{"id":37647,"date":"2022-10-30T19:50:46","date_gmt":"2022-10-31T00:50:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=37647"},"modified":"2022-11-06T16:34:49","modified_gmt":"2022-11-06T22:34:49","slug":"the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-43","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/10\/30\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-43\/","title":{"rendered":"The 2022 Senate Campaign: Updates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Some runners are beginning to stagger. Don&#8217;t let them touch you! In other news&#8230;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>As Senator Mark Kelly&#8217;s (D) lead in most polls of <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/10\/20\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-39\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Arizona<\/a> has dwindled, some wonder if the Republicans will be swallowing him up. <em><strong>azcentral&#8217;s<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.azcentral.com\/story\/news\/politics\/elections\/2022\/10\/28\/polls-show-mark-kelly-vs-blake-masters-arizona-senate-race-is-toss-up\/10622440002\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">article<\/a> on the subject points out Democratic strategist Andy Barr&#8217;s observation: <em>\u201cA blowout win for Democrats in Arizona is winning by like 3 points,\u201d he said. \u201cThere are more Republicans than there are Democrats, period. And there are very few people who switch allegiances based on who the candidates are.&#8221;<\/em> An example of <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2019\/11\/24\/toxic-team-politics-ctd-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">toxic team politics<\/a> at work. Better to vote for your own highly flawed candidate, such as Masters, than for the evil opponent. That attitude, a result of the <em>win at all costs!<\/em> of former Speaker Gingrich (R-AL), is an example of the American empire tearing itself to pieces, if we pay attention to <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2018\/12\/31\/book-review-secular-cycles\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Turchin&#8217;s scholarship<\/a>. And in other news, <em><strong>Insider Advantage<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox10phoenix.com\/news\/2022-arizona-election-poll-lake-leads-governors-race-senate-race-tightens\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gives<\/a> Senator Kelly (D) a 45% &#8211; 43% lead over challenger Blake Masters (R).<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Data For Progress<\/strong><\/em>, B <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/pollster-ratings\/data-for-progress\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rated<\/a>, gives a 51% to 44% lead to <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/10\/27\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-42\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Florida<\/a> Senator Rubio (R) over challenger Rep Val Demings (D).<\/li>\n<li>In <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/10\/20\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-39\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">New York<\/a> challenger Joe Pinion (R) is making little progress against Senator Schumer (D), <em><strong>Emerson College Polling<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/new-york-2022-hochuls-lead-over-zeldin-tightens-independent-voters-flip-toward-zeldin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">reports<\/a>: <em>In the election for US Senate, 51% plan to support incumbent Chuck Schumer, while 36% support Joe Pinion. Eight percent are undecided. With their support allocated, Schumer\u2019s support increases to 53% and Pinion to 40%. Since <a href=\"https:\/\/emersoncollegepolling.com\/new-york-2022-hochul-maintains-double-digit-lead-over-zeldin-bidens-approval-increases-10-points-among-young-voters\/\">September<\/a>, Senator Schumer has lost three percentage points and Joe Pinion has gained five percentage points.<\/em>\u00a0 Pinion has little more than a week to make up a serious amount of ground.<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>GOP<\/strong><\/em> aligned <em><strong>Insider Advantage<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/docs\/2022\/InsiderAdvantage_Penn_Oct_27_2022.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">believes<\/a> Dr. Mehmet Oz (R) has a 47.5% to 44.8% lead over Lt. Gov John Fetterman (D) in <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/10\/27\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-42\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pennsylvania<\/a>. <em><strong>Insider Advantage\u00a0<\/strong><\/em>is B <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/pollster-ratings\/opinion-savvy-insideradvantage\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rated<\/a>. This is probably the first lead for the snake oil salesman.<\/li>\n<li>C\/D <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/pollster-ratings\/triton-polling-research\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rated<\/a> <em><strong>Triton Polling &amp; Research<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.spokesman.com\/stories\/2022\/oct\/28\/patty-murray-has-single-digit-lead-over-tiffany-sm\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gives<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/10\/23\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-40\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Washington<\/a> Senator Murray (D) a 50.6% to 45.4% lead over challenger Tiffany Smiley (R). This might need the extra large salt shaker, although the numbers are not entirely out of line with other pollsters. Meanwhile, conservative pollster <em><strong>Trafalgar<\/strong><\/em> has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetrafalgargroup.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/WA-General-Poll-Report-1029.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">much closer race<\/a> at 49.4% to 48.2% for Murray. In some ways, that&#8217;s even further out of line than <strong><em>Triton&#8217;s<\/em><\/strong>.<\/li>\n<li>A <em><strong>Daily Kos<\/strong><\/em> diarist <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailykos.com\/stories\/2022\/10\/29\/2132178\/-Media-Hasn-t-Said-What-The-Insiders-Know-Pelosi-Attack-Will-Impact-Election?pm_source=story_sidebar&amp;pm_medium=web&amp;pm_campaign=recommended\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">delivers<\/a> the argument that the attack on Paul Pelosi, husband of the Speaker of the House, will be to the Democrats&#8217; advantage this cycle. Erick Erickson <a href=\"https:\/\/ewerickson.substack.com\/p\/it-is-always-and-forever-on-this\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">disagrees<\/a>, although I think most of his arguments are specious or stripped off context. Me? I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;ll have an effect. Most folks will figure the attacker is an extremist and maybe out of his head, much like the guy who tried to shoot a bunch of Republican legislators at a Congressional baseball game a few years back. And we&#8217;ll probably never know for sure.<\/li>\n<li>Yet another <strong><em>Insider Advantage<\/em><\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox5atlanta.com\/news\/poll-republicans-kemp-walker-hold-leads-in-major-georgia-races\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a>, this time in <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/10\/27\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-42\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Georgia<\/a>, suggests Herschel Walker (R) ahead of Senator Warnock, 48% to 45%, with a margin of error of \u00b1 4.2 points. Chase Oliver (L) has 2% of the vote.<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Trafalgar<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetrafalgargroup.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/TRF-NV-General-1027-Poll-Report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gives<\/a> Adam Laxalt (R) a 49.8% to 45.6% lead over Senator Cortez (D) in <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/10\/27\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-42\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Nevada<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Getting near the end here. Oh I so hope. The last edition, grievously out of date, is <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/10\/27\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-42\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Some runners are beginning to stagger. Don&#8217;t let them touch you! In other news&#8230; As Senator Mark Kelly&#8217;s (D) lead in most polls of Arizona has dwindled, some wonder if the Republicans will be swallowing him up. azcentral&#8217;s article on the subject points out Democratic strategist Andy Barr&#8217;s observation: \u201cA \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/10\/30\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-43\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37647","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37647","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37647"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37647\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37702,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37647\/revisions\/37702"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37647"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37647"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37647"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}