{"id":36866,"date":"2022-08-07T19:02:27","date_gmt":"2022-08-08T00:02:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=36866"},"modified":"2022-08-07T19:02:27","modified_gmt":"2022-08-08T00:02:27","slug":"the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-14","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/08\/07\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-14\/","title":{"rendered":"The 2022 Senate Campaign: Updates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Yes, there&#8217;s a news stream. It&#8217;s behind the old Potter place. Why do you ask?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>In <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/06\/11\/the-2022-senate-campaign-strong-fingernails\/#Connecticut\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Connecticut<\/a>, as they await the August 9th primary, a Republican-sponsored poll gave this result: <em>McLaughlin\u2019s poll for Jordan found [incumbent Democratic Senator] Blumenthal with an 11-point lead over his closest Republican challenger, Themis Klarides, similar to the results of an Emerson College poll conducted for WTNH in May. But respondents were unfavorable when asked if Blumenthal \u201cdeserves\u201d to be reelected.<\/em> [<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wshu.org\/connecticut-news\/2022-08-02\/pollster-gop-can-win-over-connecticut-voters-open-to-replacing-blumenthal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em><strong>WSHU<\/strong><\/em><\/a>] Maybe not all politics is local, but a big chunk qualifies.<\/li>\n<li>\n<div id=\"attachment_36870\" style=\"width: 133px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/OTI-Moran.jpg?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-36870\" class=\"wp-image-36870\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/OTI-Moran.jpg?resize=123%2C123&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"123\" height=\"123\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/OTI-Moran.jpg?w=351&amp;ssl=1 351w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/OTI-Moran.jpg?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/OTI-Moran.jpg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 123px) 100vw, 123px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-36870\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><em>Senator Moran&#8217;s <strong>On The Issues<\/strong> summation.<\/em><\/p><\/div>\n<p>The Democratic nominee for the <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?s=kansas+2022#kansas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Kansas<\/a> Senate seat currently occupied by Senator Moran (R) is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/news\/politics\/mark-holland-wins-democratic-nomination-to-take-on-us-sen-jerry-moran-in-november\/ar-AA10gxMb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">minister and former mayor Mark Holland<\/a>. He is thought to have little chance, but here&#8217;s an &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kcur.org\/politics-elections-and-government\/2022-08-04\/to-win-the-u-s-senate-election-kansas-democrats-say-they-need-to-get-more-personal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">among the voters<\/a>&#8221; piece from <em><strong>KCUR<\/strong><\/em>. <em><strong>On The Issues<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/ontheissues.org\/House\/Jerry_Moran.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">rates<\/a> Senator Moran as quite the extremist, which may enhance Holland&#8217;s chances. My latest on Kansas <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/08\/06\/the-jell-o-in-their-hands\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>Bad news continues in <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/08\/01\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-12\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pennsylvania<\/a> for Dr. and candidate Mehmet Oz (R), as his opponent for the open Senate seat, Lt. Gov. Fetterman (D), has won another poll. A <em><strong>Center Street PAC<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.globenewswire.com\/news-release\/2022\/08\/02\/2490465\/0\/en\/POLL-Fetterman-Takes-Sizable-Lead-Over-Dr-Oz-52-to-38-Among-Likely-Voters-10-Undecided-in-Pennsylvania-s-U-S-Senate-Race.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a> show Fetterman ahead 52% &#8211; 38%. A key observation that will apply to many Republican candidates: <em>Almost all voters know Oz, but they don\u2019t like him. Oz\u2019s un-favorability levels are staggering among unaffiliated voters and Democrats, and his Favorability among Republicans is barely above neutral.\u00a0<\/em>This suggests a huge disconnect between <em><strong>PA GOP<\/strong><\/em> primary voters and the general electorate, but then voting for the inexperienced fool&#8217;s gold hawker Oz in the first place, apparently based on his endorsement by former President Trump, demonstrates the deeply fallen nature of the <em><strong>PA GOP<\/strong><\/em>.<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>Center Street PAC<\/strong><\/em> remains a polling organization of unknown quality, but it&#8217;s worth noting that their latest <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/07\/28\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-11\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ohio<\/a> Senate <a href=\"https:\/\/centerstreetpac.com\/poll-tim-ryan-leads-j-d-vance-49-to-38-among-likely-voters-in-ohios-u-s-senate-race\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a>, a Republican seat in which the incumbent is retiring, has Rep Tim Ryan (D) leading lawyer and author J. D. Vance (R) 49% &#8211; 38% among likely voters. If <strong><em>SurveyUSA<\/em><\/strong> or another A-rated pollster released numbers like that for reddish Ohio, I&#8217;d be happy, as Vance is not really qualified for the seat. For the moment, it merits a contingency &#8220;if accurate&#8221;, but suggests Republican arrogance may be turning off Ohio voters. This would be another invalidation of the <em>Republican wave<\/em> thesis that has been such a favorite among the <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/07\/31\/pity-the-poor-reader\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">timid pundit set<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>A-rated <em><strong>SurveyUSA<\/strong><\/em> has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.surveyusa.com\/client\/PollReport.aspx?g=afef8d37-a8b3-4597-99d3-ffa2ea0f4665\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a> out showing that the <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/08\/04\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-13\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Missouri<\/a> Senate race between State AG Schmitt (R) and former nurse and heiress Valentine (D), taken in late July, <strong>prior to the primary that selected each<\/strong>, has Schmitt up by six. As noted <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/08\/04\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-13\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">before<\/a>, a poll prior to that one showed Schmitt with a <em>thirteen point<\/em> lead. How about a poll <em>since<\/em> the primary? For reference, in 2018 Senator Hawley (R) <a href=\"https:\/\/ballotpedia.org\/Josh_Hawley\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">won<\/a> his general election by roughly six points.<\/li>\n<li>In <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/08\/01\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-12\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">North Carolina<\/a> and the competition for an empty Senate seat, currently held by Republicans, Cheri Beasley (D) is finding the climb steep against Rep Ted Budd (R). She&#8217;s down by 5 points, according to a <em><strong>Civitas<\/strong><\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.carolinajournal.com\/budd-leads-beasley-by-5-in-new-poll-of-u-s-senate-race-in-n-c\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">poll<\/a>. <strong><em>FiveThirtyEight<\/em><\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/projects.fivethirtyeight.com\/pollster-ratings\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">does not appear to rate <em><strong>Civitas<\/strong><\/em><\/a>, so it&#8217;s difficult to gauge this poll&#8217;s credibility.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Previous allegations, unsubstantiated as they are, <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/08\/04\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-13\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">are here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yes, there&#8217;s a news stream. It&#8217;s behind the old Potter place. Why do you ask? In Connecticut, as they await the August 9th primary, a Republican-sponsored poll gave this result: McLaughlin\u2019s poll for Jordan found [incumbent Democratic Senator] Blumenthal with an 11-point lead over his closest Republican challenger, Themis Klarides, \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2022\/08\/07\/the-2022-senate-campaign-updates-14\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36866","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36866","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36866"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36866\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36896,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36866\/revisions\/36896"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36866"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36866"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36866"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}