{"id":41119,"date":"2024-10-08T21:14:01","date_gmt":"2024-10-09T02:14:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=41119"},"modified":"2024-10-08T21:14:01","modified_gmt":"2024-10-09T02:14:01","slug":"the-2024-senate-campaign-updates-28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2024\/10\/08\/the-2024-senate-campaign-updates-28\/","title":{"rendered":"The 2024 Senate Campaign: Updates"},"content":{"rendered":"

My, the silt has accumulated quickly<\/a>.<\/p>\n

“I Didn’t Mean It When I Said …”<\/h3>\n

WaPo<\/strong><\/em> has a report<\/a> on an unsurprising, but risky, change in Republican strategy for some House members, a change that can be anticipated to appear in Senate races, and in fact already has …<\/p>\n

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Some Republicans appear to be softening \u2014 even backtracking on \u2014 their reproductive rights positions<\/b><\/p>\n

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As Nov. 5 approaches and the struggle for control of the U.S. House reaches a fever pitch, Democrats are doing everything they can to tie their Republican opponents to their antiabortion voting records. Some Republican candidates, meanwhile, seem to be softening their positions. And political analysts say it\u2019s part of a larger trend playing out nationwide, up and down the ballot.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe politics of abortion and reproductive health can get voters to participate at higher rates,\u201d said David McCuan<\/b>, a political science professor at\u00a0Sonoma State University<\/b>. \u201cRepublicans have to moderate their stance if they\u2019re going to be in the battle.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Senator Cruz (R-TX) is greasing his reelection bid with something similar:<\/p>\n

U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz has been a loud anti-abortion crusader throughout his political career.<\/p>\n

But as reproductive rights loom over the election season as a key issue for voters, Cruz is uncharacteristically quiet.<\/p>\n

The Texas Republican, running for a third term in the Senate, is locked in a tight race against U.S. Rep. Colin Allred, D-Dallas, who has made restoring access to abortion and blaming Cruz for the toppling of Roe v. Wade central to his campaign. [The Texas Tribune<\/strong><\/a>]<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

An anti-abortion stance is one of the pillars of the conservative movement – everyone and their pet poodle knows this. Will conservatives accept this change and vote as the Party expects? Will independents, many of which don’t pay much attention to politics, notice the sudden change and label it hypocrisy<\/em>?<\/p>\n

This’ll be a threading of the needle, and could be the trick for winning for the Republicans – or the camel’s terrifying straw.<\/p>\n

Hey – Didn’t I See Redfield & Wilton Strategies<\/strong><\/em> Out In The Wild?<\/h3>\n

Yes – and I ignored it, per this post<\/a>. Senator Klobuchar (D-MN) only up by 8 points<\/a>? Come on!<\/p>\n

Did I Just See A Pollster Named Research Co<\/strong><\/em>?<\/h3>\n

Yes, I did, and so did you if you read ahead. Despite the most boring name ever, Research Co<\/strong><\/em> has a respectable rating of 2.4 from FiveThirtyEight<\/strong><\/em><\/a>, so they get some respect right out of the gate – they’re new to me.<\/p>\n

However, I was a little dismayed to see that their sample size is limited to 450, and for larger States that is inadequate. Most of the big pollsters have much larger sample sizes, so I’m uncomfortable accepting Research Co.<\/strong><\/em> results, even if I cite their margin of error.<\/p>\n

But there’s not much to be done for it. I’m just a fly holding on to the end of the plane’s rudder.<\/p>\n

Here Come The Dancing Rivers<\/h3>\n