{"id":40592,"date":"2024-07-23T21:04:15","date_gmt":"2024-07-24T02:04:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=40592"},"modified":"2024-07-29T15:17:47","modified_gmt":"2024-07-29T20:17:47","slug":"the-2024-senate-campaign-updates-14","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2024\/07\/23\/the-2024-senate-campaign-updates-14\/","title":{"rendered":"The 2024 Senate Campaign: Updates"},"content":{"rendered":"

This keeps happening, just like last time<\/a>. Too much morbid fascination, I suppose.<\/p>\n

President Biden deciding to leave the Presidential race means what?<\/h3>\n

Not a great deal for the Senate races. The Dobbs<\/em> decision is really independent of President Biden, and that’s what will motivate women to vote and to kick some male ass. A President Harris will have the same policies on abortion as does Biden.<\/p>\n

That said, Biden leaving the race may motivate a few more Never Trumpers to get out and vote, excited by a Harris vs Trump race.<\/p>\n

It’s worth remembering virtually none of these polls were performed after July 21st, which is when Biden announced he was no longer running.<\/p>\n

And If Kamala Harris Pins Down The Nomination?<\/h3>\n

Her impact on the Senate races will depend on the quality of her rhetoric and vociferousness.<\/p>\n

What About Public Policy Polling<\/strong><\/em>?<\/h3>\n

With a rating of 1.4 on FiveThirtyEight’s<\/strong><\/em><\/a> scale of three stars, they seem to be a favorite of Democrat-aligned organizations, such as Clean & Prosperous America<\/strong><\/em><\/a>\u00a0and Progress Action Fund<\/em><\/strong>. It’s probably a mistake to choose them, though, as that 1.4 is not impressing me.<\/p>\n

So how does it look?<\/h3>\n