{"id":15361,"date":"2018-04-17T18:21:26","date_gmt":"2018-04-17T23:21:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=15361"},"modified":"2018-04-17T18:21:26","modified_gmt":"2018-04-17T23:21:26","slug":"the-next-hurdle-ctd-6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2018\/04\/17\/the-next-hurdle-ctd-6\/","title":{"rendered":"The Next Hurdle, Ctd"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"adn ads\" data-message-id=\"162d54c20aae93aa\" data-legacy-message-id=\"162d54c20aae93aa\">\n<div class=\"gs\">\n<div id=\":co\" class=\"ii gt \">\n<div id=\":cn\" class=\"a3s aXjCH m162d54c20aae93aa\">\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p><i><b>The Hill\u00a0<\/b><\/i>has\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/383340-poll-arizona-special-election-in-dead-heat\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/383340-poll-arizona-special-election-in-dead-heat&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1524093560581000&amp;usg=AFQjCNE8GK35GMNmcVKUoZ1Yrss7wjZZzg\">covered\u00a0<\/a>the poll I mentioned <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2018\/04\/16\/the-next-hurdle-ctd-5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">concerning AZ-8<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"gmail_quote\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\">A poll from Emerson College found physician Hiral Tipirneni (D) narrowly leading with 46 percent, compared to former state Sen. Debbie Lesko (R), who is at 45 percent \u2014 well within the poll\u2019s margin of error.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"aBn\" tabindex=\"0\" data-term=\"goog_17275953\"><span class=\"aQJ\">Monday\u2019s<\/span><\/span>\u00a0poll is an outlier and a huge swing in the direction toward Democrats, with other recent polling showing Lesko winning by double-digit margins. The latest public poll\u00a0<span class=\"aBn\" tabindex=\"0\" data-term=\"goog_17275954\"><span class=\"aQJ\">on Friday<\/span><\/span>\u00a0from OH Predictive Insights and ABC 15 Arizona found\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/382924-poll-republican-holds-10-point-lead-in-arizonas-special-election\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en&amp;q=http:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/382924-poll-republican-holds-10-point-lead-in-arizonas-special-election&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1524093560581000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGVg4mDG2-W5WLy5CXV2HoqNPqPiw\">Lesko leading by 10 points<\/a>, 53 to 43 percent. &#8230;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230; the survey found that there\u2019s more enthusiasm on the Republican side. Seventy-nine percent of Republicans consider themselves excited to vote, compared to 52 percent of Democrats.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">That\u2019s good news for Republicans in a district where the party has a 17-point voter registration advantage. The demographics of the 8th District trend toward the party \u2014 it&#8217;s overwhelmingly white, and 45 percent of the voting-age population is 55 or older.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>An interesting result. It&#8217;s relatively easy to make up a story that suggests the poll is biased in order to rile up the Democratic base. But that would also be speculation on my part &#8211; not to mention a lack of faith in the basic goodness of humanity.<\/p>\n<p>Which seems to be a dubious position to take when it comes to American politics these days.<\/p>\n<p>With only a week to go, we don&#8217;t have much longer to wait to see if the Republican, Lesko, can pull this out for the <em><strong>GOP<\/strong><\/em>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Hill\u00a0has\u00a0covered\u00a0the poll I mentioned concerning AZ-8: A poll from Emerson College found physician Hiral Tipirneni (D) narrowly leading with 46 percent, compared to former state Sen. Debbie Lesko (R), who is at 45 percent \u2014 well within the poll\u2019s margin of error. Monday\u2019s\u00a0poll is an outlier and a huge \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2018\/04\/17\/the-next-hurdle-ctd-6\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15361","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15361","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15361"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15361\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15362,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15361\/revisions\/15362"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15361"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15361"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15361"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}