Word Of The Day

Gravamen:

  1. The substance, or essence, of a complaint.
  2. The part of a criminal accusation that weighs most heavily against the accused. [Legal Dictionary]

Noted in “The Latest (Ridiculous) Controversy At Yale Law School,” David Lat, Original Jurisdiction:

Let’s do a close reading of the “trap house” email—starting with the term “trap house,” which seems to be the gravamen of the alleged offense. Taking this term by itself, most folks these days would associate it with the popular podcast Chapo Trap House—a show hosted by three white men, whose name hasn’t been the subject of any uproar, at least as far as I know.

It’s an interesting article. It does strike me, though, that articles like these constitute a magnifying lens on the actions of officials of any sort.

And while I’m glad I’m not an official of any sort, I think this is a good thing, so long as the lens is honest.

Going Undercover, Ctd

Further remarks on fooling facial recognition software after I provided a link to the original academic article, which is here on arxiv:

… here are some examples of what I saw before https://cvdazzle.com/. The article you shared shows a much more reasonable sort of make up. One you could probably get away with using and not draw attention to yourself.

Another reader:

Yeah, I don’t think the CV Dazzle approach is gonna get you past the human actors in these systems. One issue I saw is I wonder how much supervision the MUA’s had in doing the adversarial makeup. The example they showed with the adversarial, random, digital, and physical makeup had a nose tip shape change in the physical that wasn’t in the adversarial digital. That change, above and beyond what the software prediction of the digital requirement, may be enough to change the real time recognition percentage. In order to judge the validity of the computer calculated changes the physical implantation should be reviewed by several skilled people for how it matches the digital suggestion. Plus, as we agree, the sample size is awfully small. Not sure how broad a spectrum of FR software they had available to them, but comparing across multiple systems would also be useful. I’m sure all we really would need to do to find out the feasibility of this is ask the Chinese, Russians, and our own military and spook agencies. I’m pretty sure they’re doing this all the time.

It would be interesting to see a graph of number of training subjects vs drop in recognition rate as makeup is applied.

That Texas Edjumucation

Professor Richardson is aghast at recent currents in Texas education, specifically the new law known as S.B. 3:

But they should get that information in a specific way: through the Declaration of Independence; the United States Constitution; the Federalist Papers, including Essays 10 and 51; excerpts from Alexis de Tocqueville’s Democracy in America; the transcript of the first Lincoln-Douglas debate; and the writings of the founding fathers of the United States; the history and importance of the federal Civil Rights Act of 1964; and the Thirteenth, Fourteenth, and Nineteenth Amendments to the United States Constitution.

While they managed to add in de Tocqueville’s Democracy in America—and I would be shocked if more than a handful of people have ever read that account of early America—there are some pointed omissions from this list. The Fifteenth Amendment to the Constitution, which guarantees Black voting, didn’t make it, although the Nineteenth Amendment, which grants women the right to vote, did. Also missing is the Voting Rights Act of 1965, although the Civil Rights Act of the previous year is there.

And more, much more. You should  go read it.

Which leaves me to wonder if other States in the Union should pass laws requiring that students transferring from Texas should be required to undergo a remedial course in social studies. Just to make sure they understand that there are opposing views of what’s important in social education.

Ah, I’m such a troublemaker.

This Hadn’t Occurred To Me

But it’s really just another evolutionary pressure, at least when followed by an exterminating medicine:

Cheap rapid tests for malaria have helped drive down the prevalence of the disease in many parts of Africa. But just 15 years or so after their introduction, “stealthy” malaria parasites have evolved that can no longer be detected by the standard rapid tests.

“This is a major threat to malaria control,” says Jane Cunningham at the World Health Organization Global Malaria Programme in Geneva.

In many African countries, only people whose rapid test results are positive get treated. But in Eritrea around 2016, health workers noticed that many children who appeared to be really sick with malaria were testing negative. When medics looked at blood samples under a microscope, they could see many of the children were indeed infected.

“It was a crisis situation,” says Cunningham. “They thought there was something wrong with the test.”

Instead, her team found that up to 80 per cent of the malaria parasites in the area have mutations that mean they no longer produce the two proteins – called pfhrp2 and pfhrp3 – detected by the rapid tests. [“Parasite evolution is making it harder to detect and treat malaria,” Michael Le Page, NewScientist (2 October 2021)]

A fascinating change, isn’t it? Although the operational characteristics suggest that this is not a case of the mutation surviving the medication, but rather that the medicating never occurs. I do not know enough about detection tests to guess if this means a carrier only carried the mutation, or if the mutation simply outnumbers the predecessor.

Word Of The Day

Shibboleth:

shibboleth (/ˈʃɪbəlɛθ,-ɪθ/ (About this soundlisten)) is any custom or tradition, usually a choice of phrasing or even a single word, that distinguishes one group of people from another. Shibboleths have been used throughout history in many societies as passwords, simple ways of self-identification, signaling loyalty and affinity, maintaining traditional segregation, or protecting from real or perceived threats. [Wikipedia]

I am dismayed at my ignorance. Noted in “The battle lines around the word ‘Mormon’,” Jana Riess, Religion News Service:

That compromise certainly won’t appease the hard-liners. In fact, if the church’s efforts to expunge “Mormon” from our collective vocabulary have been successful in any way, it’s this: driving a significant wedge among our people. “Mormon” has become a shibboleth, an immediate shorthand for Latter-day Saints to size up one another’s obedience and orthodoxy.

And a bit of etiology!

There’s a cautionary tale about shibboleths in Judges 12 in the Bible. Basically, the story is that after the Gileadites defeat their rival Ephraimites in battle, the surviving Ephraimites attempt to flee by way of crossing the Jordan River to safety.

The victorious Gileadites are not having it. They want to make sure they hunt down every single escaped Ephraimite, so they set up a checkpoint at the river, which they now control. The password is “Shibboleth,” a word they pronounce differently than the Ephraimites, who can’t quite muster the “sh” consonant at the beginning. Success! The litmus test works like a charm, enabling them to identify and slaughter every fleeing Ephraimite. This story has given us the word “shibboleth” to refer to language that divides one group from another.

Goodness. A word dripping in blood and gore.

Yeah, Sure It Was

Governor “Death” DeSantis (R-FL) isn’t going along with the MAGA demands to recount votes anywhere a vote was cast:

Florida does not plan to review the 2020 election, Gov. Ron DeSantis said Tuesday during an appearance in St. Pete Beach.

“What we do in Florida is, there’s a pre- and post-election audit that happens automatically,” DeSantis said. “So, that has happened. It passed with flying colors in terms of how that’s going.”

DeSantis was asked about an audit because a growing number of Republicans have pushed for a recount of the election that former President Donald Trump won relatively comfortably in Florida — though he lost nationally. [South Florida Sun-Sentinel]

Really kinda makes you wonder, doesn’t it? Especially since Florida was expected to be a lot closer in the Presidential race than it turned out to be.

The World Reconstructed

In case you’re an old person thinking of entering the writing world – which I put that way because the expectations of young and old people when it comes to the writing world may be greatly different – then you may have to rethink the old expectations. Freddie deBoer explains this using the bright flame that was apparently Gawker – and why New Gawker cannot work because old Gawker ate the food supply:

But the broader thing is that New Gawker couldn’t do what old Gawker did because everything old Gawker hated is gone. Gawker was, gleefully and often brilliantly, an anti-ideology. It was what it hated. And what Gawker hated is mostly all gone. Principal among them is glamorous, elite magazine and newspaper culture. It’s difficult to even remember this now, but Gawker’s original edge, back in the Elizabeth Spiers era, came from resentment at the money and privilege and (minor) celebrity that could be found in publishing and media – Tina Brown and Conde Nast and Graydon Carter and celebrity profiles and cushy gigs and expense accounts. Similarly, the publishing world which was intermingled with the media one had big-shot publishers and breathless profiles of hot young authors and three-martini lunches at Nobu. Spiers and those that followed her made great hay from mocking the people involved because those people really were enjoying immense material and social reward for having ascended in that world.

And in the most basic and direct terms, this world simply does not exist anymore. There are still overpaid people at Conde Nast, there are those who are lucky enough to get expense accounts (although I promise they’re not just handed a black card anymore), there’s excess and a few inflated advances in publishing, sure. But as it did in music, the internet opened a big fat hole in those industries … [charts omitted]

Here are two numbers that I have shared before, and which I insist that you young folk take very seriously: advances for books have dropped 40% in ten years, and in 2020, 98% of books sold less than 5,000 copies.

No, I never looked at Gawker. But I have to wonder if the Internet simply sucks up so much time that people don’t have time to read those magazines and books that used to garner high wages.

And are now written by “… 22-year-olds for poverty wages instead.”

I’ve often wondered if the creative class’ size would grow in relation to general population growth … and the fact of the matter that, to the extent that the Internet enables a particular class of artist to push their work to the public, the growth is greater than that of the population; instead, it relates to how access to the Internet grows for the potential audience.

BUT – the money that greases the creativity, as it were, did not, because the audience did not grow that much larger, and it has more targets, both inside and outside of the given creative class. Any economist will look at that and predict the fall of wages, just as deBoer observes.

Heinlein once said that if you ask a writer why they write, and they don’t answer “for the money,” they’re lying. But I suspect this is becoming less and less true. A few writers will do well, because they scratch the itch of general culture; most will target genres with precision, or genre fusions with either desperation or genius.

And I just have to say deBoer has touched on something very important here:

There’s still literary pretension. But, as I said recently, generations of writers who came up in the culture that spawned Gawker have been trained to see literary ambition as inherently ridiculous, and spend most of their books mocking the fact that they were so arrogant as to write one.

I shall have to meditate upon this observation. It suggests contamination of the literary world.

A Sticky Conundrum, Ctd

Yesterday I read about Idaho Republicans manning the ramparts to defend the extremists from … the more extremists, and calling the Democrats on their red emergency phone. Today I see long time conservative Jonah Goldberg is, well, essentially giving up:

Perhaps there’s another way. The primary system is the GOP’s Achilles’ heel because it makes a mere plurality of the vote a de facto majority of the vote. A recent Pew survey found that 44 percent of Republicans want Trump to run again. As 2016 showed, that’s more than enough to win the nomination in a crowded field. The same dynamic explains why Republican congressional candidates kowtow to Trump—they’re afraid of his primary voters. And right now, there is no countervailing pressure within the party.

So why not create pressure outside of it? Specifically, a third party with a simple, Reaganite conservative platform combined with a serious plank to defend the soundness of elections? For simplicity’s sake, think of it as a GOP minus the Trump personality cult.

If a Republican candidate met its requirements, a new party of the right could endorse the Republican, the way New York’s Conservative Party does. If not, a non-Trumpy candidate could play the role of spoiler by garnering enough conservative votes in the general election to throw the election to the Democrat. [The Dispatch]

So real Republicans can spoil the run of the MAGA-ites without actually voting for those evil creatures of Hell Democrats. Erick Erickson likes it but doesn’t think it’ll work:

As I see it, the problem is a lot of us used to be not of the establishment, but of the part of the conservative movement the establishment took seriously and we had some serious ideas ( or at least guys like Jonah do). Now, to stay in power, the party establishment (which really has not changed) has to listen to Aunt Flo who thinks the vaccine has a microchip in it and Uncletifa who thinks the CIA used Hugo Chavez’s ghost to hack into voting machines and that Ashley Babbit is a martyr while George Floyd got what he deserved.

It’s all rather unseemly and embarrassing particularly because we all know the establishment guys don’t believe any of it, but nod sincerely and act as if they believe it. Of course, the establishment guys didn’t really believe us either. They are professional head patters.

Frankly, therein lies the rub and it is why I can grin and bear it. The establishment guys will say and do whatever they can to stay in power. The people most willing to believe the crazy are the least likely to get elected and the people most proficient at lying to the crazy are the ones who stay around. They are, after all, the ones the party revolted against and led to Trump. But those guys are still the ones in charge. They’re really good at theater and surviving. It is one of the least appreciated aspects of the Age of Trump — all the people who the base wanted to purge by bringing in Trump are still the ones in charge.

A bit opaque.

Goldberg may not see this as defeat, but I think that if his scheme were to work in the short term by helping to defeat extreme right candidates wearing MAGA hats, in the long term the conservatives would become a fragmented set of two or more parties, each led by its own charismatic power-seeker.

And they’d hate each other. Make no mistake, Goldberg’s proposal is hardball politics at its core, and, culturally, the far-right conservatives, animated as many or most of them are by religious beliefs, would be bitterly resentful of anyone or any organization that deprived them of their “rightful” victory. Need I say the bitterly resentful find it difficult to work with their enemies?

Attempts to lure members of one party to another party would be met by resistance from the leaders, whether grifters or true believers, who would have to find reasons that would stop such a migration; fortunately, religion is fecund territory for creating stories to keep members loyal.

After a few years of getting their butts handed to them by the Democrats, the parties would begin to coalesce into a single Party. There’d be members who’d vote as directed, because toxic team politics, so useful to the leaders, would survive; there’d be members whose loyalty would be begrudging, and not necessarily vote as directed all the time. And there’d be non-members who realized that the competency presumably offered by the Democrats is more important than loyalty to any single issue.

But I suppose Goldberg’s long term goal is not clear. If it’s simply for the Republicans he favors to gain power long term, well, I don’t think it would work. If it’s to teach the Republicans a lesson, culturally I don’t think they’re prepared to learn it.

I wanted a herd of golden calves, but this one, from Chabad.org but otherwise uncredited, is far too charming to ignore.

But I think the real far-right extremist “conservative” problem is demographics. The youngsters who have not yet invested their emotional and other capital into ideas and institutions are watching and learning from the behaviors and results of their elders. That’s why new generations are so loathed by the old generation – not because of their supposed moral turpitude, but because the new generation often rejects the golden calves of the old generation. People hate having their holy water spat in.

That red line isn’t doing well.

A few will buy into Republican ideals and institutions, but most are going to watchful enough to reject the Republicans. They see a crashing climate and a conservative industry that rejects inconvenient scientific findings, whether they be evolution or climate change – and, for the young, climate change will be real and, if any of a number of phenomenon such as the Siberian and California wildfires continue, quite painful – that is, existentially threatening. They see rampant lying and unrestrained power-seeking and a political culture that’s OK with that. They see the evangelicals voting for the Prince of Mendacity, the former President, and have to wonder about the morality inherent. Heck, locally a Young Republicans (I think that’s the name) leader has been arrested for sex trafficking, and that brought down state Republican chairperson Carnahan. The behaviors, taken together, are a little astounding.

The demographics are not at all promising.

The Wonder Of Other Environments

Spaceweather.com has a report on something blowing its top:

So you think you know what a comet is? Think again. Comet 29P/Schwassmann-Wachmann is challenging old ideas. Astronomers call it a comet, but, really, “giant space volcano” might be a better description. It’s a 60-km-wide ball of ice orbiting the Sun beyond Jupiter, and it appears to be one of the most volcanically active bodies in the entire Solar System.

Comet 29P just blew its top … again. In late September 2021, 29P erupted four times in quick succession, blowing shells of “cryomagma” into space.

And has anyone informed the conspiracy theorists?

When this object was discovered in 1927, astronomers thought they had found a fairly run-of-the-mill comet, unusual mainly because it was trapped in a nearly circular orbit between Jupiter and Saturn. 29P quickly proved them wrong as it began to erupt over and over again. Modern observations show that outbursts are happening as often as 20 times a year.

“The current outburst, which began on Sept. 25th, appears to be the most energetic of the past 40 years,” says Dr. Richard Miles of the British Astronomical Association (BAA). “Within a span of only 56 hours, four eruptions took place in quick succession, creating a ‘superoutburst.'”

See the link for the explanation why. So cool.

Is ‘Just In Time’ Really ‘Just Barely’?

Or, in other words, are we operating a system by the skin of our teeth?

Or is this description of the reason for the supply snarl-up deeply misleading?

As consumers confront random shortages of clothing, toys, groceries and cars, the disrupted supply lines that define the pandemic-era economy are evident in dozens of giant container ships anchored off the coast of Southern California. Some vessels wait two weeks for an unloading berth.

Similar delays await freight once it reaches the shore, where docks, rail yards and warehouses are jammed with goods, the fruits of an economic recovery the administration boasts is robust. [WaPo]

Bold mine. So, in other words, our transportation system is so finely tuned to the needs of yesteryear that a recovery from a year long slump can overwhelm it?

I wonder.

It May Be Undeclared …

… but it still feels like war. Mark Lechtik has a report on a cyber attack via UEFI (the boot module, the replacement for the old BIOS module for us old-timers) on SecureList, and I found his overview of probable adversaries to be fascinating:

Throughout this blog we will elaborate on the following key findings:

  • We discovered rogue UEFI firmware images that were modified from their benign counterpart to incorporate several malicious modules;
  • The modules were used to drop malware on the victim machines. This malware was part of a wider malicious framework that we dubbed MosaicRegressor;
  • Components from that framework were discovered in a series of targeted attacks pointed towards diplomats and members of an NGO from Africa, Asia and Europe, all showing ties in their activity to North Korea;
  • Code artefacts in some of the framework’s components and overlaps in C&C infrastructure used during the campaign suggest that a Chinese-speaking actor is behind these attacks, possibly having connections to groups using the Winnti backdoor;

Certainly, China and North Korea are sometimes uneasy allies, so this is certainly plausible. Their finding?

The goal of these added modules [to hacking kit VectorEDK] is to invoke a chain of events that would result in writing a malicious executable named ‘IntelUpdate.exe’ to the victim’s Startup folder. Thus, when Windows is started the written malware would be invoked as well. Apart from that, the modules would ensure that if the malware file is removed from the disk, it will be rewritten. Since this logic is executed from the SPI flash, there is no way to avoid this process other than eliminating the malicious firmware.

Linux continues to look more secure than Windows, doesn’t it? I look forward to future reports.

An Apotheosis Of Self-Destruction

Many would argue that former President Trump is the apotheosis of the Republican Party. The note he issued yesterday suggests that it may be both true and about to rip out the hull of the good ship GOP:

If we don’t solve the Presidential Election Fraud of 2020 (which we have thoroughly and conclusively documented), Republicans will not be voting in ’22 or ’24. It is the single most important thing for Republicans to do. [via Maddowblog]

This is Trump’s strike to take the Republican Party private, to make it into another division of The Trump Organization, and, by so doing, boot out all Republican leaders, no matter how extreme, who show the least little bit of independence.

Such as Senator Mitch McConnell (R-KY), whose approach to the debt ceiling issue enraged Trump. Even Governor DeSantis (R-FL), who owes his current position to Trump’s endorsement in 2018, may not be welcome, as he’s rumored to be maneuvering for a Presidential run.

But it’s the cultural currents which fascinate me here. Republican Party links to the private sector are decades old and well-known. The private sector is often characterized as being based on greed and, to a lesser degree, self-centeredness, and while I think companies and individuals who are emblematic of those claims often become cautionary tales – the Lehman Brothers collapse comes to mind – it’s a fact that the Libertarian wing of the Republican Party has often defended this “philosophy” of greed as being a social plus.

But when these currents bleed into the river of politics, unwelcome results can occur. This is the problem facing the GOP: either they get behind Trump’s childish fantasies, his unbridled greed, his pathological narcissism, his need to be the center and own everything he desires, or he’ll destroy their power by destroying the Party.

Because a Party of Losers will fly apart.

Governance in the United States has traditionally been a work of hand in hand: finding compromises, both intra- and inter- Party, that solve the problems facing the polity. This is not the heart of the private sector, where organizations are more top-down and unwilling to compromise.

But here comes private sector baby Trump and his, uh, diseased intellect. These currents are no longer currents; they’re rip-tides that’ll rip the Party to pieces unless these officials, who themselves possess some imperious egos, submit to the will of Trump.

I suggest they dig in their heels and wait for Trump to implode, because Trump, due to his mental illness and religious upbringing (“name it and claim it“), will keep repeating his claim to have won, but he’ll never be vindicated. By standing firm, they stand for law and order. It’s their best bet.

A Sticky Conundrum

Long term readers know that for years I’ve been predicting the Republican Party would shrink and change character, due to toxic team politics and the use of RINOing by the power-hungry to chase the less extremist – sometimes – out of their positions and the party. I think events have proven that out.

But this latest, although logical, wasn’t on my list of psychic predictions:

While divisions within the Republican party — especially among those who look to former President Donald Trump for guidance — are commonplace everywhere, they are playing in high definition in one of the country’s most GOP-dominant states. The highly-publicized spat displayed how pitched — and to outsiders how silly — the battle for control of the Republican Party has become in the Gem State.

And now some prominent mainstream Republicans, worried the state’s hard-right drift could scuttle their efforts to grow Idaho’s economy, are asking Democrats and Independents to register as Republicans to vote in the party’s May primary.

“Everybody and their dog ought to get out to the primary and have their say so,” said Jim Jones, a former chief justice of the Idaho Supreme Court and former Republican Idaho attorney general. “That’s where your vote counts.” [The Idaho Statesman]

That’s quite a conundrum, isn’t it? Should Democrats forsake their duty to their own Party because the Republicans, due to the toxic culture they’ve long prided themselves in, are now reaping the whirlwind? Steve Benen points out the hurdle:

Idaho has what’s known as “closed” primaries, which means voters have to be registered with one party or the other to participate in the party’s primary elections. In this instance, it would mean Democrats and independents would have to register as GOP voters in order to “rescue” Idaho from far-right extremists running in Republican primaries.

It’s either/or, not both. But to really complete the picture, Idaho happens to be the home of Lt. Governor Janice McGeachin (R-ID), now running for the Governor’s seat and notorious for this little bit of showboating when Governor Brad Little (R-ID) briefly left the state recently:

McGeachin, a far-right Republican known for her opposition to COVID-19 restrictions and association with anti-government figures, declared herself acting governor and tried to deploy National Guard troops to the Mexican border. She was rebuffed by the guard’s commanding general. She also tried to issue an order blocking vaccine requirements. Gov. Brad Little, a fellow Republican, repealed the order the next day, from Texas. [The Idaho Statesman, same article.]

McGeachin’s an elected official right now. The Republicans, whose decisions and culture and votes have lead to the edge of utter debacle, are begging Democrats and Independents to join them in order to defend nutcases likes … McGeachin[1]?

Ethicists suggest that citizens in democracies should vote for the person they think will best fulfill the office and has a chance to win. I have to wonder if they’re really that naive, or if a more strategic approach is acceptable to them, to wit:

If the Democrats and Independents refuse the entreaties of the Republican Party, there’s a good chance that even more extreme people will win primaries and elective office in Idaho.

And then demonstrate extreme incompetence. Not that competence correlates perfectly with the moderation through extremism spectrum, but in my experience, if you have to bet on it, figure the extremists won’t be able to find their own ass with two hands.

The Republicans may disdain expertise, experience, and competence. Extremists likewise. Even citizens can be led around as if they believe it, too – right up until they’re the ones watching their city burn to the ground because the water lines were fouled by the incompetent boob of a mayor who flushed glue down the lines to clear them.

And then they may finally figure it out and vote the extremists out. If they don’t chase them out of town waving their pitchforks. The Democrats should stand ready with replacements.

But no kidding, it is a sticky conundrum. It’ll be interesting to hear what the Democrats do.


1 Lt. Gov. McGeachin’s page on On The Issues is empty, so getting an idea of how far right she’s gone is a little difficult.

Employ The Big Gun … Words

Jennifer Rubin of WaPo has some harsh words for the media in connection with their coverage of the January 6th investigative House panel:

The punditocracy has repeatedly underestimated the House select committee on the Jan. 6 attempted coup.

When Republicans filibustered the formation of an independent commission to examine the monstrous act of domestic terrorism, many in the media chose to engage in a horse-race analysis (Pelosi loses! Republicans remain in Trump’s corner!), rather than focusing of the utter abdication of responsibility by Republicans, many of whom hyped the “big lie” about a stolen election.

When House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) decided to reject two of the Republicans nominated for the select committee for having publicly denounced the role of the committee and fanning MAGA conspiracy theories, the pundits shook their heads. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), they insisted, had outplayed her. (Look how angry Republicans are! The committee will look too partisan!)

For all of her outrage at punditry’s omissions – and, if accurate[1], they’re very important – I think she missed a real duty of her own.

Implied in her commentary is the concept of civic morality: how we live and treat each other in the public square. This is a critical concept in the workings of a heterogenuous democracy such as the United States, because an agreement on the civic morality forms the basis for the democracy. Religions agree to abide by secular law and are, therefore, subordinate to the government in temporal authority; elections are respected; we treat each other with respect and honesty; and the other foundations of the liberal democracy, as we’ve developed it over time.

Morality was, and still makes appearances in, the lexicon of those purporting to be conservatives, and, for many of those still hesitant to leave the fold even while appalled by the behaviors of their supposedly conservative fellows, it is an important word. Often coming out of a religious context, it remains a controlling factor in their lives.

As it should.

So by focusing explicitly on the concept and phrase civic morality, we bring into focus the terrible implications of the January 6th insurrection: abrogation of such requirements of civic morality as respect for elections, honesty in communications, probity in conduct and judgment, equal standing before the law, and an allegiance to the liberal democracy which is the most basic aspiration of the United States.

And let that important, potent word, and the accusation that the actors and conspirators of January 6th are immoral persons, ring out to condemn them. The failure to understand the requirements of civic morality is what defines this incident, not only for those who actively assaulted the Capitol, but also those conspirators who planned the incident. That collapse of morality is of the greatest importance to the select panel, and to the electorate.

And the hell with the horse races.


1 I don’t get out much, so to speak.

Going Undercover, Ctd

A reader remarks on the statistical size of the study of how to fool facial recognition systems:

Yeah that’s a pretty small sample. Did the article talk about the makeup? Because I’m pretty sure it’s not the usual “fancy your face up” treatment, it’s something else entirely.

Yes, they did:

What makes the system so clever, says Mariann Hardey at Durham University, UK, is that it doesn’t rely on gaudy colour palettes. Instead, the adversarial system [the AI used to fool the facial recognition system] is limited to using natural make-up hues. That’s important because it lets people try to simultaneously avoid recognition while not drawing attention to themselves: pre-existing research shows wearing outlandishly patterned clothes can foil such systems, but they look obviously like an attempt to avoid detection.

Or, as another reader notes:

Anyone who does theatrical makeup will agree with that. What you see isn’t necessarily what you’ve got …. 🙂

Leading The Herd

There’s a bit more than Senator Cruz (R-TX) just making a mistake here:

This weekend, over 2,000 reported Southwest Airlines cancellations brought untold thousands of passengers to their knees. The airline has the boring reason: “weather.” Conservatives have a more thrilling one: a working-class rebellion against President Joe Biden’s vaccination tyranny. So victory against Democrats is weary masses forced to stand in line for hours at dawn, sleep on the floor, and make TikToks, while baggage piles up around the conveyor belt.

Among them, Sen. Ted Cruz is spreading an unverified rumor that pilots staged a massive “sickout” to protest “Biden’s illegal vaccine mandate.” Newsweek’s deputy opinion editor Batya Ungar-Sargon asked: “Were the canceled flights the result of a ‘sick out’ on the part of pilots refusing to get vaccinated?” and continued, baselessly, to conclude that this represents a “powerful form of collective action” by working-class vaccine-refusers. [Whitney Kimball, Gizmodo]

And he’s refuted:

Southwest Airlines pilots have denied that theory, which seems spun from the fact Southwest Airlines Pilots Association (SWAPA), a bargaining unit representing over 9,000 pilots, filed a request last Friday asking that a Dallas federal court block the airline from enforcing vaccine mandates.

If Cruz read the motion, he’d likely hate their rationale; SWAPA’s staking out a labor rights stance, arguing that Southwest illegally neglected to bargain with the union over the policy change.

The question is whether this is an unforced error on Cruz’s part, or a deliberate maneuver? I think it’s the latter.

Decades ago, I was invited to attend the test screening of four pilots of situation comedies, or at least so they were represented; they were probably actually to test commercials, judging from the follow up calls. The interesting part was when they got everyone together – maybe a couple of hundred of us – and asked for a show of hands from people who thought the shows were good, which, incidentally or not, were NOT.

First a few hands went up, then you could see people glancing at their neighbors and then putting their hands up, a wave of glances and hands going up, until maybe 3/4s of us had our hands up. (Not me nor my companion.)

I see this as an extension of that phenomenon. Cruz wants folks, many impressionable, to believe there’s a union that has rebelled against vaccine mandates. Cruz knows how this works: first impressions are strong, corrections are weak.

And often people do not discern patterns of mendacity from folks in positions of prestige, like Senator Cruz.

So don’t think this is a simple mistake. This, I think, is a deliberate maneuver by Cruz.

Going Undercover

If you’re nervous about facial recognition software tracking your movements, it turns out the latest countermove is in your cosmetics shop:

Face recognition algorithms can be foiled by a dab of strategically applied make-up that is subtle enough not to draw human attention.

Face recognition software is used in smartphones and similar technology – and also by the police. As such, there is interest in finding ways to fool the system.

Nitzan Guetta at Ben-Gurion University of the Negev in Israel and colleagues have developed AI software that can suggest where to apply make-up to trick face recognition systems into thinking a person’s identity has changed.

Tested against real-world face recognition technology, make-up applied according to the recommendations of the software could foil the system 98.8 per cent of the time. Across all people, the face recognition software could identify someone successfully 47.6 per cent of the time, but this dropped to 1.2 per cent with the make-up applied. [NewScientist (2 October 2021, paywall)]

That’s an amazing number, and more are cited. If true, it suggests that such ML (machine learning) algorithms are still terribly brittle and, therefore, relatively useless outside of strictly limited domains.

And the thought of a facial database containing dozens or hundreds of unconnected versions of me amuses me obscurely.

However …

Tested on 10 men and 10 women aged 20 to 28, wearing the make-up dropped the face recognition success rate from 42.6 per cent to 0.9 per cent in women and from 52.5 per cent to 1.5 per cent in men.

Gimme a break! That’s hardly a dispositive study size, now is it?

Plans For The Future

There was a time when senior Senators were expected to hold forth on the failings of previous, as well as current, Presidents. Senior-most (?) Senator Grassley (R-IA) does not appear to have the gumption to do that:

Republican Sen. Charles Grassley and Gov. Kim Reynolds embraced Donald Trump’s return to Iowa on Saturday, standing by the former president as he repeated his false claims of voter fraud and a stolen election to a crowd of thousands.

The state’s senior senator, who recently announced plans to run for an eighth six-year term, praised Trump as he introduced him by noting there was “a great crowd honoring a great president of the United States.”

Neither Grassley nor Reynolds made any reference to Trump’s post-presidency, during which he has continued to lie about the results and urge Republicans to conduct “audits” of the vote counts. Reynolds, also seeking reelection next year, gushed with praise for Trump in her brief remarks. [AP]

I’d like to suggest that the Senator’s campaign office should receive a number of toads during the campaign season, just to remind him of who he is. Sure, they can be manufactured.

Maybe print toady across their foreheads.

Working Extra Hard For The Whack-Job Award

There are people who remain in the science & reason model of reality, those who can’t stand that and keep on believing the pandemic is a hoax … and then there’s this guy:

New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu called for a state lawmaker who’s repeatedly pushed COVID-19 misinformation to be stripped from his leadership position after he blasted out an email to colleagues suggesting that the coronavirus vaccine contains a “living organism with tentacles” and darkens the eyes of newborns. …

The email from the legislator contained a 52-page “report” with disinformation on COVID-19, including claims that “unknown, octopus-like creatures are being injected into millions of children worldwide.”

The report also made claims that 5G technology had somehow been inserted into the vaccine to control people’s thoughts and called the pope and others “at the top” of the Roman Catholic Church “satanists” and “luciferans” for backing public health measures. The report additionally made the wild suggestion that the babies of vaccinated parents in Mexico were “transhuman”—born with “pitch-black eyes” and undergoing accelerated aging.

“It’s all one huge puppet theatre, where the majority of the people—even most of those who are complicit —haven’t got the slightest clue what is going on, and how everyone is being played,” the report states. [The Daily Beast]

The dude is Rep. Ken Weyler (R) and apparently has a death grip on those parts of the Internet that are meant to be satire.

Yeah, a fourth-rater. No doubt about it.

Belated Movie Reviews

When a body meets a body …

A Bucket of Blood (1995) is best considered as a nasty little snipe at the art scene. We follow the lives of several artists and critics of various sorts, all tied together by a painfully inarticulate busboy, Walter Paisley, at the bar at which they congregate. One night, he produces a sculpture of a cat, a dying cat, that captivates many of the patrons, while repelling others. We’re off and running – sometimes literally – as the art scene gets smeared with clay or plaster and continually taking it in the shorts.

It’s fun, if you’re an artist repelled by wannabe artists and critics. For those, like me, who are not familiar with the scene, it’s more an exploration of the desperate need to be accepted and begin the climb up the ladder of prestige and wealth.

Well, at least as much as busboy Walter is liable to see. Walter’s methods are, at best, outrè, even as their results inspire his fellow artists to greater, painful heights, or to plumb greater depths of bitterness.

This is a Roger Corman production, meaning it’s almost certainly low-budget and done in a hurry, yet, for all that, there is a hint of pathos in the mad clutch for prestige in such a sorry lot. So, too, in Hell, methinks.

The Name Of The Game Is Energy

And it’s not going well world-wide. Here’s just one tidbit for India:

Power plants have failed to secure coal shipments and are reluctant to buy imports now because of the high price, according to Indian officials who have been urging utilities to purchase what they need. The country’s Central Electricity Authority warned Tuesday that nearly half of India’s coal power plants — 63 out of 135 — have two days or less of coal supplies, while stocks have been exhausted at 17 facilities.

Rahul Tongia, an expert on energy and sustainability at the Brookings Institution, said the coal shortage was likely to extend for five months and the Indian government would soon face difficult choices. Already, Indian aluminum producers have complained about power shortages bringing smelters to a halt.

“Are you going to shut down power for a bunch of people, a.k.a. voters? Or are you going to shut down industry?” Tongia said. “My money,” he said, is on a government decision that “they will not depress industry because it’s so critical in a post-covid recovery.”

In India, a country that has come under mounting international pressure and criticism for its refusal to commit to carbon emissions reduction targets, some officials and analysts have argued that the coal shortage has highlighted the enduring importance of a dirty but essential energy source. Even as India embarks on an ambitious project to deploy 450 gigawatts of renewable energy by 2030, its officials have talked up the necessity of accelerating, rather than slashing, coal production. [WaPo]

That’s quite alarming, from the lack of energy to the frantic attempt to make coal an important resource – and not a resource that is endangering ecology, livability, and therefore economy if it is used.

Connecting this to another of this blog’s themes, if I owned any cryptocurrencies which have not been optimized for power consumption – we don’t own any at all – such as bitcoin I’d be definitely nervous at this news, because such cryptocurrencies are notorious for energy consumption.

If this doesn’t turn around soon, countries may find it necessary to use triage on consumption of energy resources – and it’s quite possible that cryptocurrencies will not be considered to be as important as, say, physical plant of critical services. I know that if I were in the triage decision matrix and cryptocurrencies were large consumers of energy in my region while hospitals went begging, I’d be voting to shut them down.

In other words, I’d be looking to get out of cryptocurrency if I were in it, because cash and bank-held funds will be far more accessible than cryptocurrency potentially crippled by a energy-short world. Yeah, even though it’s all distributed, I’d still worry.