{"id":2922,"date":"2015-12-20T20:00:10","date_gmt":"2015-12-21T02:00:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=2922"},"modified":"2015-12-20T20:00:10","modified_gmt":"2015-12-21T02:00:10","slug":"that-darn-climate-change-conspiracy-ctd-12","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2015\/12\/20\/that-darn-climate-change-conspiracy-ctd-12\/","title":{"rendered":"That Darn Climate Change Conspiracy, Ctd"},"content":{"rendered":"

Prior to the recent Paris summit on climate change<\/a>, NewScientist<\/strong><\/em> (28 November 2015, paywall) covered<\/a> the topic from the optimist and pessimist viewpoints.\u00a0 So, despite the positive publicity generated by the closing of the talks last week, here’s the pessimist viewpoint:<\/p>\n

Global temperatures could rise 4 \u00b0C even if the Paris Protocol is wildly successful<\/p>\n

By failing to cut emissions, we are taking a huge gamble. Even if we somehow stick to the target budget of 1000 gigatonnes of CO2<\/sub><\/a>, computer models suggest the resulting warming in 2100 could range from 1.3 \u00b0C to 3.9 \u00b0C \u2013 and keep climbing to 6 \u00b0C by 2200 in the worst case. And the models could be underestimating the range of outcomes because they do not fully factor in all the sources of feedback that could cause warming.<\/p>\n

So when you read about limiting warming to 2 \u00b0C, remember this is far from guaranteed: it is just the most likely out of a range of possible outcomes. Worse still, it now seems certain that we will bust the carbon budget, and many scientists think plan B \u2013 sucking lots of CO2<\/sub> out of the atmosphere \u2013 will prove impossible. Maybe we\u2019ll get lucky, but some very scary scenarios cannot be ruled out.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

It’s certainly a little sobering.\u00a0 Even more sobering has been the drop in car fuel prices over the last year as the United States and Saudi Arabia pump more fuel oil, possibly as a means to attack enemies (USA vs Russia<\/a>, Saudi Arabia vs Venezuela):<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

(Courtesy AAA<\/strong><\/em><\/a>)<\/h6>\n

And how much of greenhouse gas emissions are from vehicles?\u00a0 In the U.S., back in 2013, the Environmental Protection Agency<\/strong><\/em> (EPA<\/strong><\/em>) said 27%<\/a>:<\/p>\n

\"Pie<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

I worry that lower gas prices lessens demand for electric vehicles, hybrids, and bicycles.\u00a0 It will be interesting to get the travel report for this season’s holiday traveling.\u00a0 New records?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Prior to the recent Paris summit on climate change, NewScientist (28 November 2015, paywall) covered the topic from the optimist and pessimist viewpoints.\u00a0 So, despite the positive publicity generated by the closing of the talks last week, here’s the pessimist viewpoint: Global temperatures could rise 4 \u00b0C even if the \u2026 Continue reading → <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2922","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2922","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2922"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2922\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2924,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2922\/revisions\/2924"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2922"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2922"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2922"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}