{"id":44573,"date":"2026-05-21T19:43:46","date_gmt":"2026-05-22T00:43:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=44573"},"modified":"2026-05-21T19:43:46","modified_gmt":"2026-05-22T00:43:46","slug":"the-2026-senate-campaign-updates-15","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2026\/05\/21\/the-2026-senate-campaign-updates-15\/","title":{"rendered":"The 2026 Senate Campaign: Updates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>A REPEATING THEME, A REPEATING THEME<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>The Hill<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/administration\/5888967-trump-approval-rating-republicans-economy-fox-poll\/\">reports<\/a> a very recent <em><strong>Fox News<\/strong><\/em> poll, the latter of which I shan&#8217;t report directly because they don&#8217;t like my browser and its ad suppressor:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>A new Fox News poll shows President Trump\u2019s approval rating has reached an all-time low with Republicans as the issues of affordability, job growth and the economy remain top of mind for voters across the country.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019s approval rating among Republicans hit a new low at 80 percent, according to the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/fox-news-poll-economic-pain-deepens-disapproval-trump-hits-new-high\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Fox News poll<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The numbers dipped even further among non-MAGA Republicans, whose approval of\u00a0<span class=\"person-popover\" data-nid=\"2086\"><a class=\"person-popover__link\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/people\/donald-trump\/\">President Trump\u00a0<\/a><\/span>sat at 54 percent, followed by surveyed white voters and rural voters, whose approval both sat at 43 percent.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20201010_182056505.jpg?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-44609 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20201010_182056505.jpg?resize=280%2C297&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"280\" height=\"297\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20201010_182056505.jpg?w=896&amp;ssl=1 896w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20201010_182056505.jpg?resize=283%2C300&amp;ssl=1 283w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20201010_182056505.jpg?resize=768%2C814&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20201010_182056505.jpg?resize=141%2C150&amp;ssl=1 141w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 280px) 100vw, 280px\" \/><\/a>A President with a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ms.now\/opinion\/trump-fox-news-iran-war\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">unneeded war gone bad<\/a>, tariffs gone bad, ICE gone bad, and what is he doing?<\/p>\n<p>Obsessing over his ballroom and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/2026\/05\/20\/trump-officials-plan-build-arch-without-congressional-authorization\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">his arch<\/a>. And his &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ms.now\/rachel-maddow-show\/maddowblog\/democratic-senator-makes-the-case-that-trumps-slush-fund-is-an-impeachable-offense\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">slush fund<\/a>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Remember <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Louis_XVI\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">King Louis XVI<\/a>? Hell, every bad monarch. Putting priority on fripperies is how you end up running the pitchfork race, and that&#8217;s not even a whimsical analogy.<\/p>\n<p>Look for the House to see more calls for impeachment, and, as the House <strong><em>GOP<\/em><\/strong> caucus realizes Trump is becoming a one ton anchor riding along in their shorts, they&#8217;ll start signing on to discharge petitions. But this&#8217;ll take a couple of more months. And then GOP Senators will face very difficult decisions.<\/p>\n<p>November pressure is going to be immense.<\/p>\n<p><strong>A SLOW SINK. USE A PLUNGER?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The 11-15 May <em><strong>The New York Times\/Siena University<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/polls\/congressional-vote-2026.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a> shows Democrats with a 50% &#8211; 39% lead in preferences for the Congressional ballot. You&#8217;ll have to dig to find it. Other respected pollsters, such as <em><strong>YouGov<\/strong><\/em> (46%-43%), at the same link, are not as generous to the Democrats.<\/p>\n<p>Democrats shouldn&#8217;t be celebrating. They should be worrying.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OUR PRIMARY EQUATION &#8230; DIRECTIVE &#8230; Puppy?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>There&#8217;ll be one more Senate-wide analysis section following State-specific news, because I can&#8217;t contain myself and should probably be put in an institution. And that&#8217;s not the Senate.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n<div id=\"attachment_44574\" style=\"width: 203px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/oti-letlow.jpg?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-44574\" class=\"wp-image-44574\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/oti-letlow.jpg?resize=193%2C193&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"193\" height=\"193\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/oti-letlow.jpg?w=351&amp;ssl=1 351w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/oti-letlow.jpg?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/oti-letlow.jpg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 193px) 100vw, 193px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-44574\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em><strong>On The Issues<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/ontheissues.org\/House\/Julia_Letlow.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Rep Julia Letlow (R-LA)<\/a>.<\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p>The Louisiana primary election on 16 May <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/United_States_Senate_election_in_Louisiana,_2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">yielded<\/a> a run-off result for the Republicans as Trump-endorsee Representative Julia Letlow (R) did not gain the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sos.la.gov\/ElectionsAndVoting\/GetElectionInformation\/ReviewTypesOfElections\/ClosedPartyPrimaryElections\/Pages\/default.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">required 50% + 1<\/a> number of votes in the primary election to avoid the run-off, and in fact only won 45.2%; in second place, and thus also winning promotion, was state treasurer, former Representative, and M.D., John Fleming, with 28.3% of the vote. Incumbent Senator and Trump-target Bill Cassidy, MD (R), came in third with 24.4% of the vote, and is excluded from the run-off and general election ballots. I do not know if Louisiana permits write-ins.<\/p>\n<p>While the media would have me believe the failure of Senator Cassidy is meaningful in that Trump succeeded in removing someone who he regarded as an enemy, I am not impressed. I am <em>troubled<\/em> that our traditions of Senators, and in fact all elected members of Congress, exercising their best judgments, without coercion, have been trampled by President Trump, and troubled by those citizens who think being his instrumentality is a <em>good<\/em> thing. As the Democrats are demonstrating some of the same behaviors, I do not feel inhibited from saying that this <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Student_Body_Right#Origins\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em>Student-Body Left<\/em><\/a> behavior of <strong>both<\/strong> sides is stupidly and arrogantly damaging to the Nation.<\/p>\n<p>But so far as Senator Cassidy goes, I have no preference for him. His public agonizing over, essentially, whether his first loyalties lie with his Party or his Country are indefensible. His vote to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.twincities.com\/2026\/04\/22\/rfk-senate-hearings-bill-cassidy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">confirm<\/a> Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. as HHS Secretary, in contravention to both civil and medical ethics, was dishonorable.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_44575\" style=\"width: 192px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/oti-fleming.jpg?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-44575\" class=\"wp-image-44575\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/oti-fleming.jpg?resize=182%2C182&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"182\" height=\"182\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/oti-fleming.jpg?w=351&amp;ssl=1 351w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/oti-fleming.jpg?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/oti-fleming.jpg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 182px) 100vw, 182px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-44575\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em><strong>On The Issues<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ontheissues.org\/House\/John_Fleming.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">State Treasurer John Fleming (R-LA).<\/a><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p>And, perhaps most notably, Trump-endorsee Rep Letlow&#8217;s failure to secure the nomination without a runoff is an implicit commentary on the waning strength of President Trump&#8217;s influence in Louisiana. No doubt he&#8217;ll point insistently at her winning the primary, but it was with a plurality, not a majority; he can attempt to ignore the runoff, but he cannot deny it.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps he&#8217;ll accuse the election officials of Louisiana of cheating?<\/p>\n<p>But is this a strong signal of the public perceptions of the unacceptable executive performance? Letlow&#8217;s <em><strong>On The Issue&#8217;s<\/strong><\/em> summation is shockingly &#8230; <em>moderate<\/em>. See upper right. State Treasurer Fleming, on the other hand and below Letlow&#8217;s summation, is of just another far-right extremist, actually not far off from Senator Cassidy, whose <a href=\"https:\/\/ontheissues.org\/Senate\/Bill_Cassidy.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">summation<\/a> is not pictured. In fact, if Cassidy&#8217;s supporters vote in the runoff, they&#8217;re more likely to vote for Fleming than for Letlow, if they&#8217;re rational folks.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps a substantial portion of the <em><strong>GOP<\/strong><\/em> of Louisiana, at least those who vote in primaries, remain in the far-right camp. My view of humanity and our relation to social station is that much of humanity would rather be viewed as a bit of an extremist, but occupying an elevated social position, than confess to apostasy and be expelled. Even as the far-right is revealed as incompetent to the extent that people are getting hurt, illicitly restrained, and all that sort of thing, the <strong><em>GOP<\/em><\/strong> may be willing to stick to its far-right views simply to keep their self-respect elevated.<\/p>\n<p>Question is, if they do lose New Orleans, aka NOLA, to the rising Gulf, as forecast by climate scientists, will they find a way to keep that self-respect elevated?<\/p>\n<p>The Democratic <a href=\"https:\/\/voterportal.sos.la.gov\/graphical\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">primary election results<\/a> is the inexperienced <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/Jamie_Davis_(Louisiana)\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Jamie Davis<\/a> (D), with 47.4%, and similarly inexperienced\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/Gary_Crockett\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gary Crockett<\/a> (D), with 26.3%, being promoted to a run-off. Can the eventual winner overcome their inexperience burden to beat the Republican nominee? It may depend on the nominee, with Letlow being more attractive to independents and thus putting the Democrat at a disadvantage, while Fleming&#8217;s hard-right positions may repell independents and advantage the Democrat. <em><strong>Ballotpedia<\/strong><\/em> does not yet have this information on the run-off, at least as of this writing.<\/p>\n<p>The run-offs are scheduled for 27 June.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2026\/05\/16\/the-2026-senate-campaign-updates-14\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Texas<\/a> Senator and candidate John Cornyn (R) must be feeling beleaguered today, when I wrote up this entry, as President Trump, ahead of my prediction schedule, has issued his <a href=\"https:\/\/truthsocial.com\/@realDonaldTrump\/posts\/116602192066577324\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">endorsement<\/a> of Cornyn&#8217;s <em>rival<\/em> in the Republican primary run-off, Texas AG Paxton (R). Watchers of the political scene are well aware that Paxton was <strong>impeached by his own Party<\/strong> in the Texas House, only to walk away without a conviction by the Texas Senate; he seems a scheming scoundrel to me, based on other scandals and political maneuvers of his authorship. Cornyn should have been more scoundrel-y, seriously now, because that&#8217;s the type of guy Trump likes to work with &#8211; someone who can be controlled through blackmail.But how well will Democratic nominee James Talarico (D) do against Paxton?<br \/>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cDonald Trump just endorsed a man who was impeached by his own party, indicted for felony fraud, reported to the FBI by his own staff, ordered to pay $6.6 million to the whistleblowers he tried to destroy, and whose wife is divorcing him on biblical grounds. And Trump did so despite the entire Republican political operation spending more than $100 million for the other guy.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWith all the baggage, it\u2019s no wonder that one-in-four John Cornyn voters say they\u2019ll vote for James Talarico<a title=\"Original URL: https:\/\/senatemajority.us19.list-manage.com\/track\/click?u=e8ff1416929042791d103dbf6&amp;id=9e761764a5&amp;e=cbc4292aec Click to follow link.\" href=\"https:\/\/nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsenatemajority.us19.list-manage.com%2Ftrack%2Fclick%3Fu%3De8ff1416929042791d103dbf6%26id%3D9e761764a5%26e%3Dcbc4292aec&amp;data=05%7C02%7Cfemi%40senatemajority.com%7C3d7720fec3f647d8f65608deb5c4ec58%7C74f64f8cc2ba4de38c8952b3dc47260d%7C0%7C0%7C639148054574615694%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=RtYfeOqQimeHJQrudVAzVlRvhFN43ZhDt7YW4v0nH28%3D&amp;reserved=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-outlook-id=\"eac39cc2-9f83-41f8-9961-ec2452d0d4a4\">\u00a0if Paxton is the nominee<\/a><a title=\"https:\/\/nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsenatemajority.us19.list-manage.com%2Ftrack%2Fclick%3Fu%3De8ff1416929042791d103dbf6%26id%3D0fd226827f%26e%3Dcbc4292aec&amp;data=05%7C02%7Cfemi%40senatemajority.com%7C3d7720fec3f647d8f65608deb5c4ec58%7C74f64f8cc2ba4de38c8952b3dc47260d%7C0%7C0%7C639148054574642226%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=QzK4b95GYkNXGSLC8CeKAOxM3EcaHBjjUBO4rM9nw3U%3D&amp;reserved=0\" href=\"https:\/\/nam04.safelinks.protection.outlook.com\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fsenatemajority.us19.list-manage.com%2Ftrack%2Fclick%3Fu%3De8ff1416929042791d103dbf6%26id%3D0fd226827f%26e%3Dcbc4292aec&amp;data=05%7C02%7Cfemi%40senatemajority.com%7C3d7720fec3f647d8f65608deb5c4ec58%7C74f64f8cc2ba4de38c8952b3dc47260d%7C0%7C0%7C639148054574642226%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&amp;sdata=QzK4b95GYkNXGSLC8CeKAOxM3EcaHBjjUBO4rM9nw3U%3D&amp;reserved=0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-outlook-id=\"6925ba48-1b8f-4405-9b94-dbe2908ce166\">.<\/a> <em>[<a href=\"https:\/\/senatemajority.com\/news\/senate-majority-pac-statement-on-donald-trumps-endorsement-of-ken-paxton\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Senate Majority PAC Statement On Donald Trump&#8217;s Endorsement Of Ken Paxton<\/strong><\/a>]<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/senatemajority.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Senate Majority PAC<\/strong><\/a> is a Democratic Party-linked PAC, so take the news release with a grain of salt. Still, Paxton will be less appealing to the all-important independent voter, and so President Trump may have to visit the cobbler after the November election. <em><strong>Texas Southern University<\/strong><\/em> has a <a href=\"https:\/\/static1.squarespace.com\/static\/67aa7aa3e284b002cd6a420e\/t\/6a0addffcba58d0751053542\/1779097087749\/TSUTexasNov2026.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a> out suggesting Talarico is currently running even with both Paxton and Cornyn, and that the <em><strong>Senate Majority PAC&#8217;s<\/strong><\/em> statement, above, may be a trifle overblown:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>90% of Cornyn voters would vote for Paxton if he were the GOP nominee for U.S. Senate in November, while 2% would vote for Talarico and 2% for Brown, with 6% undecided.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>But the Senate caucuses tend to be more clubby than the House caucuses, leading to friendships and, well, anger:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>And several GOP senators aired public concerns about including any ballroom funding in a bill otherwise dedicated to immigration enforcement. A larger swath of Republicans were privately opposed, with the mood souring further Tuesday amid anger over Trump\u2019s decision to endorse Ken Paxton over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the upcoming GOP primary runoff in Texas.<em> [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2026\/05\/20\/ballroom-security-funding-reconciliation-00930193\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Politico<\/strong><\/a>]<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The President is trying to conduct business like a mafioso, a dictator, even possibly a Roman <em>caesar<\/em>, ignoring rules and using bureaucratic tricks to put lickspittles in power.<\/p>\n<p><strong>THIS that may not end well<\/strong> if he continues to piss off powerful people like Senators from his own party, as not only Trump but also Paxton may discover. The primary is scheduled for 26 May.<\/li>\n<li>The 19 May primary election in <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2026\/05\/16\/the-2026-senate-campaign-updates-14\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Alabama<\/a> has <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/United_States_Senate_election_in_Alabama,_2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">yielded<\/a> a run-off for the Democrats, as Everett Wess (D) and Dakarai Larriett (D), with 39.6% and 29.1% of the primary vote, respectively, advance to a 16 June contest. Neither seems to have relevant experience, at least according to <em><strong>Ballotpedia<\/strong><\/em>.\n<div style=\"width: 203px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/oti-barry-moore.gif?ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"193\" height=\"193\" \/><p class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em><strong>On The Issues<\/strong>: Rep Barry Moore (R-AL).<\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p>Rep Moore (R) also did not clear the required 50% + 1 bar, earning a concerning 39.2% of the primary votes, so the Republicans, too, have a run-off, featuring Rep Moore and Jared Hudson (R). I expect Rep Moore to win the run-off, although voters may be wishing for some undefined candidate.<\/p>\n<p>The key question is whether Moore&#8217;s far-right extremism will repel the independents, or if the Democrats will repel the independents. As this is Alabama, I expect the Republicans to hold on to the embarrassing Senator Tuberville&#8217;s (R) seat, and perhaps be even more embarrassing.<\/li>\n<li>The 19 May primary election in <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2026\/05\/16\/the-2026-senate-campaign-updates-14\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Georgia<\/a> will <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/United_States_Senate_election_in_Georgia,_2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">lead to a run-off<\/a> for the Republicans, as Rep Collins (R) and former football coach Derek Dooley (R) achieved promotion to the next round. The fact that Rep Collins only achieved 40% of the vote, and Dooley only 30%, suggests the Republican voters may have been looking for someone else to rally around.\n<p>However and incidentally, this enhances the already excellent reputation of Governor Brian Kemp (R-GA), who championed Dooley and will be looking for a day-job presently, as he loses the governorship to term limits. Can he get Dooley the nomination? (Yeah, I avoided all the sports metaphors as a plague on mankind.)<\/p>\n<p>The winner of the run-off will then face Senator Ossoff (D), who did not face primary opposition.<\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2026\/02\/16\/the-2026-senate-campaign-the-burned\/#Idaho\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Idaho<\/a> 19 May primary election <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/United_States_Senate_election_in_Idaho,_2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">yielded<\/a> Senator Risch (R) and the inexperienced David Roth (D) as the nominees from the major parties for the general election; Matt Loesby (L) and two independents also qualified. Neither Risch nor Roth exceeded 64.2% of their respective primary results, but seeing that Risch&#8217;s 77,830 votes more than doubled the entire Democratic turnout, there&#8217;s no reason apparent to think Senator Risch&#8217;s position is threatened.<\/li>\n<li>In <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2026\/05\/08\/the-2026-senate-campaign-updates-13\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kentucky<\/a> the 19 May primary election did not have the 50% + 1 requirement, so former member of the Kentucky House of Representatives Charles Booker (D) won the Democratic primary with 46.9% of the vote, with Amy McGrath (D) taking second with 35.6% of the primary vote.\n<p>On the Republican side of the aisle Rep and Trump-endorsee Andy Barr (R) won the nomination with just short of 60% the primary vote, with former Kentucky AG Daniel Cameron (R) taking second with 31.6%.<\/p>\n<p>The interesting result is the treacherous land of <em>vote totals<\/em>. The number of votes cast in the Democratic primary was 323,857, while in the Republican primary 269,511. Were the Republicans bored? How do the independents lean? Should we read this as meaning Booker leads in a hypothetical poll?<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2026\/02\/16\/the-2026-senate-campaign-the-burned\/#Oregon\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Oregon&#8217;s<\/a> 19 May <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/United_States_Senate_election_in_Oregon,_2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">primary<\/a> saw the nomination of incumbent Senator Merkley (D) in the Democratic primary with 93.3% of the vote. As of this writing, the Republican nominee has not yet been determined.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>And thence to Alice&#8217;s joint, eh?<\/p>\n<p><strong>YOUR CHESS PIECES ARE ANGRY WITH YOU!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20210511_002916006.jpg?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-44610 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20210511_002916006.jpg?resize=374%2C280&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"374\" height=\"280\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20210511_002916006.jpg?w=1600&amp;ssl=1 1600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20210511_002916006.jpg?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20210511_002916006.jpg?resize=1024%2C768&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20210511_002916006.jpg?resize=768%2C576&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20210511_002916006.jpg?resize=1536%2C1152&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20210511_002916006.jpg?resize=150%2C113&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/PXL_20210511_002916006.jpg?resize=200%2C150&amp;ssl=1 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 374px) 100vw, 374px\" \/><\/a>Related to the apparent termination of Senator Cassidy&#8217;s (R-LA) political career, as noted above, comes speculation that he&#8217;ll be taking revenge on President Trump, who endorsed Rep Letlow (R-LA) for the Senator&#8217;s seat, now that Senator Cassidy&#8217;s free of obligations to the Party that is thrusting him unceremoniously from his position. The revenge would presumably be through votes against the President&#8217;s recommendations in the Senate chamber, and leaking Party-secret information. While I don&#8217;t plan to cover this topic in <em>Campaign Updates<\/em> unless relevant to Senate campaigns, Steve Benen has more <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ms.now\/rachel-maddow-show\/maddowblog\/bill-cassidy-revenge-trump-primary\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>, and so does whoever&#8217;s behind <em><strong>Belle of the Ranch<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=vicoEA2VCjY\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>, who notes Cassidy has already voted <em>for<\/em>, rather than against, the <em>War Powers Resolution<\/em> for limiting Trump&#8217;s war making privileges.<\/p>\n<p>Neither mentions, at least so far, the potential for Senator Cornyn (R-TX) to join Senator Cassidy in revenge voting, but President Trump&#8217;s selection of Texas AG Paxton over the incumbent Senator, as mentioned earlier in this missive, is not a move calculated to engender happy feelings in the Senator. As a loyal Party leader, the betrayal will be especially stinging.<\/p>\n<p>And then there&#8217;s Senator Tillis (R-NC), retiring this year. He&#8217;s already displayed an independent streak which has the potential to continue until his replacement is inaugurated.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A REPEATING THEME, A REPEATING THEME The Hill reports a very recent Fox News poll, the latter of which I shan&#8217;t report directly because they don&#8217;t like my browser and its ad suppressor: A new Fox News poll shows President Trump\u2019s approval rating has reached an all-time low with Republicans \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2026\/05\/21\/the-2026-senate-campaign-updates-15\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44573","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44573","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44573"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44573\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44611,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44573\/revisions\/44611"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44573"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44573"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44573"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}