{"id":17599,"date":"2018-09-20T08:41:31","date_gmt":"2018-09-20T13:41:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=17599"},"modified":"2018-09-20T08:41:31","modified_gmt":"2018-09-20T13:41:31","slug":"the-future-of-smart-robots-ctd-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2018\/09\/20\/the-future-of-smart-robots-ctd-11\/","title":{"rendered":"The Future of Smart Robots, Ctd"},"content":{"rendered":"

When it comes to robots replacing human workers<\/a>, the World Economic Forum<\/strong><\/em><\/a> thinks that, with a little re-education, we’re going to be OK<\/a>:<\/p>\n

A net positive outlook for jobs: However this finding\u00a0is tempered by optimistic estimates around emerging\u00a0tasks and growing jobs which are expected to offset\u00a0declining jobs. Across all industries, by 2022, growth\u00a0in emerging professions is set to increase their share\u00a0of employment from 16% to 27% (11% growth) of\u00a0the total employee base of company respondents,\u00a0whereas the employment share of declining roles is\u00a0set to decrease from currently 31% to 21% (10%\u00a0decline). About half of today\u2019s core jobs\u2014making\u00a0up the bulk of employment across industries\u2014will\u00a0remain stable in the period up to 2022. Within the\u00a0set of companies surveyed, representing over 15 million workers in total, current estimates would\u00a0suggest a decline of 0.98 million jobs and a gain of 1.74 million jobs. Extrapolating these trends across\u00a0those employed by large firms in the global (nonagricultural)\u00a0workforce, we generate a range of\u00a0estimates for job churn in the period up to 2022.\u00a0One set of estimates indicates that 75 million jobs\u00a0may be displaced by a shift in the division of labour\u00a0between humans and machines, while 133 million\u00a0new roles may emerge that are more adapted to the\u00a0new division of labour between humans, machines\u00a0and algorithms. While these estimates and the\u00a0assumptions behind them should be treated with\u00a0caution, not least because they represent a subset\u00a0of employment globally, they are useful in highlighting\u00a0the types of adaptation strategies that must be put\u00a0in place to facilitate the transition of the workforce to\u00a0the new world of work. They represent two parallel\u00a0and interconnected fronts of change in workforce\u00a0transformations: 1) large-scale decline in some roles\u00a0as tasks within these roles become automated or\u00a0redundant, and 2) large-scale growth in new products\u00a0and services\u2014and associated new tasks and jobs\u2014generated by the adoption of new technologies and\u00a0other socio-economic developments such as the\u00a0rise of middle classes in emerging economies and\u00a0demographic shifts.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

This is contra several pundits. The trick is to find those new tasks, not within the reach of robots and\/or AI systems, that humans can do. I look forward to reading about them.<\/p>\n

Or about how they never materialized. Here’s a few new roles WEC<\/strong><\/em> is anticipating:<\/p>\n

…\u00a0Data Analysts\u00a0and Scientists, Software and Applications Developers,\u00a0and Ecommerce and Social Media Specialists …<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Would you want to be a Social Media Specialist? Not I. It sounds too much like a paid manipulator<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

When it comes to robots replacing human workers, the World Economic Forum thinks that, with a little re-education, we’re going to be OK: A net positive outlook for jobs: However this finding\u00a0is tempered by optimistic estimates around emerging\u00a0tasks and growing jobs which are expected to offset\u00a0declining jobs. Across all industries, \u2026 Continue reading → <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17599","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17599"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17599\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17600,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17599\/revisions\/17600"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}