{"id":32065,"date":"2021-02-02T08:53:29","date_gmt":"2021-02-02T14:53:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=32065"},"modified":"2021-02-02T08:53:29","modified_gmt":"2021-02-02T14:53:29","slug":"keep-an-eye-on-this-ctd-13","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2021\/02\/02\/keep-an-eye-on-this-ctd-13\/","title":{"rendered":"Keep An Eye On This, Ctd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Briefly getting back to the <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2020\/07\/28\/keep-an-eye-on-this-ctd-12\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Covid-19<\/strong> epidemic<\/a>, this particular bit of statistics is a useful reminder that <em><strong>Covid-19<\/strong><\/em> <em>is not the flu<\/em>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\"css-axufdj evys1bk0\">it helps to think about\u00a0<a class=\"css-1g7m0tk\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2020\/us\/coronavirus-us-cases.html\">what Covid has done so far<\/a>\u00a0to a representative group of 75,000 American adults: It has killed roughly 150 of them and sent several hundred more to the hospital. The vaccines reduce those numbers to zero and nearly zero, based on the research trials.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-axufdj evys1bk0\">Zero isn\u2019t even the most relevant benchmark. A typical\u00a0<a class=\"css-1g7m0tk\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/flu\/about\/burden\/2019-2020.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">U.S. flu season<\/a> kills between five and 15 out of every 75,000 adults and hospitalizes more than 100 of them.\u00a0<em>[<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2021\/02\/01\/briefing\/vaccination-myanmar-coup-rochester-police.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>The New York Times<\/strong><\/a>]<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>A death rate, in the current medical knowledge and services context, that&#8217;s more than 10X the flu&#8217;s death rate.<\/p>\n<p>This is in the context of <em>every single vaccine<\/em> so far announcing results eliminates death as an outcome, which is a very good result indeed.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I assume you would agree that any vaccine that transforms Covid into something much milder than a typical flu deserves to be called effective. But that is not the scientific definition. When you read that the Johnson &amp; Johnson vaccine was 66 percent effective or that the Novavax vaccine was 89 percent effective, those numbers are referring to the prevention of all illness. They count mild symptoms as a failure.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIn terms of the severe outcomes, which is what we really care about, the news is fantastic,\u201d Dr. Aaron Richterman, an infectious-disease specialist at the University of Pennsylvania, said.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Chins up, folks, and stay vigilant until you&#8217;ve had the jab + 3 weeks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Briefly getting back to the Covid-19 epidemic, this particular bit of statistics is a useful reminder that Covid-19 is not the flu: it helps to think about\u00a0what Covid has done so far\u00a0to a representative group of 75,000 American adults: It has killed roughly 150 of them and sent several hundred \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2021\/02\/02\/keep-an-eye-on-this-ctd-13\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-32065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32065","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32065"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32065\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32067,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32065\/revisions\/32067"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32065"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32065"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32065"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}