It appears Arizona is sliding into an abyss that President Trump wouldn’t have believed existed. This is a Fox News poll (reformatted):
If the Arizona election for U.S. Senator were today, would you vote for (as of 30 May-2 Jun 20)
Democrat Mark Kelly: 50%
Republican Martha McSally: 37%
(Other) 3%
(Wouldn’t vote) 2%
(Don’t know) 8%
And, since we’re here, Trump trails Biden 42% to 46%.
The last poll I saw had Kelly with a 9 point lead; now it’s 13. As I always say, it’s a long ways to the actual election, but the poll trends have definitely been for Kelly and against McSally, who, from comments concerning the press, appears to be firmly esconced in the right win echo chamber. If this should continue, a 20 point loss would leave the Arizona GOP in ideological ruins.
But the loss of Arizona both in the Presidential and Senate columns would mark a definite rupture of the Republican firewall on which they’ve depended for their dominant position in the Senate, as well as holding the Presidency. Whether or not it’s loss would also mark the beginning of the dissolution of the Republican Party is a much murkier question to answer, though.
