{"id":2709,"date":"2015-11-12T17:47:26","date_gmt":"2015-11-12T23:47:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=2709"},"modified":"2015-11-12T17:47:26","modified_gmt":"2015-11-12T23:47:26","slug":"coincidence-or-causation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2015\/11\/12\/coincidence-or-causation\/","title":{"rendered":"Coincidence or Causation?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Steve Benen @ <em><strong>MaddowBlog<\/strong><\/em> takes a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.msnbc.com\/rachel-maddow-show\/private-sector-jobs-soar-under-obamacare\" target=\"_blank\">shot<\/a> at the right wing <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Patient_Protection_and_Affordable_Care_Act\" target=\"_blank\">ACA<\/a> critics:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.msnbc.com\/sites\/msnbc\/files\/styles\/embedded_image\/public\/11.12.15.jpg?w=800\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\nBut aside from the garden-variety nonsense, the debate\u2019s audience also heard <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/the-fix\/wp\/2015\/11\/10\/well-be-annotating-the-gop-debate-here\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">a more specific claim<\/a> from Marco Rubio: \u201c[W]e have a crazy health care law that discourages companies from hiring people.\u201d To which the reality-based community responded, \u201cWe do?\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The oddity of the criticism is how easy it is to recognize how wrong it is. We know, for example, that in 2014 \u2013 the first full year of ACA implementation \u2013 the job market in the United States had <a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=7&amp;cad=rja&amp;uact=8&amp;ved=0CEYQFjAGahUKEwjd2dqGkovJAhUBTj4KHayqAuc&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.msnbc.com%2Frachel-maddow-show%2Fno-wonder-mitch-mcconnell-wants-credit-the-economy&amp;usg=AFQjCNF9skXeBOVHZyNsSTbtnz7dmW9KzQ&amp;sig2=dGk0rihzjL7rXDq8flTTEQ\">its best year since the late 1990s<\/a>. Indeed, hiring in 2014 was so strong, it surpassed literally any single year in either Bush presidency, and even many of the years in the Clinton era.<\/p>\n<p>How do \u201cObamacare\u201d critics explain this? As best as I can tell, so far, they don\u2019t even try.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>While it&#8217;s a convenient turn in employment, how do you go about proving the ACA is causative?\u00a0 A single chart won&#8217;t do it, regardless of how you fly in the debate.\u00a0 If you take a psychological view of the matter, then is it really a valid claim &#8211; or is it just that confidence was boosted (despite the efforts of the GOP to denigrate the legislation at every step), which is not a rational attribute &#8211; but undeniably exists.<\/p>\n<p>And at the next depression\/recession (which <a href=\"http:\/\/www.dailykos.com\/story\/2015\/11\/9\/1447788\/-The-massive-real-estate-bubble-that-no-one-is-talking-about\" target=\"_blank\">this fellow<\/a> thinks is imminent), do we also blame the ACA for it?\u00a0 And if we don&#8217;t, is it all cherry picking?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Steve Benen @ MaddowBlog takes a shot at the right wing ACA critics: But aside from the garden-variety nonsense, the debate\u2019s audience also heard a more specific claim from Marco Rubio: \u201c[W]e have a crazy health care law that discourages companies from hiring people.\u201d To which the reality-based community responded, \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2015\/11\/12\/coincidence-or-causation\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2709","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2709","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2709"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2709\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2713,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2709\/revisions\/2713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2709"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2709"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2709"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}