{"id":3325,"date":"2016-03-24T17:07:52","date_gmt":"2016-03-24T22:07:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=3325"},"modified":"2016-03-26T07:13:54","modified_gmt":"2016-03-26T12:13:54","slug":"coal-digestion-ctd-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2016\/03\/24\/coal-digestion-ctd-11\/","title":{"rendered":"Coal Digestion, Ctd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newscientist.com\/article\/2079274-china-set-to-surpass-its-climate-targets-as-renewables-soar\/\" target=\"_blank\">coal consumption numbers<\/a> come in via <em><strong>NewScientist<\/strong><\/em> (5 March 2016):<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>CHINA is surging ahead in its switch to renewables and away from coal \u2013 a move it claims will allow the nation to surpass its carbon emissions targets.<\/p>\n<p>The country\u2019s solar and wind energy capacity soared last year by 74 and 34 per cent respectively compared with 2014, according to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.stats.gov.cn\/english\/PressRelease\/201602\/t20160229_1324019.html\">figures issued by China\u2019s National Bureau<\/a> of Statistics this week.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, its consumption of coal dropped by 3.7 per cent, with imports down by a substantial 30 per cent.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Digging into that link at <em><strong>Climate Home<\/strong><\/em> is this disturbing, confusing <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2016\/02\/24\/china-will-far-surpass-2020-climate-target-says-top-envoy\/\" target=\"_blank\">tidbit<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The <span class=\"sumo_twilighter_highlighted twilighter-64963efb\">government had investments of $628 billion in the green economy planned up to 2030<span class=\"sumo_twilighter_shares\">1<\/span><\/span>, Xie said, but\u00a0admitted more support needed to be directed towards emissions data reporting, which experts say is unreliable.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt is a question of ability \u2026 At every level of statistics there are exaggerations added to the data. Everyone knows that, and everyone is anxious [to fix it],\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe have <span class=\"sumo_twilighter_highlighted twilighter-65fccc7b\">set up a system to calculate and monitor energy saving and emission reduction, and are gradually improving it.\u201d<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Nevertheless, it appears it&#8217;s good news coming out of the <del>second<\/del> most populous country in the world &#8211; and one of the biggest polluters.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the United States is also making progress, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eia.gov\/forecasts\/steo\/report\/coal.cfm\" target=\"_blank\">according<\/a> to the <em><strong>Energy Information <del>Agency<\/del>\u00a0Administration\u00a0<\/strong><\/em>(<em><strong>EIA<\/strong><\/em>):<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>EIA estimates that U.S. coal production for February 2016 was 54 million short tons (MMst), a 4 MMst (7%) decrease from the previous month and 18 MMst less than in February 2015. Forecast coal production is expected to decrease by 111 MMst (12%) in 2016, which would be the largest annual percentage decline since 1958. In 2016, forecast Appalachian and Western region production declines by 9% and 17%, respectively, and Interior region production falls by 4%. Total coal production is expected to stabilize in 2017, increasing by 16 MMst (2%).<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>However, I am wary of taking\u00a0production as an accurate proxy for consumption, i.e., take care when reading government reports. Further down the page is the information of interest:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>EIA estimates that coal consumption decreased by 13% in 2015, mainly as a result of a 13% drop in electric power sector consumption. Coal consumption in the electric power sector is forecast to decline by 29 MMst (4%) in 2016 as a result of mild winter weather and continuing competition with natural gas generation. Electric power sector coal consumption is forecast to increase by 10 MMst (1%) in 2017 primarily because of rising natural gas prices. Retirements of coal-fired power plants, because of increased competition with natural gas generation and the industry response to the implementation of MATS, reduce coal-fired generation capacity in the forecast period.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/chart.png?ssl=1\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-3327\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-3327\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/chart.png?resize=538%2C359&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"chart\" width=\"538\" height=\"359\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/chart.png?w=538&amp;ssl=1 538w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/chart.png?resize=300%2C200&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/chart.png?resize=225%2C150&amp;ssl=1 225w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/chart.png?resize=150%2C100&amp;ssl=1 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 538px) 100vw, 538px\" \/><\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>While the estimated fall in consumption in 2015 is encouraging, that it&#8217;s due to milder weather is a little discouraging; it&#8217;d be better to know it came from retirement of coal-fired plants. This EIA <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.cfm?id=25272\" target=\"_blank\">page<\/a> covers power plant retirements:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/images\/2016.03.08\/main.png?w=800\" alt=\"graph of electricity generating capacity retire in 2015, as explained in the article text\" \/><\/p>\n<h6 class=\"source\"><strong>Source: <\/strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.eia.gov\/electricity\/data\/eia860m\/\">Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory<\/a><\/em><\/h6>\n<div class=\"source\">Nearly 18 gigawatts (GW) of electric generating capacity was retired in 2015, a relatively high amount compared with recent years. More than 80% of the retired capacity was conventional steam coal. The coal-fired generating units retired in 2015 tended to be older and smaller in capacity than the coal generation fleet that continues to operate.<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<div class=\"source\">\n<blockquote><p>Coal&#8217;s share of electricity generation has been falling, largely because of competition with natural gas. Environmental regulations affecting power plants have also played a role. About 30% of the coal capacity that retired in 2015 occurred in April, which is when the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency&#8217;s <a href=\"http:\/\/www3.epa.gov\/airquality\/powerplanttoxics\/index.html\">Mercury and Air Toxics Standards<\/a> (MATS) rule went into effect. Some coal plants applied for and received one-year extensions, meaning that many of the coal retirements expected in 2016 will likely also occur in April. Several plants have received additional one-year extensions beyond April 2016 based on their role in ensuring regional system reliability.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>So &#8230; progress is made. Is it enough? Probably not.<\/p>\n<p>But then, I&#8217;m a proud member of the Instant Gratification Generation.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China&#8217;s latest coal consumption numbers come in via NewScientist (5 March 2016): CHINA is surging ahead in its switch to renewables and away from coal \u2013 a move it claims will allow the nation to surpass its carbon emissions targets. The country\u2019s solar and wind energy capacity soared last year \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2016\/03\/24\/coal-digestion-ctd-11\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3325","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3325","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3325"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3325\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3338,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3325\/revisions\/3338"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3325"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3325"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3325"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}