{"id":41022,"date":"2024-09-15T21:04:20","date_gmt":"2024-09-16T02:04:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=41022"},"modified":"2024-09-15T21:06:03","modified_gmt":"2024-09-16T02:06:03","slug":"the-run-for-the-tape-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2024\/09\/15\/the-run-for-the-tape-4\/","title":{"rendered":"The Run For The Tape"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>In The Dash<\/h3>\n<p>Is the vice president hitting her stride?<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Democratic U.S. Vice President <a class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__inherit-color__3208F text__inherit-font__1Y8w3 text__inherit-size__1DZJi link__link__3Ji6W link__underline_default__2prE_\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/kamala-harris\/\" data-testid=\"Link\">Kamala Harris<\/a>\u00a0leads Republican\u00a0<a class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__inherit-color__3208F text__inherit-font__1Y8w3 text__inherit-size__1DZJi link__link__3Ji6W link__underline_default__2prE_\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/topic\/person\/donald-trump\/\" data-testid=\"Link\">Donald Trump<\/a>\u00a047% to 42% in the race to win\u00a0<a class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__inherit-color__3208F text__inherit-font__1Y8w3 text__inherit-size__1DZJi link__link__3Ji6W link__underline_default__2prE_\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/topic\/event\/us-elections\/\" data-testid=\"Link\">the Nov. 5 presidential election<\/a>, increasing her advantage after a debate against the former president that voters largely think she won, according to a\u00a0<a class=\"text__text__1FZLe text__inherit-color__3208F text__inherit-font__1Y8w3 text__inherit-size__1DZJi link__link__3Ji6W link__underline_default__2prE_\" href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/how-are-reutersipsos-us-public-opinion-polls-conducted-2024-05-09\/\" data-testid=\"Link\">Reuters\/Ipsos poll<\/a>\u00a0that closed on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>The two-day poll showed Harris with a five percentage point lead among registered voters, just above the four-point advantage she had over Trump in an Aug. 21-28 Reuters\/Ipsos poll.<em> [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/harris-builds-lead-over-trump-voters-see-her-debate-winner-reutersipsos-poll-2024-09-12\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Reuters<\/strong><\/a>]<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><em><strong>Ipsos<\/strong><\/em> has a 2.3\/3 star rating from <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/pollster-ratings\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em><strong>FiveThirtyEight<\/strong><\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A five point lead is larger than my last citation, which was four, but it&#8217;s still not big enough, to be conservative about it.<\/p>\n<h3>Oh, And This \u2026<\/h3>\n<p>A local interview quoted an Iowan as saying this was not about a date with Mr. Trump, but a vote, and they were voting Trump. Unfortunately, the two are a lot more alike than perhaps that Iowan realizes.<\/p>\n<p>And speaking of Iowa, the <em><strong>Iowa Poll<\/strong><\/em>, conducted by highly respected <em><strong>Selzer &amp; Co<\/strong><\/em> (2.8), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.desmoinesregister.com\/story\/news\/politics\/iowa-poll\/2024\/09\/15\/iowa-poll-donald-trump-iowa-lead-shrinks-as-kamala-harris-replaces-joe-biden\/75180245007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">shows a startling shift in the Presidential race in Iowa<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Kamala Harris has significantly narrowed the presidential race in Iowa, cutting Donald Trump\u2019s lead to 4 percentage points in a dramatic turnaround from Joe Biden\u2019s double-digit deficit.<\/p>\n<p>A new Des Moines Register\/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows that Trump leads Vice President Harris 47% to 43% among likely Iowa voters \u2014 a far slimmer margin than the 18-point lead the former Republican president enjoyed over Democratic President Biden in late spring.<em> [<strong>Des Moines Register<\/strong>]<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>If Iowa is suddenly competitive, then that suggests other states regarded as Republican safe territories are suddenly not. While Selzer expresses strong doubt that Harris can actually take Iowa, it&#8217;s worth wondering if Iowa&#8217;s six electoral votes are worth pursuing by a Harris or Walz stop in, say, Des Moines.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, Trump is in so much trouble that Democrats have some helpful advice:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cIf we are being honest, last night\u2019s debate performance by former President\u00a0<span class=\"person-popover\" data-nid=\"2086\"><a class=\"person-popover__link\" href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/people\/donald-trump\/\">Donald Trump\u00a0<\/a><\/span>was disastrous and hard to watch,\u201d Moskowitz said Wednesday\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/JaredEMoskowitz\/status\/1833912383607382526\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">in a statement<\/a>\u00a0titled, \u201cTrump\u2019s ability to continue campaign.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI believe now is the time for the former President to have those difficult conversations about whether or not he should continue serving as the Republican Party\u2019s nominee for President,\u201d Moskowitz continued. \u201cFor now, I want to give him the space to meet with his family and make that decision.\u201d<em> [<a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/house\/4875020-trump-debate-performance-moskowitz\/?tbref=hp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>The Hill<\/strong><\/a>]<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Advice that I&#8217;ve given to the Republican Party.<\/p>\n<p>Less than two months ago.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In The Dash Is the vice president hitting her stride? Democratic U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris\u00a0leads Republican\u00a0Donald Trump\u00a047% to 42% in the race to win\u00a0the Nov. 5 presidential election, increasing her advantage after a debate against the former president that voters largely think she won, according to a\u00a0Reuters\/Ipsos poll\u00a0that closed \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2024\/09\/15\/the-run-for-the-tape-4\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41022","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41022"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41022\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41025,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41022\/revisions\/41025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41022"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41022"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41022"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}