holding his job, in reality. He’s sowing distrust. McConnell has stated that saving the seat formerly held by Scalia for President Trump to fill, a wait of more than a year, has been his biggest achievement. I continue to believe it’s an indelible blot upon his honor, one he’ll never live down – and any descendants will look upon with disdain.

The reporters questions aren’t hypocrisy – they’re a form of social shaming.

Is there favoritism by both sides? Sure. It happens. Some of it’s acceptable, some of it’s even in the rules. But when it comes to the big shit like this, rules and good faith, the act of breaking them weakens the Republic because trust is broken.

The Battle Royale, Ctd

A reader comments on the impending retirement of Justice Kennedy:

We are so screwed. Who threatened him, one has to wonder.

In the interests of fairness, we don’t know his situation. Perhaps like the recently deceased pundit Charles Krauthammer, he’s facing a terminal prognosis and is putting his affairs in order. Or, as a few bitter liberals have suggested, he has detected a degeneration in his cognitive processes and has decided it’s time to make his exit before he’s forcibly removed.

But the fact remains that this will be a real problem for the Democrats. If they find a way to block a confirmation on a Trump nominee of sufficient right-wing views, they run the risk of enraging the moderate elements and losing their votes.

Kevin Drum disagrees, if somewhat limply:

As you all know by now, Supreme Court justice Anthony Kennedy has announced his retirement. He will be replaced by a hard-right justice and there’s nothing Democrats can do about it. This means two things are true:

  • There will soon be five votes on the court to repeal Roe v. Wade.
  • This should be enough to motivate Democrats to turn out in a massive wave even for a midterm election.

If it’s not enough to produce a blue tidal wave, I suppose we lefties might as well give up. Between this and everything else going on, what more can the leadership of the party want in order to finally produce a big midterm turnout?

Steve Benen notes how American style politics impacts free choice in suitably brutal fashion:

Abortion-rights advocates who stayed home in 2016, or voted for a third-party candidate, took a dangerous gamble. It now appears they placed the wrong bet.

Which raises the implicit question, Did it matter that Hillary Clinton was the Democratic nominee for President, or would any Democratic candidate been equally vulnerable to the tactics used by the GOP and allied groups?

David French on National Review agrees this will stir up the conservatives – at least those believe abortion is an evil:

And that brings us to politics. Heading into the midterms, Republicans were desperately worried about an “intensity gap.” Democratic voters seem prepared to turn out in huge numbers. Republicans — while holding firm in their support for President Trump — lacked the same excitement. Special elections were swinging strongly Democratic, and even though the generic preference numbers were trending closer, most observers thought Republicans would struggle to get their voters to the polls. I’d say those concerns are eased a bit today.

After all, for an immense number of base GOP voters, judges aren’t just an issue. They’re the issue that drives them to the polls. Republicans are all over the place on immigration policy, trade policy, and foreign policy. Divisions in the party are deep and real. Those divisions disappear when judges are on the line. We can debate all we want about Russian influence on the 2016 election (or about the effect of the Comey letter), but one thing is certain — if Evangelicals and other conservatives weren’t afraid of the impact of a progressive Supreme Court on their fundamental liberties, Donald Trump doesn’t win. A new Supreme Court pick will galvanize the entire base for months.

David wades into a complex morass. Sure, some liberties are limited by any Court composition, but then we’re not a nation of unlimited freedoms. The most important topic in the context of a new Justice, abortion rights, will undoubtedly be in danger of regressing if Trump lives up to his campaign promise to nominate a pro-life justice – rather than someone devoted to the law.

But David’s closing observation with respect to the history of justices may be inapplicable:

Finally, a word of caution to gleeful conservatives. We’ve been here before. We’ve had opportunities to remake the Court. President Reagan and the first President Bush together appointed a majority of the Supreme Court. Yet Roe endured, and the Court even moved left on key issues. Presidents don’t nominate robots. They nominate people who possess their own will. It will be imperative that conservatives closely evaluate Trump’s potential picks, but that person — no matter his or her record — will not only possess immense power, they’ll face immense pressure. May he or she possess not just the right philosophy, but also the necessary character to do all the job requires.

He assumes Trump will nominate an adult. I don’t make that assumption. Trump has a clear history of selecting unprepared, sycophantic personalities for important positions, with names like Tillerson (unprepared), Price, Priebus, Pruitt, Bannon, Miller, Spicer … all incompetent and most of them unprepared. I think Trump will be dearly tempted at the idea of nominating one of the current crop of power-chasers who’ve proclaimed themselves to be absolute Trump lovers. And will the GOP Senators dare to reject any Trump nomination? In a word, no.

Erick Erickson on The Resurgent doesn’t think this will be such a big deal:

… any nominee will have to get through not Democrats, but Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins, both of whom are pro-abortion senators. They will provide cover for swing state Democrats to oppose any conservative jurist for the job. Additionally, Bob Corker and Jeff Flake are both retiring. Neither need show any loyalty to conservatives. This will be a steeper hill for conservatives to climb than they think because of those senators.

This is why President Trump should play it safe. He should consider someone like Senator Mike Lee, who his colleagues would be glad to push off to another branch of government. Or he should consider someone like Amy Barrett who these and several Democrats have already supported in the past year.

Lastly, President Trump has a list of people whose names he has already submitted to the public as possible nominees. The problem with that list is leftwing interest groups have spent the last two years collecting opposition research on each of them. That will make this nomination process far nastier than past nomination fights. Couple that with the Murkowski and Collins vetos and conservatives should be more realistic about the type of successor to Justice Kennedy we will get.

I couldn’t say if Erickson is anywhere near right. It is true that Kennedy has been mostly conservative of late. However, I’ll note that Bloomberg is reporting that Senator Lee’s name is already being noised about:

President Donald Trump has asked advisers their opinions about nominating Utah Senator Mike Lee to replace Justice Anthony Kennedy on the Supreme Court, according to three people familiar with the matter.

It remains early in the selection process for a nomination that will be a crucial part of Trump’s legacy, choosing a justice who is likely to serve on the court for decades and cement its ideological balance to the most conservative in generations.

Trump hasn’t settled on a favorite yet for the nomination, two of the people said. And even as the president mulls the 47-year-old Lee as a potential choice, the search for Kennedy’s successor remains wide open.

Senator Lee (R-UT) would put yet another Republican Senator’s seat in play for the mid-terms, but since it’s Utah, I don’t think there’d be much doubt that the Republicans would retain it, although of course there would be a cost involved. There’s not a great deal of material on Senator Lee, but he appears to be fairly conservative.

And, just for fun, until Justice Kennedy is officially retired, he could always change his mind. He’d be a drama queen in doing so, but he could.