{"id":13339,"date":"2017-12-17T13:07:29","date_gmt":"2017-12-17T19:07:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/?p=13339"},"modified":"2017-12-17T13:07:29","modified_gmt":"2017-12-17T19:07:29","slug":"but-you-didnt-address-their-incompetence","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2017\/12\/17\/but-you-didnt-address-their-incompetence\/","title":{"rendered":"But You Didn&#8217;t Address Their Incompetence"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Kevin Drum thinks <a href=\"http:\/\/www.motherjones.com\/kevin-drum\/2017\/12\/heres-why-republicans-are-hellbent-on-passing-an-unpopular-tax-bill\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">he knows<\/a> why the <em><strong>GOP<\/strong><\/em> is pushing a tax reform bill which doesn&#8217;t earn the adjective <em>reform<\/em> and has hardly had any thought given to it: <em>demographics are pushing the <strong>GOP<\/strong> into irrelevance<\/em>.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/mother-jones-blog_white_population_usa.jpg?ssl=1\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-13340 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/mother-jones-blog_white_population_usa.jpg?resize=400%2C209&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" width=\"400\" height=\"209\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/mother-jones-blog_white_population_usa.jpg?w=1263&amp;ssl=1 1263w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/mother-jones-blog_white_population_usa.jpg?resize=300%2C157&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/mother-jones-blog_white_population_usa.jpg?resize=768%2C401&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/mother-jones-blog_white_population_usa.jpg?resize=1024%2C535&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/mother-jones-blog_white_population_usa.jpg?resize=250%2C131&amp;ssl=1 250w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/12\/mother-jones-blog_white_population_usa.jpg?resize=150%2C78&amp;ssl=1 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/a>Republicans aren\u2019t idiots. They can read a demographic report as well as anyone. They know their white base is shrinking and they know they\u2019ve reached a critical point. The problem is that remaking their party is a long-term project, and while it\u2019s happening they\u2019re going to lose elections. It will take years to regain the trust of communities of color, and efforts to do so will alienate the whites who support them today. They could be in the wilderness a long time while this project is ongoing.<\/p>\n<p>And so it never got off the ground. It was just too hard. It looked more and more as if Republicans would shamble slowly into minority party status for a long time as they struggled to remake themselves.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>There&#8217;s a hidden assumption here, though, and that&#8217;s the idea that the <em><strong>GOP<\/strong><\/em> leadership is fixed, or at least has a fixed perspective. I find this dubious, given how <em><strong>FiveThirtyEight<\/strong><\/em> has documented the strong rightward slide of the <em><strong>GOP<\/strong><\/em> Congressional members over the years (for which I can&#8217;t find the link of which I&#8217;m thinking). I think that under the influence of ideologically driven radio talk show, <em><strong>Fox News<\/strong><\/em>, and other conservative outlets, the leadership, through the process of personnel turnover, has substantially changed. Indeed, I think the late Senator Goldwater was <a href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2015\/08\/15\/1760\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">right on the mark<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Mark my word, if and when these preachers get control of the [Republican] party, and they\u2019re sure trying to do so, it\u2019s going to be a terrible damn problem. Frankly, these people frighten me. Politics and governing demand compromise. But these Christians believe they are acting in the name of God, so they can\u2019t and won\u2019t compromise. I know, I\u2019ve tried to deal with them.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Back to Kevin:<\/p>\n<article class=\"entry-content\">\n<blockquote><p>But again: Republicans aren\u2019t idiots. They recognize just how unlikely [Trump&#8217;s] victory was and they know it won\u2019t repeat itself. Demographic trends won\u2019t slow down and midterm elections always go against the party in power anyway. They\u2019re probably going to lose unified control of the government in 2018, and even if they hang on they won\u2019t make it past 2020.\u00a0<em>This is their last chance to control the levers of power,<\/em>\u00a0quite possibly for a decade or two.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s why they\u2019re pushing an unpopular tax bill. That\u2019s why they\u2019re focused like a laser on confirming judges. That\u2019s why they might even take on entitlement reform. They\u2019re going to lose power shortly no matter what they do, so they\u2019re trying to put their stamp on the future while they still have the chance.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Which is weak because it doesn&#8217;t explain <em>why the Republicans are doing it so poorly<\/em>, not only with the tax reform bill, but with the failed <em><strong>AHCA<\/strong><\/em> bill as well. Kevin assumes there&#8217;s a rational leadership in place for the Republicans, but for me, it&#8217;s become clear that they&#8217;re an ideologically driven pack of second- and third-raters, incapable of deep and subtle thought, driven by the lust for power.<\/p>\n<p>If there was a real and rational concern about the demographic future, the Republicans would be busy demonstrating their seriousness about governance. There&#8217;d be a serious move to exercise McCain&#8217;s &#8220;regular order,&#8221; a process, developed over time, by which serious legislators hope to produce legislation which will be effective.<\/p>\n<p>That is, to leave a real <em>legacy<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>But we&#8217;ve seen, instead, <em><strong>GOP<\/strong><\/em> leaders completely bypass the traditional approaches to legislation; fail to exercise their judicial nominee overview responsibilities until just the last week; and blindly attack the institutions of government which contribute the most to stability, safety, and progress.<\/p>\n<p>A political party which puts the country first would never tolerate the attacks on the <em><strong>FBI<\/strong><\/em>, the <em><strong>CBO<\/strong><\/em>, and the collective intelligence agencies that we&#8217;ve seen not only from Trump, but from <em><strong>GOP<\/strong><\/em> legislators as well. This has been done to preserve President Trump from charges of Russian collusion, when a truly responsible legislator would be investigating those charges, or supporting those who have been appointed to do so, with energy and celerity.<\/p>\n<p>If the tax <del>reform<\/del> change bill passes, and the Democrats take over in 2018, there&#8217;s only Trump&#8217;s veto pen to stop the Democrats from putting into law legislation reversing the GOP tax reform law, and if the recession I suspect will result from the this tax bill does occur, it&#8217;ll result in having <em><strong>GOP Incompetence<\/strong><\/em> and <em><strong>Trump<\/strong><\/em> stamped all over it and the tax bill.<\/p>\n<p>And thus discrediting the <em><strong>GOP<\/strong><\/em> even more.<\/p>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kevin Drum thinks he knows why the GOP is pushing a tax reform bill which doesn&#8217;t earn the adjective reform and has hardly had any thought given to it: demographics are pushing the GOP into irrelevance. Republicans aren\u2019t idiots. They can read a demographic report as well as anyone. They \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/2017\/12\/17\/but-you-didnt-address-their-incompetence\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13339","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13339","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13339"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13339\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13341,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13339\/revisions\/13341"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13339"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13339"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/huewhite.com\/umb\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13339"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}