Attribution science:
A revolution in weather forecasting could soon see warnings of forthcoming heatwaves, storms or other extreme events accompanied by specific information on the role climate change has played in fuelling [sic] them, as meteorologists seek new ways to bring the reality of our warming planet home to the general public.
Key to this idea is the growing field of attribution science, which involves examining extreme weather events after the fact to quantify the impact of climate change. It involves simulating an event twice, first under real-world conditions and then again in a fictional world where there is no human-caused climate change. The difference between those two scenarios reveals the extent to which rising emissions made matters worse. [“Weather forecasts could warn about events made worse by climate change,” Madeleine Cuff, NewScientist (21 September 2024, paywall)]
That’s a new one.
