{"id":46116,"date":"2026-10-22T00:06:35","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T05:06:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=46116"},"modified":"2026-10-29T13:23:52","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T18:23:52","slug":"the-2026-senate-campaign-updates-46","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2026\/10\/22\/the-2026-senate-campaign-updates-46\/","title":{"rendered":"The 2026 Senate Campaign: Updates"},"content":{"rendered":"

SET IT TO A DRUMBEAT: EPSTEIN<\/a>, GUILFOYLE<\/a>, GRENELL<\/a>, … TRUMP<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Yes, this story is quite repetitive:<\/p>\n

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Two weeks from Election Day, Republicans face a bleak political landscape. President Donald Trump\u2019s approval rating has fallen to a new low, and support for Democrats in the race for control of Congress isrising as inflationary pressures contribute to an acrid mood among voters, according to a\u00a0Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s approval among U.S. adults now stands at 33 percent, with 66 percent disapproving; 52 percent said they disapprove strongly. That approval rating is four percentage points lower than in July and eight points lower than at this point last year.It\u2019s lower than at any point in his first term. Among likely voters, Trump\u2019s approval is 38 percent, with 62 percent disapproving. [WaPo<\/strong><\/a>]<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

That was two days ago, what might it be now? More importantly, what are GOP<\/strong><\/em> Senators and wannabe-Senators going to do? Abandon the wandering, blundering, blathering President? That’s a risk for those Republicans, as President Trump has proven to be quite vindictive. Will they take that risk?<\/p>\n

In a word, yes. Fix today’s problem today, let tomorrow’s problem be tomorrow’s problem. It’s a real possibility that President Trump won’t be President within a few weeks after the election. And if he does remain prominent in Republican politics, regardless of position, deal with it then.<\/p>\n

An expert is weighing in:<\/p>\n

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Polling guru\u00a0Nate Silver<\/a>\u00a0has upgraded\u00a0Democrats<\/a>\u2019 chances of winning control of the U.S.\u00a0Senate<\/a>\u00a0in November\u2019s\u00a0midterm elections<\/a>, with his forecast now giving the party a 75 percent probability of victory.<\/p>\n

Silver\u2019s FLIPR 2026 midterm election\u00a0forecast<\/a>, published by Silver Bulletin, previously classified Democrats\u2019 chances as \u201cLean D\u201d as their prospects of retaking the chamber improved. The forecast has now moved into the \u201cLikely D\u201d category, marking a further shift in the model\u2019s outlook. [<\/em>Newsweek <\/strong>via<\/em> msn<\/strong><\/a>]<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Since Silver is somewhat constrained by numbers, it’s not surprising he’s waited this long to predict Democratic control of the Senate. But the fury and fear fueling this predicted blue wave made it an easy prediction.<\/p>\n

IN CASE IT SLIPPED YOUR MIND<\/strong><\/p>\n

MoE is Margin of Error; pollster ratings come from Silver Bulletin<\/strong><\/em><\/a>, to whom I direct thanks.<\/p>\n

YOUR EVERYDAY, RUN-OF-THE-MILL …<\/strong><\/p>\n

… chaos<\/a>, it is. Take a deep breath and stick a toe in.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n